Ichimoku short setup: USDCHFA few days ago, I stated that we are expecting a bearish kumo breakout within the next few days and so it did. Check out the link below:
On the daily TF, all the Ichimoku signs are bearish. Span A and B are both angling downward at 45 degree. Chikou span has broken free from the kumo. I am expecting a home run for this pair.
Ichimokuforex
Ichimoku long setup: EURCADOn the daily TF, all the Ichimoku signs are bullish. Price is sitting on a significant support level as confirmed by span B and kumo shadow. It is highly likely that we are witnessing a N wave formation to the upside. Entry was taken based on H4 FFB. However, It is also possible that the N wave pattern could be aiming for the downside. Therefore, we will take partial profit at TP1.
Ichimoku short setup: NZDUSDOn the daily TF, we observe a bearish tenkan-kijun cross that occurred above the kumo. Currently, price is sitting at a significant support level and is inside the kumo. Although the future kumo is bullish, senkou span A is angling downward while the senkou span B remains flat. Although chikou span is below the price, the current candle is still trading within a large mother bar.
Ichimoku short setup: AUDCADOn the daily TF, we see a bearish tenkan-kijun cross above the kumo. An inverted bullish hammer was observed on tenkan sen. Strangely though, the kijun sen is pointing upward. Price has already crossed both the tenkan and kijun sen from above since last week. Chikou span is attempting to break through the prices which indicates that price is currently consolidating. Once the chikou span is able break free from the reins of the past 26 periods, it should be able to hit a home-run. The future kumo is still bullish but thick.
GBP/AUD - Ichimoku Trade Setup- Time to regain ground?This pair has held support but I am still watching for a break of resistance to enter a short term buy trade. I've drawn out my entry and TP lines on the chart. If you notice for the setup on this one, I'm actually placing my TP and SL slightly off of my lines to get things a little room to breathe since this is such a tight trade. As soon as we break into that zone and hold I'll be getting long and may even hold past this TP level with a partial position. I'll have to be careful with this one due to the Brexit madness that is going on right now so I will only be risking 1.5% of my capital on this setup to be pretty conservative. If we fail to break into that zone or hold bullish confirmations, this setup may become invalidated.
USD/CHF- Ichimoku Chance to get Long!We got a bullish kumo breakout and twist towards the end of last week with this pair. I am now watching for a tenken sen bounce trade entry for a chance to get long. I want to see a good drop to tenken sen and support hold to help confirm the bullish bias we're seeing right now. I set my TP at a previous resistance level if you look left of where price is at currently. If we fail to hold support or break higher, this setup may become invalidated.
EURAUD 60 MIn Cloud BreakoutMonthly and Daily Direction is bearish.
I anticipate the market will reverse down into the cloud
bounce up off the Senkou B (bottom of the cloud)
then stall between the Senkou A (top of the cloud) and the
resistance level at 1.58600
For the cloud breakout we will need the following;
1. A cloud penetration;
2. A TK cross
3. The Chikou below price
4. A Kumo twist
** You can take the Cloud channel trade (long at the Senkou B)
and that is an advanced technique with low risk targeting the Snkou A
I will update this post as the market unfolds
AUD/JPY - Ichimoku Breakout Sell TradeWe got a big bearish move last week followed by a drawback and textbook tenken sen bounce trade. I am looking to hop on that trend with a move further to the downside. I've placed my entry below the candle of previous support and I've set my TP at an area of past support if you look left of current price. It may push on from there so I will only close partial position if we hit this TP, and let the rest roll, adjusting my stop loss periodically. If we fail to break lower or hold our bearish confirmations, this setup may become invalidated.
USD/CHF - Ichimoku Bearish SetupWe finally got a break below support in the channel we had been following for a while and now I am looking to take advantage of the bearish sentiment we're seeing. I'm going to use a move below our current candle as an entry with my TP at a previous major level of resistance to the left of current price. As an alternative I may wait for a rise and rejection at tenken sen for a better risk to reward ratio on my entry. If either of these two scenarios fail to play out, this setup may become invalided.
Brexit Nightmare to Continue? - Ichimoku GBP/USD SellWith the upcoming Brexit vote on Tuesday I am once again expecting some GBP uncertainty. In order to take advantage of this uncertainty I'll be looking for a sell to break the current trend line I drew for entry. This should also coincide with a bearish kumo twist and bearish TK cross if this move down does happen. If we fail to break to the trend line or get those confirmations this setup may become invalid
EUR/AUD - Ichimoku Short SetupWe've been on a good bearish run with this pair and I'm looking for a chance to hop on the train as it continues to fall. I am looking for a little lower movement to act as a trigger for entry so I may set this one as a sell stop. I am looking for the previous major structure low as my Take Profit area. I'm going to keep my stop loss decently tight for this one since there is a lot of news ahead this week that could change the market sentiment.
