Get started

Ict

Week 23 Bullish speed delivery Bias on Nasdaq.Looking for speed to show up next week and expand higher to reach out 22, 672.00 breaching trough the D SIBI after a potential Mon-Tue LOW. I don't really wants to see price gyration around the D +OB on Monday and Tuesday even if pre-CPI. Better it would be to see a opening gap higher and a retrace into the gap to form the Low of the week Mon-Tue and then rally. + We're 2 weeks a head of contract change. Acceleration towards liquidity before the change in contract is usual behavior
CME_MINI:NQM2025Long
by AlessandroGiust
NI225: Next Move Is Up! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 37,698.86 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 37,589.11.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
TVC:NI225Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
Building Liquidity: What It Really Means🔵 Building Liquidity: What it really means Professional traders often need liquidity (buyers and sellers) to enter/exit large positions without moving the market too much. This means manipulating the market within a pre-determined range, which serves as the operating center for everything that follows. 🔹 How is liquidity built Price Ranging: Sideways consolidation before big moves attracts both buyers and sellers. False Breakouts (Stop hunts): Price may briefly break support/resistance to trigger retail stop-losses and fill institutional orders. News Timing: Pro traders often execute during or just before major news when volatility brings liquidity. 🔹 How can you spot a Liquidity-building zone 🔸 Volume Unusual spikes in volume: Often indicate institutional activity. Volume clusters at ranges or breakouts: Suggest accumulation/distribution zones. Volume with price divergence: Price rises but volume falls = possible exhaustion. Volume rises and price consolidates = potential accumulation. 🔸 Price Action Order Blocks / Imbalance zones: Sharp moves followed by consolidations are often pro trader footprints. Break of Structure (BoS): Institutions often reverse trends by breaking previous highs/lows. Liquidity sweeps: Price moves aggressively above resistance or below support then reverses = stop-loss hunting. 🔸 News Reaction Watch pre-news volume spikes. Look for contrarian moves after news — when price moves opposite to expected direction, it often reveals smart money traps. Analyze price stability post-news — slow movement shows absorption by pros. Wick traps and reversals around news events = stop hunting. 🔸 Narrative is Everything Higher timeframe trends show intent. Lower timeframes show execution zones. Look for alignment between timeframes in a specific direction. 🔹 Why do whales move the market in an orderly manner To fill large positions at optimal prices. To create liquidity where there is none. To trap retail on the wrong side of the move. To trap other whales on the wrong side of this move. To rebalance portfolios around economic cycles/news. 🔹 Professionals never forget what they've built When you track price, volume, and news, you’ll find specific bars that form areas that are the foundation for the short-term direction. This is pure VPA/VSA logic, the interplay of Price Analysis ,Volume Analysis and News, where each bar is not just a bar , but a clue in the story that professionals are writing. When you monitor volume, price, and news together and perform multi-timeframe analysis, it becomes clear what the whales are doing, and why. 🔹 From the chart above The market reached a weekly resistance level and then pulled back slightly after whales triggered the stop-losses of breakout traders. Prior to the breakout, whales had accumulated positions by creating a series of liquidity-rich buying zones on the daily timeframe. It's essential to understand the broader context before choosing to participate alongside them—whether you're planning to buy or sell. 🔴 Tips Use volume and price analysis together, not separately. Monitor any unusual volume bars before economic market news. Monitor news and volatility spikes to detect traps and entries. Combine this with liquidity zones (support/resistance clusters). Build a "narrative" per week: What is smart money trying to do? A smart trader understands the tactics whales use, and knows how to navigate around them.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by AlgoFuego
Bitcoin - Reclaim or Reject? Key 4H FVG Levels in FocusAfter an extended move lower, Bitcoin has just swept the major 4H lows and immediately bounced back with strength. This aggressive reaction suggests the sweep was likely a liquidity grab rather than a continuation. Price is now trading back inside a large 4H fair value gap, which could serve as a short-term magnet while market participants reassess direction. Key Price Reaction and Fair Value Gap Context The current rebound into the 4H FVG is notable. This zone holds significance because it's the last inefficiency left unfilled before the final leg down. If buyers manage to push through and close above this imbalance, it would indicate a short-term reclaim and open the door to a bullish liquidity sweep higher. The clean highs just above are marked by the $$ label, which align with a key inducement zone and should attract price if bullish momentum sustains. Upside Scenario – Targeting the Liquidity Sweep If we do see a clean