IDEA
DXY USD - LONG - Flag + Supply&DemandThe USD now dominates the market with huge weighting and the analysis of the future movement is essential, for all other tradable currencies and asset classes.
I provide the idea, with the consideration of rules of the "SUPPLY&DEMAND" theory, which focuses on the market influence of banks.
CURRENT STATUS:
- the DXY is in a flag, which is normally a "Bullishes pattern".
- the existing macroeconomic circumstance suggests a trend continuation.
From a daily perspective, we have broken out of an upward channel, which has not been tested at this point.
- in order for the DXY to continue its rally, it would be healthy to test the channel for confirmation beforehand.
IDEA VIEW:
- we are in the 15 min chart, which means we are looking at the market from a magnifying glass point of view. - the bullish flag could break out as in the theory and would thus allow a LONG position.
- the idea refers to an early position entry to take the whole movement with less risk (fake out)
All RETAIL market participants assume a trend continuation, but also hope for a correction. A crossroads which provides a large amount of liquidity for the large speculators / banks.
STOP LEVEL:
- Should the SL level (stop loss) set by me be broken, we can expect a correction after confirmation. (Should it not be a fake-out).
- Drawn in the chart to follow up.
TAKE PROFIT:
- there are large "SUPPLY" zones on the time levels T / W / M, which should bring about a reaction against.
> 117-120
- moreover, we have relevant 1.618 FIBO targets
> 114,864
> 115,437
- POIs are at
> 117,019
> 117,936
Should you disagree, feel free to let me know - I am still in the learning process.
Thank you and happy trading!
DXY USD - SHORT - Flag + Supply&DemandThe USD now dominates the market with huge weighting and the analysis of the future movement is essential, for all other tradable currencies and asset classes.
I provide the idea, with the consideration of rules of the "SUPPLY&DEMAND" theory, which focuses on the market influence of banks.
CURRENT STATUS:
- the DXY is in a flag, which is normally a "Bullish pattern".
- the existing macroeconomic circumstance suggests a trend continuation.
From a daily perspective, we have broken out of an upward channel, which has not been tested at this point.
- in order for the DXY to continue its rally, it would be healthy to test the channel for confirmation beforehand.
If this does not happen, the trend will continue and allow a LONG position. - for this, please consider the "LONG scenario" of mine.
IDEA VIEW:
- we are in the 15 min chart, with which we look at the market from the view of a magnifying glass. - the bullish flag could break out in the opposite direction and would thus allow a SHORT position.
- the idea refers to an early position entry to take the whole movement with less risk (fake out)
All RETAIL market participants assume a trend continuation, which provides a large amount of liquidity for the large speculators / banks.
- in my opinion, it would be quite lucrative to take this liquidity before a further trend continuation (= SHORT / correction)
STOP LEVEL:
- should the SL level (stop loss) set by me be broken, we can expect a trend continuation after a confirmation. (Should it not be a fake-out).
- Drawn in the chart to follow.
TAKE PROFIT:
- there are large "DEMAND" zones at the 0.88 FIBO (111.50 - 111.00) on the time levels 1-4h, which should bring about a counter reaction.
- drawn in the chart to follow.
Should you disagree, feel free to let me know - I am still in the learning process.
Thank you and a successful trading!
Translated with www.DeepL.com (free version)
2022-10-W41: USDHUF: Prepare To DropHi friends and fans of Fibonacci
As the price comes to Fib level (1.618, 445.309), it will retrace to some degree, so we could prepare to short. In the past, price retraced at D1 (0.786, 342.943) and D2 (1, 369.273).
Stop Loss: 450.100
Entry D3: 445.309
Target E1: 411.589
Target E2: 387.306
Target E3: 367.680
Target E4: 348.054
Remark : We will update the time when price hits targets in the Comment .
EURCAD - Possible LongThe euro is dead. But the CAD could be on its way out if there is a global recession and the demand for oil drops heavily.
