Ichimokukinkohyo
BANK NIFTYHello and welcome to this analysis
Bank Nifty has activated a Bearish Harmonic Bat in daily time frame.
The anticipated retracement levels are 38-50-62% of the upmove. The view would be negated if it sustains above 41530.
As per Ichimoku Time and Wave Theory also we have a turn date activated. Until it sustains below 41530 it would remain weak. In case it breaks on the upside then the low of Friday October 28 would be considered as a stop loss for longs
EURUSD about to break Daily Kumo Comment:
EURUSD Daily timeframe shows it's about to break Kumo. Once it happens, market can be continuously bullish.
Ichimoku Analysis:
- Tenkan sen and Kijun sen gold cross happend already
- Chiko span breakout happened already
- Kumo breakout is about to be happening
Next Scenario:
Once Kumo breakout happens the next target will be 1.0197 then 1.0367
USDJPY continuously bullish, targeting 150.0 levelComment:
USDJPY Daily timeframe is showing continuous bullish trend as per Ichimoku Trend Analysis.
Ichimoku KTS Analysis:
- Kumo (Senko span A and B) up
- Tenkan sen up
- Kijun sen up
- Chiko span above candles
Next Scenario:
Kumo is continuously thick and long. Market is targeting to 150 level.
USDJPY (Ichimoku Kinko Hyo analysis)Weekly
Kumo up
Kijun up
Tenkan up
Chiko above candles
Daily:
Kumo up
Kijun up
Tenkan up
chiko above candles
the uptrend may continue until next Kihon Suchi in daily tf (27 Oct 2022)
In the long term: the uptrend may continue until next Kihon Suchi in Weekly tf (19 Dec 2022)
Entry: H4;H1;M15
Overall: 60% up ,30% range, 10% down
USDJPY broke the resistance levelComment:
USDJPY broke the resistance level of 145.9 where BOJ intervened, and showing continuous uptrend.
Ichimoku trend Analysis (KTS):
- Kumo (Senko span A and B) up
- Kijun sen up
- Tenkan sen up
- Chiko span above candles
Next Scenario:
- Market can go up to 147.7 which is the resistance way back in Aug 1998.
- Once it breaks, possible to go up to 150 level.
- BOJ might intervene again, especially when it gets closer to 150 level.
- Watch out US CPI
AUDUSD reached the target, still downtrendingComment:
AUDUSD reached the target of 0.62519 and is continuously bearish.
Ichimoku Trend Analysis (KTS):
- Kumo (Senko span A and B) down
- Kijun sen down
- Tenkan sen down
- Chiko span below candles
Next Scenario:
The market may retrace / consolidate today as it reached the support. However Daily timeframe Kumo is sitll thick, so it could break the support and continuously bearish.
EURAUD bullish, broke the resistance levelComment:
EURAUD broke the resistance 1.5400 level from July 2022 as well as support from of Oct 2021.
Ichimoku Trend Analysis (KTS):
- Kumo (Senko span A and B) up
- Kijun sen up
- Tenkan sen up
- Chiko span above candles
Next Scenario:
1.5400 level is also a neckline of monthly W bottom. Ultimately the market could go up to 1.622 level.
AUDUSD continuously downtrendComments:
AUDUSD is currently downtrending by Ichimoku trend confirmation (KTS)
Ichimoku Trend Analysis (KTS)
- Kumo (Senko span A and B) down
- Kijun sen down
- Tenkan sen down
- Chiko span below candles
Next Scenario:
Kumo is thick on Daily timeframe so this trend can be continuous. Initial target is 0.6251 level.
EURCAD (Ichimoku Kinko Hyo analysis)Weekly chart:
Span B flat, span A down, Kumo down
Kijun down,Chiko below candles
=> Weekly down momentum
Daily:
Kumo flat
Kijun, Tenkan overlap
BB is squeezing
=> More likely to go down (60% down- 25% range - 15% up)
IF the price break support, the downtrend may continue until next Kihon Suchi (26 Aug)
AUDCAD Ichimoku Kinko Hyo analysis Weekly:
Span B flat
Span A down and break resistant of span A
=> Kumo down
Kijun down
Tenkan down
Chiko below candles
Daily:
Span A,B down
Kijun down
Tenkan down
Chiko below candles
Note: Candles are at support so might consolidate until break the support
Summary: 60% down, 30% sideway, 10% up
If price breaks the support, the down trend may continue until next weekly Kihon suchi (around 14 Nov)
Entry: H4 or H1 if possible
Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō Wave Theory Introduction and Indicator BasicsIchimoku Kinkō Hyō Wave Theory Introduction and Indicator Basics Cheat Sheet.
Note that there are 5 Waves in the Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō System.
1: I Wave
2: V Wave
3: N Wave
4: P Wave
5: Y Wave
I Wave = 1 directional movement in price up or down over a period of time.
V Wave = 2 directional movements in price over a period of time so 1 direction movement up over a period of time and 1 directional movement down over a period of time. Or 1 directional movement down over a period of time and 1 directional movement up over a period of time. Note that a V Wave is made from 2 I Waves.
N Wave = 3 movements in price over a period of time so 1 price movement up over a period of time, 1 shorter price movement down over a period of time and 1 longer price movement back up over a period of time. Or 1 price movement down over a period of time, 1 shorter price movement up over a period of time and 1 longer price movement back down over a period of time. Note that an N Wave is made from 3 I Waves.
P Wave = 2 Converging trend-lines. The P Wave is similar to the Bullish/Bearish Pennant but note that with the Ichimoku P Wave it does not matter the amount of times that the price hits the upper and lower trend-lines.
