Xauusd price is likely to be $3,000World gold prices increased in the context of the USD index falling. Recorded at 9:20 a.m. on October 21, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 103,749 points (down 0.08%).
Over the past year, gold bars - a commodity considered a hedge against political and economic instability - have increased more than 31%, breaking many records. The US Federal Reserve's (FED) interest rate cuts combined with safe haven demand have created a perfect storm for gold.
According to senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures, developments ahead of the US election and geopolitical developments in the Middle East are supporting precious metals.
President of Phoenix Futures and Options - forecasts that interest rates will decrease and gold is ready to conquer new milestones. He believes that gold prices will reach $3,000/ounce in the first quarter of next year.
In the coming time, gold prices will still be affected by the FED's interest rate management. According to CME's FedWatch tool, US inflation has been contained, the market is expecting a 92.2% chance that the FED will cut 25 basis points and a 7.8% chance of keeping current interest rates unchanged. meeting on November 7.
💎 XAUUSD sell 2734 - 2738💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2720
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2744
Ideasdetrading
Gold prices increased about 2.4% during the weekGold costs surpassed $2,seven-hundred an oz for the primary time as worries approximately escalating warfare withinside the Middle East and a traumatic US election race precipitated traders to hurry to safety.
Bullion rose as a lot as 1% to $2,720.17 an oz, surpassing an all-time excessive set withinside the preceding session. The bullish sentiment unfold to the wider treasured metals complex, with silver growing as a lot as 5.5% to its maximum considering 2012. BlackRock Inc.`s iShares Silver Trust, the most important exchange-traded product monitoring The metal, has visible a massive growth in name alternatives as traders guess on better costs.
The marketplace specializes in an increasing number of traumatic geopolitical traits after Israel introduced it had killed Hamas chief Yahya Sinwar, the person in the back of the Palestinian group's assault on southern Israel, inflicting a extended war. 12 months lengthy in Gaza.
💎 XAUUSD Buy limit 2715 - 2713💎
✔️TP1: 2731
✔️TP2: 2651
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2705
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎XAUUSD Sell limit 2751 - 2749💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2620
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2758
Xauusd Technical Analysis | October 21, 2024Gold fees hold the bullish motion and print new document highs that's expected. The fee will hold the bullish motion and investors will await a bearish correction. Whenever the fee begins offevolved a bearish correction, investors should wait close to the guide degree to feature greater lengthy positions. As lengthy because the fee maintains printing new better highs and better lows, the fashion will hold bullish.
Today’s critical levels to watch:
Support: $2,685, $2,600
Resistance: $2,750, $2,800, $2,841
💎 XAUUSD Buy limit 2714 - 2712💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2650
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2705
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎XAUUSD Sell limit 2750 - 2748💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2620
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2758
Gold (XAU) Technical AnalysisGold Daily Chart – Breakout from Descending Broadening Wedge
The gold marketplace has damaged out of the descending broadening wedge sample at the each day chart. The charge keeps bullish momentum inside the ascending broadening wedge sample, with a goal variety of $2800-$3000.
Gold 4-Hour Chart – Price Target of $2,745
On the 4-hour chart, the charge is breaking above the midline of the ascending channel. This charge power suggests the short-time period goal of $2,745, measured from the ascending channel resistance line. The RSI tactics the overbought region. Therefore, expenses would possibly consolidate earlier than the following rally.
💎 TVC:GOLD sell 2710 - 2712💎
✔️TP1: 2690
✔️TP2: 2680
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2720
💎 TVC:GOLD buy 2690 - 2692💎
✔️TP1: 2710
✔️TP2: 2720
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2683
World gold prices reached record levelsWorld gold prices hit record levels as uncertainties surrounding the US presidential election and geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East sent investors looking for safe haven assets. Along with that, the loose monetary policy environment continues to keep gold prices at high levels.
Gold has seen gains of more than 30% this year, surpassing record levels, boosted by expectations the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further after a 0.5% cut. % points interest rates last month and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties.
USD-Index - a measure of the strength of the greenback with a basket of major currencies - currently reaches 103.7 points, down 0.05% compared to before.
