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EUR/USD Downward Movement to Continue?The EUR/USD pair continues to show bearish potential on the daily timeframe. While Friday's high could be taken as part of a retracement, the overall trend remains bearish. There is a potential move toward the sell-side liquidity (SSL) below, aligning with unmitigated imbalance zones and market structure. Watch for price reaction in and around the Daily FVG level and the Fibonacci retracement zones for a potential bearish setup on the lower timeframes. Trade Safe ;)
Short
by jp7fx
1
Silver Bullet Strategy EURUSD AUDUSD | 03/12/2024Trading the Silver Bullet strategy was tough yesterday. While many may only discuss the wins associated with their trading strategies, we encountered some losses yesterday. We entered two trades on two major currency pairs (EURUSD, AUDUSD) and aim to walk you through what happened during our trading session using the Silver Bullet strategy. At 10:00 EST, we began scouting for potential trading setups, as this marks the beginning of the Silver Bullet window, which concludes at 11:00 EST. By 10:20 EST, a Fair Value Gap (FVG) had formed on the EURUSD currency pair, presenting us with a sell bias and directing our attention to potential selling opportunities in EURUSD for the current trading session. Upon reviewing AUDUSD, we observed that an FVG had also formed at 10:20 EST, further indicating a sell bias for the currency pair. Once we establish a bias, we typically wait for a retracement into the formed FVG and only execute the trade after the candle that enters the FVG has closed. This step is crucial on our checklist because our backtesting revealed scenarios where the candle entering the FVG could proceed to hit the stop loss. This check helps us avoid entering trades under such conditions. Meanwhile, those who use limit orders may find themselves at a disadvantage in these situations. After a 20-minute wait following the formation of the FVG, we identified a trade on EURUSD that satisfied all the criteria on our checklist, and without hesitation, we proceeded to execute the trade. In this trade, since the high of candle number 1 from the entry price is approximately 7 pips, which does not satisfy the minimum stop loss requirement, we adjust it to a 10 pips stop loss, our minimum threshold. This rule ensures the trade has sufficient room to fluctuate. Immediately after executing the EURUSD trade, we identified another opportunity with AUDUSD that met all the criteria on our checklist. As it fulfilled the necessary requirements, we proceeded without hesitation to execute the trade. Please be aware that we risk 1% of our trading account on each trade. This level of risk is acceptable for us, as it's an amount we're comfortable with potentially losing, thus preventing emotional attachment to the trades. Ten minutes after initiating a sell position on EURUSD, our trade reached the stop loss, resulting in a 1% loss for the day. Consequently, we are left with our sell position on AUDUSD. After incurring a loss on EURUSD, we examined the AUDUSD position and found that this trade was also facing a drawdown. Did we experience any emotions upon realizing we might lose 2% that day? No, because we had already accepted the risk and were prepared for any outcome, whether it was a win or a loss. We were aware that the strategy's win rate was around 48%, indicating that losses are a part of the process. However, with a positive risk-to-reward ratio, our wins are expected to outweigh the losses. While awaiting the outcome of the AUDUSD trade, we noticed a setup on USDCAD where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) had formed. However, upon closer inspection, we realized it materialized exactly at 11:00 EST. This timing meant we couldn't engage in the trade, as our checklist mandates that trades must be executed before 11:00 EST, thus invalidating this setup. It's important to note our discipline here; despite the temptation, we didn't enter another trade out of revenge. Instead, we let it pass because it failed to meet certain criteria on our checklist. Discipline is a crucial quality of a successful trader and should never be underestimated. Upon reviewing the AUDUSD trade once more, we observed that it was no longer in a drawdown; instead, the trade had returned to our entry price. Consequently, there was no action required other than to allow the trade to proceed as it will After being in the trade for an hour and 10 minutes, the AUDUSD position hit the stop loss, putting us down 2% for the day. Indeed, we took two losses and it's likely we'll face more, as that is the nature of trading. It's normal to encounter multiple losses throughout your trading career, and it's crucial not to let them discourage you. Ensure that any strategy you use has been thoroughly backtested and has the data to support its long-term profitability. Also, make certain that your wins consistently exceed your losses, so that during a losing streak, just a few wins can compensate for the losses.
