NASDAQ READY TO CONTINUE THE LONG-TERM WEEKLY BULLISH RUN
FX:NAS100
I just entered this buy trade on Nasdaq on the daily time frame.
The trade setup is a Swing trade following the monthly and weekly orderflow.
The Monthly is bullish, the weekly is also bullish, so I entered on the daily time frame retracement.
My overall take profit is a risk reward of 1:4.
Index
$GBINTR -BoE Cuts Rates as Expected (May/2025)ECONOMICS:GBINTR
May/2025
source: Bank of England
- The Bank of England cut the Bank Rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%,
matching expectations but revealing a split 5–4 vote.
Two policymakers favored a deeper 50 bps cut, while two others wanted to hold at 4.5%.
It was the fourth cut since August 2024, amid concerns over slowing growth linked to Trump-era tariffs.
Dow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key DriversDow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key Drivers
Summary: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) is under pressure and likely headed for a correction due to the Federal Reserve’s tight monetary policy, trade uncertainty from Trump’s tariffs, and weak economic data.
Key Drivers:
➖ Federal Reserve Policy: At the May 6–7 meeting, the Fed is expected to maintain the 4.25–4.5% interest rate due to persistent inflation (2.7% forecast for 2025) and a robust labor market (+177K jobs in April). This dampens hopes for rate cuts, pressuring stocks.
➖ Trump’s Tariffs: New tariffs raise inflation risks and recession fears, reducing the appeal of Dow Jones constituents like Caterpillar and Walmart.
➖ Weak GDP and Global Volatility: A 0.3% GDP contraction in Q1 2025 and declines in Asian markets (1.6–1.8%) signal global instability.
➖ Technical Indicators: DIA trades below its 200-day moving average (~420 USD), with fewer stocks above this level (down from 76% to 55% since January), indicating market weakness.
➖ Outlook: Analysts (Long Forecast) predict volatility, with a potential drop to 38,958 in May, despite an average forecast of 43,370 by month-end. Historically, corrections occur every 1.88 years, and current conditions (tariffs, inflation, GDP) heighten the likelihood of a 10–15% decline.
Target: My downside target for the Dow Jones is 38,555.00.
Current factors and historical trends strongly suggest a near-term correction.
Idea for S&P 500:
DOW JONES Can this Channel Up hold after the Fed Rate Decision?Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 24 Low and yesterday's correction (technically its Bearish Leg) stopped on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Having formed already a Golden Cross, as long as this 4H MA50 holds, it should technically fuel the pattern's new Bullish Leg.
The 'weakest' Bullish Leg within this Channel Up has been +3.58%, so we expect a minimum repeat of that, giving a Target at 42100 on the short-term. This falls perfectly at the bottom of the 5 week Resistance Zone.
If this Channel Up doesn't get invalidated after today's Fed Rate Decision, it will most likely push the price there.
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Massive GER30 Short 1. This trade is at an all-time high and has made a double top on weekly with massive divergence
2. H4 is overbought and has a double top with divergence as well
3. This will indicate a fall until H4 is oversold to compensate for the sharp movement up
4. Stop loss of 250 pips
5. There is a Deep Crab pattern on M15
US30: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 41,170 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred. And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 41,039..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US100 WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅US100 price grew again to retest the resistance of 20,300
But it is a strong key level
And we are already seeing
A local bearish pullback
So I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DAX Correction Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in a strong
Uptrend but the index is
Locally overbought so after
The retest we will be expecting
A local pullback and a
Bearish correction
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY (Dollar index) Shorts from 1hr supply zone My general outlook on the DXY this week leans bearish, as I expect price to continue trending lower. I’ve identified a nearby 1H supply zone, where we could see price react and begin pushing lower. There is also a larger supply zone further above, but it’s currently out of reach unless price pulls back significantly.
Looking back, the 2-day demand zone I marked over a week ago has played out well, with a strong bullish reaction from that level — price is still rising from that zone. During this move, a new 11H demand zone has formed, which also led to a change of character to the upside. If price revisits that zone, we may see another bullish continuation from there.
Key Points:
Overall bearish trend expected to continue in the short term.
1H supply zone nearby is a potential trigger point for a sell-off.
2D demand zone previously marked is still holding and influencing price.
11H demand zone has caused a bullish shift and could provide another long opportunity if price returns.
P.S. This is my general DXY outlook for the week. I don’t trade the dollar directly, but I use it as a key confluence when analysing and executing trades across other major pairs.
DXY Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY keeps strengthening
These last days and the index
Has almost reached a horizontal
Resistance level of 100.500
From where we will be expecting
A local bearish pullback and
A local move down
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US500 - Long-Term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈US500 has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
Moreover, it is retesting its previous all-time high at $4,800 and round number $5,000.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of previous ATH and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #US500 approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$JPINTR -BoJ Holds Rates but Cuts GDP Growth Outlook (May/2025)ECONOMICS:JPINTR
May/2025
source: Bank of Japan
-The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its key short-term interest rate at 0.5% during its May meeting, in line with expectations.
The unanimous decision came amid growing concerns over the impact of U.S. tariffs.
In its quarterly outlook, the BoJ slashed its FY 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5%, from January’s estimate of 1.0%.
The growth outlook for FY 2026 was also lowered to 0.7% from the prior forecast of 1.0%.
US30 LOCAL SHORT|
✅DOW JONES is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 40,947
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 40,314
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Price Action + Fundamentals Point to Dollar StrengthThe current market environment presents compelling evidence for a bullish move in the US Dollar Index (DXY). While some patience is required, the setup is increasingly favorable for the dollar to appreciate in the coming weeks and months.
