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Ichimoku Cloud Demystified: A Comprehensive Deep DiveHello TradingView Community, it’s Ben with LeafAlgo! Today we will discuss one of my favorite indicators, the Ichimoku Cloud. The Ichimoku is a versatile trading tool that has captivated traders with its unique visual representation and powerful insights. We will dive deep into understanding the Ichimoku Cloud, explore its history, discuss its parts, highlight real-life examples, and address potential pitfalls. By the end of this article, we believe you will know how to leverage the Ichimoku Cloud effectively in your trading endeavors. Let’s dive in! Origin of The Ichimoku Cloud The Ichimoku Cloud, also known as Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, was developed by Goichi Hosoda in the late 1930s but was not published until later in the 1960s. Its name translates to "one glance equilibrium chart," reflecting its ability to provide a holistic view of market dynamics with a single glance. Over time the Ichimoku Cloud has become a popular trading tool among new and seasoned traders. Components of The Ichimoku Cloud Some traders believe the Ichimoku cloud is a complex jumble of lines with no rhyme or reason, but this is not necessarily true. The best way to understand the Ichimoku cloud is to break it down into its respective parts. Each element contributes to the overall interpretation of price action, trend direction, support and resistance levels, and potential entry and exit points. The Ichimoku Cloud has five components: Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen, Senkou Span A and B, and Chikou Span. The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, often called the Conversion Line and Base Line, respectively, are essential in identifying trend direction and momentum. Below we can see a bullish signal happens when the Tenkan-sen crosses above the Kijun-sen. Conversely, a bearish signal occurs when the Tenkan-sen crosses below the Kijun-sen. Typical length inputs for the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen are 9 and 26. The Senkou Span A and B form the cloud or "Kumo." These components serve as dynamic support and resistance levels, with Senkou Span A calculated as the average of the Conversion Line and Base Line and Senkou Span B representing the midpoint of the highest high and lowest low over a specified period, typically 52. The cloud's thickness and color provide visual cues for potential market strength and volatility. The Chikou Span, or the Lagging Span, is the current closing price plotted 26 periods back on the chart. It helps traders gauge the relationship between the current price and historical price action, providing insights into potential trend reversals or continuation. Putting the parts together gives us a complete picture of the Ichimoku Cloud. Each aspect contributes to the one-glance equilibrium theory, giving traders a more holistic view of price action. Applying the Ichimoku Cloud in Trading We now better understand all parts of the Ichimoku cloud, but that means little if we don’t understand how it can be utilized in trading. Let's explore examples that demonstrate the practical application of the Ichimoku Cloud: Example 1: Trend Following In an uptrend, we would look for the Tenkan-sen to cross above the Kijun-sen while the price remains above the cloud. When the price retraces to the cloud, a long position opportunity may arise, with the cloud acting as support. The Chikou Span should also be above the historical price action, confirming the bullish sentiment. Example 2: Trend Reversals and Breakout Opportunities A potential trend reversal or continuation can be identified when the Tenkan-sen crosses above the Kijun-sen and the price moves above the cloud. A breakout trade can initiate when the price breaks through the cloud's upper boundary, indicating a shift in momentum. For the Ichimoku cloud to give its strongest confirmation of a reversal, some traders will take a fairly conservative approach and wait for a few things to occur. Traders typically wait for a kumo twist, the Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen cross, and the Chikou Span to break the cloud and be above the price. The reverse of these signals can be used in the same fashion for a short position. Example 3: The Kumo Twist In a trend, a Kumo Twist can signal a potential trend reversal. Look for the Senkou Span A to cross above or below the Senkou Span B within the cloud. This twist can confirm a shift in market sentiment. Traders can enter a position when the twist is confirmed, placing a stop loss above or below the cloud or the recent swing high/low. I think of the Kumo