Education
by CleoFinance
1
EUR/CHF Trade Setup1️⃣ Market Context: EUR/CHF recently tapped into a supply zone between 0.9330–0.9335, where sellers showed clear dominance. The current structure suggests a bearish bias as the price begins to reject this zone, indicating a potential downside move. 2️⃣ Liquidity Grab: The move above 0.9330 likely cleared liquidity from previous highs, trapping buyers and providing fuel for a bearish continuation. This strengthens the short bias. 3️⃣ Supply Zone: The rejection from the supply zone highlights this area as a high-probability region for initiating short trades. It aligns with a previous imbalance and liquidity pocket. 4️⃣ Volume Confirmation: The Volume Profile indicates significant activity near 0.9330, where price has struggled to break higher. This confirms strong sell-side interest at these levels. 5️⃣ Fibonacci Confluence: This zone also aligns with the premium retracement area from a larger downtrend, adding confluence for a potential reversal. 6️⃣ Trade Idea: Looking for a short position targeting the next demand zone around 0.9300. This is where significant buy-side interest previously emerged. Entry: Around 0.9330 Target: 0.9300 Stop Loss: Above 0.9345 This setup leverages clear technical confluences, including supply rejection, liquidity grabs, and strong volume areas.
Short
by Safaric
7
Trading EURUSD this week | Judas Swing Strategy 25-27/11/2024The Judas Swing strategy has recently seen a surge in activity. After experiencing a week of losses, it rebounded last week with a 1% gain. This week appears promising, as a setup emerged on Monday, positioning us to take advantage of the opportunity that presented itself After observing a sweep of liquidity at the high of the trading zone, we shifted our focus to look for potential selling opportunities. However, to capitalize on a clear setup, we require a break of structure to the sell side. This price leg must create a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and a retracement into this FVG will assist us in securing an entry point for the trade. At 10:30 EST, all the criteria on our entry checklist were met, allowing us to proceed with the trade. Upon entering this trade, we experienced minimal drawdown, which is the ideal scenario every trader seeks. Sniper entries are highly coveted, but it's important to recognize that they won't occur with every trade. Therefore, it's essential for traders to allow their trades sufficient space to fluctuate and to place their stop-loss at a point where, if triggered, it signifies the invalidation of the trade setup We were in this trade for just 1 hour and 15 minutes, and with only a 1% risk, it yielded a 2% return for the day On Tuesday, we returned to scout for trading setups, but unfortunately, none emerged that matched the Judas swing strategy, so we took no action. Notice what we did? Nothing. And why? Because no trade setup fulfilled the criteria on our checklist, and we didn't force any trades. Whenever a trade doesn't meet your checklist requirements, avoid forcing a trade. The likelihood of regretting that decision is high, and even if a forced trade happens to win, it means you're developing a bad habit that could haunt you later on We showed up on Wednesday to scout for trades again and late in the session a setup started forming. We got a sell bias early but getting a confirmation for sell trade took forever to form, but when we got that confirmation we didn't hesitate to take this trade. We entered a sell for this trade setting our Stop loss at 1.05788 and our TP at 1.05383 After executing the trade, the subsequent bullish candle, which was a bullish marubozu, went straight to our stop loss and then reversed in our intended direction. However, since our stop loss was triggered, it marked the end of our trading day. According to our rules, we do not re-enter the trade. We accept the 1% loss with dignity and prepare to trade another day. This loss means that we are now only 1% in profit on EURUSD for the trading period from November 25th to 27th.
