EURUSD: Bearish Institutional Order Flow Ahead!Greetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment, EURUSD is exhibiting multiple signs confirming a bearish institutional order flow.
Key Observations:
Divergence with DXY: Yesterday’s price action formed a divergence with the DXY (Dollar Index). Utilizing the Smart Money Tool (SMT), we recognize that such a divergence—where EURUSD and DXY, which usually move symmetrically, exhibit non-symmetrical movement—signals an anticipated reversal in price action. This divergence resulted in the price continuing downward after the buy stops were taken, indicating a bearish draw.
H1 Bearish Order Block: The primary point of interest is the H1 bearish order block. The presence of inefficiencies (liquidity voids and fair value gaps) below it signifies that it is a strong order block likely to be respected by the price.
Secondary Consideration: If the H1 bearish order block does not hold, the next point of interest is the H1 buy stops. If these buy stops are taken, I will look for a confirmation entry to the downside.
Trading Strategy:
Focus on Bearish Order Flow: Given the evidence of bearish institutional order flow, I am targeting the H1 bearish order block as the primary entry point for short positions.
Contingency Plan: Should the H1 bearish order block fail to hold, I will wait for the H1 buy stops to be taken before considering a confirmation entry towards the downside.
Target Levels:
Draw on Liquidity: The targets are displayed on the chart, with a specific focus on the engineered trendline liquidity. Sell stops are resting below these lows, making them a prime objective.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current bearish institutional order flow and leveraging key support and resistance levels, we can effectively anticipate and execute trades on EURUSD. The divergence observed with DXY and the strong H1 bearish order block support a bearish outlook, guiding our strategy towards taking advantage of short opportunities in the market.
For a detailed explanation on how to use the Smart Money Tool (SMT), please follow this link to one of my lectures:
Understanding Trend Analysis, SMT and ICT Concepts
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
Ictorderblock
GBPUSD: Short-Term Bullish Prospects and Key LevelsGreetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment, I am observing a bullish draw towards the upside on GBPUSD, particularly evident on the smaller timeframes. The institutional order flow is currently bullish, supported by the presence of bullish fair value gaps.
Key Observations:
Bullish Fair Value Gaps: Price is being consistently supported by bullish fair value gaps. These gaps are aligned with bullish order blocks, indicating new funds being invested at these points to sustain bullish momentum.
Liquidity Target: The market typically seeks areas with substantial liquidity. Presently, there is engineered trendline liquidity at the premium prices, which I am targeting as a potential area for price to draw towards.
Previous Week's High: Another significant target is last week's previous high, known to hold large bodies of liquidity.
Trading Strategy:
Focus on Bullish Order Flow: With the evidence of bullish institutional order flow, I am looking to enter long positions, taking advantage of the support provided by the fair value gaps and bullish order blocks.
Upside Targets: The primary targets are the engineered trendline liquidity and the previous week's high. These targets align with the current bullish momentum and offer significant profit potential.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current bullish institutional order flow and identifying key liquidity targets, we can effectively plan and execute trades on GBPUSD. The confluence of fair value gaps and bullish order blocks provides a robust support zone, guiding our strategy towards profitable buying opportunities.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
GBPUSD: Continuation of Momentary Bullish Order-Flow!Greetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment, GBPUSD is showing bullish momentum, particularly on the smaller timeframes. This is due to the inefficiency (liquidity void) present before the H4 bearish order block. The market strives for efficiency, and thus returns to fill these inefficiencies over time. I anticipate a continuation towards the H4 bearish order block.
Key Observations:
Confluence Factors: The H4 mitigation block is aligned with the H1 bullish order block, creating a strong institutional support zone. This alignment supports a risked entry towards the upside.
Risked & Confirmation Entry Strategy: I will take a risked entry on the H1 order block, However if the price takes out the H1 sell stops, I will consider a confirmation entry towards the upside.
Target Levels:
Engineered Trendline Liquidity: The price has created trendline liquidity, which we expect the market to absorb.
H4 Bearish Order Block: The main target is the H4 bearish order block, a strong draw due to the liquidity void present before it.
Trading Strategy:
Institutional Support Zone: Entering at the institutional support zone provided by the H4 mitigation block and H1 bullish order block alignment offers a strategic buying opportunity.
