EURCAD Facing A Temporary Correction In Sessions To FolllowOn the EURCAD we are observing a nice impulsive decline taking part as black wave 1, that can be in final stages as four sub-waves of five are already visible. As such we can expect one more push to the downside to follow as sub-wave v-circled. After this final leg takes place the pair could face a temporary correction in wave 2. A decisive break beneath the 1.4589 level could prove to be a nice confirmation, that lower levels will follow.
Impulsive
AUDNZD Showing Singns Of A Completed CorrectionOn the 4h chart of AUDNZD we are observing a nice three wave corrective decline taking place from 1.0763 level as higher degree wave 2 or B, with price currently trading in final stages of sub-wave c. If that is the case, then we could be in for more gains as blue wave c has already showed us his five sub-waves. As such a reversal may be near and may have already started to unfold.
Break above the wave (iv) swing at 1.05417 would be the first confirmation for higher levels to follow.
Cable Undergoing A Consolidation; Possible Reversal Near 1.2350Cable fell to 1.2080 two weeks back where pair found a support and from there turned up in impulsive fashion. It looks like a nice reversal spike that sent bullish price move in play. We are now looking up towards the 1.2600 area, after wave (4) pullback which can be looking for a base at 1.2350-1.12400 support area.
NZDUSD In A Three Wave Rise; Possible Reversal Near 0.7350NZDUSD can be very interesting this week, in case of USD strength. Hourly charts shows a potential contra-trend move up from 0.7034 that can stop near 0.7350 this week. However, a five wave decline back to 0.7200 will be needed before we will be able to call end of a recovery.
Elliott Wave Analysis: USDJPY Undergoing A Temporary RecoveryUSDJPY found a support at 102.50 from where we are now observing a new recovery, but a minor one as part of a bearish impulse. We are tracking wave four which will normally retrace for a 38.2% back to the area of a former wave four. This interesting zone comes in around 103.50, so we would not be surprised if a new sell-off will occur from there in sessions ahead. But once new lows will be seen, traders should realize of a bounce into a higher corrective structure. Keep in mind that after any five waves market makes a minimum three wave reversal!
Elliott Wave Analysis: USDJPY Trading Within A Triangle USDJPY dropped sharply yesterday, well bellow a channel support connected from September low which suggests that market completed a five wave rally up in black wave (c) of C-circled. Decline is also very aggressive, so we believe it's part of a bigger three wave drop that can continue even to 101-102 area for wave D-circled based on an Elliott Wave triangle count.
A Triangle is a common 5 wave pattern labeled A-B-C-D-E that moves counter-trend and is corrective in nature. Triangles move within two channel lines drawn from waves A to C, and from waves B to D. A Triangle is either contracting or expanding depending on whether the channel lines are converging or expanding. Triangles are overlapping five wave affairs that subdivides into 3-3-3-3-3.
Five Waves Up On The USDHCF Indicates A Corrective RecoveryUSDCHF is in sharp rise for the last couple of weeks with increasing bullish momentum since market found support at 0.9640 so it appears that strong bullish trend is in progress now. In fact, we can count five waves up from 0.9640 which is a structure of an uptrend, so we can expect more upside after any three wave of retracement. Recently market fell sharply from 1.0000 psychological level, which can signal for an upcoming A-B-C retracement especially once channel support line is broken.
Elliott Wave Analysis: EURCAD Ideally Aiming For 1.4300EURCAD found some support at the 1.436 area, so an extended five sub-waves down from 1.4663 might have accomplished wave three, which means that an a-b-c recovery can be in the cards for red wave (iv). If we are correct, then pair can retrace back to 1.4480 swing from where we will look for a new impulsive sell-off, to around 1.4300 region.
Elliott Wave Analysis: Triangle On EURJPY In Final StagesEURJPY is trapped in a higher degree corrective triangle pattern, with price currently turning down for sub-wave D that can decline to 113.00 this week after a turn down from 116.27 can be counted in five waves. We see it as wave (a) within a three wave decline, so more weakness may follow after wave (b) bounce back to 115.17 resistance area.
Elliott Wave Analysis: NZDUSD Aiming For Lower LevelsNZDUSD is trading quite nicely in a bearish impulsive decline from the high at 0.7486, with price specifically trading in wave 4 of (3). We believe this intraday bullish bounce may only be temporary, as we see it as the first leg of a three wave correction as wave a. As such two more corrective waves will show up, labeled as wave b and c.
The ideal resistance for this upcoming correction could be around the region of a former wave iv at 0.7202 or near the 38.2 and 50.0 Fibonacci ratio.