by CleoFinance
EURGBP BUY SETUPKey Observations: Liquidity Zone (Confirmation): The highlighted liquidity area represents a critical zone for confirmation. I need the market to grab this liquidity before validating my long entry setup. Demand Zone: The area around 0.83172 acts as a significant demand zone. This is where buyers have previously stepped in, and I anticipate bullish momentum to emerge again. Key Level at 0.83350: This is an important reaction zone, which could act as the first target for the trade or a consolidation point. Imbalance Fill: The market is currently filling an imbalance (highlighted zone). I’ll monitor for bullish price action once this imbalance is mitigated. Fibonacci Confluence (Premium Zone): My demand zone aligns with a Fibonacci retracement level in my premium area, adding confluence to the long trade setup. Demand in Volume Profile: This demand zone also aligns with a high-volume area in the volume profile, suggesting strong interest from buyers, making this an ideal entry point. Trade Idea: Bullish Bias: Entry Area: Around 0.83172 (demand zone). Target Levels: TP1: 0.83350 (key level). TP2: 0.83650 (higher liquidity zone). Stop Loss: Below 0.83050, to protect against demand zone failure. Risk Management: Maintain a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2. Wait for the liquidity grab and signs of bullish momentum (e.g., bullish engulfing candle or strong rejection wick) at the demand zone before entering. Volume, liquidity grabs, and Fibonacci align perfectly in my EUR/GBP long setup. Do you see the same bullish potential, or do you expect a bearish breakdown? Let’s discuss below!👇
Long
by Safaric
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 19/11/2024The Judas Swing strategy experienced a downturn for the first time in several weeks. After consistently delivering good returns, its streak ended last week. It was a slow week, yielding just one trade despite checking four currency pairs for potential trading setups. Unfortunately, the trade on EURUSD ended with a loss. So this week we wanted to see if things will turn around taking us into winning ways again with the strategy. On Tuesday, we observed a setup on EURUSD that piqued our interest. There was a sweep of liquidity at the zone's high at 1.05964, which shifted our focus to looking for selling opportunities during this trading session. Shortly after, a break of structure to the sell side occurred, indicating the need to wait for a retrace into the created FVG for an entry point. Our entry price was at 1.05894 SL: 1.05944 TP: 1.05694 Shortly after initiating the trade, we experienced a drawdown of approximately 6 pips. However, having set our stop loss (SL) at 10 pips, the trade had sufficient room to fluctuate. This underscores the crucial lesson of avoiding overly tight stop losses. To understand this better, one should dedicate time to backtesting, which assists in determining the optimal invalidation point for one's trading strategy. After 50 minutes in this trade, our patience was rewarded with a 2% gain on our trading account, from a trade where we risked only 1%
by CleoFinance
Trading NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 05/11/2024Last week concluded with a 3% gain using the Judas Swing strategy, which yielded three trades in total: two on EURUSD and one on NZDUSD. The EURUSD trades resulted in one win and one loss, while the NZDUSD trade closed with a win. These results have set the stage for a thrilling week ahead in the markets, and we can't wait to see what unfolds! As usual, we arrived at the trading desk at 8:25 EST to delineate our trading zones. Once these zones have been marked we need to wait for the high or low of this zone to be swept, this step is essential to help us get a bias for the trading session. After 40 minutes, the liquidity at the high of the zone was swept, indicating that we should look for potential selling opportunities in this session. While we may lean toward a sell this session, we hold back from entering until we see a clear structure break on the sell side. During this shift, price should create a Fair Value Gap, giving us an optimal entry point to step into the trade. After an hour's wait, we finally got a Break of Structure on the sell side, which also resulted in a Fair Value Gap being created. To fulfill all the entry criteria on our checklist, we must wait for price to retrace into the Fair Value Gap that has formed, and we can only execute the trade once the candlestick has closed. After 10 minutes a candle entered the Fair Value Gap, indicating that upon its closure, we may proceed with executing the trade. By risking just 1% of our account for a potential 2% gain, we reduce emotional attachment, knowing the loss is manageable, while positioning ourselves for greater rewards. Shortly after entering, the trade went into a drawdown; however, since we had risked an amount we were comfortable with losing, the current state of the trade did not move us. Upon reviewing the position after some time, we noticed that the trade had started moving in our favor, although it hadn't moved much from the entry price. Given the average trade duration of around 11 hours for the strategy, there’s no rush, we simply need to wait for the setup to deliver as expected. While the trade didn't reach our desired outcome and we took a 1% loss after the stop loss was hit, we remained unaffected because we were fully prepared for this potential outcome.
