Correction Wave Incoming! - GUHere I have GBP/USD on the Daily Chart!
After our New High since August 2023 @ 1.28938 , we've seen Price decline quite drastically!
In fact, we were given a NEW LOWER LOW on Tuesday @ 1.24052!
Now with this Low having been created after our Lower High @ 1.2708 (Point B), this Price Action breaking our previous Low @ 1.25394 CONFIRMS my prediction that we could be looking at a Correction Wave!!
-Will our Support Zone turn RESISTANCE?!?
I will be looking for Price to make a Retracement to our Fibonacci Levels in our Support Zone for a SELL ENTRY @ ( 1.25241 - 1.25394 )
Range Target @ ( 1.21346 - 1.19992 )
SL @ 1.25932
*Levels Subject To Change*
Fundamentally for the remainder of the week,
GBP - Retail Sales (Fri)
USD - Unemployment Claims/Philly Manufacturing Index/Existing Home Sales (Thur)
*Next Week we will be getting PMI numbers so WATCH FOR NEWS!!
Impulsewave
BULLISH TRI BREAK to Finish ABC Move for +2500 PIPS?! - UJHere I have USDJPY on the Weekly Chart!
Price has been meeting all the criteria since its LOWEST LOW recorded @ 75.565 in Oct. 2011 to have then started what looks to be a Correction Wave (ABC).
*This Low also seems to have been the completion of the 5th Wave of the Impulse Wave since UJ hit markets in Jan. 1971!!
On the chart you will see that we have continued to make HIGHER HIGHS & LOWS since our Low of 2011 and price after making its HIGHS, finding support at the Target Fib'd Retracement Levels!
This month of April has been a remarkable month for USD in the UJ pair:
-April has been nothing but overall BULLISH for UJ
-The past 2 weeks has not only given us a Break up out of the Resistance Zone of ( 151.944 - 149.710) that has contained our Highs since Oct. '22 but has CONTINUED to reach even HIGHER giving us a BULLISH BREAK of the BULLISH TRIANGLE that price has formed with our Resistance Zone and Rising Support created by our LOWS in Jan. of 2023 & 2024!
Fundamentally what really pushes this move is the fact that the USD is now looking to keep rates still "Higher For Longer" with potentially only 2 Rate Cuts this year!! This can really feed favorability from investors towards the USD!
What does this all mean??
Firstly, we want to see if this CURRENT HIGH price is moving on is VALID!!
*I would like to see Price retrace to test these HIGHS in the Resistance Zone of ( 151.944 - 149.710) to see if this level changes to SUPPORT!!
-If so, we will be looking to be BUYERS!!
Potential Range Target - ( 178.097 - 196.821 )
Last Leg (Update) - USDCHF Year So FarHey everyone!!
Here I talk about USDCHF and give a little update on my Trade Idea "Last Leg To The Finish Line"
Since it went over so well and continuing to follow suit, I wanted to do a Video Update on the idea to give a little insight on what I was seeing as the pair unfolded for the year and what I'm looking for in the near future!!
Please let me know what you think and thank you so much for all the Support!!
.. It all started with a little Double Bottom on the Hourly Chart
SPY to $460Overview
Utilizing trading patterns and consistencies between several technical indicators, I believe the equity market will begin to unload soon as traders collect their profits from the recent rally and prepare for the next FOMC meeting on 19-20 March.
Trading Patterns
SPY is currently undergoing a rising wedge which is a bearish trading pattern. Within the wedge, I outlined an impulse wave pattern which shows SPY at what may be the peak of the third wave. Rising share price on dwindling volume, in addition to divergences spotted on the RSI, MFI, and MACD, lead me to confidently believe a dip to around $460 is approaching.
Price Target
I used the support and resistance lines of the macro rising wedge to determine the paths of the impulse waves, assuming their troughs and crests will reach the respective lines. Presuming the rules of impulse waves hold true then the fourth wave cannot end pass the crest of wave one, which falls in line with the 50% retracement level of the third wave (blue and red Fibonacci tools). This level rests at a share price near $460.
Utilizing a larger Fibonacci tool to encompass the entire rising wedge and a projected fifth wave crest as 100%, the $460 share price is around the 61.8% Fibonacci level (when used in the uptrend).
Supporting Technical Indicators
The MACD shows a divergence as well as an approaching cross over its signal line from above.
While not as prominent as MACD, the RSI also shows a divergence between the share price and peaks within the RSI oscillator. I've highlighted the divergence by placing a horizontal line at the end of the first peak. It is also reflecting overbought signals.
The MFI shows a sharp negative slope but the SPY share price is still rising. This divergence, aligned with the signals of the other two indicators, suggests the share price may be about to drop.
EURCAD I Potential intraday short to 50% fib of impulse candle Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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GBPUSD I Short-term buy from support after recent impulseWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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EURAUD I Impulse correction I SHORT! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURAUD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Leading Diagonal : Elliott wave Analyisis (Elliott Baba)Leading Diagonal : Elliott wave Analyisis
This pattern subdivides into 5 waves.
Wave 2 never ends beyond the starting point of wave 1.
Wave 3 always breaks the ending point of wave 1.
Wave 4 usually breaks beyond the ending point of wave 1.
Wave 5 in the absolute majority of cases breaks the ending point of wave 3.
Wave 3 can't be the shortest.
Wave 2 can't be a triangle or a triple three structure.
Waves 1, 3 and 5 can be formed like impulses or zigzags.
