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NZD-CHF Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! NZD-CHF hit a horizontal Resistance of 0.5002 and Its a strong supply area so We will be expecting a local Pullback, which means we Can enter a short trade With the Take Profit of 0.4950 And the Stop Loss of 0.5016 Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
GBP/USD Bulls Are Back? Institutions Are Loading Up1. Price Action & Zone Mapping GBP/USD is consolidating above 1.3300 after a strong bullish reaction near the demand zone between 1.3040 and 1.3150 — an area that has already rejected price twice in recent months. While the market structure still shows lower highs, the weekly candlestick formation signals a clear loss of bearish momentum. On the upside, the 1.3500–1.3600 zone remains the key supply area to break for a structural reversal to be confirmed. 2. COT Report – Institutional Positioning (as of May 6, 2025) Non-Commercials (speculators) added +3,320 long positions and reduced -1,956 shorts, bringing the net long to +7,683 contracts — a strong bullish signal. Commercials remain net short, but not with increasing aggression. 👉 The net positioning supports continued bullish bias, aligned with the recent technical rebound. 3. USD Index – Opposite Positioning Non-Commercials increased both longs and shorts slightly on the US Dollar Index, but net positioning remains neutral with a slight bearish tilt. This suggests a phase of indecision or mild retracement in the dollar, which indirectly supports GBP/USD upside. 4. GBP/USD Seasonality – Historical Behavior in May According to MarketBulls data, May tends to be neutral-to-weak for the pair: 15-year avg: +0.0023 5-year avg: -0.016 2-year avg: +0.0069 Overall, this supports a ranging or corrective phase — not a high-conviction trending month. A breakout may need more confirmation. 5. Retail Sentiment Currently, 60% of retail traders are short GBP/USD, with an average price of 1.2959, while only 40% are long from 1.3337. 👉 This imbalance favors a contrarian bullish narrative, especially if the market decides to run stops below 1.3300. ✅ Operational Outlook GBP/USD is showing bullish consolidation signs, backed by: Increasing institutional long interest Contrarian retail sentiment (potential fuel for rallies) Solid demand near 1.3040–1.3150 However, neutral seasonality and lack of structural breakout advise caution. A pullback towards 1.3200–1.3150 might come before any further upside move toward 1.3500. 🔍 Preferred Play: Wait for a retest of 1.3150 with price action confirmation before entering long. A strong breakout above 1.3350 would be early confirmation of renewed bullish pressure.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
short at mid-point confluence of the NWOG and 4H/1H FVG1. Smart-Money Structure & Displacement Prior Leg: Clean 300-pip drop from 1.1262 → 1.1083 established a clear bearish displacement and lower-high/ lower-low structure on 1H & 4H. CHoCH Confirmation: The bounce off 1.1083 and return up into 1.1200+ shows a Change-of-Character: the initial bearish leg is now being mitigated. A valid “return” leg is in play. 2. Confluence at 1.12250 Confluence Type Level(s) Comment NWOG Mid-Zone ~1.1203 New-Week Open Gap (week of May 11) midpoint is ~1.1203 4H Fair Value Gap 1.1210–1.1230 Unfilled imbalance from the swift drop on May 9 1H Order-Block 1.1220–1.1240 Remnant liquidity block from the retracement high Everything clusters tightly around 1.1220–1.1230, making 1.12250 an excellent tactical entry. Tactical Plan 1. Set Sell Limit at 1.12250. 2. Stop at 1.12450. 3. Partial Target at 1.10830 (prior low) → +1.2 R. 4. Full Target at 1.09596 → +13 R. 5. Monitor for a clean bearish 1H wick off 1.1225 during NY open—enter only on clear rejection. 6. Hold through Powell; let price guide you—moves in your favor are likely sharp and directional.
Short
by S-Atrial
GBP/JPY Breaks Above 196.00! Continuation or Distribution?Detailed Techno-Macro Analysis – GBP/JPY GBP/JPY has just completed a significant weekly structure breakout, pushing through a key supply zone between 195.00 and 196.30 — an area that historically acted as strong resistance. The breakout occurred via a high-volatility daily candle that closed above the zone, indicating strong bullish pressure. 🔍 Structure & Price Action Price action shows higher lows and higher highs: a clearly defined bullish structure. The breakout originated from an accumulation base, following a false bearish breakout below 188.50 (bull trap). RSI is around 70 on the daily timeframe → strong momentum, but signs of potential exhaustion. 🧠 Key Zones Identified Current weekly supply: 195.00 – 196.80 (being tested) Next resistance: 198.70 – 199.50 (swing high and monthly level) Immediate support: 194.00 – 192.80 (ideal area for pullback and long setups) Structural support: 190.50 – 188.80 Invalidation: Daily close below 191.00 → potential reversal signal 📈 Macro & Fundamental Context 🇬🇧 UK Macro Update Wages rising: +5.5% (above expectations) → could support further monetary tightening Claimant count increasing → early weakness in the labor market Mixed data, but wage growth bias favors GBP strength 🇯🇵 JPY Still Weak BoJ remains ultra-accommodative Verbal interventions from Japanese officials haven’t yet had structural impact 🪙 Retail Sentiment 70% of retail traders are short GBP/JPY, with an average price of 190.59 Only 30% are long, with an average price of 194.65 ➡️ Current price (196.30) is above both → retail squeeze in play. Contrarian setup confirmed. 🧾 COT Report GBP (Non-Commercial Speculators): Long: +3,320 contracts Short: -1,956 contracts ➡️ Net long positions increasing → favorable institutional exposure JPY: Mixed positions, with increases in both long and short → institutional neutrality on the yen 📅 Seasonality – GBP/JPY May is historically bearish on both 5Y and 20Y timeframes: 5Y: -2.52% 20Y: -0.43% Only the 2Y pattern shows a positive return ➡️ Negative seasonality vs. bullish technical structure → conflict worth watching 🔍 Execution Summary The bullish breakout is strong and supported by sentiment and institutional positioning, but price is now entering a potential distribution zone, where profit-taking could increase. 👉 Main scenario: technical pullback toward 194.00–192.80 for possible long entries, targeting 198.50–199.50 👉 Alternative scenario: daily close below 191.00 → bias reversal and bearish continuation