USDCHF Continuing Higher, Aiming For 0.9940/0.9960USDCHF is in a strong uptrend that can continue soon as price action in the last 24 hours looks very slow, so it's probably a corrective wave four that is now pointing higher into wave (v) of three. We think that pair can reach 0.9940-0.9960 area before market turns down for a higher degree correction.
Elliott Wave Analysis: USDCHF Could Be In For More GainsOn the USDCHF we are looking at higher degree corrective move, that consist out of three waves A-B and C. As we know waves A and C are motive waves, meaning each have five sub-waves and wave B is a corrective wave, meaning that price usually slows down when in the middle of a wave B correction. In our case this wave B correction seems to be a triangle, a complex pattern that usually after its completion pushes price higher, and as we see on the chart, the final wave E of a triangle seems already over, thus meaning we could be at the start of a new five wave move into blue wave C-circled.
Break above the red wave (D) swing could be the confirmation point of view and could mean that the correction is over and more upside may follow.
Gold Undergoind A Correction; Possible Reversal Near 1230/1260 Gold broke to the downside, which we assumed would happen as bearish momentum was increasing over the last few days. Gold is now beneath the 1270 area, so we reviewed the wave count on higher time frames but still see a move down from the highs as corrective; meaning we are now tracking a five wave decline down in sub-wave C, which may see 1230-1260 area and ideally make a reversal higher.
SILVER Impulsively Declining; Probable Support Around 16/17 ZoneSilver broke beneath 18.30 level but higher degree charts still show a three wave decline from above 21.00 area. It's a correction within ongoing uptrend that will be expected to resume later this year. We see room for current wave C to 16-17 area where market may look for a support.
Elliott Wave Analysis: Triangle On EURJPY Points To Lower LevelsOn 4h chart of EURJPY we have seen a strong decline below the triangle line so we assume that pattern in wave B can be finished so traders may look and expect more weakness down into wave C, especially after a re-test of that broken trendline that seems to have turned into a resistance at 114-115 area.
A Triangle is a common 5 wave pattern labeled A-B-C-D-E that moves counter-trend and is corrective in nature. Triangles move within two channel lines drawn from waves A to C, and from waves B to D. A Triangle is either contracting or expanding depending on whether the channel lines are converging or expanding. Triangles are overlapping five wave affairs that subdivide into 3-3-3-3-3.
Elliott Wave Analysis: EURJPY Intraday ViewEURJPY is making a small consolidation above 113.40 which looks like a wave (iv) within a five wave decline from 116.07. As such, new leg down may occur today, wave (v) to complete larger degree of a blue wave one at 113.00-113.15 zone. From a trading perspective we will keep an eye on wave two bounce that may show up by the end of the week.
NZD/USD - Unclean price actionAnother pair with a bit of chaotic price action. Nonetheless I think there is a good potential sell opportunity hidden in here. If the small resistance area around 0.72600 holds first target should be around 0.7210, followed by 0.7160 and thereafter 0.711-0.7085, if each level fails to provide support and folds that is.
Elliott Wave Analysis: EURGBP Udergoing A Bigger CorrectionEURGBP bounce nicely this week from 0.83332 so we can expect more upside next week as well as we think that bigger corrective bounce is unfolding. We labeled wave A) up that is now near resistance so pair can see some lower prices into wave B) pullback before even higher wave will show up towards 0.8550 region. We will again turn bearish on this pair, but after a completed A)-B)-C) run.
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Elliott Wave Analysis: Triangle On GBPJPY Points LowerOn the 4h chart of GBPJPY we are looking at a triangle correction pattern taking place, that is located in black wave 4 with still two more waves to go, waves d and e for the full completion of the pattern. That said intraday structure suggest that price could be now trading in blue wave d-circled, after recently completing blue wave c around the 139 area.
As we know a triangle correction is a continuation pattern that can after its completion point to lower levels, as in this case.
Elliott Wave Analysis: NZDUSD Could See More WeaknessOne of my favorite pairs for a trade set-up is NZDUSD as price action suggests that ending diagonal is finished at 0.7380 mark. As such weakness with sharp moves may continue this week but after a corrective set-back that may retrace up to 0.7270-0.7290 resistance region as red wave (2).
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Elliott Wave Analysis: EURUSD Reaching For 1.1400EURUSD remains on bullish track for now since decline from 1.1368 to 1.1270 unfolded in three waves. It was just another correction within uptrend that can now continue up to around 1.1400 area where the next resistance for a possible top of EURUSD is seen. We however would wait on a bearish impulse before high is put in place.
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