move and close above the fair value gap, I’ll be looking for price to extend toward the highs just above it. These highs are likely to be the next target for liquidity collection, especially if short-term traders begin chasing strength. However, I’m not expecting price to trade beyond that zone. There’s a protected high resting above, and unless a significant fundamental shift occurs, it’s unlikely we break that structure. Downside Risk – Failure to Hold Could Lead to 99K If the market fails to close above the FVG or quickly gets rejected on a wick into it, the bullish scenario becomes invalid. That would confirm the move back up was simply a retracement after the sweep, setting the stage for further downside continuation. In that case, I expect the market to break lower and move toward 99K, which remains my downside target under bearish conditions. Conclusion Bitcoin just swept key 4H lows and is now testing a large imbalance. A close above could trigger a run on the $$ liquidity, but I do not expect price to move beyond that due to the presence of protected highs. On the other hand, failure to break and hold above the FVG opens the door for a deeper flush toward 99K. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
by TehThomas
32
GBP/USD Is This the Last Dip Before 1.37?🔹 1. Price Action & Technical Structure (Weekly & Daily Charts) Price has broken above the ascending channel highlighted on the weekly chart. The 1.3545 area is currently acting as dynamic resistance — a weekly close above it is crucial to confirm a breakout. Below, we find a bullish order block (demand zone) around 1.3340 – 1.3280, aligning with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. RSI is neutral, showing no bearish divergence at the moment. 🔹 2. COT Report (Commitment of Traders) USD Index: Non-commercial traders: +823 new longs, +363 new shorts → Neutral to bullish positioning. Commercials remain net short, indicating short-term USD strength potential. EUR FX (inverse proxy for USD): Significant reduction in speculative long positions → Less bullish pressure on the Euro, favoring USD strength. 🔹 3. Sentiment 67% of retail traders are short GBP/USD vs. 33% long. This is a bullish contrarian signal, suggesting potential continuation toward the 1.36–1.37 zone. 🔹 4. Seasonality Historically, June tends to be bearish for GBP/USD over the past 5–10 years. However, the first 10 days of the month often start with bullish momentum before correcting in the second half. 🔹 5. Economic Calendar Today: Construction PMI (GBP), ECB Press Conference (EUR), Unemployment Claims (USD). Tomorrow: High potential volatility across all USD pairs. Watch out — upcoming macro data may strongly impact breakout confirmation. 🔹 6. Operational Outlook Primary Bias: Neutral/Bullish with potential for a technical pullback. 📍 Key Levels: Resistance: 1.3545 – 1.3593 (Supply zone + 0.0 fib) Support: 1.3340 – 1.3280 (OB + 0.5/0.618 fib) 🧠 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation: Retest of 1.3340 → long targeting 1.3590 / 1.3680 Confirmation on daily close above 1.3550 🔻 Scenario 2 – Bearish Retracement: Rejection below 1.3550 + USD macro strength → drop toward 1.3280 If that breaks → extended move to 1.3170 / 1.3150
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
Corn at the Cliff Edge: Bearish Breakdown or Smart Money Trap?📉 1. Price Action & Technical Context (Weekly Chart – ZC1!) Price is currently sitting around 439'0, after rejecting the 462'2 supply zone (gray block) and confirming rejection from the macro supply area between 472'6–480'0 (red block). The last four weekly candles show a failed recovery attempt (three green candles trapped between two strong red ones), culminating in a bearish breakout below the intermediate demand zone (445'0–442'0). Now, price is back inside the key demand zone between 439'0–433'4, an area with heavy volume and previous significant lows. 🔍 Technical takeaway: Bearish breakout confirmed. Price is testing the last major weekly support before opening the door toward the yearly lows (~420'0). 📊 2. Commitment of Traders (COT Report – May 27, 2025) Non-Commercials (Speculators): Long: 324,377 (▼ -17,952) Short: 344,710 (▼ -9,171) Net Position: -20,333 → Bearish, but the unwinding of both sides suggests profit-taking. Commercials (Institutions): Long: 766,211 (▲ +12,588) Short: 713,647 (▼ -962) Net Position: +52,564 → Increasing → Institutional accumulation. 🔎 Key observation: Commercials are increasing their net longs, while speculators are reducing exposure. This diverges from price action and may signal institutional accumulation under 440. 📉 3. Net Positioning vs Price (COT Chart) The chart shows a clear decline in speculative longs since March, with a new low this week. Meanwhile, commercials are gradually increasing their long exposure, positioning themselves against the current bearish trend. 💡 Combined view: While price keeps dropping, the "smart money" is accumulating → possible bottom forming, though not yet confirmed technically. 🌾 4. Seasonality June Performance: 20-Year Avg: -4.25% 15-Year Avg: +12.31% 5-Year Avg: +1.15% 2-Year Avg: +28.61% 📈 Seasonal Conclusion: The seasonal bias has turned strongly bullish in the last 2–5 years. June–July is often a rally period for Corn following the late-May bottoms — likely tied to U.S. planting season dynamics.