💎 TVC:GOLD sell 2710 - 2712💎
✔️TP1: 2690
✔️TP2: 2680
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2720
💎 TVC:GOLD buy 2690 - 2692💎
✔️TP1: 2710
✔️TP2: 2720
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2683
Gold and Dollar both increased dramaticallyGoldman`s Chloe Garber instructed customers nowadays that Polymarket is priced at 60/forty, there's ~1.5% upside to 65/35 odds, and 4% disadvantage to 50/50 odds.
"I suppose there's a opportunity this pair should visit the July highs earlier than the election, however it might require a few horrible polls for Kamala Harris, while a variety of paintings has been done.
Clients are making a bet this route due to the fact a 60/forty marketplace going to a hundred delta continues to be an engaging proposition while a coin turn is simply hard."
Importantly, she introduced that this nearby Trump fashion hasn't been pushed through income revisions...revisions were barely terrible because the quit of July, so if 3Q incomes season matters, those shares should get affected.
Small Caps underperformed nowadays (for a change), however all of the majors ended properly off their highs of the day. The S&P ended unchanged and Nasdaq marginally better as The Dow hit any other document last high....
💎 XAUUSD sell 2710 - 2712💎
✔️TP1: 2690
✔️TP2: 2680
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2720
Gold price surges and sets new ATHThe European Central Bank (ECB) reduce hobby quotes extensively via way of means of 25 foundation points, in keeping with economists` expectancies.
The ECB stated falling inflationary pressures are developing situations to loosen economic coverage: "Inflation statistics suggests that the deflation technique is at the proper track."
similarly ECB easing withinside the first 1/2 of of 2025. "It basically stays that the ECB will supply a similarly 25-factor reduce at its December meeting, accompanied via way of means of comparable cuts in early 2025 till whilst deposit quotes reached a impartial stage of round 2% withinside the summer.
Gold charges are receiving robust help from secure haven call for and issues approximately escalating geopolitical tensions. In addition, expectancies that americaA Federal Reserve (FED) will hold to loosen economic coverage after reducing hobby quotes via way of means of 1/2 of a percentage closing month are increasing.
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD sell 2710 - 2712💎
✔️TP1: 2690
✔️TP2: 2680
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2720
World gold prices increased despite the high USD index.World gold fees improved regardless of the excessive USD index. Recorded at 8:30 a.m. on October 16, americaA Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the dollar with 6 principal currencies changed into at 103,half points.
Gold rose amid falling US Treasury yields, even as buyers carefully awaited greater statistics for sparkling clues approximately americaA Federal Reserve`s (FED) economic easing cycle. ).
From the start of 2024 till now, gold fees have improved approximately 28% and outperformed US shares and bonds. Experts say that important banks' sturdy purchases of gold have contributed to the above increase. They appearance to this valuable metallic to defend country wide property in opposition to geopolitical and financial instability.
According to Mr. Terrence Keeley - former senior supervisor of economic institution BlackRock and presently CEO of marketplace studies employer Impact Evaluation Lab, on common 15% of forex reserves of important banks is in valuable metals consistent with marketplace valuation.
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD sell 2669 - 2671💎
✔️TP1: 2650
✔️TP2: 2645
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2678
Gold prices are testing resistance levels.Ames Stanley - senior marketplace strategist at the Forex market stated that traders took income after US financial reviews together with CPI and USD elevated sharply. The promoting circulate of traders won't be over yet. Gold costs are trying out resistance levels.
Economic occasions this week that effect gold costs encompass US retail income statistics and the European Central Bank`s economic coverage choice on Thursday.
The marketplace is likewise inquisitive about the Empire State production survey, weekly unemployment claims, housing begins offevolved and US constructing permits.
Besides, buyers and traders are listening to the Chinese marketplace. The u . s . a . plans to announce an financial stimulus package deal from authorities bonds, really well worth 283 billion USD.
🔥 XAUUSD buy 2632 - 2630 🔥
✔️TP1: 2642
✔️TP2: 2655
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2622
🔥 XAUUSD sel 2652 - 2654 🔥
✔️TP1: 2642
✔️TP2: 2632
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2662
Economic data more supportive of 25 basis point cutThe market is still waiting for data to be more certain about the next move of the US Federal Reserve (FED). Analyst Giovanni Staunovo of UBS said that since the payroll data was released last week, the market has been discussing whether the world's leading economy is in a soft landing scenario. Staunovo added that the upcoming inflation data will partly answer that question.
This morning, gold prices continued to decline after the FED released the minutes of the September 17-18 meeting, in which it noted that the pace of future cuts will not be determined by the initial cut (the FED just cut interest rates by 0.5% last month).
