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AUDUSD: Market analysis strategy on I chart todayThe Australian Dollar (AUD) tries to end a losing streak on Friday. The AUD/USD pair is facing bearish pressure, even as the US Dollar (USD) lacks clear direction and China's Caixin Services PMI improved in December. Market Sentiment Weakness and widespread commodity price declines have both played a role in the Australian Dollar's weakness. Australia's Judo Bank's latest Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data shows a decline in business activity across both the services and manufacturing sectors, further highlighting vulnerabilities of the Australian Dollar. The Services PMI specifically showed the fastest contraction in the services sector since the third quarter of 2021. However, Matthew De Pasquale, Economist at Judo Bank, suggested that a slowdown in the economy Australia has not yet gained momentum. The US Dollar Index (DXY) holds a steady trend, showing a slight tilt towards positive sentiment and potential profits. However, a pullback of recent advances in United States (US) Treasury yields could put some pressure on the Greenback. Furthermore, upbeat jobs data released on Thursday could strengthen support for the US Dollar.
Long
by NicoTradingMaster
2
EURUSD: EURUSD strategy todayThe EUR/USD pair remains on the defensive during the early Asian trading session on Thursday. The backdrop of a stronger greenback and higher US Treasury yields exerted some selling pressure on the major pair. At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0922, up 0.01% on the day. On Wednesday, Germany's unemployment rate remained steady at 5.9%, according to estimates. Unemployment change shows the number of unemployed increased by 5k compared to the market consensus of 20k and at 21k previously. Investors are awaiting Friday's Eurozone inflation report for fresh impetus. The annual Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) in December is forecast to rebound to 3.0% from 2.4%.
Long
by NicoTradingMaster
NZDUSD | COULD BE A GOO SELLHey Traders! Check this out – NZDUSD is shaping up to be a pretty exciting play. We've just seen a break below the 1-hour moving averages, and we're now under a key pivot level on the lower timeframes, which hints at some solid bearish momentum. Also, the 4-hour candlestick is sporting a long upper shadow, suggesting that the sellers might be settling in for the long haul. Plus, hedge funds seem to be leaning towards a continued bearish push, as they're starting to sell off NZD a bit. ✅📊
Short
by FX-TradingLions
USDJPY: Analysis of the usdjpy market today, January 4The au Jibun Bank Japan Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction territory for the seventh straight month and fell to 47.9 in December – the lowest level since February. Predictions of a reversal in the policy divergence between the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2024 will continue to support the JPY. Minutes from the December 12-13 FOMC meeting reflect consensus that inflation is under control and concern about the risks that overly restrictive policy could pose to the economy.
Short
by NicoTradingMaster
AUDUSD: My audusd prediction trend todayThe Australian dollar (AUD) faces challenges as it struggles to stem a losing streak on Thursday. The AUD/USD pair is under downward pressure due to risk-taking sentiment and the general bearish session of the commodity complex. Weaker Judo Bank Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data added further pressure on the Australian Dollar (AUD). According to the latest Judo Banking Services PMI, Australia's Services sector contracted in December. The index reported a reading of 47.1, missing market expectations that it would remain flat. 47.6. Additionally, the composite PMI dropped to 46.9 from the previous figure of 47.4. This marks the fastest pace of Services contraction since the third quarter of 2021.
