NATGAS BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅NATGAS formed a head
And shoulders pattern then
Made a bearish breakout of
The neckline which is now
A resistance of 3.850$
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Ict
CHF_JPY BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅CHF_JPY made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 171.500 and then made
A retest and a rebound so we are
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Crude Oil: Volatility and Key Levels in FocusThe Crude Oil (CL1!) chart shows a recent phase of high volatility, with a sharp decline followed by a recovery attempt. After reaching the recent high around 80.77, the price underwent a significant correction, returning to the key support zone between 60.97 and 62.43. This price range represents an important accumulation level, previously tested multiple times in recent months and defended by buyers.
From a technical perspective, the area between 65.27 and 69.00 represents a dynamic resistance zone, whose breakout could pave the way for a recovery towards the critical 73.00 area. However, the recent bearish impulse has pressured lower levels, and a weekly close below 60.97 could indicate a structural trend change, with potential bearish targets around 57.00.
The RSI is currently in an oversold zone, suggesting a potential consolidation phase or a technical rebound attempt. However, selling pressure remains high, and sentiment is negative, partly driven by global economic uncertainties and concerns about oil demand.
From an operational perspective, a move back above 65.27 could indicate a recovery phase, with targets at 69.00 and subsequently 73.00. Conversely, a break below 60.97 would open negative scenarios with a possible extension towards the lower support at 57.00. Investors remain focused on macroeconomic data and OPEC+ decisions, as potential production cuts could trigger a new rally, while an unfavorable macro environment could increase selling pressure.
US30: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 37,395.0 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 29.788 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 28.884..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.09620 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.10369 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,029.482 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NQ! Short Idea (MXMM, Quarterly Theory)Hello, after 2 successful weeks I'm planning to continue this streak. Current WR is 75%.
After taking a quick Short on NQ, I'll be waiting for the NY Session for my next setup. I'm expecting a BSL Sweep at around 9:30 UTC-4, after that I will wait for the Macros 9:50 to enter Short.
Praise be to God
-T-
EUR/USD: What to Expect - Trump vs FED!The EUR/USD has recently shown a recovery phase after reaching the late-September high near 1.1150 last Thursday, initially supported by the weakness of the US dollar following fears of stagflation in the United States, fueled by tariff announcements from President Trump. However, the scenario changed rapidly after the release of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data and Jerome Powell’s speech last Friday. Employment data showed NFP growth in line with expectations, but also an increase in the unemployment rate, signaling a less solid labor market than anticipated. During his speech, Powell expressed concerns about the resilience of the US economy, highlighting the risk of an economic slowdown while at the same time reiterating the focus on inflation, maintaining a cautious approach regarding further monetary easing policies.
From a technical perspective, the chart shows that the area around 1.0980-1.1000 represents a crucial zone to assess the sustainability of the bullish trend. A daily close above this level could trigger a new upward push towards the highs of 1.1100 and subsequently 1.1150, especially if supported by further signs of dollar weakness or positive European economic data. If the EUR/USD fails to hold above 1.1000, we could see a pullback towards the support at 1.0950 and subsequently 1.0900. The critical support area on the chart is identified between 1.0360 and 1.0280, and a break below these levels would indicate a significant change in market sentiment.
NZD_USD RISKY LONG|
✅NZD_USD has hit a key structure level of 0.5520
Which implies a high likelihood of a move up
As some market participants will be taking profit from short positions
While others will find this price level to be good for buying
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bullish correction
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin Analysis - Bear Trap Complete - Bullish Reversal StartedBitcoin recently swept the liquidity resting at the $78K level, taking out the previous lows before initiating a strong reversal with a double break of structure to the upside. This signals that smart money has engineered liquidity to trap retail traders and induce early shorts before driving price in the intended direction.
The move up has left behind a well-defined bullish order block in confluence with a fair value gap, which held firmly on the retracement. This confirms that institutional positioning is present, and the market is now efficiently repricing higher. The fact that price reacted strongly from this zone further reinforces that smart money has absorbed sell-side liquidity, and the path of least resistance is now to the upside.
With liquidity now resting above the descending bearish trendline, price has a clear target. The bearish trendlines, especially in the context of a corrective move, act as a liquidity magnet. Retail traders shorting into this structure are providing the fuel for the next leg up, as their stops accumulate above each lower high. The market makers and algorithmic liquidity providers understand this, and price is now gravitating towards that liquidity pool. The inefficiencies left on the chart from the recent aggressive down move also suggest that these imbalances need to be filled, further strengthening the case for continued bullish expansion.
The entire bearish move preceding this was nothing more than a well-structured inducement. It served to lure in breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downtrend, and trap liquidity at the lows before the true direction was revealed. This is a classic example of manipulation before expansion. This principle repeats across all timeframes and market conditions.
With this in mind, the most probable scenario now is a continuation towards the next major liquidity pool above the bearish trendline, likely leading price into the 92K–98K range where a significant daily order block sits. This area will be critical to observe, as it could act as a distribution zone where smart money starts offloading positions. However, until then, the structure remains decisively bullish, and every retracement into demand zones should be seen as an opportunity to position long, rather than a sign of weakness.