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said she wanted smaller cuts in the near term, due to the remaining inflation risks and significant uncertainties about the economic outlook.
According to the World Gold Council (WGC), central banks around the world have slowed their gold purchases in 2024 compared to 2023, but still maintained higher purchases than before 2022. This is partly due to the People's Bank of China stopping gold purchases since May until now...
💎 XAUUSD Buy limit 2606 - 2608💎
✔️TP1: 2615
✔️TP2: 2625
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2597
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎XAUUSD Sell limit 2632 - 2634💎
✔️TP1: 2624
✔️TP2: 2614
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2642
World gold price continued to decreaseWorld gold fee endured to decrease, right all the way down to 2,609 USD/ounce, thirteen USD decrease than yesterday. This is the sixth consecutive decrease, bringing gold costs to the bottom withinside the beyond month. The predominant thing inflicting gold to move down is stated to be the upward thrust of the USD as traders now no longer count on a good deal that the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) will considerably lessen hobby quotes on the November meeting.
The Fed has simply launched the mins of its September 17-18 meeting, which stated that the tempo of destiny discounts will now no longer be decided through the preliminary reduction (the Fed simply decreased hobby quotes through 0.5% closing month). . Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan stated she needs smaller cuts ahead, given lingering inflation dangers and substantial uncertainties approximately the financial outlook.
💎 TVC:GOLD Buy limit 2604 - 2607💎
✔️TP1: 2617
✔️TP2: 2627
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2595
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎 TVC:GOLD Sell limit 2637 - 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2627
✔️TP2: 2617
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2653
Fears of rising disputes reduce confidence in goldOn the opposite hand, there may be a danger of inflation, the Boston Fed president stated
Boston Fed President Susan Collins stated Tuesday that the U.S. economic system is at danger now no longer simplest from the chronic race however additionally from a recession.
Collins stated there may be nonetheless a risk the hard work marketplace might be robust whilst the taper is complete, however "it`s all at danger."
"There's plenty to preserve song of. I suppose humility is continually essential and we have got discovered that there may be surprises alongside the way," Collins stated.
On the only hand, the Federal Reserve's push to elevate hobby prices to lessen emissions has made the economic system "extra liable to negative shocks," in keeping with Collins.
"My self belief in displaying development has increased - however so has the danger of the economic system slowing once more to the diploma had to repair charge stability," she stated.
💎 XAUUSD buy 2617- 2615💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2635
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2609
💎 XAUUSD sell 2637- 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2615
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2643
Is now a good time to buy gold stocks?Over the beyond six months, gold charges have risen, attaining new report highs nearly each month. However, the yellow metal`s rate has encountered a few resistance for the reason that hitting US$2,670 on October 1, sending it right all the way down to as little as US$2,639.
Hemke defined in an October three interview that this may be the end result of the marketplace checking out resistance at $2,650.
In September, gold charges hit a brand new report excessive above $2,six hundred after the U.S. Federal Reserve reduce its benchmark hobby price for the primary time for the reason that begin of the 2022 bull run.
“Gold charges bottomed at US$1,895 in mid-February and had been replied for the reason that then — gold charges have expanded 25 percentage in that period,” he advised INN in an interview recorded early September .
"It's now no longer that the gold producers, the large groups and the intermediaries, have not reacted. The large gold groups, now no longer counting the trouble groups, are up forty five to ninety percentage from the lowest gold rate." in February, and intermediaries expanded from 50 percentage to 132 percentage"
💎 XAUUSD Buy 2630 - 2627💎
✔️TP1: 2647
✔️TP2: 2657
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2619
💎XAUUSD Sell 2653 - 2655💎
✔️TP1: 2640
✔️TP2: 2637
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2663
World gold prices did not change much when the USD index strengtAdvisors are also monitoring the Institute of Applied Management (ISM) service numbers and initial unemployment claims expected to be announced later in the day, along with data on the situation. Wages in the US non-agricultural sector are expected to be announced on October 4.
In a recent interview with Kitco, Chris Mancini - Associate Portfolio Manager of the Gabelli Gold Fund (GOLDX), shared his optimistic view on gold. He noted that even if gold prices stabilize around $2,650 an ounce, gold miners will still make solid profits.