twists and subsequent clouds as a trend filter. Placing longs on the bullish side or shorts on the bearish side, however, some traders use the Ichimoku Cloud in a contrarian fashion. Contrarian trades can be profitable using this method as price tends to pull back to the clouds A or B span where support or resistance may lie. Pitfalls and Challenges: Avoiding Common Mistakes While the Ichimoku Cloud is a powerful tool, it is paramount to be aware of potential pitfalls. Here are a few challenges to navigate: False Signals and Choppy Market Conditions In ranging or volatile markets, cloud signals may generate false indications. During such periods combine the Ichimoku Cloud with other technical indicators or wait until the market picks a direction. Moving out to higher time frames can help clear the murkiness of consolidation phases and provide a clearer picture of the trend, in turn, weeding out false signals. Overcomplicating Analysis The Ichimoku Cloud provides a wealth of information, but it's crucial to maintain simplicity and focus. Avoid overcrowding the chart with an abundance of indicators, especially other overlays. It is easy to get lost in the sauce or run into redundancies with too much on the chart. Testing and Adapting Each market has its characteristics or volatility, and it's essential to backtest the Ichimoku Cloud strategy, experiment with different parameters, and adapt to market conditions over time. Many traders rely on the standard settings, but in my time developing trading algorithms, I have learned that those settings do not hold from market to market or consistently over time. It is critical to regularly revisit your settings or overall trading strategy to make sure you are drawing on the best available information the Ichimoku Cloud can give. Enhancing the Ichimoku Cloud Strategy To enhance your understanding and utilization of the Ichimoku Cloud, consider the following: Incorporating Other Technical Indicators Combining the Ichimoku Cloud with other indicators, such as oscillators, to confirm signals can be beneficial. I know I said not to over-clutter your chart with other indicators, but that is a rule of thumb more set for overlays. Timeframe Considerations Adapt the Ichimoku Cloud to different timeframes based on your trading style. Higher time frames may provide more reliable signals, while lower timeframes may offer shorter-term opportunities. I don’t believe it ever hurts to back out a few time frames to get a clear picture of market dynamics and avoid tunnel vision. Conclusion The Ichimoku Cloud is a versatile indicator, and today we scratched the surface of how it can be appropriately used. Remember, practice, patience, and continuous learning are critical for refining your skills and adapting the Ichimoku Cloud strategy to ever-evolving market conditions. If there is anything unclear or you have any questions, please don’t hesitate to comment below. Trading education is our passion, and we are happy to help. Happy trading! :)
Editors' picks
Education
by LeafAlgo
49
BAJAJ FINSERVHello & Welcome to this analysis Stock appears to have gone into a triangle correction since its OCT 2021 high and could be currently in its iii leg. Immediate resistance at 1490-1510, above that 1600 and then a bigger one near 1750. While support comes in at 1460, below that 1400 and v crucial trendline support at 1300, failure to hold that would drift this stock into a medium term deeper correction else range bound between 1350-1750 for quite some is highly probable Happy Investing
NSE:BAJAJFINSV
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
ARVL Penny EV Stock Momentum from EarningsOn the 2H Chart ARVL is always been underneath the Ichimoku cloud. Since earnings this has changed. The earnings were nothing special. ARVL as a startup is still losing cash; it is priced on the potential of the future. ARVL is in the delivery truck and bus segment of the growing EV industry. It does not compete directly with TSLA. On the chart relative strengh also rose over its cloud going from 40 to 70. Notably it crossed above the Ichimoku cloud simultaneously with crossing over the POC line. Traders including myself watch for confluences to support bias and a trend. My feeler call option with 5 DTE trade was taken on Friday is up 228% over the weekend. I will now take ten more but extend the DTE to 6/2 I see this as a typical penny stock high reward high risk. This is like TSLA in its infancy. Also the higher it gets away from delisting risk the more momentum it might have. This compares well and perhaps better than LCID NKLA and PSR because it has a niche focus which protects it from the center of the competition with other EV stocks.