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,237.87 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,220.77.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
2
DXY Rebound or Reversal? All Eyes on the Bearish OB Zone! Analysis: As anticipated, DXY has now swept the major weekly/monthly sell-side liquidity (SSL) at 99.58, tapping deep into a high-probability reversal zone. This aggressive liquidity raid was followed by a sharp bullish reaction—marking the first signs of potential re-accumulation or a relief rally. Currently, price is pushing back toward a bearish order block (OB) that aligns with a dense cluster of confluences: A weekly FVG (Fair Value Gap) A monthly FVG that’s been previously respected Major supply resistance from previous highs around 108.40–109.39 This confluence zone is critical. 📍 Two Likely Scenarios: Rejection from OB Zone: If price respects the OB, expect continuation to the downside—possibly targeting a deeper structural shift and breaking below the recent SSL. Breakthrough & Reclaim: If price breaks and closes strongly above the OB zone, it opens the door for a move toward 114.60, the next major daily buy-side liquidity. 🧠 Either outcome offers a significant macro play, especially for risk-sensitive pairs (i.e., AUD, NZD, Gold, or equities inversely correlated to USD strength). Keep in mind, DXY's movement is heavily influenced by macroeconomic events, so dollar strength or weakness can cascade across global markets. Key Levels to Watch: Support: 100.215 / 99.58 Resistance: 108.40 → 109.39 OB zone Upper Target if invalidated: 114.60 ⚠️ DYOR. Let price confirm before bias is committed.
TVC:DXYLong
by INSIDER_INTEL
NAS100USD: Rejection Block & Breaker Converge for Sell SetupMarket Context: In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we note that although the market has been trading within bullish institutional order flow, current price action is presenting multiple signs that a bearish reversal may be underway. Institutional behavior appears to have shifted, particularly after liquidity was swept and price began to respect resistance zones. Key Observations: Premium Buy Stop Sweep: Price action swept the swing high rather than breaking it cleanly, indicating a stop raid. This is a common smart money tactic used to engage with buy stop liquidity in premium pricing before reversing. Rejection Block Formation: A sharp rejection followed the liquidity sweep, leaving behind a Rejection Block—a powerful institutional resistance zone. This suggests the institutions placed sell orders against willing buyers and are defending this level. Market Structure Shift: We observe a break in internal structure to the downside, further confirming that the prior bullish order flow may now be transitioning into a bearish phase. Breaker Block Retest: Price has retraced into a Breaker Block, where institutions typically revisit prior zones of buying to mitigate exposure and initiate new sell positions. This zone is reinforced by alignment with the previous buy stop sweep, providing a high-value confluence area for short opportunities. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Await confirmation within the breaker on the lower timeframes. Once confirmed, these zones offer a strong institutional case for short positioning. Targets: Focus on discount liquidity pools as the primary objective. Selling from premium levels with the intention of targeting undervalued zones mirrors institutional execution models. Stay aligned with smart money behavior—observe, confirm, and act with precision. Happy Trading! The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
USOIL | 4H | SWING TRADING Good morning, dear friends Due to high demand, I’ve prepared a USOIL analysis for you. My target level is set at 63.600. Once my target is reached, I’ll be sharing updates under this post. Dear friends, your likes are always my biggest motivation to keep sharing analyses. That’s why I kindly ask each of my followers to show their support—please don’t hold back on the likes. I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes. It truly means a lot
FX:USOILLong
by TraderTilki
2
NAS100USD: Is this a False Break?Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe sustained bullish volatility, indicating that the institutional order flow remains decisively bullish. As such, our objective is to align with that momentum and seek opportunities to position ourselves accordingly. Current Market Context: Now entering the New York session, we can anticipate continued upward movement. A key technical development is the recent liquidity sweep—price action took out a set of sell stops, creating the appearance of a potential bearish break of structure. However, this movement aligns with a classic “Turtle Soup” scenario, where a false break is engineered to trap liquidity before the market resumes in its dominant direction. Institutional Insight: This sweep suggests that institutions have likely order paired against willing sellers, using their stops as entry liquidity. With that liquidity now absorbed and price rejecting lower levels, we look for bullish confirmations to join the smart money narrative. Trading Focus: We are now monitoring for lower-timeframe confirmation entries to validate bullish setups, ideally supported by institutional arrays or bullish order blocks that hold as support. Let the market reveal the footprints of smart money—our role is to read and respond with discipline. Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
WHAT A LOVELY BULLISSH GAP ON AMAZON: A 4RR PROFIT TRADE CLOSEDI just closed this beautiful 4RR trade on Amazon. The trade was entered last week, this new week market open Gap pushed the price high to my 4RR target. Trade Idea; The monthly is extremely bullish. The weekly is also bullish. Daily is bullish as well, so i entered on the daily time frame pull back swing low. Result? A beautiful 4RR profits trade. Next Action? I will wait till the daily frame correct and form a swing low before entering for a bullish trend continuation buy.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by Elijahenoch7