Upside Targets: The primary targets are the engineered trendline liquidity and the H4 bearish order block. These targets are in line with the bullish draw on liquidity.
Conclusion:
By understanding the momentary bullish institutional order flow and leveraging key support and resistance levels, we can anticipate and execute trades on GBPUSD effectively. The confluence of the H4 mitigation block and H1 bullish order block provides a robust support zone, guiding our strategy towards profitable buying opportunities.
For a comprehensive understanding of why I have been looking for a bullish draw this week on GBPUSD, please follow this link to a detailed post.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
US100USD: Promising Buy-Side Potential!Greetings, Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
Currently, on US100USD, I am observing bullish momentum entering the market. After retracing into discount prices, the price began pushing upwards, engulfing bearish candles and indicating a change in state of delivery, which means a bullish order block formation. The price then retested this order block, found support, and another bullish order block was formed, which is currently being tested. The mean threshold (middle line of the order block) has been rejected multiple times, suggesting that the order block may strongly hold as support, allowing the price to continue rising.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Bullish Momentum📈: The market is showing signs of a bullish order block formation after retracing into discount prices and pushing upwards.
Order Block Support🟢: The mean threshold of the current order block is being rejected multiple times, indicating strong support.
Bullish Targets📉:
Failure Swings: These possess buy-side liquidity.
Liquidity Void: The main objective is to fill this inefficiency.
Balanced Price Range: Located above the liquidity void, it is the last point where the price was efficiently delivered.
What's Important Now❗
Monitor the price action around these key levels to confirm bullish continuation and identify profitable trading opportunities.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
NAS100USD: Potential Buy Opportunity for NY SessionGreetings, Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
Currently, institutional order flow on US100 is bullish, therefore we are looking for price to take sell stops in order for a turtle soup trade condition (false break).
Things I Have Seen👀:
Bullish Institutional Order Flow📈: Anticipating price to continue to the upside after sell stops have been taken. Smart money will look to order pair (buy against the sell-side liquidity).
Potential Sell Stops🔄: Price may take sell stops before buying, presenting a turtle soup condition (false break of structure). After sell stops have been taken, I will look to take a confirmation entry.
Bullish Targets📉:
Daily FVG: The primary target.
M15 Bearish Order Block: The secondary objective, with an expectation to fill the liquidity void there.
What's Important Now❗
Stay observant for price action around these key levels to confirm bullish continuation.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
MARKET STRUCTURE USING SMART MONEY CONCEPT (ICT)The market structure, when viewed through the lens of the smart money concept, refers to the way financial markets operate and how price movements are influenced by institutional investors, or "smart money." These entities, such as banks, hedge funds, and large financial institutions, have significant capital and access to superior information, allowing them to impact market prices and trends. The smart money concept suggests that these institutions leave discernible footprints on price charts, which can be identified through patterns like accumulation and distribution, liquidity hunts, and manipulation of key support and resistance levels. Traders who understand and recognize these patterns can potentially align their strategies with the smart money, improving their chances of making profitable trades by following the sophisticated moves of these influential market participants.
XAUUSD (GOLD) ANALYSIS BUY - ICT CONCEPT Here on gold price has been going down trend with it respect break of structure (BOS) and final was able to break the downtrend zone forming a Change of character (CHOCH) after then it continue to make new uptrend break of structure (BOS) and form an order block later retrace at same order block which mean is like to move up very big and this point going for LONG is needed and targeting profits should be around level of 2,409.842
MARKET STRUCT USING ICT CONCEPTThe Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concept in trading, developed by Michael J. Huddleston, offers a comprehensive approach to understanding and navigating market structure. ICT emphasizes the importance of market structure, which refers to the organization and arrangement of various market components, such as support and resistance levels, trends, and price patterns. This approach involves identifying key levels where institutional investors might be placing orders, understanding liquidity pools, and recognizing the behavior of smart money. By focusing on these elements, traders can better predict market movements, identify high-probability trade setups, and manage risks effectively. The ICT methodology combines technical analysis with a deep understanding of market dynamics to provide traders with a robust framework for making informed trading decisions.