ALong
by AwesomeAvani
5
Ichimoku Target Price Theory V, N, E and NT CalculationsTHE BASICS: Here is a close up of the Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō indicator: Many people do not know that the Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō cloud system has its own Number, Wave, Target Price and Timespan Theories. After years of study, the numbers that Goichi Hosoda choose for his system are 9, 17, 26 as the basic numbers with 33, 42, 65, 76, 129 and 200~257. These numbers are used in the timespan as well as on the indicator itself. 9 is used for the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) 26 is used for the Base Line (Kijun Sen) 26 is also used for the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) and is used to shift the current price back 26 periods. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is an exceptional part of the system and allows you to see possible support and resistance levels without drawing any lines. The Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) is calculated using the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) and Base Line (Kijun Sen) values and is then plotted 26 periods into the future and shows potential future support and resistance levels. The Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) is calculated using double of 26 so 52 periods and is then and is then plotted 26 periods into the future. This also shows potential future support and resistance levels. Note that: The Area ABOVE the cloud is called the BULLISH ZONE. The Area BELOW the cloud is called the BEARISH ZONE. The Area IN BETWEEN the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) levels is called the EQUILIBRIUM ZONE. Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) and Base Line (Kijun Sen) ARE NOT MOVING AVERAGES but are instead calculated high and low midpoints of the price. So the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is high and low calculated midpoint for the last 9 Periods (short-term) and the Base Line (Kijun Sen) is high and low calculated midpoint for the last 26 Periods (mid-term). THE ADVANCED: Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō Target Price Theory with examples: How accurate is Goichi Hosoda’s Target Price Theory? Using the history of the DJI/USD chart….. it turns out the calculation are very accurate. Note that i have added in timespans from Hosoda’s numbers to see if there is a day of change on the Ichimoku numbers 9, 17, 26, 33, 42, 65, 76, 129 and 200~257. Note that you can be flexible with these numbers so if a day of change is 8 days instead of 9 or 77 days instead of 76 then that is fine with this system. Ichimoku System has 4 Price Target Calculations called V, N, E and NT. A few of these we will see below. As you’ll see below, the calculations do change if they are POSITIVE or NEGATIVE. If we look at the Positive N Calculation from the Monday 3rd August 1896 until Monday 6th sept 1897 we can see that it was spot on. N Calculation positive N = C + (B-A) = D (B) $32.55 - (A) $20.77 = $11.79 (C) $27.79 + (B-A) $11.78 = (D) $39.57 The actual price it went to was $40.41 If we look at the above Negative V Calculation from the Monday 29th Sept 1929 until Monday 5th sept 1931 we can see that again, the calculation was spot on. V Calculation Negative V = B - (C-B) = D (C) $302 - (B) $194 = $108 (B) $194 - (C-B) $108 = (D) $86 The actual price it went to was $85.76 and continued to $40.72 If we look at this Negative N Calculation from the Monday 9th November 1931 until Monday 30th May 1932 we can see that again, it was almost spot on. N Calculation Negative N = C - (A-B) = D (A) $118.86 - (B) $69.85 = $48.75 (C) $89.87 - (C-B) $48.75 = (D) $41.12 Actual = $43.52 and continued to $40.72 If we look at the Positive V Calculation from Monday 4th July 1932 until Monday 17th July 1933 we can see that again, it was almost spot on. V Calculation Positive V = B + (B-C) = D (B) $81.63 - (C) $48.81 = $32.82 (B) $81.63 + (C-B) $32.82 = (D) $114.45 Actual = $110.90 If we look at the Negative V Calculation from Monday 4th Nov 1940 until Monday 13th April 1942 we can see that again, it was almost spot on. V Calculation Negative V = B - (C-B) = D (C) $131 - (B) $114 = $17 (B) $114 - (C-B) $17 = (D) $97 Actual = $92.60 If we look at the Positive NT