Why on Earth anyone invests in the Australian Shares? (SPX)The last 16 years. The US S&P 500 index (in red) Vs the Australian All Ordinaries index. The US broad market index up by 607%, the Australian index up by 58%. The US S&P 500 index is a broad measure of the top 500 companies in the US, and the All Ordinaries likewise from the largest 500 companies listed in Australia. The US represents about 25% of Global GDP Vs Australia at 1.6%. The US S&P500 index companies also earn about 40% of their earnings from outside America (due to their Global reach). Their companies also lead in tech, banking, defense etc. Why does anyone invest solely in the Australian share markets? The Australian index is very narrowly weighted to the big 4 banks (mostly leveraged on Australian residential real estate), and the large miners (leveraged on the commodity cycle). Both very narrow, non-diversified risky strategies, and clearly over the long term a crap investment compared to the breath of risk and performance outcomes of the US multinational giants of expansion and leading edge innovation.
IHVV
SPX - Long term uptrend line unlikely to hold.SPX - Long term uptrend line unlikely to hold. Even if prices where to be halted at the yellow uptrend line (SPX 1750), this still represents a further 55% fall in today's prices.
'Post crisis we will likely end the positive uptrend that began in the 1930s, and enter a period of zero or negative GDP growth furthermore' - to paraphrase Klaus Schwab (Founder/CEO of World Economic Forum).
This is the end of abundance and fractional reserve banking and all the exponential growth the twentieth century has become accustom to.
SPX500 (SPX) - 1,760 target is likely (or maybe worse).SPX500 - 1,760 target is likely in short order (or maybe worse).
If our current momentary system ends (fractional reserve lending post crisis), and we factor in Agenda 2030, Long term uptrend of growth ends for good (as does this century long uptrend pattern between the two red lines).
S&P500 daily- Rising Wedge with near certain breakout.
60% of Rising Wedges end with a downward breakout. However, downward breakouts are some of the worst performing chart patterns, with an unacceptably high failure rate, small post breakout declines, and pullbacks occurring 72% of the times.
Thomas Bulkowski- Encyclopaedia of Chart patterns.
thepatternsite.com