Short
by NicoTradingMaster
USDJPY | COULBE A GOOD SELL?Hey Traders! Got a bit of a challenging one for us today. The market's been on a steep downtrend, but recently, it showed signs of upward movement after the release of somewhat positive PMI news for the dollar. Despite these dynamics, I'm sensing a potential drop of 60-100 pips. The currency is hovering around a monthly pivot line, and the 200-day moving average is looming over the daily timeframe. These factors alone make a compelling case for entry. It's a tough trade, no doubt, but too intriguing to skip. My take? Go for it, but consider trading with a smaller lot size. Remember, this is a pullback trade, so we're not fully in sync with the trend 📈✅
Short
by FX-TradingLions
XAUUSD trading plan on January 3, 2024. The market waits for theThe S&P U.S. Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for December fell below investor expectations on Tuesday, sliding to a four-month low of 47.9 vs. The forecast level is stable at 48.2 from November. Market appetite is distorted by erroneous data and investors are starting to temper expectations for interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed), with average expectations of The market is pricing in about 150 basis points of interest rate cuts through the end of the year. This is in stark contrast to the dot chart of Fed interest rate expectations, which currently shows a maximum rate cut of 75 basis points through 2024. Market sentiment will be buoyant this week as the first 2024 US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) print is expected on Friday. December's NFP is expected to show a slight decline in US job additions from 199K to 168K. NFP watchers will have to weather the mid-week crunch, with ISM Manufacturing and the latest Fed Minutes released on Wednesday, followed by ADP Employment Change and Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday in the week ending December 29.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicoTradingMaster
It is expected that GBPUSD will decrease graduallyThe pair even broke the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hours). The next major support lies at 1.2610 or the 200 simple moving average (green, 4-hours). A downside break below the 1.2600 zone could trigger an extended decline. The next major support is 1.2520, below which the pair could decline and test the 1.2450 level. Any further losses could push the pair towards the 1.2300 zone. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the 1.2680 level. The next key resistance is near the 1.2720 level. A close above the 1.2720 zone could open up more upside opportunities. The next stop for the bulls could be 1.2800.
Short
by NicoTradingMaster
EURUSD Could fall to 1.0950-1.0900 and then rise againThe Dollar Index is rising as expected and could test the 102.50 level while the Euro could fall to 1.0950-1.09. EURJPY looks bearish towards 155/154 while USDJPY has rebounded and could test the 143 level now, contrary to our expectations of a fall to 140-138. USDCNY is rising towards our mentioned target of 7.15/16. The Australian Dollar is heading towards 0.6750/0.67 while the Pound is near the immediate support of 1.26, which needs to produce a bounce or could be vulnerable to a drop to 1.24. USDRUB increased sharply yesterday but appears to be falling from the current 91 level. USDINR rose slightly above our expected resistance at 83.30 but then turned back down. The 83.35-83.20 range could hold well during the day. EURINR has risen above 91 and could soon test 91.50 before pausing. US and German Treasury yields are seeing upward revisions in line with our expectations. Both output may increase further from here in the coming days. The 10-year GoI could rise to test its resistance before turning back down to resume the downtrend. On the other hand, the 5-year GoI is stuck in a tight range within its broader downtrend.
Long
by NicoTradingMaster
Technical analysis shows that GOLD is likely to declineGold prices did not fluctuate much last Friday, basically oscillating around 2065, with an amplitude of $16, and finally closed with a Doji Star with long upper and lower shadows. It was a continuous trend from last Thursday. Recently, with the lack of crucial data and speeches, gold prices' volatility has fallen. The Red Sea situation continued to heat up last Saturday, and with the influence of geopolitics, gold prices could be supported. However, with optimistic rate-cut expectations to be adjusted, the overall gold price lacks direction, so it will mainly fluctuate! Looking at the technical chart, the current gold price is still under pressure in the resistance area of 2075-2080, which also indicates that gold prices do not have the momentum to break through that range in the short term. Judging from the 1-hour chart, the MACD golden cross began to widen, so a rebound can be seen at the hourly level. Investors need to watch for resistance near the MA60 around 2073. However, the MACD death cross in the 4-hour chart began to widen. It is estimated that gold has limited room for a rebound during the day. At the same time, the bearish divergence in the daily chart is prominent,so we do not recommend medium-term bullish investors buy gold now. Today, aggressive traders can still buy low and sell high in the range of 2055-2073.
