NZDJPY Potential LongPrice has the potential for the upside upon the retest of the daily OB which is in line with the ICT OTE. Wait for lower timeframe bullish price action to confirm the move.
Ictconcepts
EURGBP LongDoing the top down analysis, we can see EURGBP not to be in a strong buy or sell trend.Although we can see the price movingtowards the weekly FVG on 4h time frame. We will wait for the price to enter our 4h FVG and take a buy entry from there.
We can also drop down to 15 minute time frame (when the price reaches the 4h FVG), and look for a buy side FVG for more confirmation.
EURNZD Long TradeMARKET PHASE
OANDA:EURNZD is in a long term uptrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour).
AREA OF VALUE
There was a buildup of liquidity (sell stops, shorts, long order stop losses) below the corrective structure swing lows. Price violently moved down to trigger the sell stops (liquidity) to pair against the buy orders needed to take price up. Price has now started it’s initial move up but due to the velocity of the upward move, it's gapped orders around 1.79741. Price has now retraced back to this level to meet the demand as we expected. We've just entered our long position with the following criteria, expecting price to continue its longer term uptrend...
TRADE
OANDA:EURNZD long position opened with the following parameters:
Buy Limit: 1.79741
Stop Loss: 1.79514
Take Profit: 1.80195
Possible Long For USDZARPrice has potential to move higher upon the retest of the hourly bullish orderblock which is inline with the ICT OTE. Wait for lower timeframe bullish price action to confirm the move.
GBPUSD - Long trade after CPI data ICT Concepts x Quarterly Theory
Top of the morning! Beautiful trade on the GBPUSD yesterday.
I blended ICT Concepts and Quarterly theory.
I will be posting more updates on this approach as time goes on.
Higher time frame narrative:
Monthly timeframe:
-The current monthly candle has bullishly engulfed the two previous bearish monthly candles.
-Price is currently trading above a monthly balanced price range that lines up with a previously violated monthly order block.
-A monthly FVG exists above current price, it is clear that institutional order flow is bullish.
Weekly timeframe:
-Weekly bullish FVG + Order block above the 50% level of a previously respected weekly order block. This offers us an area of high probability support. Our lower time frame entry point can be found in this area...
Daily timeframe:
-Daily bullish order block offers support and is in line with the weekly bullish FVG and order block.
-Bullish dragonfly doji candle printed the previous day, giving further confirmation that there is a lot of interest at our point of interest.
-Classic buyday template, price dropped lower from it's midnight open price to accumulate before expanding to the upside(Power of 3).
Quarterly theory:
Weekly profile observed: AMDX, bullish power of 3- Accumulation on Monday, manipulation on Tuesday, anticipated distribution on Wednesday.
Daily profile observed: Bullish PO3
Session profile observed(NY AM session): AMDX, bullish PO3
Monthly cycle: Quarter 3 - Third week of the month
Weekly cycle: Quarter 3 - Wednesday
Daily cycle: Quarter 3 - New York morning session
Trade entry:
Limit order, Quarter 3 of daily cycle
Entry model for this particular trade? Hourly FVG + Order block at optimal trade entry level (OTE, 0,62 - 0,79 level)
GBPUSDPrice struggled a strong break of Asia range high - Targeting sell side liquidity - Expecting a move down to 30min fvg
USDCHF: View on daily timeframe, we are neutral. FX:USDCHF last few month price has been bearish all along as CHF remain strongest in the situations where war and other economical conflicts affects in global financial market. We are still not sure about future trend of this pair, as strong bullish price action yet to be seen.
However, the big amount of volume was accumulated at lower low of thursday which suggest a possible correction can occur. We would advice you to use smaller timeframe to have a better and safer bias.
Good Luck and Trade Safe
#GBPJPY: Yesterday's idea 200+ pips up| Here is second entry | OANDA:GBPJPY yesterday's idea did the exact same thing as had expected right now the pair is up 200+ PIPS, we are anticipating a small correction in the price, where we think price will bounce back strongly. Wait for price to approach our level and then enter a buy entry accordingly. Remember to use proper risk management and take this idea as bias only. If you do not agree then do not take.
Good luck and trade safe.
CADJPY: Possible 300 PIPS Selling Opportunity! Dear Traders,
There is a good possibility that we can expect short term selling opportunity on CADJPY; saw some bullish exhaustion and price dropped created change of character. Though the price has risen up sharply to previous high, we still expect price to reject from the area around previous high. With 60 pips stop loss the setup idea look reasonable to take risk with 350 pips in take profit. Good Luck and Trade Safe.
Mastering High Probability Trading EnvironmentsIn this educational video, we'll delve into High Probability Trading Environments and introduce a simple yet effective concept to confirm their presence . Understanding these environments will empower you to confidently navigate the market with consistency and success.
For a comprehensive understanding, I recommend watching my previous video on Understanding Trend Analysis, SMT, and ICT Concepts below.
If you have any questions, feel free to leave them in the comments section.
Happy trading!
The_Architect
GBPUSD: Exploring a High Reward Sell OpportunityCurrently, the Institutional Order Flow on GBPUSD remains bearish , indicating a continued pursuit of premium trading points such as the H1 Bearish Order Block . Smart Money is likely to engage in selling at these levels to capitalize on price movement towards discount prices.
My anticipation revolves around the mitigation of the H1 Bearish Order Block, representing Smart Money's final institutional buying within the market . Upon confirmation, I'll seek an entry to target the Daily Bullish Order Block, serving as my Draw On Liquidity. Additionally, there's a H1 Liquidity Void that I expect the market to fill before considering any selling actions.
I remain adaptive to market dynamics and will adjust my approach accordingly.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
EURCHF LongPrice seems to be in a healthy up trend. We can expect the price to take a retracement. It is possible, that the price will form another fair value gap in 4h time frame. We will wait for the formation of the new FVG and then take the entry from that FVG.
The other senerio is, that the price taps in the last FVG (As shown in the chart), but the probability is very low for that.
Analysis of XECUSDT - Buying Opportunity in the Demand ZoneIn the trading world, patience is often the secret to success. After a three-week wait, a buying opportunity seems to be emerging for XECUSDT, in a demand zone or a block order, with a current price of 0.00004571. This opportunity offers an attractive risk-reward ratio of 1:8.
Entry Points and Targets:
Entry Point: 0.00004571
Stop Loss: 0.00003854 (conditional on a 4-hour candle close)
Profit Targets:
TP1: 0.00006851 (consideration zone)
TP2: 0.00008658
TP3: 0.00010740
Technical Analysis:
The decision to enter a long position is based on several technical factors, including the formation of a demand zone or block order at 0.00004571. The stop loss is placed at 0.00003854 to limit losses in case of adverse movement. Profit targets are established based on potential resistance levels, with particular attention to the consideration zone around 0.00006851.
Risk Management:
Effectively managing risk is crucial in any trading strategy. The 1:8 risk-reward ratio offers significant profit potential compared to the risk incurred. However, it is essential to remain disciplined and closely monitor market conditions, adjusting stop loss and profit levels if necessary.
In conclusion, the analysis suggests a promising buying opportunity for XECUSDT, with attractive profit potential compared to risk. However, trading decisions should always be made cautiously and based on thorough market analysis.
Expecting More Downside in EURUSD Hi,
The daily TF is suggesting a shortterm bearish trend. So my trade is as follows:-
Action:- Sell
Price:- 1.08585
Stoploss:- 1.08686
TakeProfit:- 1.08125
Just sharing my personal trade in EurUsd and this is not an investment advise
Dollar CPI Alert: Potential Buyside Draw for DXY🚨 High Impact News Alert! 🚨
News Release: Core CPI
Time: 08:30 NY Time
Attention traders! Core CPI news is slated for release at 08:30 NY Time . 🕣 Brace yourselves, as this news is known to inject significant volatility into the market.
My analysis indicates a potential upward movement for DXY. The aim is to address inefficiencies lingering from last week's downward trend, which specifically targeted the Daily Sell Stops and mitigated the Daily Order Block.
Adopting the perspective of Smart Money, we have the understanding that Smart Money used the Buy Stops for Order Pairing . Capitalizing on market inefficiencies such as Volume Imbalances and Liquidity Void will be the objective.
Our target is the Daily Bearish Order Block, marking a return to Fair Value (Liquidation Zone). This strategic approach positions us to anticipate directional moves in USD-based pairs, potentially signaling a Bearish Idea, I will be looking at a Bearish Idea on GBPUSD.
Stay tuned for a detailed video analysis and further updates as we navigate these dynamic market conditions. 📈💼
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Nasdaq Cash: Trading Plan For The Coming WeeksHere is my "Nasdaq Cash" trading idea for the weeks ahead.
As it is clear, Nasdaq has moved a huge amount and may continue this trend hence forth.
In H4 time frame there is an strong level of liquidity( at price 17320.59 ) after hunting the mitigation of decision level and touching the FVG , and doing so, the extreme flip in the positive range is remained untouched.
I Presume that the price will try to reach out the level of liquidity and touch the mentioned extreme flip in order to go higher. For doing so we may have a negative Break of Structure(BOS) at H4 time frame which I assume might be a temporary BOS to reach out the liquidity level.
Keep in mind that if the price reaches the extreme flip, we will need an H4 Reverse pattern( H4 Positive Mainpulation ) to occur in order to jump in Buy Position since the structure of H4 time frame may have been changed in that time.
BTCUSD BUYLIMITMarket has swept previous day low so we are looking for buys. As you can see we have displacement and imbalance, BUYLIMIT has been set at the FVG you can do 50% of the FVG target is 1:2 RRR, stoploss is below the first candle that caused the imbalance.
EURUSD Long AnalysisAnticipating long EURUSD from weekly FVG. Hey traders, here is the analysis for the EURUSD. If you guys like my analysis please hit like👍 and follow. Thanks. DISCLAIMER:- This is not financial advice.
Euro's Performance Over the Next 30 Days Using the power of mathematics, market dynamics, and this market's character...I've concluded that this will result in a 2% crash
As per basic economics, it's a given that price based on supply and demand dynamics gravitates to the point of equilibrium where both forces of supply and demand are in balance. When it comes to international markets, the price gravitates to that point of equilibrium after each full swing before facilitating a continuation. So our first criterion that this correction is done is crossed out
Based on my own experience, the initial or main move often creates fair value gaps also known as FVG on its path, while corrective moves lack the presence of FVG, as FVG shows that Massive amounts of liquidity have been engaged in that particular candle, which furthermore gives us insight on the institutional directional bias price is moving according to
From a mathematical perspective, the golden ratio of Fibonacci never failed to impress me once...It perfectly gives you the maximum swing expansion either in a corrective or impulsive phase...in addition, this can be observed on other major pairs such as GBPUSD & US30 ...I'll let history speak for itself
The path toward 1.06906 is smooth due to it lacking the existence of FVGs which can make the road turbulent on the way down
Talking based on macro-econ, whilst seeing capital markets hitting ATHs, signs of weakness have been observed, and a correction might be inevitable. Feds are highly likely to be hawkish next week, and potentially going through the whole month
Thank you.
GBPUSD: Constructing a Potential Sell ScenarioYesterday, GBPUSD witnessed a resurgence in its Bearish Institutional Order Flow, signaling an objective to reach the Daily Order Block , identified as my Draw On Liquidity for the day.
Currently, I foresee a retracement back towards a premium m15 inducement order block. Notably, there are Buy Stops positioned below it, potentially utilized by Smart Money to pair their shorts. Additionally, I anticipate the market to fill the Liquidity Void present.
I plan to enter a confirmation within the Order Block. Stay tuned for an educational video analysis.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Understanding Trend Analysis, SMT and ICT ConceptsIn this video, I'll delve into the concept of Institutional Market Structure, a vital tool for trend analysis. Specifically, we'll explore the Smart Money Tool/Technique (SMT), which provides insights into whether a market will continue its trend or potentially reverse. Understanding these concepts is crucial for effective trading strategies. Sit back, relax, and enjoy the video!
Please do leave any questions in the comment section if you have any.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Bearish Dollar? Anticipating bearish dollar from the weekly iFVG. Hey traders, here is the analysis for the DXY. If you guys like my analysis please hit like👍 and follow. Thanks. DISCLAIMER:- This is not financial advice.
GBPUSD: Exploring a Possible Sell OpportunityAt present, prices are at extreme premium levels, with a notable reaction from a premium m15 Order Block , in mitigating the Order Block we also filled the Liquidity Void left by yesterdays CPI News Release . A market structure shift (MSS) has occurred, suggesting a potential reversal as we aim to target the H4 Sell Stops, our Draw On Liquidity.
Additionally, there's a possibility of capitalizing on the m15 Buy Stops , particularly as it aligns with the Asian High . Should the H1 Breaker Block fail, I will consider selling against the m15 Buy Stops upon confirmation.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
