AI vs. Software: Is Software Ready to Reclaim Tech Leadership?Introduction:
The rapid advancements in artificial intelligence (AI)—especially with China’s DeepSeek—are reshaping the tech investment landscape. However, with all the focus on AI, could traditional software stocks be staging a comeback?
To answer this, we’re analyzing the Software CBOE:IGV vs. Technology AMEX:XLK ratio, a key indicator of relative strength within the tech sector.
Analysis:
Investment Flow Shift: Over the past few years, capital has largely rotated away from traditional software and into AI-driven sectors.
Bottoming Formation: The IGV-to-XLK ratio appears to have bottomed in June 2024, followed by a steady uptrend.
Breakout Watch: After a strong move in November, the ratio formed a higher low, a constructive sign of strength. Now, it is attempting to break out from a broadening bottom pattern—a significant technical development.
Potential Leadership Change: If this breakout holds and continues higher, software stocks could regain leadership within the tech sector, signaling a shift in investor sentiment.
What to Watch:
Bullish Confirmation: A sustained breakout above resistance would suggest software is regaining dominance within tech.
Bearish Rejection: If the breakout fails, AI-driven themes may continue to overshadow traditional software.
Conclusion:
The software sector appears to be making a strong case for resurgence within tech, especially if this breakout holds. A decisive move higher could mark a major sector rotation back into software stocks, challenging AI’s recent dominance. Will software reclaim its throne, or will AI continue to steal the spotlight? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Tags: #Software #Technology #IGV #XLK #AI #SectorRotation #TechLeadership #MarketTrends
IGV
IGV Wave 5 target 115 The chart posted is The IGV etf we stopped to the tick at 2.618 at 111 area for wave 5 of 5 o3 we are nearing the nearing the End of wave 4 of 5 of 5 and we should see a final run up to 115 area to end the 5th from aug 5th low . Then a much deeper decline best of trades Wavetimer
IGV THE BULL MARKET IS ENDING NOWThe chart posted is The IGV index aka the strong leader in the over all market I am now counting a ending 5 wave up I had hoped to see 96handle But TIMING is today from July TOP we are ending a 5 wave Diagonal I have moved to a 95 % LONG IN THE MONEY PUTS IN SPY JAN 2026 600 strike Best of trades WAVETIMER
Microsoft Breakout?Often MSFT can lead the market.
If this stock is breaking out of a daily range it will likely help propel the indices and cloud stocks higher.
With the second largest company in the world showing technical strength, one has to sway slightly more bullish.
if this breakout fails than one can lean more bearish. As of now this is a bullish move for MSFT
ZScaler inside uptrend channel (Watching!)ZS has been behaving well inside the uptrend channel drawn. When we touch the upper part of the channel, we see a pullback to the lower segment line.
RSI analysis suggests, we have difficulty going above the 70 level, however, the chart remains bullish whenever the RSI has been over the 43 RSI. A break below 40 in the RSI would be short-term bearish. -----> conditional Bull
OBV has been trending upwards since the earnings gap-up we had May 29th. -----> Bull
50sma is lining up with the lower channel line, which could work as a support, and a buy entry with low risk.
APPS - breaking OUTAPPS is breaking out of its parallel channel; with a 10% move; while the technology keeps going down.
I have not seen any news that could create this move today.
Intraday volume has been above average by 70%. (tool being patented by Schwab)
RSI is oversold, but as we saw earlier, APPS doesn't mind reaching 90 level. Looking for a strong close today to enter a small position.
Heavily Short the $QQQ - I Believe Today's Move ReversesTomorrowNothing to be excited about with this rally. Same old empty promises by the administration, buy puts on the way up today and wait for the reversal tomorrow/end of week in my opinion.
Disclaimer: I take no responsibility for your losses. Trade at your own risk.
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