Although the FOMO (fear of missing out) mentality in the mining sector is not really optimal, Mancini said he hopes this mentality will change as the new year approaches.
XAU/USD technical analysis: Gold price creeps lower Gold rate is upwardly biased in spite of dropping a few steam as investors ee-e book profits, expecting the following section of the conflict. Momentum stays bullish as depicted via way of means of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) however is exiting from overbought conditions, sparking the retracement.
If XAU/USD drops below $2,650, this will open the door to check the September 30 every day low of $2,624, observed via way of means of the September 18 top at $2,600. A breach of the latter will reveal the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,513.
On similarly strength, if it clears the all time excessive of $2,685, it can amplify its profits to $2,700.
💎 TVC:GOLD BUY 2645 - 2642💎
✔️TP1: 2660
✔️TP2: 2670
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2635
Gold price slumps on Wednesday amid heightened tensions between Gold retreated on Wednesday in the course of the North American consultation and dropped 0.50% each day as investors eyed Israel`s response to Iran`s assault on Tuesday. Geopolitics stays the driving force for investors, which lifted Gold fees after posting returned-to-returned bearish classes when you consider that final Friday. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD trades at $2,648 after hitting a excessive of $2,663.
The marketplace temper stays downbeat, as portrayed via way of means of US equities buying and selling withinside the red. According to exceptional newswires, traits withinside the Middle East endorse an escalation is likely. This shows that Bullion fees may want to enlarge their profits withinside the quick term.
Israel's envoy to the United Nations commented that Iran will face effects for its missile assault on Tuesday. At the equal time, US Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell brought that it is “now no longer simply Israel this is considering reaction alternatives to Iran assault, US is too.”
In addition, personal hiring withinside the United States (US) improved above estimates in September, in line with ADP National Employment Change data. Meanwhile, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin stated the 50-basis-point (bps) fee reduce in September mentioned that quotes were “out of sync.”
Barkin brought that a few factors of the financial system endorse the disinflation manner could retain however that "it stays tough to mention that the inflation struggle has but been won.”
Gold is also under pressure from the USDGold has been buying and selling inside an ascending broadening wedge and trending better. The average fashion stays upward, because the rate is above the 20-day and 50-day SMAs. However, gold is extraordinarily overbought withinside the quick term, because the RSI indicates. Therefore, the rate is correcting decrease towards the yellow dotted trendline, which intersects with the 20 SMA. Therefore, this rate correction is possibly to locate assist round 20 SMA, wherein the following purchase sign may also emerge. The gold stays upward trending so long as the rate stays above $2514.
The gold marketplace additionally trended better at the 4-hour chart, forming an ascending channel pattern. The rate peaked at $2,685.sixty four on Thursday remaining week, achieving the resistance stage of this ascending channel. However, gold is presently locating assist on the midline of this channel and rebounded better on Tuesday. Two assist ranges are seen at the 4-hour chart: the midline assist at $2,630 and the decrease channel assist at $2,582. These assist ranges also are determined at the day by day chart above.
💎 TVC:GOLD BUY 2649 - 2647💎
✔️TP1: 2660
✔️TP2: 2668
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2640
Gold price is in the most balanced state in the past 2 monthsMany observers consider that call for for gold in China might also additionally decline after the authorities has simply brought a sequence of measures to rescue the economy, which include the actual property market. Cash go with the drift abruptly determined its manner to Chinese stocks.
Gold is likewise below stress from the USD all at once strengthening withinside the October 1 consultation withinside the context of a sequence of different nations seeking to pump cash to aid the economy.
The DXY index (measuring the fluctuation of the USD in opposition to a basket of 6 predominant currencies) accelerated once more to 101.2 factors at the night of October 1 (Vietnam time), in comparison to 100.36 factors on October 25. 9, however nonetheless decrease than the extent of 103 factors in mid-August and the extent of 106.25 factors on the stop of April.
Currently, gold continues to be supported via way of means of escalating geopolitical tensions withinside the Middle East. Signs display that Israel has a clean gain withinside the region. And it's far possibly that the state of affairs withinside the Middle East will settle down after a warm period.
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD BUY 2649 - 2647💎
✔️TP1: 2660
✔️TP2: 2668
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2640
The Fed is testing the economy with 50 interest rate pointsThe 50bp reduce withinside the federal finances price to 5.0% surpassed Fitch`s expectancies in its September 2024 Global Economic Outlook. The length of the pass changed into difficult to justify primarily based totally on incoming financial data, with center offerings CPI inflation closing excessive at 4.9% 12 months-on-12 months in August and growing to 0.4% month-on-month.