Y Wave = 2 Diverging trend-lines. The Y Wave is similar to the Bullish/Bearish Inverted Triangle Pattern or Megaphone Pattern but note that with the Ichimoku Y Wave it does not matter the amount of times that the price hits the upper and lower trend-lines.
Please look at the above chart if this all sounds a little confusing and it will all become clear.
For those interested, the 3 basic and most important Waves I, V and N are used in Ichimoku Price Theory for both Negative and Positive price directions.
V Calculation: V = B + (B-C) for Positive and V = B - (C-B) for Negative.
N Calculation: N = C + (B-A) for Positive and N = C - (A-B) for Negative.
E Calculation: E = B + (B-A) for Positive and E = B - (A-B) for Negative.
NT Calculation: NT = C + (C-A) for Positive and NT = C - (A-C) for Negative.
Here is a post with some examples of the Ichimoku Price Theory in action.
Back to Basics for those who are new to The Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō. Note that i’ll be using the original Ichimoku settings 9,26,52,26 in this write up but not on the actual chart.
The Ichimoku Cloud is comprised of 5 indicators, The Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen), The Base Line (Kijun Sen), The Leading Span A (Senkou Span A), The Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) and the The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) with 3 areas of interest, the Bullish Zone, The Bearish Zone and the Equilibrium Zone.
The Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is the midpoint of the last 9 Period highs and 9 Period lows in whatever timeframe you are in. As well as being a potential support or resistance level, the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) also gives you a sense of potential short-term price momentum in whatever timeframe you are in as well as potential reversals. So if the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is pointing either upwards, sideways or downwards, then this gives you a sense of what the short-term price momentum is in whatever timeframe you are in. Note that the Tenkan Sen is not an SMA or EMA and should not be treated as such.
The Base Line (Kijun Sen) is the midpoint of the last 26 Period highs and 26 Period lows in whatever timeframe you are in. As well as being a potential support or resistance level, the Base Line (Kijun Sen) also gives you sense of potential mid-term price momentum in whatever timeframe you are in as well as confirmation of a trend change if the Tenkan Sen crosses under the Kijun Sen. So if the Base Line (Tenkan Sen) is pointing either upwards, sideways or downwards, then this gives you a sense of what the mid-term price momentum is in whatever timeframe you are in. Note that the Kijun Sen is not an SMA or EMA and should not be treated as such.
The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is a momentum indicator and also a 2nd confirmation indicator that enables you to see potential trend changes. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is the current price shifted 26 periods in the past. If the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) indicator is above where the price was at 26 periods ago then that is considered an uptrend for the timeframe you are in. If the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) indicator is below where the price was at 26 periods ago then that is considered a downtrend for the timeframe you are in. A Bullish and Bearish confirmation signal can be seen if the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) indicator crosses up (Bullish) or under (Bearish) for that previous 26 period price respectively, but also using the other indicators as confirmation. If the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is inside the previous Price from 26 Periods ago, then that is considered sideways trading, choppy or trend-less.
The Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) is a Leading momentum indicator and is calculated from the Conversion and Base Line values. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) is plotted 26 Period into the future and identifies future areas of support and resistance.
The Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) is calculated using double the periods of 26 so 52 Periods and is again plotted 26 Periods into the future and also identifies future areas of support and resistance.
The Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) & Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) make up the Cloud (Kumo). If the Cloud (Kumo) is green, that indicates we are potentially in a Bullish Trend for that timeframe. If the Cloud (Kumo) is red, that indicates we are potentially in a Bearish Trend for that timeframe.
The area above the cloud is the Bullish Zone & the area below the cloud is the Bearish Zone. The area Inside of the cloud is the Equilibrium Zone, which can be seen as trend-less, uncertainty or trading sideways. A key move to look out for is if the Leading Spans A,B are Crossing/Twisting from either a green cloud into a red cloud or vice versa to indicate a trend reversal for the timeframe you are in. Note the Cloud (Kumo) can be Red or Green while the price action is in the Equilibrium Zone depending on if it dipped down or up into the Cloud (Kumo). Note that because we dip downwards outside of the Cloud (Kumo) that doesn’t mean the Cloud will turn red because we may rebound before the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) gets a chance to cross Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) and vice versa. If the Cloud (Kumo) is thin pointing upwards or downwards then this is a good sign of momentum. When the Cloud (Kumo) starts getting wider, that means momentum is slowing down.
An important thing to note is that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) & Base Line (Kijun Sen) are not SMA’s or EMA’s they are X amount high/low calculated period midpoints, so they should not be used as SMA or EMAs.
I hope this basic quick introduction is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
ATOM : resisted against pressureHey Cosmonauts,
ATOM remains strong as prices didn't even go below the daily cloud.
The main support is still at 12.84$ and the second one at 11.73$ .
Note that a clear bullish signal will be given by a break of 14.35$ , with prices exiting the cloud.
Cheers Cosmonauts !
CANFIN HOMESHello and welcome to this analysis
The stock had a very sharp decline in September due to management reshuffle.
It is now showing a reversal from a strong base area.
Short term Ichimoku is indicating a possibility of 530 and 560 if it holds above 490
Good risk reward set up at current juncture.
GBPAUD Bullish on H4Comment:
GBPAUD H4 timeframe shows market is bullish according to Ichimoku trend confirmation.
Ichimoku Trend Analysis:
- Kumo (Senko span A and B) up
- Kijun sen up
- Tenkan sen up
- Chiko span above candles
Next Scenario:
Market has also been supported by H4 Tenkan sen. And the last candle is a pin bar bounced on Tenkan sen.
Initial target is 1.7652 level.