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Imbalance

GBP AUD - Break or rejection 61.8%?GBP AUD - 4hour chart Be ready for either direction on the lower timeframe. Technicals to assess. We have a bearish hammer forming on the 4 hour chart. The Fibonacci down trend is in play, however the 61.8% has not been attacked yet with no signal of a lower high formed. With GBP AUD - price moves quick with a strong engulfing once the orders are ready and filled to either the downside or upside. If the trend line is intact, then the lower high rejection wicks are in play. A break will see downsides to look for positional holds to 1.74 with the weekly imbalance looking likely again. This can be a good hedge trade to longs. However, buys can be engineered by a perceived short position in which we will look long again with 1.767XX to remained untested. See the main idea here for longs, shorts. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. Regardless we will continue producing analysis. Thanks, Team Lupa
by LupaCapital
1
S&P500 2021 outlookSPX500 to 4300 target for 2021. based on the projection of a correctional move within certain months, however the rate of debt the debt market cycle has not been reacting negatively yet with yields still intact and further debt creation to refinance debt obligations . There will be weeks and months which have negative returns, however the overall Fibonacci and rolling returns model suggests that the pricing model shows 4,000+ to be created and surpassed due to SPDR health sector and tech sectors beating the benchmark. This is a quick example - a further explanation will be provided. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated. Regardless we will continue producing analysis. Thanks, Team Lupa Team Lupa
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by LupaCapital
AUDUSD - Institutional Liquidity - Understand the WhyImagine understanding how to execute with precision? Imagine understanding the Why behind the markets.... Liquidity, Footprints, Level ll which is all considered within the framework of 'smart money concepts' December is traditionally known for the lack of liquidity and reduced volume in turn which causes increased volatility. Traditionally many including myself trade less throughout December and I tend to wrap my trading up around The second week of the month to spend time with my family, friends and loved ones. As we all know from an institutional stand point the seasonal holiday tends to be the month many take off to do the same but other than the above do you ever wonder why? ...... Bonus Month. PnL on institutions books are calculated for the year end and of course subjective to performance the portfolio manager & team are paid in accordance with the 'Net ROI (Factoring in either the hurdle rate or the watermark) Now the above is somewhat irrelevant but it's important to understand the Why..... So lets now take a look at understanding the Why behind this AUD/USD Short on 28th December 2020 at 08:44am shortly after the London/European open, But, first here are the performance metrics and values; Percentage ROI: +15.87% Initial Risk: 1% (factoring in RT Commissions) Stop Loss: 3 Pips Drawdown: 0.9 Pips Trade Duration: 7 Hours (Trade hit TP2 @ 15:46 UK GMT) ____________________ So lets take a look at the trade Breakdown Weekly Timeframe: The Weekly going back to 2001 has since been in a bullish uptrend, creating Higher Highs & Higher Lows until 2014 after it printed a Lower Low and failed to purge liquidity and create a Higher High. Price continued to create Lower Highs and Lowers Lows, Building Liquidity on it's way down. In March 2016 we Broke Major structure to the downside and printing a new structurally significant Low, Taking Liquidity. to allow for a Push to the upside, lifting offers, seeking the Institutional level & footprint which was yet to be 'Mitigated' from May / June 2018. Daily Chart: Price as we can see on the Daily timeframe is extremely efficient within the market structure & sub-structure. Building & Creating Liquidity to be targeted / purged and swept ! 1Hour: On December 21st 2020 we gapped down with intent and momentum creating multiple Breaks of structure to the downside, then correctively over the next 6 days moved back up to not only fill gap liquidity but tap into the Order Block left, Seen clearly..... Which was the beginning of our short trade ......
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Short
by Phantom_Trading
12
Possible Election Rally “if _______ wins?”Price has retested the average price of the bullish orderblock on the daily timeframe. Higher Low’s being formed on the 4Hr timeframe along with a liquidity tag show signs of bears loosing control. Which is starting to create an imbalance favoring the bulls. 🎯: Untested bearish orderblock off the daily. ::: Election ::: We could see a crazy rally and a major sell-off tomorrow/Wednesday. It all depends on rather Dems or Reps win on the overall outcome. Though with the Election Day we could see whipsaws in price due to the ballot intake this year.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by TheEconomyCreator