Calculation from Monday 23rd March 2020 until Monday 10th May 2021 we can see that again, it was spot on. NT Calculation Positive NT = C + (C-A) (C) $26,114 - (A) $18,217 = $7,897 (C) $26,114 + (C-A) $7,897 = $34,011 Actually price went up to $36,971 which was until Monday 3rd Jan 2022. If we look at the Negative V Calculation from Monday 12th Dec 2022 until Monday 13th March 2023 we can see that again, it was close but off from about $600 but still would’ve made a profit. V Calculation Negative V = B - (C-B) = D (C) $34,344 - (B) $32,582 = $1,762 (B) $32,582 - (C-B) $1,762 = (D) $30,820 Actual price went to = $31,428 I have done these examples on the 1 week chart but this system also work for lower timeframes. I could go through and add much more calculations but i think you get the point with just these few. I hope this post has been helpful and insightful. For those interested, below are 2 links to my previous post about Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō that you may find helpful. Ichimoku Wave Theory: Ichimoku Crypto:
TVC:DJIEducation
by entertheroach
2
Ripple Ichimoku Price Theory Analysis●Ichimoku Price Theory ? Among the important auxiliary Ichimoku Indicator of Goichi Hosada, theory, wave theory, price theory today I am going to analyze the price theory. The Elliott wave is stereotyped as five-par and three-par of rising and falling, but the one-sided balance theory believes that the wave will continue as long as the high and low points are renewed. In other words, there is a law of inertia that tries to continue in the direction of upward trend, or downward trend. But Price Theory has a different goal. The key thing in this analysis method is to analyze the target value and the limitations of growth. In a metaphor, it has the advantage of being able to calculate in advance how much time you have left to run a long-distance marathonrace and how much you will control your pace. 1) The "V" Calculation = B + (B – C) V calculated value: V=B+(B-C) occurs in a V-shaped wave. This is the wave that returns as much as it falls from B to C. 2) The "N" Calculation = C + (B – A) N calculated value: N=C+(B-A), which is returned by the same width after C. 3) The "E" Calculation = B + (B – A) E calculated value: E=B+(B-A) is obtained by adding the increase from A to B to B. ●Dead line? Rise analysis fails when deadline 0.3665$ is reached. It can calculate the strategic loss zone in advance. The calculation theory B area can be judged as a departure and an analysis failure. ●What is the reason for the rise? Please refer to the elliptical zone. The most basic signal of the Ichimoku is the golden cross between the TakanSen(T) Spans, which represents the short-term trend, and the KijunSen(K) Spans, which represents the mid- to long-term trend. Chikou(C) Spans can also confirm the establishment of an eventual trend. ●Where can I buy it? I personally think of 0.3819 as a strong buying area, calculated in advance by Kijun Sen(K) and moved horizontally. ●Final Strategy Chart Thank you for reading my poor analysis. I want to help you a lot. Any further analysis will be updated in the comments. You can easily get an alarm if you follow it.
Long
by WhaleGO_BTC
2
LONG LTCUSDT (4H)The ELLIPSE trading strategy has generated a long signal (4H timeframe) for Litecoin (LTC) at $77.51. The price has recently broken through the monthly pivot (P) level (denoted by the orange line) and has subsequently seen both the price and lagging line on the daily chart break out of the Ichimoku cloud (as evidenced by the green background on the 4-hour chart). The first significant resistance level encountered was the yearly pivot (P) at $88 (indicated by the black line). The price has been hovering around this level for approximately 2 weeks. Today, the price has broken through this level with high volume, indicating that the trend is likely to continue with the next major resistance level being the yearly resistance (R1) at around $135. Keep in mind that there may be additional resistance around monthly R3 ($107), R4 ($118) and R5 ($129). Additionally, the alignment of all 9, 21, 50, 100 and 200 exponential moving averages suggests a bullish trend. Note that the halving of the block reward is scheduled to occur around August this year, which has historically led to a bullish momentum.