USDJPY Potential Pennant Triple ThreatFirst,
In the Higher Timeframes (4Hr - Weekly), we can see that USDJPY is traveling down a Descending Channel since Jan 10th. Price tried pushing higher in March but ultimately fell back within the Channel beginning of this month (April) resulting only in a False Breakout but also creating a Fair Value Gap from 148.698 - 147.429.
Now down on the Lower Timeframes (15min - 1Hr) we can see that Price has created a Fair Value Gap from 146.546 - 146.226 with current Price Action forming a Pennant Pattern just above this FVG which lines up with Previous Highs (Past Resistance Level) and with Volume Decreasing, suggests we could see a Breakout soon! Now Based on the Pennant Pattern being Neutral meaning can break either way, creates the first 2 Bullish Scenarios being either a Breakout and Retest of the Pennant pattern going Bullish OR Bearish.
*Breakout will be Validated if followed by an Increase in Volume!
Scenario 1 -If BULLISH BREAKOUT - The Retest will come at the Falling Resistance of the Pattern.
Scenario 2 -If BEARISH BREAKOUT - This could suggest Price is looking to "Fill The Gap" being the FVG
** If Scenario 2 happens, this Price Movement could be looking to fulfill a Fibonacci Retracement of the Swing Low @ 145.041 to the Swing High @ 146.904, where the 38.2% Level lays at the Upper Limit of the FVG and the 50% Level lays at the Lower Limit of the FVG with the Consequent Encroachment right in the middle @ 146.385.
—Both of this ideas suggest USD will need to gain strength which could mean fundamentally:
FOMC Meeting Minutes on Wednesday, April 9th & CPI (Consumer Price Index), the instrument used to measure Inflation, on Thursday, April 10th released results will be heavily relied on to see if there's anymore input on potential effects of Tariffs.
Scenario 3 - Fair Value Gap Inversion could suggest bad news fundamentally is released for USD and gives JPY Bears (Sellers) the ability to pull price down, keeping Price Consolidated further within the HTF Descending Channel.
DXY PULLBACK EXPECTED|SHORT|
✅DXY surged again to retest the resistance of 103.400
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bearish pullback and a move down
SHORT🔥
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NZD-USD Strong Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-NZD is approaching a
Horizontal support level
Of 0.5521 so when the
Market opens we will be
Expecting the pair to retest
The support first and then
Make a nice bullish rebound
Buy!
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GBP_USD LONG SIGNAL|
✅GBP_USD made some crazy
Moves last week and was eventually pushed
Back down to the horizontal support of 1.2874
From where we will be expecting a local
Rebound, therefore we can go long on
The pair with the TP of 1.2946
And the SL of 1.2849
LONG🚀
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EUR-USD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a nice
Bearish correction from the
Resistance above and hit
A horizontal support level
Of 1.0934 from where
We can go long on Monday
With the Take Profit of 1.0996
And the Stop Loss of 1.0906
Buy!
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AUD-NZD Massive Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD has also fallen
Down by a lot last week
And we think that the
Initial panic move is over
So as the pair is oversold
And is about to retest a
Horizontal support of 1.0740
A strong bullish correction
Is to be expected on Monday
Buy!
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DAX Is Oversold! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DAX fell down sharply
But will soon hit a
Horizontal support level
Of 20,230 and after the
Retest we will be expecting
A strong bullish rebound
Buy!
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Understanding the ICT Venom ModelIn this video I break down the ICT Venom Model as recently described by the man himself on his YouTube channel. I am sure he has more details on the model he has not released, but I basically attempt to give my two cents on NQ and the model itself.
I hope you find the video useful in your endeavours regarding learning ICT concepts as well as trading in general.
- R2F Trading
we might continue dropping daily hidden divergence, price might want to continue seeking sell side liquidity
4hr is making a new low and taking out old lows (sell side liquidity) to the left MACD is not converging as of yet
1hr hbrsh-div price is dropping ahead of red news this Friday, could head to 1hr old low or weekly low, waiting to see how price reacts to news
m15 price is below POC of previous NY session POC, as well as overnight Asian and London session converging nicely ahead of news I would favor price reacting short-term from m15 bearish imbalance before reaching the lows around the NY open after news but we will see
AUD_NZD SWING LONG|
✅AUD_NZD is about to retest a key structure level of 1.0750
Which implies a high likelihood of a move up
As some market participants will be taking profit from short positions
While others will find this price level to be good for buying
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bullish correction
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD-CAD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD went down and
Then up sharply on the
Tariff announcements
And the pair is now approaching
A horizontal resistance of 1.4264
From where we will be
Expecting a local bearish correction
Sell!
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NQ! Short Idea (MXMM, Quarterly Theory)Dear Traders,
today I present you once again my current idea on the Nasdaq. We have swept a High Liquidity Area marked as my lower HTF PDA. Because of that we might see a stronger Pullback as shown on my Chart.
However, I will still keep my eyes open and wait for the 9:30 (UTC-4) Manipulation to look for a Market Maker Sell Model which I will only consider a after a Pullback into my Key Areas and Price Action showing interests of a bearish continuation.
(09:30 Manipulation, Liquidity Sweep + SMT Divergence, Break Of Structure, Any PD-Array)
Praise be to God
-T-