by CleoFinance
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/10/2024Last week proved challenging for the Judas Swing strategy, with three consecutive losses and no wins, which heightened our anticipation for this week. Will we be able to break this losing streak? We'll soon find out. We typically arrive at our trading desks five minutes before the session starts to delineate our zones and settle into the trading rhythm. After delineating our zones, the next step is to wait for a sweep of a high or low of the trading zone, which will assist us in establishing our bias for the trading session. Forty-five minutes later, price swept the liquidity at the high, indicating that we should look for selling opportunities during this trading session. A few minutes after the high was swept, we observed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side, which was encouraging as we avoid entering trades without analysis, even with a sell bias established for the session. Upon identifying the BOS, the next step is to find a Fair Value Gap (FVG) within the price leg that broke structure. The final step in the entry checklist is to wait for price to pull back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and to execute the trade only after the candle that enters the FVG has closed. Shortly after, a candle entered the FVG, indicating that we could execute our trade following the close of the candle. It's crucial to understand that by risking only 1% of our trading account for a potential 2% return, we minimize emotional attachment to the trades since we're only risking what we can afford to lose, and we stand to gain more than we risk. After executing the trade, we experienced a significant drawdown, which is a critical point for those who risk more than they can afford to lose. After a patient wait, the trade has turned around and begun to move in our favor, which is thrilling. However, we must still keep our composure as the objective has not yet been achieved According to our data, we can anticipate being in a position for an average of 11 hours, so the duration of this trade meeting our objective is not a concern; we simply need to remain patient for it to occur. After 15 hours and 20 minutes, our patience was rewarded when our take profit (TP) target was reached, resulting in a 2% gain on a trade where we risked 1%.
Education
by CleoFinance
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 05/09/2024At 08:25 EST, we were at our trading desk, eager for opportunities the trading session might offer. We began our session by marking out our trading zones. After an hour and a half, we observed a sweep of liquidity at the high of the zone, signaling potential selling opportunities in this trading session. Shortly after the liquidity sweep, there was a structural break to the downside, bolstering our confidence in the emerging setup. The next step was to wait for a retracement into the freshly formed Fair Value Gap (FVG). We have finally seen price trade back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). After the closure of the candle that retraced into the FVG, we can execute our trade since all the criteria on our checklist for trade entry have been fulfilled. This trade experienced a drawdown for just five minutes before price began to move favorably in our anticipated direction. Patience is key as we await the trade's result. Whether it results in a win or a loss, we are prepared for either outcome since we have risked only 1% of our account, targeting a 2% return. Upon reviewing the position, we found it had returned to our entry point. At such a juncture, traders who have risked more than they can afford may panic. However, our comprehensive backtesting data on this strategy reinforces our confidence in the strategy, risk management approach and the importance of trusting the process. We were unlucky this time as the trade hit our stop loss and we lost 1% on this trade. The Judas Swing strategy is a simple strategy any trader can add to their arsenal. A trader simply needs to be present between 08:30 and 11:00 EST to look for trading setups. While not the "holy grail", this strategy boasts a win rate of approximately 50% and a risk-reward ratio of 1:2
Education
by CleoFinance
1
BEAM scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 6Another setup from the livestream is coming into play. Shorting some BEAM here at the retest of this range. Looking for the imbalances to be filled on the downside. Maybe even going under MDay-Mid but let's see. Important news later on so keep that in mind. Analysis of the Chart: Retest of the Range: The chart shows BEAMUSDT retesting a previously established range. This level acts as a potential resistance where the price might reverse. Break of Structure (BOS): Several Breaks of Structure (BOS) indicate where the market sentiment has shifted. These points are crucial in identifying the potential continuation or reversal of the trend. Imbalances and Fair Value Gaps (FVG): The price has created imbalances or Fair Value Gaps (FVG) on the way up. These gaps represent areas where the price moved quickly without much trading, often revisited by the price to achieve equilibrium.