The selection appears partly to mirror a `hazard assessment` detail in reaction to latest labour marketplace dynamics, wherein the unemployment price has risen to 4.2% in August from 3.7% in December 2023. While the Fed`s brand new forecasts display unemployment closing low, Fed Chair Jerome Powell made severa references on the post-assembly press convention to the hazard that unemployment could - unexpectedly - maintain to rise.
Significant enhancements in center inflation due to the fact that July 2023 have enabled the Fed to refocus at the most employment thing of its twin mandate, after having had a unique attention on inflation due to the fact that early 2022.
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy 2606 - 2603💎
✔️TP1: 2616
✔️TP2: 2626
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2593
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell 2634 - 2637💎
✔️TP1: 2620
✔️TP2: 2610
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2644
Is gold reaching 2700 possible?After americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) decreased primary hobby costs for the primary time seeing that 2020, international gold costs constantly set new records. Good advantages for gold, this tool does now no longer pay constant hobby.
This morning, every ounce of gold for instant transport accelerated to 2,630 USD
Forecasts from the international`s main banks all percentage a membership angle on valuable metals. Accordingly, 2700 USD could be accomplished this 12 months or early subsequent 12 months. In particular, the primary using pressure for the boom in valuable metals is the Fed's hobby fee cuts, plus assisting elements consisting of geopolitical instability and gold shopping energy from significant banks.
💎GOLD Sell Scalp 2625 - 2627💎
✔️TP1: 2620
✔️TP2: 2610
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2635
Gold price approaches $3000The US Federal Reserve (Fed) recently decided to loosen monetary policy after 4 years, by reducing interest rates by 50 basis points (0.5%), to 4.75-5%.
This agency emphasized that it is "always ready to adjust monetary policy if risks arise". Fed officials forecast the reference interest rate to decrease by another 0.5% by the end of this year and 1% next year. In 2026, they will reduce the interest rate by another 0.5% to 2.75-3%.
However, gold quickly fell, now at $2,556/ounce, just about the same as today. The gap between domestic and international gold prices is about VND5.4 million/tael.
Currently, investors are waiting for comments from Chairman Jerome Powell for more information on the main presentation. Robert Minter, chief investment strategist at Abrdn, said that in this new holiday, it is only a matter of time before gold surpasses $3,000/ounce .
Gold prices increase sharply when economic instability occursIn light of the progress on inflation and the balance of risks, the Committee decided to
lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/2 percentage point to 4-3/4 to 5 percent. In
considering additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee
will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. The
Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and
agency mortgage‑backed securities. The Committee is strongly committed to supporting
maximum employment and returning inflation to its 2 percent objective
Gold prices rose sharply during this period, rising from about $350 an ounce in early 2003 to more than $700 an ounce by mid-2006, an increase of about 100% in just over three years.
The positive performance during this time could be a combination of many factors. Rising inflation has created demand for gold as a complete hedge, and because the pace is only increasing gradually, the opportunity cost of holding gold remains relatively low. As of early September, the Fed is warning of the possibility of cutting interest rates while still reaching standard levels. This environment could be beneficial for gold, similar to the 2003-2006 period.
Investors are worried that the Fed only reduced it by 25 pointsWorld gold charges became down with spot gold down thirteen USD to 2,570 USD/ounce. Gold futures closing traded at $2,596.30 an oz, down $12.60 from the brilliant spot.
Pressured with the aid of using a rebound withinside the greenback and a moderate upward thrust in Treasury bonds, the yellow metallic misplaced 0.5% after conquering an all-time excessive of $2,589.50 an oz early withinside the day. week. Currently, buyers are nevertheless awaiting facts on whether or not the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) could have a coverage pivot at this assembly as expected.
After a chain of membership facts, monetary markets are forecasting a more potent Fed in its first hobby price reduce for the reason that 2020. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the marketplace is already assured withinside the opportunity of a tapping fundamental foreign money with a 63% mission discount might be 50 foundation points.
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy 2558 - 2556💎
✔️TP1: 2570
✔️TP2: 2580
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2548
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell 2585 - 2587💎
✔️TP1: 2570
✔️TP2: 2560
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2595