TVC:GOLDShort
by carefulLion07pab
GBP/USD tends to increase when it meets supportThe GBPUSD has been forming an upward structure with higher highs after breaking above a key downtrend line in early November. Although the GBPUSD's uptrend came to a temporary halt at the four-month high level of 1.2826, the completion of the golden cross between the 50- and 200-day SMAs is expected to provide upside momentum. However, during the European session on Tuesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the day as the USD rose sharply and formed a death cross downward structure in the 4H timeframe, potentially creating more uncertainty for the GBPUSD in the near term. Now, we believe that as long as Wave 4 of the "upward impulse waves" structure has not been broken, the end of the "upward impulse waves" is still worth looking forward to. Given that the short-term oscillators are continuing to provide cautiously positive signals, the bulls may try to eliminate the latest weakness and overcome the December resistance at the 1.2794 level. A break above this resistance could open the door to a four-month peak at 1.2826. If it fails to stay here, the GBPUSD could move towards the June high of 1.2847 until it reaches the 1.2900 level. On the other hand, if the GBPUSD reverses lower, several previous support levels at 1.2642 and 1.2612 could now become the initial line of defense. A break below that bottom could see the price fall to recent support at 1.2611, or even lower, with upward Wave 4 1.2500 likely to provide a correction. Overall, risks remain cautiously tilted to the upside in the near term, even though the GBPUSD rally appears to be losing its momentum. To change this situation, the price cannot go below a series of key supports or the uptrend will be reversed. It is recommended to buy the dips.
Long
by carefulLion07pab
1
EUR/USD is trending downAs all investors anticipate for the upcoming Non Farm Payroll on Friday, the Dollar gains its strength on the 2nd day of 2024. Trading at 102.10, the US Dollar experienced a significant increase, indicating a noteworthy uptrend in the index. This upward shift can be attributed to market anticipation for guidance and investors turning to the USD as a safe haven in anticipation of key labor market reports scheduled for release later this week. The economic calendar will be packed with news releases starting on Wednesday, at 23:00 (GMT +8), we have the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec) and U.S. JOLTS Job Openings (SA) (Nov). Besides that, there will be a short FOMC Meeting coming up, it is something to look forward to as the Fed has been mentioning that rate cuts is around the corner, we could hear some dovish or hawkish comments coming up that would determine the Dollar direction for this week. EUR/USD was trending up aggressively until it got rejected by a strong resistance level at price 1.11392. It has also broken out of the short term uptrend support zone which indicates EUR/USD could be in a short term downtrend which is why I am interested in looking for shorts for short term. Besides that, one of the reason I am looking for shorts is we have a huge imbalance to be filled . The imbalance will be my take profit target for the shorts.
Short
by carefulLion07pab
Technical analysis shows that XAUUSD is likely to declineGold prices did not fluctuate much last Friday, basically oscillating around 2065, with an amplitude of $16, and finally closed with a Doji Star with long upper and lower shadows. It was a continuous trend from last Thursday. Recently, with the lack of crucial data and speeches, gold prices' volatility has fallen. The Red Sea situation continued to heat up last Saturday, and with the influence of geopolitics, gold prices could be supported. However, with optimistic rate-cut expectations to be adjusted, the overall gold price lacks direction, so it will mainly fluctuate! Looking at the technical chart, the current gold price is still under pressure in the resistance area of 2075-2080, which also indicates that gold prices do not have the momentum to break through that range in the short term. Judging from the 1-hour chart, the MACD golden cross began to widen, so a rebound can be seen at the hourly level. Investors need to watch for resistance near the MA60 around 2073. However, the MACD death cross in the 4-hour chart began to widen. It is estimated that gold has limited room for a rebound during the day. At the same time, the bearish divergence in the daily chart is prominent,so we do not recommend medium-term bullish investors buy gold now. Today, aggressive traders can still buy low and sell high in the range of 2055-2073.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by carefulLion07pab
NZDCHF | COULD BE A GOOD SELL Hey Traders! Here's an exciting update: We're looking at a promising bearish opportunity, with a target of at least 5283, and potentially even more. The market trend seems firmly bearish, and we've got an engulfing candlestick pattern confirming our entry point. The recent daily rebound off the 50-day moving average indicates that sellers are still active. Plus, the higher timeframe shows a broken neckline in a double-top pattern, hinting at a likely continuation. ✅📈 Manage your risk accordingly:)
Short
by FX-TradingLions
GOLD The upcoming release of the FOMC's minutes from its DecembeThe dollar rose modestly in today's Asian session, boosted by mild risk-on sentiment. Mixed data emerging from China's manufacturing PMI cast a shadow over market sentiment, contributing to a dismal start in Hong Kong's stock market. The HSI index is grappling with the fallout of its fourth consecutive year of losses as a prolonged period of underperformance continues. Conversely, the Japanese Yen is depreciating significantly while Japan is on holiday. A strong earthquake in central Japan on New Year's Day added uncertainty to the economic outlook. Investors are closely monitoring the situation, assessing the potential consequences of this natural disaster. In Europe, both the Swiss Franc and the Euro have seen the British Pound, meanwhile, show a mixed performance. Meanwhile, Aussie and Loonie are in a more secure position.
