EURUSD | Market outlook The data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed on Friday that Nonfarm Payrolls increased by 860,000 in June. With this reading beating the market consensus of 700,000, the US Dollar Index (DXY) jumped to a fresh multi-month high of 92.74 with the initial reaction. Nevertheless, the greenback struggled to preserve its strength and allowed EUR/USD to reverse its direction.
Imbalance
(NZD/USD) Potential Long Term Move Down V1This is a Daily Timeframe perspective.
The Market has just tested a strong Bearish Ordeblockwhich is supposed to hold the market down. We also made a deceleration, going from a bullish market which is now a bearish market.
The black lines that are drawn on the chart, is Sell Side Liquidity which are attractive targets where the majority of Orders lay in the market,
The yellow areas are imbalances, where the market has moved too fast, creating inefficiency, so the market should fill a lot of these yellow areas. Another attractive area which the market wants to mitigate.
The blue area marked up all the way down is a bullish Orderblock, which could be a potential reaction point.
I don't know how far the market will drop, but I do expect a lot of these areas to get filled.
Xauusd to Fill ImbalanceGold Melted past 2 days as we made a lower high on the daily and stalled.
We have now touched a major order block level on the daily in which i am in favour of a pullback to fill the imbalance price action we have just seen the past week.
Risk to reward is nice here. I will be monitoring for entry level around 62x65 for longs to 1840 area to fill the imbalance.
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USDCHF H1 - SHORTUSDCHF H1 - SHORT
Prices may be coming back for a retest of structure, potential forming an AC/D schematic before a SELL opportunity with a break of structure and immediate shift in momentum to catch a pullback SHORT towards 0.91000 support area.
For prices to fill the imbalance and our primary zone/resistance, it will liquidate the orders lying above the 0.91730 area, tapping into our key resistance before a sell-side move.
AUD/CADPrice has created a new higher high on the daily and done a deep retracement (HL) into the area it's in right now. Looking for price to create another higher high and test of the last IC candle to the downside and target some of the equal highs and areas of imbalance If there is a strong immediate reaction from entry area, then will look into entering the trade.
On the other hand, with the strength that price is coming down with, it could easily break the last lower low. So will be looking out to see if price has strong rejection from entry area, if so, a retest of that up candle would be the ideal entry.
USDJPY SETUPUSDJPY 15M
Interesting setup on both sides, whichever that pends out first.
Prices tapped onto a H4 demand zone, propelling a buy-side move into a H4 supply zone, which made a sell-side move as well. We will be looking to trade the immediate moves on the lower timeframe if the setup is still valid for us to monitor later on.
Understanding how prices break structures, leaving behind unmitigated areas for us to catch an entry towards a specific target is important in intermediary movements like this. If you're unsure, skip this trade.
EURUSD - Imbalance to FillThe huge bullish run has left gaps that need filling, the price will move where money resides and lots of liquidity is trapped within this bullish move.
I would like to see an initial tease at the market open to lure buyers into the market before absolutely collapsing to the downside.
XAU/USDIt's been a few hours since the NFP release, which pushed price up over 250 pips within one hour. Looking like price might have been pushed there for the institutions to mitigate out their previous buy positions. If that's the case, looking for price to drop from where it is now for at least 150 pips, and could potentially come down a lot lower to take out the equal lows sitting further below.
On the other hand, price is still extremely bullish and could easily take out stoploss very quickly targeting the equal highs above, so will use good risk to reward and see how the market unfolds.
XAU/USDGold that has been creating lower highs and lower lows on the daily, has retraced to a LH and bounced strongly off the last recent institutional candle. Looking for gold to continue its way to the downside, reaching the target areas below. Looking for it to make a new lower low taking out the liquidity below, also filling out some areas of imbalance. Two potential entry areas price may reject from for a SELL trade at 1790.80 and 1793.65 (0.786 and 0.88 on the fib). Low risk, high reward trade setup.
There's also great potential the trade can break past the stoploss area as there are target areas there too that price may want to come to. If that happens, will then look for potential trade setup in that area.