Growth/Decline Index IndicatorAbout:
The Growth/Decline Index is a "parabolic sar" based indicator that mainly has two functions. The first function is to display when price growth or price decline will occur by displaying increases or decreases of the GDI and inflection points. The second function is to rate a stock's performance based on how high or low the digits display the GDI. If the digits read positively, high values then the stock is expected to have growth, and if the digits read negatively, low values then the stock is expected to decline. Remember when looking at the GDI you want to look at both long (yearly) and short(daily) readings to get a better confirmation of trend. The GDI also has short(orange), medium(blue), long(red), readings. The reason why there are three readings is to try to pinpoint buy or selling signals to try to maximize profit. Here is an example of ticker MSFT. As you can see MSFT is reaching long values up to 19! That means that the stock is still in long term growth.
Or how about PEGY having consistent negative values after 2021:
No matter the stock GDI will always be there to help you identify trends, and stock rating.
Want to trade short term? Easy, look at you short values and determine if they are increasing or decreasing.
Be advised:
Please stay in caution when reading the GDI.
Be advised:
The GDI is a new indicator and further behavior analysis such as concave up/down, inflection points, cross over points, divergence/convergence, and minimized/maximized points has to be taken into consideration in order to confirm more precise trends. Also remember that the GDI is a trend tracker and cannot pre identify sudden, large jumps or drops.
-Recommendations/estimates
values for buying: -15 and above
values for short selling -15 and below
What to look for:
Good dips can be found when the medium (blue) line cross from the top downward to the long (red) line and short (orange line) is minimized. (Please keep a look for long term trends)
Or when the short (orange) line has crossed from the top downward to both medium(blue) and long(red) lines.
Remember that this may not be 100% of the case looking for convergence and divergence between the blue and red lines also helps as well as the stock rating and also checking for both long term and short-term readings.
Good peaks can be found when the orange line has greatly exceeded the blue line and has peaked. (also looking at the trend of the blue line helps)
More things can be added and modified to the GDI to make it a cutting-edge indicator.
Have fun. :)
Index
DOW JONES: Two levels to buy.Dow Jones is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.964, MACD = 188.520, ADX = 55.476) and has completed three green 1W candles in a row. Having reached the 0.786 Fibonacci level, the last confirmation left to see in order to call for a continuation of this uptrend is for the 1W RSI to cross over its MA. The moment it does, we will buy again and target the Channel's top (TP = 42,000). Until that moment, we will wait for a more comfortable buy lower at 38,550 (TP = 42,000 again).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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DXY - Bearish => Bullish!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our previous analysis, DXY rejected the upper bound of the red channel and traded lower.
What's next?
📉 DXY is undergoing a correction phase , trading within the rising channel in red, and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand zone highlighted in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #DXY approaches the lower blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
DXY observations (short term bearish trend)DOLLAR OBSERVATIONS
As price continues its downward trajectory, it has shifted its trend to the downside, leaving behind clear supply zones. One of these zones was previously identified and respected as per last week's forecast. I anticipate this short-term bearish trend to persist until it reaches the 104.200 mark. At that point, I expect a bullish reversal to occur, especially considering the presence of an imbalance just above this level.
Additionally, with price currently in a downtrend, my bullish biases on GU and EU align accordingly. This correlation is logical until either of them reaches the supply zone on the daily chart, which should coincide with the same daily demand zone marked out on DXY.
NAS100 A Great Selling Opportunity 🤨👌Trade Proposal:
There is a probability of first tp to the proposed ( 10,800.42 ) Direction line. So, Traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term goals.
Technical analysis:
MAS100 is in Downtrend and It is Expected to Continue Downtrend.
By the end of this quarter and at 10,800.42 in one year
CHINA 50 INDEX Bearish side money heist planMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic resistance level, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next target.
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DXY H4 - Long signal DXY H4
Dollar is moving as expected, bouncing from that 105 price we were marking up and focussing on from last week. Following all the economic data points, support held out and corrected perfectly.
We have since approaching 105.600 price, a key area of S/R. This also ties in with GBPUSD support price. An area where we may see a bit of a correction (as annotated) before seeing the next bullish leg upside.