Key Factors Supporting a Bullish Move:
Monthly Close Above 100.160:
A critical technical level to monitor is the monthly close above 100.160. If achieved, it would signal a strong bullish breakout, setting the stage for a continuation higher. Given current price action and market dynamics, this scenario looks highly probable. However, if the price fails to close above 100.160 and instead breaks below it, we could potentially start looking for short opportunities.
Bond Market Strength (30Y, 10Y, 5Y):
This past week, we witnessed notable strength across the US bond market. Yields declined as prices rose, typically a positive signal for the dollar as it reflects capital inflows into US assets.
COT Report Insights:
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a critical shift: commercial traders, often considered the "smart money," are beginning to accumulate long positions in the dollar. This change in positioning historically precedes significant bullish moves.
Seasonal Patterns:
Seasonality also favors the dollar during this period. Historically, the dollar tends to strengthen in the mid-year months, aligning perfectly with the current technical and fundamental landscape.
Targets:
Initial Target: 106.120
Given the accumulation signs and supportive macro backdrop, a move towards 106.120 seems very realistic.
S&P 500: Key Levels and Potential ScenariosThis analysis of S&P500 will explore both bullish and bearish scenarios, incorporating key levels and considering possible market and crowd psychology.
Bullish Scenario: Potential Uptrend Resumption
From a bullish perspective, if the S&P 500 maintains a position above the 5482 level, it could suggest a potential end to the current correction and a resumption of the major uptrend. A hold above 5482 might reinforce bullish sentiment, encouraging further buying activity, as traders may view this as confirmation of renewed strength. The index could then potentially retest the 5801 level, where it's possible that the index may encounter resistance on the first attempt. A successful break above 5801 would then open the path towards the 6135 zone, which represents a key upside target.
Bearish Scenario: Potential Retest of Support Zones
Conversely, if the S&P 500 fails to hold above the 5482 support level might trigger increased selling pressure, as traders liquidate positions. The index could then potentially retest the 5092 to 4833 support zone. This zone represents a critical area where buyers may step in, but a break below it would signal further weakness.
Concluding Remarks
In conclusion, the S&P 500's price action around the identified key levels will be crucial in determining its short- to medium-term direction. A sustained hold above 5482 could favor a bullish continuation towards 5801 and potentially 6135, while a break below 5482 might lead to a retest of the 5092 to 4833 support zone.
Seems like Bearish Divergence is somewhat Sync now.
Closed just above Weekly Trendline Support
(i.e. above 115000)
as mentioned during last week.
However, the Daily Candle Closed below the
Trendline Support; that means 116000 is the
Immediate Resistance that needs to Cross &
Sustain.
In case of Selling, we may witness 112800 - 112900
as Important Support.
DAX WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅DAX has been growing recently
And the index seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 22,444
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US100) based on Price ActionThis analysis examines the recent price action of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) and identifies potential scenarios based on key technical levels.
Current Situation:
The price has recently moved above a short-term downtrend line, which could indicate a shift in momentum. This development suggests a possibility of upward movement.
Potential Bullish Scenario:
A decisive break and sustained close above the recent resistance level of 19,224 may open the door for further gains. In such a scenario, the index might target the 20,329 level. A successful move beyond that could potentially lead to a test of the historical peak at 22,245.
Potential Bearish Scenario:
Conversely, if the index fails to overcome the 19,224 resistance, there is a chance it could retest previous support levels. These levels are identified at 17,592 and, subsequently, at 16,322.
Conclusion:
The US100 is currently at a critical juncture. The ability of the price to sustain a move above 19,224 may determine its short-to-medium-term trajectory. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain possible, and traders should monitor price action closely around these key levels.
DAX Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in a strong
Uptrend, recovering itself
From the trade-war lows
And the index is locally
Overbought so after the
Retest of the horizontal
Resistance above at 22,500
We will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
The Ghost of 1986-1987 Stock Market Overlay onto $IWMThe 1986-1987 stock market advance was 48% as measured by the S&P500 Index SP:SPX from the low in late 1986 which peaked in August 1987 and crashed into October 19th's spectacular 20% decline in one day.
The advance in the Russell 2000 Index from the low in 2023 to the high in 2024 was 51%, topping the 48% gain in the SP:SPX and the meltdown wasn't as spectacular, but it was similar.
There were similar patterns in fears of trade wars, US dollar declines, new tax laws going into effect back then and tax laws sunsetting this time. Those you can go into by reviewing my other charts I have published over the years here.
I stretched the 1987 pattern to fit the low to the high, so it isn't "exactly" the same time day-to-day for this pattern.
I found it interesting because the chart of AMEX:IWM all by itself had the same "look" to me as the 1987 bull market and crash so I decided to put it together for you all here to see.
I would expect a choppy market from here on as people adjust to the new uncertainties. Sellers of this decline will be shy to reinvest anytime soon and buyers are likely afraid to step up and get aggressive with so much uncertainty.
Sentiment as measured by AAII shows an extremely fearful and reluctant investor class, which is typical to see at major market bottoms.
Wishing everyone peace and prosperity!
Tim West
11:17AM EST April 24, 2025
The Graveyard Of Hope!The Graveyard of Hope is littered with "Buy The Dippers."
How many times can "Buy The Dippers" lick the stove before they finally learn their lesson not to believe anything Trumpchenko says?
The Elona MAGA algorithm goes like this
Over promise
Under deliver
Lie
Declare victory
Leave or Victim Blame
Meanwhile, the economy falls into an economic recession/depression abyss!
I am A political. I call it as I see it. My religion is Economics, Charts, and money. They don't lie!
Click Boost, follow, and subscribe. Let's get to 5,000 followers so I can help more people navigate these crazy markets.
Don't smoke the hopium crackpipe. It will financially ruin you.
DXY BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅DXY is trading in a downtrend
And the index is making a local
Bullish correction so after the
Resistance is hit around 100.500
We will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.