GBPJPY I Impulse Correction with Caution Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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BTCUSDT IGNITING AN IMPULSE BEARISHAs an update from my first post on this new account, I'm showing u that on this 30m BTCUSDT chart that price is heading in a potential impulse wave (Elliot Wave Count). So, look on Chaikin Money Flow and u'll find a strong bearish divergence printed! Bears on command.
Arihant Capital Markets Ltd. Riding the 5th Wave ImpulseArihant Capital Markets Ltd: Riding the 5th Wave Impulse
Daily Time Frame:
Elliott Wave Analysis: Arihant Capital Markets appears to be in an impulse move on the daily time frame, with completion of wave 4 as a correction.
Current Stage: Unfolding wave 5, with (i) and (ii) completed and a potential unfolding of wave (iii).
Price Targets: Anticipating levels of 96 and 104 plus.
Invalidation Level: A strict invalidation set below 63. Current Price Trading near 76.
Technical Indicators:
Breakout Confirmation : Price has given a breakout on the daily time frame with significant volumes.
Indicator Alignment: Major indicators like MACD, RSI, RK's Magic, RK's Brahmastra, etc., are aligning positively, supporting the bullish bias.
Snapshots: Attached snapshots of the indicators for reference.
Elliott Wave Concept - 5th Wave Impulse:
The 5th wave in Elliott Wave theory is often an impulse wave that signifies the final leg of a trend.
Impulse waves are characterized by strong, directional price movements.
Wave (iii) within wave 5 is typically the most powerful and extends higher, often exceeding the peaks of wave (i).
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Breakout with good intensity of Volumes on Daily and Hourly time frames
RK's Magic says positive on Daily
RK's Brahmastra says Positive bias on Daily
Possible Elliott wave structure could be this
MACD on Daily is positive and Strong enough
MACD on weekly too
RSI showing good strength on Daily chart
#CADJPY Elliott wave analysishello dear traders and colleagues. Lets have a look at a very long term chart of CADJPY.
If we want to interpret the chart using Elliott wave principle we can see from the bottom that we have completed a 5 wave impulsive bullish move (corrective wave 4 is running flat formation) and then we can see a 5 wave bearish impulsive (which also labeled as wave A).
Now that the price reached the top unless we are witnessing a running flat we can expect that the bullish move as wave B is also reached its destination and from now we can wait for the wave C to be completed.
Initial target would be the previous low if we assume that this large corrective formation is regular flat.
For opening a position in case you want to use candle stick patterns you can wait for the weekly close and see if price formed evening star which seems possible.
Other than that you can always wait for price to penetrate the previous low or perhaps triggers can be found in lower time frame and following the lower time structure.
Also it should be noted that in case price close above last week high or close above resistance level this wave analysis is invalid.
Please let me know if you like this kind of long term analysis.
Gold's Elliott Wave Forecast: Bullish Waves on the HorizonGold has been in wave 4 correction phase since early May, following the completion of an upward surge (impulsive wave 3) at 2068.382. This correction took the form of a zig-zag pattern, and can be subdivided as follows:
Wave A of the larger wave 4 concluded at 1893.060, spanning approximately 2 months.
Subwave B took the shape of a contracting triangle and lasted for roughly 3 months, ending at 1948.034.
It appears that Subwave C has wrapped up at 1815.799, marking the completion of wave 4.
Currently, I anticipate a significant upward movement in the form of a five-wave impulse on this precious metal. My medium-term target for this anticipated uptrend is 2093.078.
#USDCNY long term selling opportunityPrice in Daily timeframe seems like to complete 5 wave bullish move and also we can see bearish standard divergence between price and MACD which is a very good signal for pinpointing the top.
But the important thing to remember before taking position is to see market structure shifting to the downside with forming a lower high or creating a new low which at the moment non of this signals has been given by the price.
So its best to wait for the price to confirm the bearish signals its giving to us before jumping to trade.
Please also look at the other analysis in the weekly timeframe that I have posted for higher time frame confirmations which is also tagged.
US yields looking "toppy"; more weakness after rallyThe US CPI came down more than expected yesterday at 3.2% y/y, and as a result the USD fell sharply with US yeilds, while stocks and metals are on the rise. For now, this seems to be a very important data as it causes also a very important breakdown on USD index and US yeilds.
Looking at the US yeilds, we have five waves down, so it means that top is in place, and suggests that speculators believe that FED is done with hiking. But road map to lower yields/higher bonds will be a bit "bumpy", so be aware of some rally, especially if we consider five waves down on 10 year US yields. So A-B-C rally can cause some pullbacks on XXX/Dollar pairs, which will eventually see more upside after pullbacks.
Grega
#CHFJPY Buying opportunityHello, everyone. I hope you are all doing well.
Let's dive into the CHFJPY chart and explore a potential buying opportunity in this pair.
As depicted in the chart, the price initially formed a bullish impulsive move, but it has since been undergoing a corrective descent for the past three days.
Today, it appears that the price has cleared out liquidity from the low created yesterday and established a bullish engulfing candle. Additionally, the price is currently situated at a static support area and is backed by support from the 61.8% Fibonacci level.
Given the price's current position at this significant level and considering the favorable risk-to-reward ratio, we are opting to open a position at this price. However, for a more conservative approach, you can choose to wait for the price to break above a short-term bearish trendline that has been constraining the price during this corrective descent.
Very first impulse wave will be done around $3Weekly Chart
I figured out the impulse wave begin from 0.777
Now, it's trading around 1.975 and going up further with the target is also resistance around 3.0
That's 1.382 Fib from 2.025
I expect RUNE will pullback to 1.5 before come back to contention
Wait for next move