Long
by Cryptonerds
1
Tricks of Ichimoku clouds. Hi. I was making a comment in someone else's idea about the Ichimoku indication and thought one point should be dealt with more. So, let's assume something are in a down-trend, candles are flying down from cliff, to the left of Kijun-sen and Tenkan-sen. We can see this on chart 1. At some point the drop reaches some kind of resistance and starts some lateral movement of larger or smaller amplitude. Kijun and Tenkan are beginning to squeeze each other, traders are waiting for the long-awaited (after so many months!) of a golden cross, but something else is happening. A cross occurs, but it looks like it is not Kijun-sen piercing Tenkan-sen from below, but vice versa Tenkan sen approaching Kijun has taken and fallen into this line and is looking down. So... Let's remember what the textbook golden cross looks like on Ichimoku? I believe what is shown on screen 2 is exactly that golden cross. Kijun come over in from below Tenkan-sen, and shot through the line. The Tenkan-Sen did not change its horizontal position in this process. Then it is required to see if there are situations, when a golden cross should form, but in fact Tenkan-sen is falling down to the Kijun and the movement is going downward still, and one more cross is formed soon. Voila, the summer 2021 chart of Etherium. This is exactly the situation. Conclusion: Not every Kijun/Tenkan line cross after the big red Kumo cloud is a golden cross. I encourage @norok as a trader whom I have great respect for his work, to comment on these aspects.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by averkie_skila
Bitcoin Ichimoku Price Theory Analysis●Ichimoku Price Theory ? Among the important auxiliary Ichimoku Indicator of Goichi Hosada, theory, wave theory, price theory today I am going to analyze the price theory. The Elliott wave is stereotyped as five-par and three-par of rising and falling, but the one-sided balance theory believes that the wave will continue as long as the high and low points are renewed. In other words, there is a law of inertia that tries to continue in the direction of upward trend, or downward trend. But Price Theory has a different goal. The key thing in this analysis method is to analyze the target value and the limitations of growth. In a metaphor, it has the advantage of being able to calculate in advance how much time you have left to run a long-distance marathonrace and how much you will control your pace. 1) The "V" Calculation = B + (B – C) V calculated value: V=B+(B-C) occurs in a V-shaped wave. This is the wave that returns as much as it falls from B to C. 2) The "N" Calculation = C + (B – A) N calculated value: N=C+(B-A) which is returned by the same width after C. 3) The "E" Calculation = B + (B – A) E calculated value: E=B+(B-A) is obtained by adding the increase from A to B to B. 4) The "NT" Calculation = C + (C – A) NT calculated value: NT=C+(C-A) is obtained by adding the increase from C to C to A. ●Fed Interest Rate Decision ? Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) member's vote on where to set the rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation. A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the USD. Under the current situation, we believe that there will be a high probability of an interest rate hike. ●Comprehensive analysis We are expecting up to "E" TP 19228$, and we think that today's FED announcement and the 22804$ downward closing is the basis for the short-term downward trend. Thank you for reading the insufficient analysis. Additional analysis will be updated with comments.
Short
by WhaleGO_BTC
EDU: BOTTOMING PATTERN & GAP FILL PLAYEDU ( Chinese stock ): I'm bullish Chinese stocks in general but I really do like the look of EDU. A few reasons to keep a good look on EDU: - price is now above all the moving averages on the daily chart; - price is getting back above the Ichimoku cloud; - there is a huge gap between $29.70 and $57.34; - the weekly chart chart has the look of an inverted head and shoulders (but not really perfect). Has EDU found a bottom? It looks like it. Can we fill that gap? Not sure. However the chart looks promising. The next resistance is at 29.70. If we cross 29.70 I would expect the price to accelerate to the next resistance of 50.27, then potentially fill the gap. If we see weakness in the coming days, the next supports are at 24 and 22. I would wait for the price to cross 29.70 before initiating a long position. My 1st target will then be around 50, my second target will be at 57. Trade safe! (This is no financial advice. Technical analysis is given to help you make your own decision. As always place a stop loss when you enter the position, and do not ignore risks of delisting for Chinese ADRs).
NYSE:EDULong
by Elpidaldo
2
TESLAHello & welcome to this analysis In the monthly time frame we can see the stock has broken and continues to trade below the Ichimoku Base line support, suggesting a likely test of the Ichimoku clouds in the coming months. In the weekly we can see a Head & Shoulder formation with the right shoulder withing a parallel channel. Sustaining below $205 (weekly) this could break all the way down to $150 before any relief / value buying comes in. Short term bounces here there might come due to oversold zones, but overall structure has become very bearish for the medium term.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
1
QQQ setting up ReversalQQQ has been downtrending however- it broke through the mid-Fib levels which are now resistance the Momentum Oscillator shows bearish momentum decreasing to nearly zero the red dot on the center line suggests a squeeze is underway recent candles are small range and nearly Doji candles on the RSI Ichimoku are wide range and volatile in general relative strength is rising in bullish divergence Accordingly I will close the put options and open call options with 48 hours of time to expiration at a strike 1% above current price.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AwesomeAvani