Short
by stromm_by_wmc
Trading NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 06/08/2024Every trader relishes ending the trading week positively, and that was precisely our experience last week. The Judas Swing strategy produced two trades, one on EURUSD and the other on GBPUSD, both of which turned out being winners. This positive experience has heightened our excitement for the possibilities that this week may bring. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises: - Setting the timezone to New York time - Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Identifying the high and low of the zone After 25 minutes, there was a sweep of liquidity at the low of the zone, indicating we will be looking for potential buying opportunities this trading session. Following the liquidity sweep, there was a break of structure (BOS). Now, we simply need to wait for price to retrace into the fair value gap (FVG) that was created before entering a buy position. The subsequent candle entered the Fair Value Gap, indicating that upon its close, we could execute our trade as all the prerequisites for entry on our checklist were satisfied. This position barely experienced any drawdown, as it became profitable 25 minutes after executing the trade. We risked a mere 1% of our trading account, aiming for a 2% return from this trade. All that remained was to wait patiently, having already accepted the outcome of our trade, be it a win or a loss. Based on the data collected for NZDUSD, we anticipate an average trade duration of six hours and fifteen minutes. After 45 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on NZDUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
by CleoFinance
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 30/07/2024Risk management ought to be a trader's closest ally, as the previous week demonstrated the practical significance of incorporating risk management into every trader's toolkit. Last week, we executed four trades; despite having only one win and three losses, we concluded the week with a mere 1% loss on our trading account. This has heightened our excitement for the opportunities that this week may present. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises: - Setting the timezone to New York time - Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Identifying the high and low of the zone The next 5 minute candle swept liquidity resting at the low of the zone, which meant our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities for the trading session. To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure. We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied. Please note that our stop loss is set at the low of the price leg that broke structure, and we implement a minimum stop loss of 10 pips. The minimum stop loss value was not chosen randomly; it was determined through extensive backtesting. This allows trades sufficient space to fluctuate, avoiding premature stop-outs and trades later moving in our anticipated direction. After 15 minutes, a large bearish marubozu candle formed, which could have exited us from the trade if we had set our stop loss solely based on the low of the price leg that broke structure, without including a minimal stop loss in our checklist. By using that price leg, our stop loss would have been around 6 pips, whereas a 10 pip stop loss provides the trade with sufficient breathing room. We are aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50% on EURUSD, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we used only 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% gain. Upon checking our position later, we observed that the position was a few pips away from hitting SL. We remained calm despite the drawdown we were experiencing and were prepared for any outcome of the trade. All that was left was to wait for either our stop loss or take profit to be triggered to determine the result of our trade. A few hours later, the trade began to move in our favor. After 13 hours, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on EURUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
Education
by CleoFinance
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 24/07/2024Last week concluded positively, with three trades taken and two big wins on EURUSD. This success has heightened our anticipation for the opportunities this week may present. We began our trading day at 8:25 EST by marking the zones for the Judas Swing strategy. This is a fundamental part of the checklist and cannot be skipped. The next step on the checklist is to wait for a sweep on either side of the zone, which will assist in establishing a bias for the trading session. After 25 minutes, the high of the zone was swept, indicating that we should look for potential selling opportunities during this trading session. Although we have a bias for the trading session, we do not rush into every selling opportunity. Instead, we wait for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side. The price leg that establishes this BOS should leave behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and price must retrace into this FVG before we consider executing a trade using this strategy. The next five-minute candle entered the Fair Value Gap, indicating that we could execute our trade at the candle's close since we had met all the checklist criteria. After executing the trade, price remained in a deep drawdown, which can be unsettling for many traders who do not manage their risk adequately. Additionally, traders who do not backtest their trading strategy thoroughly often struggle to adhere to their plan in these situations. However, this was not an issue for us, as we were aware that our strategy has approximately a 50% win rate, indicating that losses are part of the process. Therefore, we only risked 1% of our trading account on the trade, aiming for a 2% return. Price eventually reversed and started moving in our intended direction. We remained unperturbed by the duration of the trade, as our strategy data indicates an average trade duration of 8 hours and 5 minutes. Now all we need to do is be patient and let the trade run. We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
by CleoFinance
EURUSD WEEKLY BULLISH BREAKOUT, LTF BEARISH RETRACEMENT!!The weekly timeframe has a beautiful bullish break-out, meaning that we are overall Bullish. We have two weekly bullish FVGs - One in Premium at 1.08709 (We would not want to Buy on the basis of this FVG since it is in Premium) However we could have a LTF reaction. - Another beautiful FVG in discount at 1.08032 ( This is where we will be looking for timeframe alignment to go Long). Beautiful area to look for Longs!!! Before price reaches 1.08032, we will be looking for shorts to trade the retracement. Beautiful Week Ahead of us!!! Trade, Repeat!!!
by Kay_Master