TVC:GOLDShort
by NicoTradingMaster
XAUUSD: Gold price strategy todayGold prices (XAU/USD) have extended their correction but consolidation is likely due to light trading activity. More broadly, precious metals could continue on a positive trajectory as bets in favor of an early Federal Reserve rate cut are firming as labor market conditions ease. and a clear downward trend in core inflation. This reduces the opportunity cost of holding the yellow metal and weakens the US Dollar, on which the metal is priced. Gold prices are expected to end 2023 with an outstanding gain of more than 13.50%. Deepening expectations of the Fed starting to cut interest rates from March 2024 will also continue to attract optimism in Gold prices going into 2024. Further action for Gold prices will be guided by the Index. US ISM Manufacturing and Nonfarm Employment PMI numbers for November.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicoTradingMaster
EURUSD Expected to go sideways todayThe euro's dance with the US dollar last Thursday painted a curious picture - a spirited attempt to soar, only to stumble in the face of market fatigue, as if gravity suddenly remembered its role in the financial theater. This fatigue is not a solo act; it has accomplices. The Euro's recent appreciation has exceeded its limits, like a rubber band being stretched too far. And the timing? Well, this is not only a festive season but also a season of financial scarcity. Liquidity tends to play hide and seek during this time of year, leaving the market feeling a bit dry. The market's recent trajectory has been like a rocket's flight - a surge that now appears to be paused in mid-air. This vacation isn't just about relaxing; It was a sigh of relief that echoed throughout the boardroom and trading floor. Oh, the holiday season! Nestled amidst the echoes of Christmas and the countdown to the New Year, this is the time when market dynamics take on a different tune. Famous traders, like children eagerly waiting for the last fireworks to go off before the show's finale, choose to sit this one out. There was a unanimous decision to stay trading for a while, thanks to the ongoing holiday mood.
by NicoTradingMaster
GBPUSD Trending strategies todayThe GBP/USD pair posted modest losses in early Asian trading on Tuesday. The modest recovery in the US Dollar (USD) brings some support to the major pair. At the time of writing, GBP/USD is trading near 1.2725, down 0.04% on the day. After the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) final meeting of the year in December, Fed officials kept interest rates steady for the third straight month and signaled a series of rate cuts in 2024. when inflation falls faster than estimated. Traders are betting on sharp interest rate cuts, starting in March. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in an 88% decline in March. Data released on Friday showed the US Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) came in at 46.9 in December from 55.8 in November, weaker than estimates of 51.0. Market participants will get more cues from the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday. This number is predicted to increase by 163K in December compared to 199K previously.
Long
by NicoTradingMaster
Today's EURUSD strategy will decrease again, what do you think On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started fresh gains above the 1.0930 zone. The Euro broke above the 1.0985 resistance area against the US Dollar. The pair even settled above the 1.1020 resistance and the 50 hourly simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1040 resistance level. A high was formed near 1.1044 and the pair is currently consolidating gains. If there is a downside correction, the pair could test the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0929 swing low to 1.1044 high at 1.1020. There is also a key uptrend line forming with support near 1.1020 and the 50 hourly simple moving average.
Short
by NicoTradingMaster
XAUUSD is likely to fall when it encounters resistanceThere were moderate movements during yesterday's Asian session and gold fluctuated slightly up from $2067. During the US trading session, gold quickly increased in price along with the depreciation of the USD and surpassed the resistance zone, once reaching 2084 USD. Finally, gold closed the daily chart on a positive note to post its fifth consecutive gain, showing a clear bullish trend. This is how trends work. Once it is formed, it will not change anytime soon and you will be taking a big risk if you act against the trend. However, it will depend on your trading cycle. For day trading, both bears and bulls have opportunities, and price and timing will be important. Currently, gold has hit previous resistance at $2070-$2075, which should become significant support for today's trade. If gold fails to fall below that range, it will reach new highs or even reach $2,100. In the 1H chart, a golden cross is expanding and it is away from the overbought zone, indicating more upside space. However, the MACD shows major pullback risks in the 4H and daily charts, and bearish divergence appears to be increasing. Therefore, investors who maintain an optimistic view in the medium term should not follow the current uptrend. Today, the trading range will be from $2070 to $2047, with aggressive investors advised to buy low and sell high.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by carefulLion07pab
GBPUSD is trending upSupported by positive market sentiment, GBPUSD rose above 1.2800 on Thursday and settled at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.2740 (from July 14 high of 1.3142). to an October 4 low of 1.2037). The rising 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) is placed at 1.2670, projecting continued upside support for the British pound. The relative strength index (RSI) has risen above 60. The sustained work on these technologies will trigger strengthening, the target gem completing the "upward impulse waves" at 1.3000. On the downside, activity below minor support at 1.2698 could cause trading sentiment to return to neutral. However, if free support at 1.2499 is maintained to prevent a downturn, further recovery phases remain beneficial. From a broader perspective, the action starting from the midpoint at 1.3141 is seen as a corrective pattern from the upside at 1.0351. Move up from 1.2036 is considered the second in progress (of this pattern). The upside is expected to be limited at 1.3141 to form the third component. At the same time, support functioning beyond 1.2499 would indicate the start of the third part of the uptrend. In terms of trading, buying at low prices is the recommended strategy.
Long
by carefulLion07pab
EURUSD is likely to increase when it bottoms againEUR/USD just hit a high, breaking through the 1.1020 and 1.1101 hurdles to reach 1.1121—a five-month high and up 0.72%. But it's the holiday season and the low trading climate can make things unpredictable. It's likely we will see a temporary spike in rates and then a drop below 1.10 as things return to normal. If you're thinking of selling, keep a close eye on any signs of change. Our next challenge? Resistance level 1.125—notice how the market behaves around that level. Once things stabilize and normal trading begins, we will get a clearer picture. We may be correcting back to the broken resistance level and we may have an opportunity to buy EURUSD at a discount targeting the resistance zone.
Long
by carefulLion07pab
Gold is likely to fall when it encounters resistanceThere were moderate movements during yesterday's Asian session and gold fluctuated slightly up from $2067. During the US trading session, gold quickly increased in price along with the depreciation of the USD and surpassed the resistance zone, once reaching 2084 USD. Finally, gold closed the daily chart on a positive note to post its fifth consecutive gain, showing a clear bullish trend. This is how trends work. Once it is formed, it will not change anytime soon and you will be taking a big risk if you act against the trend. However, it will depend on your trading cycle. For day trading, both bears and bulls have opportunities, and price and timing will be important. Currently, gold has hit previous resistance at $2070-$2075, which should become significant support for today's trade. If gold fails to fall below that range, it will reach new highs or even reach $2,100. In the 1H chart, a golden cross is expanding and it is away from the overbought zone, indicating more upside space. However, the MACD shows major pullback risks in the 4H and daily charts, and bearish divergence appears to be increasing. Therefore, investors who maintain an optimistic view in the medium term should not follow the current uptrend. Today, the trading range will be from $2070 to $2047, with aggressive investors advised to buy low and sell high.
TVC:GOLDShort
by carefulLion07pab