DXY (dollar index) weekly ideaCurrently, the dollar trend indicates a bearish direction, suggesting that pairs I typically trade, such as GU, EU, and gold, may rise. Presently, I anticipate a retracement to occur towards an 8-hour supply zone I've identified, facilitating the continuation of the bearish trajectory.
This ideally aligns with my strategy until the price drops to around the 104 level, potentially sparking a bullish rally upwards. At that point, I'll need to seek selling opportunities for my other pairs. The dollar's price action appears clear, and there are still imbalances below that require fulfilment.
Have a great trading week guys!
Trading with RSI: The Bad, The Good and Even BetterIn this video I explain how to use RSI (Relative Strength Index) to make trading decisions. You'll learn how to properly use RSI oversold condition, combining low timeframe price action signals with high level context analysis.
Besides of explaining three different strategies (the bad, the good and even better) I'll do back-testing on historical data to demonstrate how those strategies translate into real trading results.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
$BTC tops correlates to $DXY bottoms?Dollar strength bottoms historically marked the tops of the Bitcoin bullrun.
If the dollar is used to buy Bitcoin, then if the dollar loses strength, more dollars are needed to buy Bitcoin, right?
Then if, in the future the dollar crashes hard, can Bitcoin make a super bullish rally?
$DXY down, $BTC up - The crazy (but logic) correlationCRYPTOCAP:BTC just printed a "magical" green candle, after a kinda "bearish" upward movement with a lot of divergences. No one was expecting an upward movement like this, and really caught bears and shorters by surprise. The short squeeze here was brutal and a lot of shorters must be in pain.
Anyone could be asking themselves, "what the hell just happened?". This is the time where traders blame "manipulation" and "market makers" as the ones who move the market to their interests, with such a, we could say, "irracional" price action.
Well... There COULD be an explanation.
Historically DXY (The index that measures the strenght of US Dollar in the financial market) have had an inverse correlation to the price of Bitcoin and viceversa.
It has some kind of logic, since, if Bitcoin is bought with dollars, then if dollar lose its value, then you need more dollars to buy Bitcoin! simple math, simple logic. We are not sure if the graphs are 100% correlated themselves, but it makes sense!
Here you can see that I applied the TVC:DXY graph over CRYPTOCAP:BTC graph, but the TVC:DXY is INVERTED, meaning that every time TVC:DXY went up, you can see it here going down. So you can see now more clearly the direct correlation both have.
TVC:DXY just broke a trendline and printed a very strong red candle JUST at the very same time BTC did y massive green candle a liquidated short positions at very important sell zones.
It's kind of easy to predict a big movement of any of both, if one of them does a big move at some point, because you can expect the other to do a big move at the same time or some time later.
Keep an eye ALWAYS on DXY when you are trading Bitcoin or any crypto.
It IS a finantial advice.
Don't Panic! Nasdaq Bear Breakout May Signal Trading RangeNasdaq Market Analysis Report
Overview
The Nasdaq Composite Index has displayed a bearish breakout from a prominent top pattern on the daily chart. This pattern followed a strong bullish trend, indicating a potential shift into a trading range rather than a fully-fledged bear trend. I'll analyze where the market could find a bottom, explore potential trading strategies, and offer a market outlook.
Bear Breakout and Trading Range Potential
While the April breakout was strong, a transition period into a trading range remains likely due to the preceding bull market. Identifying the range's bottom is crucial for pinpointing trading opportunities.
Support Levels and Market Direction
Key support areas to watch include:
- Previous All-Time High: A natural support level.
- 200-Day Moving Average: Historically significant indicator.
- 50% Pullback: Common retracement level in major trends.
- Weekly Bull Channel Trendline: Provides underlying support.
- Round Number Levels: $16000 and $15000 offer psychological support.
Market sentiment will be influenced by whether bears continue to hold the current scenario, preventing any substantial breakouts above previous highs.
Trading Strategies
- Bullish Approach: Consider selling volatility (e.g., put spreads with 45 DTE) near the identified support levels.
- Bearish Approach: Selling around current prices with a stop at the recent all-time high could work. Look for double/triple tops or trade resistance from the 50-day MA.
Conclusion
The Nasdaq likely faces extended correction towards either the 200-day MA or the weekly bull channel's lower trendline. Price action around these areas will provide clues to the market's true direction, allowing for suitable adjustments to your trading strategies.