This idea is more technical in that, I would expect shorts to be trapped and for their stop losses to be places above some swing highs.
My target would be the double top
EURUSD EMBARKING ON A BULLISH ASSIGNMENT TO PREMIUM PRICE. Last week we saw price took out the sellside liquidity in the old lows below, before Friday last week we saw price distribute slightly lower, were now currently at deep discount on EU and were going to start seeing smart money push the price up.
as I we know, smart money buy at discount and they sell at premium.
we already have an institutional backing on the bullish move, we have an order block which is the sign of the banks or smart money placing their orders to get prepared for the bullish moves.
I'm expecting price to take out the series of buyside liquidity above the old highs marked out above, seeing it return to a fair value at premium before we start expecting the reversal in the direction if the order flow.
EU is going to be bullish for this week, going long will be more profitable than short positions.
STEFANFX.......
DJIA1! SHORTS 1HI'd like to say to everyone reading this hello! I like to draw symmetrical lines and uncover hidden meanings in their relationships. This is a chart of lines I have drawn. Sometimes I like to illustrate my drawings with icons. Historiclese ensures the historical accuracy of each drawing. I hope it speaks to you too!
HAVE YOU TICKED THE BOXES!?!? PLAN/RISK/EXECUTEIts simple.. fail to plan, plan to fail, just a few things that a plan includes are entry and exit rules, any rules that you can add to control your behaviour behind the chart, set times to trade, your strategy and the list goes on depending on the trader... a risk management strategy also ties into your plan, for me risk is the game changer in becoming a consistent trader. In your risk strategy you should have what your comfortable losing each trade, where to place stops, lot sizes, your leverage amounts to stick to your total risk each trade.. a strategy in place will ease the mind and give you a lot more control when in positions. Of course you need reasons for entering the trade.. how many confluences do you have? time frames? does it fit my trading strategy? is this my decision not based solely off someone else opinion... there a many questions to ask yourself without getting to confused... the market as I've always said is a hard way to make easy money, most will fail but the ones that want to learn and put the time and work in can succeed. Anyway hope everyone smashes it this week!!
BREAK AND RETEST OF THE TRENDLINEThe simple beginner-old way of trading. A basic break and retest of a downward trendline.
BTC - BITCOIN LONG TERM VIEW!Without going into to much detail I've got 2 areas that I like the support from... major area of 12000 which was the high of 2019s bull run and the area we are currently struggling to break through at 20k which was the high in 2018. I like the idea of short term positions from 20k but I do believe we may make one last push down before bringing the bulls back in control. Many outside things affecting the price at the moment but been a crypto currency we have huge potential for long term plays. This is just my view so make sure you do your own analysis and research.
Gold Setup Idea: Pre New York (Oct 6, 2022)Here is my analysis during Pre-NY. I will likely wait for either a bullish break out to retest the highs; or, a bearish reversal where price breaks down, and if it retests the support as resistance, and continues bearish, that would be a sell in my eyes. Remember to follow your trading plan today and stick to it!
US30 - How I See ThemHello guys, its been a while since last time i make a posting regarding my analysis, so here 1 of the trade idea i saw...
Gold Setup Idea: Pre New York (Oct 5, 2022)Analyzing price action from the past 2 Sessions, Asia and London, I see bears stepping in. The Bulls are hitting daily resistance and may need to breathe. Asia and Pre-London both retested the high formed, both Monday + Tuesday were very bullish days, so I am not going to be surprised if we see a Bearish NY session today, or possibly some consolidation. But what I am looking for is price to break the 1H Support, and then form a LTF resistance; once the resistance low is broken I will enter my short trade assuming the range is still 50+ pips.
USDJPY BEWARE OF THE MANIPULATION!! UPDATELooking for shorts but still holding off for now, price struggling around the resistance but also giving no real direction. Ill be waiting for a better move and if you are taking shorts now I would be keeping stops nice and tight! Never forget the overall directions!!