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Nasdaq -> Please Look At The Odds!Hello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nas100 💪 After the Nasdaq perfectly retested the monthly 0.618 fibonacci retracement, previous monthly support and also broke above a clear bearish trendline, we had a solid rally of roughly 20%. With the Nasdaq now retesting the next weekly resistance at the $15570 level I do expect a short term rejection again away from the resistance but then eventually the creation of new all time highs on the technology index. Looking at the obvious rising channel on the daily timeframe you can see that on Friday the Nasdaq once again rejected support and there is in my opinion currently a 50% chance that we will still see a major correction but objectively looking at the index there is no sign of weakness yet. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by basictradingtv
41
S&P500 = PRICING IN THE MONEY SUPPLYIn today's chart, we look at the S&P500 divided by the WM2NS (money supply). The upward trend of the S&P500 has been unstoppable since 2009 and has climbed to new heights since 2013. > However, as soon as you divide the chart with the "MONEY QUANTITY", the unadulterated chart = the reluctant truth is revealed. = Regardless of the rising price of the index, it has not changed in real value / hardly noticeable. = The "stock rally" was accordingly only the pricing in of the rising money supply. We have been in a sideways channel for about 30 years: = this was broken by the "DOT COM BUBBLE" and the "FINANCIAL CRISIS". = in the chart, you can clearly see that the channel serves as support and resistance. Currently, we are on the way to the bottom of the channel = another 18% - Downside. > at this bottom, there is a high probability that we will run again to the other side of the range = 64 % - upside. Looking at the 18% - downside in the S&P500, we would end up at around 3,000 points. > The 3,000 mark not only goes over one with Fibonacci and POI levels, but also represents a strong DEMAND zone on the monthly chart. > Based on this, we can expect a reaction in this area on a further down-sale. Looking at the range, a scenario of further down-sale is more than likely and goes along with the opinion of many. If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would greatly appreciate a review of the idea. Thank you and a successful trading!
SP:SPXShort
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
4
Commodities Are Waking Up From The SupportCommodities are waking up from the support with the help of China stocks and there's room for more upside. Bloomberg commodity index with ticker AW made a nice three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) correction with the wedge pattern into wave (C). Unless it has alternatively unfolded a leading diagonal from the highs. Anyway, in both cases we can expect a recovery, at least for a temporary period of time. Currently we can see it nicely breaking out of projected wedge pattern, which indicates for a bigger recovery, at least back to the starting point of the that wedge pattern near 120 area, or maybe even higher if correction is completed.
CBOT:AW1!Long
by ew-forecast
Unleash the Bull: DAX Breaks Boundaries!Bullish/Bearish Momentum: The Macro PVVM, which indicates long-term trend, has been consistently increasing from 68 to 102. This is a strong sign of a bullish momentum in the long term. The indicator breached the overbought level (>100) on the last data point suggesting a strong bullish trend but also the potential risk of a pullback. The Micro PVVM, representing short-term movement, has also shown a general increase from 12 to 41 with some periods of pullback, which indicates a predominantly bullish momentum in the short term. Alignment with Closing Prices: The closing prices have generally been increasing, aligning well with the bullish momentum indicated by the PVVM indicators. The price moved from $16147 to $16189 with some fluctuations. Long-term and Short-term Trends: Long-term (Macro) Trend : The continuous increase in the Macro PVVM suggests a long-term bullish trend. Short-term (Micro) Trend : The short-term trend, represented by the Micro PVVM, has also been predominantly bullish, but the ups and downs suggest a higher level of volatility and uncertainty in the short-term trend. Key Takeaways: The OANDA:DE30EUR is in a strong bullish trend based on the provided dataset, with both Macro and Micro PVVM showing an increasing trend. The Macro PVVM has breached the overbought level, indicating a strong bullish market but also warning of potential short-term pullbacks. The short-term movement shows volatility, which means traders should be cautious. Proposed Trade Strategy: Long Position : As the overall trend is bullish, traders can consider entering long positions. However, they need to watch out for potential pullbacks due to the overbought condition. Short Position : Given the overbought state of the market, traders could consider short positions if there are clear signs of bearish reversal in the Micro PVVM or a decrease in the Macro PVVM. Price Prediction: Given the current trend, the TVC:DEU40 could continue to increase in the next 7 bars. However, as the Macro PVVM has entered the overbought territory, a short-term pullback or consolidation could also occur. Critical Points to Watch: Continuation of the bullish trend in the Macro PVVM. Signs of a reversal in the Micro PVVM, given the overbought condition in Macro PVVM. Price movements and their correlation with PVVM indicators. Watch out for any divergence between price and PVVM indicators, as it may suggest potential trend reversals. Remember, while the PVVM indicators provide valuable insight into the market's direction, they are not infallible and should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and fundamentals for the most reliable results.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by WiseStrat
NDX (Nasdaq 100) Index Analysis 05/01/2021Fundamental Analysis: As we can see the Index has shown a very strong come back after the Covid-19 pandemic of March 2021 which caused the market to fall and create a panic to the world. Since then there are lots of changes to the world and the way companies are operating, such as releasing of their premises and offices as they should have discharge lots of their employees and the work from home schemes was the main reason to cut the expenditure of these companies drastically down. From the other hand, the market administration and governments including Banks has injected lots of funds and so called Rescue Packages and the market stimulant's packages to protect the Market from its Hard and Drastically fall to the lower levels and prevent a gigantic Global Markets Crises. These funding and injection of the cash to these companies along side of cost and expenditure reduction due to their risk measurement policies, forced these companies to invest the receiving funds in to the companies assets to protect themselves from the Pandemic Crises and hedged their exposed risks instead of investing these funds to the new Projects or renovations which could Couse their Share prices to appreciate intrinsically but instead these investments in the assets made an inflation to the prices of the assets and created a bobble in their share value and Prices without having any inheritance or intrinsic values. so we can easily have a decision derived from the current situation that there has to be an other market fall and crises soon so the Price and its relevant intrinsic values get converged and market comes to its correct values. we can observe the same situation in many different centralized markets such as US500 and even other Stock Exchanges around the world like London and rest European market places to be in the same inflated status. there exist a huge chance of an other Global Market Crises coming soon which has the domino effect and Couse the entire markets to fall for some times . This fall of the market shall remove off the liquidity from the equity and debt market and streamflow them to some green heaven Asset classes including Gold and silver or even newly invented Technologies such as decentralized markets and Cryptocurrencies and DeFi. if we have a look at the Current crypto's Total Crypto Market Capitalization we can see it has a very good chances of Rally Continuation to some very high levels such as 5 to 6 Trillion dollars or even much higher. Total Market Cap of All Cryptocurrencies: Gold even can see higher Prices such as 2500 USD per ounce which is currently ranging at 1800 USD. we even can some how speculate a 3 world War to be the initiator of this Market fall which is even not so far from the reality as the situation in middle east is not very stable due to the Iran and Israel disputes and new anti-covid's restriction social movements in Europe and America continent. we can see the same situation in US500: DJI: we shall analyze few other markets and indices and ultimately Propose some Assets which are at their low Points Currently and can be counted as under values at present times. Technical Analysis: we have used the Fibonacci trend base extension from the low to the Highest point even before the Covid pandemic to have a better vision of the Higher expansion levels for the post retracement's rallies and identify the Potential Price levels and resistance zones. where the market can show some stagnation and starts its retracement and price correction to the lower levels. the Fibonacci trend base extension clearly shows that the price has touched the 261.8% which is a very critical point for the price to find its intrinsic values and correct its self by retracing to the lower levels which can be the parallels leg areas of the same Fibonacci extension levels, before its rally to the higher targets. There exist a Bearish Divergence of Price and MACD where Price has made higher high levels but MACD made lower Highs which is the most significant and strong Bullish Trend Reversal and start of Market fall and Price retracement and Value corrections. there are total of 2 Targets defined which have a very strong Support tendencies which can be interpreted as the maximum retracements points. there are few support level are also defined to have a better vision of the bullish trend reversal to bearish retracements which eventually can be counted as the bearish Trend reversal points and new cycle initialization.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by BitonGroup
4
DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average) Index Analysis 05/01/2022Fundamental Analysis: As we can see the Index has shown a very strong come back after the Covid-19 pandemic of March 2021 which caused the market to fall and create a panic to the world. Since then there are lots of changes to the world and the way companies are operating, such as releasing of their premises and offices as they should have discharge lots of their employees and the work from home schemes was the main reason to cut the expenditure of these companies drastically down. From the other hand, the market administration and governments including Banks has injected lots of funds and so called Rescue Packages and the market stimulant's packages to protect the Market from its Hard and Drastically fall to the lower levels and prevent a gigantic Global Markets Crises. These funds and injection of the cash to these companies along side of cost deduction due to their risk measurement policies, forced these companies to invest the receiving funds in to the companies assets to protect themselves from the Pandemic Crises and hedged their exposed risks instead of investing these funds to the new Projects or renovations which could Couse their Share prices to appreciate intrinsically but instead these investments in the assets made an inflation to the prices of the assets and created a bobble in their share value and Prices without having any inheritance or intrinsic values. so we can easily have a decision derived from the current situation that there has to be an other market fall and crises soon so the Price and its relevant intrinsic values get converged and market comes to its correct values. we can observe the same situation in many different centralized markets such as US500 and even other Stock Exchanges around the world like London and rest European market places to be in the same inflated status. there exist a huge chance of an other Global Market Crises coming soon which has the domino effect and Couse the entire markets to fall for some times . This fall of the market shall remove off the liquidity from the equity and debt market and streamflow them to some green heaven Asset classes including Gold and silver or even newly invented Technologies such as decentralized markets and Cryptocurrencies and DeFi. if we have a look at the Current crypto's Total Crypto Market Capitalization we can see it has a very good chances of Rally Continuation to some very high levels such as 5 to 6 Trillion dollars or even much higher. Gold even can see higher Prices such as 2500 USD per ounce which is currently ranging at 1800 USD. we even can some how speculate a 3 world War to be the initiator of this Market fall which is even not so far from the reality as the situation in middle east is not very stable due to the Iran and Israel disputes and new anti-covid's restriction social movements in Europe and America continent. we can see the same situation in US500 we shall analyze few other markets and indices and ultimately Propose some Assets which are at their low Points Currently and can be counted as under values at present times. Technical Analysis: we have used the Fibonacci retracement and Expansion from the low to the Highest point before the Covid pandemic to have a better vision of the Higher expansion levels for the post retracement's rallies and identify the Potential Price levels and resistance zones. where the market can show some stagnation and starts its retracement and price correction to the lower levels. There exist a Bearish Divergence of Price and MACD where Price has made higher high levels but MACD made lower Highs which is the most significant and strong Bullish Trend Reversal and start of Market fall and Price retracement and Value corrections. there are total of 2 Targets defined which have a very strong Support tendencies which can be interpreted as the maximum retracements points. there are two Resistance level are also defined to have a better vision incase of Current Rally Continuation which eventually can be counted as the Trend reversal points.
UShort
by BitonGroup
4