US30 Bullish Outlook: Key Targets and Order Flow InsightsGreetings, Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
At the moment, I am expecting a bullish switch in institutional order flow for US30, which will push the price upwards. The price originates from a daily bullish order block, and I am looking for this to support the price, leading to a bullish draw upon confirmation.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Bullish Support Zone📈: The price is currently supported by a daily bullish order block, indicating a potential upward movement. Price may also look to respect the rejection block and use that as a support to continue the bullish narrative.
Engineered Liquidity🔄: Along the way, my anticipation is to absorb all the engineered trendline liquidity that has been presented.
Bullish Targets📉:
H1 Bearish Order Block: The primary target for this bullish move.
What's Important Now❗
To confirm the anticipated bullish draw, we need to observe the price action and look for supportive signals at the daily bullish order block. Stay tuned for real-time developments and further insights.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Confluence cityWe can take a long position using appropriate risk management once the SSL has been taken. We are in a long term OTE as well. We are also in a monthly bullish order block. With SSL lows taken it will put us in a daily order block as well. I would not take a long position without confirmations on LTF to mitigate excessive risk.
May 28, US30: Essential Insights for the Week Ahead!Greetings, Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
Join me in this video as we analyze what to anticipate this week on US30. We will explore various ICT concepts, including draw on liquidity, fair valuation, order blocks (how to choose high probability order blocks), and engineering liquidity (where smart money uses retail patterns such as trendlines, support, and resistance to trap traders into making investments).
Things We Will Cover👀:
ICT Concepts🧠:
Draw on Liquidity💧: Understanding how liquidity is targeted and manipulated.
Fair Valuation📊: Assessing the true value of price levels.
Order Blocks📦: Identifying high-probability order blocks.
Engineering Liquidity🔄 : Analyzing how smart money uses retail patterns to manipulate market movements.
Trading Opportunities📉📈:
Potential Price Movements: Providing a comprehensive outlook on possible market shifts.
Strategies for the Week: Uncovering strategies that could make this week profitable.
What's Important Now❗
To understand my current outlook, check out yesterday's analysis:
For insights into High Probability Trading Environments (low resistance against high resistance liquidity runs), watch this video:
Stay tuned and happy trading!
The_Architect
US30 Alert: Key Sell Opportunity and Potential Bullish Surge!Greetings Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
Today, I am focusing on trading the US30, with an interest in taking a selling opportunity to reach the H4 bullish order block.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Liquidity Engineering🔄: Currently, price is engineering liquidity right above the H4 bullish order block using a retail pattern (support zone).
Confirmation Buy Zone🟢: Once the price reaches the H4 bullish order block, I will look to buy against the sell stops (stop losses) upon confirmation.
Bullish Targets📈:
-1st Objective (H1 Buy Stops): Anticipating price having to reach into the H1 buy stops, which is high probable.
-2nd Objective (Daily FVG): Anticipating a minor bullish run to reach and potentially fill the DAILY timeframe Fair Value Gap (FVG).
What's Important Now❗
Time is crucial. I only trade indices during the New York session morning and afternoon due to the favorable volatility. Stay observant for real-time developments.
Stay tuned for a video analysis on the US30.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
Order Block ICT (Inner Circle Trader) for Beginners
Order block trading is a method championed by the Inner Circle Trader (ICT), a well-known figure in the forex trading community. ICT's approach to order blocks is grounded in understanding market mechanics and the behavior of institutional traders. For beginners, grasping this concept can provide a powerful edge in trading by revealing areas of potential price reversals and continuations.
### What is an Order Block in ICT?
An order block, according to ICT, is a price range where significant buy or sell orders from institutional traders have been placed. These blocks represent zones of high interest for major market participants and can serve as indicators of future price movements. Recognizing these zones can help traders anticipate where the market is likely to react.
### Key Characteristics of ICT Order Blocks
1. **Institutional Footprints**: Order blocks indicate the presence of large financial institutions in the market. They reveal where these entities have placed their orders, suggesting potential areas of strong support or resistance.
2. **Price Consolidation and Expansion**: Order blocks are often found in areas where the price has consolidated before a significant move. This consolidation is followed by an expansion, which confirms the presence of large orders.
3. **Market Structure**: Order blocks are integral to understanding market structure. They often align with swing highs and lows, forming critical points in price action analysis.
### Steps to Identify ICT Order Blocks
1. **Identify Swing Points**: Begin by marking significant swing highs and lows on the chart. These are potential areas where order blocks may form.