CBOT:ZC1!Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
4
EUR/USD Reversal Imminent? 5 Powerful ReasonsEUR/USD – Tactical Bearish Outlook Ahead of Key Reversal EUR/USD is approaching a critical inflection point where multiple technical and fundamental signals are aligning to suggest a potential short-term reversal. 📉 1. Price Action & Technical Structure (1W / 1D) The pair recently completed a clean bullish structure inside an ascending channel, originating from the 1.0600 demand zone and reaching into the key supply area between 1.1400–1.1550. Recent price behavior indicates: A weekly candle with a strong upper wick, signaling institutional rejection. A visible RSI bearish divergence, showing weakening momentum. The most recent daily candle broke below the channel, suggesting a potential swing high. Implication: A short-term reversal is likely, targeting the 1.1180 zone, with an extended move potentially reaching the 1.1050–1.1000 area. 🧠 2. COT Data – Institutional Positioning USD Index: Non-Commercials increased longs (+823) and slightly increased shorts (+363) — net bias still bullish USD. Commercials also added to longs, further confirming institutional accumulation. → USD strength building. EUR Futures: Non-Commercials reduced longs (-1,716) and added shorts (+6,737). The net long position in EUR continues to weaken. → Increasing risk of EUR retracement. 📅 3. Seasonality – EUR/USD in June EUR/USD tends to be neutral to bearish in June. The 5- and 10-year averages show consistent early-month declines, supporting a short bias in the first two weeks. 📊 4. Retail Sentiment Sentiment is currently evenly split (50/50). However, more volume is positioned long — a potential contrarian signal. → A break in this balance may trigger volatility and directionality. 🧭 5. Macro Context Eurozone is facing stagnation, with falling inflation and weak growth. U.S. data remains stronger, supporting the Fed’s “higher for longer” narrative. → This divergence favors a stronger USD in the near term. ✅ Trading Outlook 📉 Current Bias: Bearish (corrective) 📌 Short-Term Target: 1.1180 📌 Mid-Term Target: 1.1050–1.1000 ❌ Invalidation: Weekly close above 1.1460 🎯 Strategy: Look for intraday rejection confirmations and sell pullbacks, in alignment with HTF structure and institutional flows.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
8
USD/CHF Setup Breaking Down: Don’t Get Caught Long This TrapUSD/CHF is currently trading at a critical technical and macro-structural juncture. Price is hovering within the weekly support area between 0.8050 and 0.8200, a zone that has historically triggered significant bullish reactions. However, the latest weekly candle closed below the psychological 0.8200 level, showing a clear rejection of upper resistance and signaling a lack of buying strength on the U.S. dollar side. This weak closure undermines the bullish structure and opens the door for a potential continuation of the downtrend—especially if price breaks below the 0.8150 mark on the daily or H4 timeframe. From a seasonal standpoint, June has historically been a bearish month for USD/CHF. Monthly average returns over the past 20, 15, 10, and 5 years confirm steady downside pressure on the dollar against the Swiss franc. Only the 2-year average shows a slight positive bias, but it remains an outlier against the broader seasonal trend. This supports the idea that the recent weakness is not only technical but also cyclical in nature. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reinforces this bearish view. On the Swiss franc side, commercial traders (typically the most informed and hedging-oriented participants) are heavily net long, while non-commercial traders (speculators) remain significantly net short. This imbalance is often seen around reversal points and may indicate rising CHF strength. On the U.S. dollar side, positioning is far more balanced—the Dollar Index COT shows a neutral stance, with non-commercials slightly net long but without any dominant momentum. This confirms there’s currently no structural strength behind the dollar to justify a meaningful rebound in USD/CHF. Lastly, retail sentiment provides a classic contrarian signal: over 90% of retail traders are long on USD/CHF, with only 10% short. This extreme imbalance typically occurs ahead of bearish breakdowns, as institutional players tend to fade overcrowded retail positions. In conclusion, USD/CHF remains vulnerable to further downside. The weekly price action is weak, seasonal trends are dollar-negative, COT positioning favors CHF strength, and retail sentiment is extremely long-biased. All factors align toward a likely bearish continuation, with technical targets in the 0.8080–0.8050 range. The only alternative scenario would require a strong H4/H1 bullish reaction with a reclaim of 0.8220—but at this stage, that appears unlikely without a major macro catalyst.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
10
TESLA RECOVERY AHEAD|LONG| ✅TESLA lost more than 25% On the Elon VS Trump fallout In less than a week which is Seen by many as an excellent Opportunity to add TESLA stocks To their portfolios with a great Discount which is why we are Already seeing a nice rebound From the wide strong horizontal Support just above 270$ level And as we are locally bullish Biased we will be expecting Further growth on Monday LONG🚀 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ 

 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProSignalsFx
4