GBP/JPY - Ichimoku Short Breakout Trade SetupWe have been moving a bit sideways with this pair so I'm watching for a good breakout of these support or resistance levels we've been pinging around between. If we can get the breakout down below with the news, it could move pretty quickly. I don't want to spend too long a time in this one because I'm unsure it will be a long term swing, so I am aiming for previous structure lows as my Take Profit levels.
USD/CHF - Ichimoku Long Breakout Trade SetupWe found support twice but have been moving within a pretty narrow band as we've moved sideways. With the good economic data the US has been getting combined with the news that China and the US are putting their trade war on hold, I'm expecting a move up here. I'm looking for a kumo breakout to enter since we already have a bullish kumo twist and bullish TK cross. We may get a slight drop first but as soon as we get that breakout I'll get long.
EUR/NZD - Ichimoku Daily Drawback SetupYou can see the play from last week to the left of this setup. It went really well for us and I announced in the members area where I was getting out of most of the position. We were able to snag 100 pips or so and I'm looking for an even bigger drawback based on the daily chart, looking here on the 4 hour for entry. I've drawn out the first major level of resistance on the daily, but we may be able to expand far past that depending on if we see a rejection there or not. We do have the bullish kumo twist and I'm looking for a bullish kumo breakout to help confirm an entry. Remember that this setup is a drawback based on the daily, being such is inherently higher risk. Since it is higher risk, I'll be taking 2% risk on this position should a good entry present it self. If we fail to breakout bullishly or form new higher highs and lows, this setup may become invalidated.
GBP/AUD - Ichimoku Long SetupThis pair has been steadily climbing higher since our hard drop last week. We are nearing a bulish kumo twist that I am looking for combined with a bullish kumo breakout to enter a long position. I've laid out a TP at an area of previous resistance, but I may hold holder term as a swing if we can break that level as well. If we fail to get the kumo twist and the kumo breakout, this setup may become invalidated.
NZD/USD - Ichimoku Short Sell Rejection SetupThis pair started to consolidate last week before ending it's bullish run for at least the short term. Right now we have completed a kumo twist, chikou span is below price and Tenken sen and Kijun sen have flattened out here indicating the loss of momentum we've seen. I am look for a small rise to the kumo and tenken to get a good rejection candle for a sell entry. If we can get that rejection candle I'll entry and I've drawn out two targets based off the daily chart to aim for. If we fail to get a good rejection or break lower, then this setup may become invalidated.
EUR/NZD - Ichimou Drawback SetupIf you're in the membership you'll recognize this setup from last week. We are looking at a drawback or early reversal setup with EUR/NZD. This is why we're watching on the 1 hour for a possible buy entry upon a breakout. My target is tenken sen on the daily but we may need to adjust the TP as tenken sen moves on the daily chart. If we fail to break up bullishly out of the kumo, this setup will become invalidated.
EUR/JPY - Ichimoku Long SetupThis pair has been holding support and rising higher. I am looking for a kumo twist and bullish breakout to look for a chance to get long. IF we can get those confirmations, that will be enough signs to to enter. If we fail to break above the kumo and hold price then this setup may become invalidated.
Lesson: Predicting 14% Bitcoin Drop Using Ichimoku CloudIchimoku Cloud showed us to expect strong price action here.
Lesson: set stop-losses below reversal areas and Fibonacci support.
Notes:
Tenkan-sen calculation: (highest high + lowest low)/2 for the last 9 periods.
^ it is time to change our way of thinking
- minor support/resistance
Kijun-sen calculation: (highest high + lowest low)/2 for the past 26 periods.
^ basis, guideline, yardstick
- support/resistance & trailing stop
- indicator of future price
Senkou span A calculation: (Tenkan-sen + kijun-sen)/2 plotted 26 periods ahead.
Senkou span B calculation: (highest high + lowest low)/2 calculated over the past 52 time periods and plotted 26 periods ahead.
^ start off before the others
Kumo (cloud) is the space between senkou span A and B. The cloud edges identify current and potential future support and resistance points.
- height represents volatility
- strong support/resistance
- Bullish when Senkou Span > Senkou Span B and vice versa when markets are bearish.
- Look for Kumo Twists in future clouds, where Senkou Span A and B exchange positions, a signal of potential trend reversals.
EURJPY Potential Cloud BreakoutPotential cloud Breakout
The Monthly direction is down
Pair is in the Sell zone on the Daily
and is at major resistance levels
Since this trade is several hours away from a
set-up I can not provide specific order details
That said there is 2 ways to enter this trade:
First, on a 60 min close below the Daily Kejun Sen (blue line)
Second would be a cloud breakout satisfying all the criteria;
1) a Cloud breakout
2) A TK cross
3) The Chikou is below price
4. A future Kumo twist
** Also the close of the breakout candle must close below the Daily Kejun Sen