2. **Spot Consolidation Zones**: Look for areas where the price moves sideways, indicating accumulation of orders by institutional players.
3. **Observe Breakouts**: After consolidation, identify strong bullish or bearish candles that break out of the range, signaling the presence of an order block.
4. **Mark the Order Block**: Draw the order block by marking the high and low of the consolidation area, extending this zone into the future to identify potential trade setups.
### Trading with ICT Order Blocks
1. **Entry Points**: Wait for the price to return to the order block. Look for confirmation signals such as reversal patterns or volume spikes to time your entry.
2. **Stop Loss**: Place your stop loss just outside the order block to minimize risk in case of false breakouts.
3. **Take Profit**: Set your take profit levels based on nearby support or resistance levels, or use a predetermined risk-reward ratio.
### Benefits of ICT Order Block Trading
- **Alignment with Institutional Activity**: By focusing on order blocks, traders can align their strategies with the actions of large market participants, potentially increasing the accuracy of their trades.
- **Defined Risk Management**: Order blocks provide clear areas for placing stop losses and take profits, enhancing risk management.
- **Enhanced Market Insight**: Understanding order blocks helps traders gain deeper insights into market dynamics and price behavior.
### Challenges for Beginners
- **Learning Curve**: Identifying and correctly interpreting order blocks requires practice and experience. Beginners may find it challenging to accurately spot and draw these zones.
- **Market Variability**: The effectiveness of order blocks can vary with different market conditions. Knowing when and how to apply them is crucial for success.
### Tips for Beginners
1. **Practice on a Demo Account**: Start by practicing on a demo account to build confidence and refine your skills without risking real money.
2. **Use Multiple Timeframes**: Analyze order blocks on higher timeframes for a broader market perspective and on lower timeframes for precise entry and exit points.
3. **Combine with Other Tools**: Enhance your analysis by using order blocks alongside other technical tools like trend lines, moving averages, and indicators to confirm trade setups.
Order block trading, as taught by the Inner Circle Trader (ICT), offers a structured approach to understanding and navigating the forex market. By learning to identify and trade order blocks, beginners can improve their ability to anticipate market movements and make more informed trading decisions. With practice and careful analysis, ICT order block trading can become a valuable part of a trader's strategy.
EURGBP BEARISH CHANGE IN STATE OF PRICE DELIVERY Confluences that indicate that EURGBP will be bearish till the rest of the week
1. the wk fvg has been mitigated
2. break of structure with the Change in the state of price delivery
3. retest on the Mean threshold of the Bearish order-block
4. 0.702 fib retracement level coincides with the mean threshold
5. liquidity pool below the market structure
6. an old swing point as a definite target
GBPUSD: False Break Prompts Bullish MomentumCurrently, GBPUSD has exhibited a false break of structure, commonly known as Turtle Soup, suggesting a potential bullish draw towards the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) . Price has retested an m15 bullish order block, indicating a possible bullish continuation.
Alternatively, price may reach the H1 Order block, where a confirmation entry can be sought for a buy opportunity.
Please note that I will be closing my trade at 12 PM NY Time as I cease trading for the day.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
XAUUSD: $2400 Done Now, Next $2500?Last three ideas helped us gathered around 2800+ pips in total. Now we are expecting another big move and this can be the last bull run before it drop for major correction. We are expecting price to drop around $2365-70 region where we can see strong rebound. Our first take profit will be at $2420 and then $2496.
Let's get this done probably by end next week. We can have a clear view on Gold. Good Luck and Trade Safe.
GBPUSD: Bearish Momentum Persists, Targeting Daily Sell StopsCurrently, GBPUSD demonstrates a persistent inclination towards the sell side, targeting the Daily sell stops . Having interacted with an m15 order block, a liquidity void has been filled. Now, a potential retest of the order block is underway, with price currently trading within a rejection block. This setup may serve as confirmation for further selling activity.
Alternatively, if this scenario fails to materialize, selling against the m15 Buy Stops becomes a viable strategy, awaiting confirmation for entry.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBPUSD: Anticipating a Bullish Draw On Liquidity (m15)At present, the GBPUSD has triggered discount sell stops on the m15 timeframe and reached the m15 bullish order block. I anticipate a bullish pull towards the m15 buy stops and a movement towards the h1 bearish order block to fill the current liquidity void.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect