Get started

Index

DXY D1 - Short Signal DXY D1 Cleaning up our dollar index chart here, we have previously been following the price level of 103.000, then 103.300 and now we are looking at this 104.000 whole number. This would be an area of resistance we would yet again expect a rejection. Of course, we have exploded through both previous zones, after some consolidation. Without trying to catch a falling knife, so to speak… There certainly should be a correction due on the dollar index in the near future. The bullish D1 candle run has been insane, I’d like to see a correction to around 102.000 after testing 104.000 territory. Barriers in the interim sit at 103.300 support and 103.000 support respectively, simple resistance to support and support to resistance as we break and move beyond certain trading zones.
TVC:DXYShort
by Trade_Simple_FX
SP500 Secondary Trend. Bowl + handle. Resistance zone. 11 2023Logarithm. Large timeframe 1 week. On the chart a big bowl, you can say already with a handle, the price is testing the resistance of the previous market highs for the 3rd time (entering this zone). Breaking through it, this resistance will become a very strong support during the pumping (probability no more). Simplifying the complex is the key to success. Complicating the simple is a guarantee for your own confusion and mistakes on the plain. It is based on knowledge and experience, which always leads to simplification of actions, not to complication !!!! The SP500 index (500 companies of the global hegemon) is a reflection of the "health of the US economy" and, conventionally speaking, of all markets in the world. It is needed more as an indicator of the direction of other markets, including cryptocurrency (the market is maturing), than for trading as such. The SP500 index (500 companies of the global hegemon) is a reflection of the "health of the US economy" and, conventionally speaking, of all markets in the world. It is needed more as an indicator of the direction of other markets, including cryptocurrency (the market is maturing), than for trading as such. 1️⃣ The increase in % rates will stop closer to the US presidential election, which is logical. 2️⃣ Before elections, the ruling party always shows the people the positive in its work for the people, even if there is none, i.e. injects money into the economy. 3️⃣ Handing out "free money" to potential voters before elections. Who will take it to the stock and cryptocurrency markets. 4️⃣ Changing the bear market cycle to a conventionally bullish one in 2024 and a bullish one in 2025. 5️⃣ Overcoming previous all-time highs, this is the third time we have tested this resistance of the SP500 index. In other words, everything is as always. Before the elections, “everyone is good” and is pushing the economy up. USA together with the Fed. Only the so-called “black swan” can influence this, whether it is real (there are no such things) or staged, it doesn’t really matter. But, this is all a hypothetical probability, nothing more, which must always be kept in mind. Therefore, when the market rises, protect your profits with stop losses or hedge with correlated positions. As a rule, nothing happens, and if it does, the event itself is always inflated by the media and bloggers tens of times in importance, thereby creating the illusion of fear. Don't fall for such tricks, either. The present, and especially the future, is not always a projection of a repetition of the past. It may be conditionally the same, but the details are radically different. This must always be remembered. On linear, it looks like this: The main trend of the index More than 100 years for clarity. Publication 11/22/2022 SP500 index. The whole trend. Anniversary 100 years Vertical growth by +372% (madness, super pump) Before the super collapse of the “Great Depression” Publication 11/22/2022 SP500 index. Pumping before the "Great Depression" Code 372-69 The game controls the people, not the people the game. The concept of a lot is always replaced by a little, a little more, until all their expectations “burst” from greed. This encourages some to become wiser, some, on the contrary, the closer the abyss, the cuter the devils.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by SpartaBTC
5
$CNGDPYY - China's GDP (Q3/2024)ECONOMICS:CNGDPYY Q3/2024 source: National Bureau of Statistics of China -The Chinese economy expanded 4.6% YoY in Q3 of 2024, compared with market forecasts of 4.5% and a 4.7% rise in Q2. It marked the slowest annual growth rate since Q1 2023, amid persistent property weakness, shaky domestic demand, deflation risks, and trade frictions with the West. The latest figures came as Beijing had intensified stimulus measures to boost economic recovery and rebuild confidence. In September alone, there were some positive signs: industrial output and retail sales both saw their largest increases in four months, and the urban jobless rate fell to a three-month low of 5.1%. On the trade front, however, exports rose the least in five months while imports were sluggish. In the first three quarters of the year, the economy grew by 4.8%, compared with China’s full-year target of around 5%. During the period, fixed investment rose by 3.4% yoy, topping consensus of 3.3%.
ECONOMICS:CNGDPYY
by Mr_J__fx
$JPIRYY -Japan's CPI (September/2024)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY 2.5% (September/2024) source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications - The annual inflation rate in Japan fell to 2.5% in September 2024 from 3.0% in the prior month, marking the lowest reading since April. Electricity prices increased the least in three months as the impact of energy subsidy removal in May waned (15.2% vs. 26.2% in August), and the cost of gas rose much more slowly (7.7% vs. 11.1%). Moreover, costs moderated for food (3.4% vs. 3.6%), furniture & household utensils (4.8% vs. 5.2%), transport (0.1% vs. 0.2%), and culture (4.3% vs. 4.8%). Additionally, prices fell further for communication (-2.6% vs. -2.4%) and education (-1.0% vs. -1.0%). On the other hand, inflation remained unchanged for housing (0.7%) and healthcare (1.5%), while edging higher for clothes (2.4% vs. 2.3%) and miscellaneous (0.9% vs. 0.8%). Meanwhile, the core inflation rate hit a five-month low of 2.4%, down from August's 2.8%, compared with the consensus of 2.3%. On a monthly basis, the CPI declined by 0.3%, pointing to the first drop since February 2023.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY -U.K CPI (September/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 1.7% source: Office for National Statistics -Annual inflation rate in the UK fell to 1.7% in September 2024, the lowest since April 2021, compared to 2.2% in each of the previous two months and forecasts of 1.9%. The largest downward contribution came from transport (-2.2% vs 1.3%), namely air fares and motor fuels. Fares usually reduce in price between August and September, but this year this was the fifth largest fall since monthly data began in 2001. Also, the average price of petrol fell to 136.8 pence per litre compared to 153.6 pence per litre in September 2023. In addition, prices continued to fall for housing and utilities (-1.7% vs -1.6%) and furniture and household equipment (-1% vs -1.3%) and cost rose less for recreation and culture (3.8% vs 4%) and restaurants and hotels (4.1% vs 4.3%). Meanwhile, services inflation slowed to 4.9%, the lowest since May 2022, from 5.6% in August. On the other hand, the largest offsetting upward contribution came from food and non-alcoholic beverages (1.9% vs 1.3%).
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
DOW JONES: Turned the previous Resistance into Support.Dow Jones is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.922, MACD = 449.140, ADX = 44.993) as it recovered yesterday's losses but more importantly it is rebounding at the top of the former Channel up. Having broken over it 3 sessions ago, two short term patterns emerged a Rising Wedge (HH, HL) and a Channel Up. If the HH trendline is crossed, it will be the perfect buy signal to target the top of the short term Channel Up (TP = 44,000). The 1D RSI shows that a rally similar to July 10th is possible. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
DXY - Dollar Index 4H bearish setupThe TVC:DXY is showing potential for a bearish reversal after its recent rise. Technically, DXY has bounced back to a key resistance zone after a major fall, reaching the order block from the last leg down. The failure to break significantly higher from this resistance suggests the possibility of another downward move. Liquidity grabs above the resistance zone further support this bearish outlook. However, a small bounce within the resistance zone before another fall is still possible as liquidity is gathered from the upside. Fundamentally, several factors are influencing the bearish sentiment for the USD. The Federal Reserve’s ongoing easing cycle and the potential for further interest rate cuts weaken the dollar, especially as inflation pressures remain subdued. Other central banks, including the ECB, have cut rates, increasing the interest rate gap with the USD, which could further reduce demand for the dollar
TVC:DXYShort
by Sober_Trading
DXY H1 - Short before longDXY H1 Very good morning all, here is our update on the dollar index, last week we saw bulls storm the markets following various different data points. The bull run has sustained and Mondays trading session saw indecisive price movement in the form of consolidation. We are looking like we want to break to the downside. Slowly, but hopefully surely we start to see price pull down towards our anticipated buy zone of around 101.850 price, this is where we would find support amongst a few timeframes, aligning with our confluence zone. Same bias as yesterday, until we see a break of this area of consolidation.
TVC:DXY
by Trade_Simple_FX
NASDAQ: Bullish breakout is taking placeNasdaq is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.848, MACD = 196.930, ADX = 44.220) and that shows the strong upside that the 1H momentum has today. Technically it is on a similar situation like Sep 19th when it crossed over a Channel Up and made a +3.00% rise on the 2.0 Fib. A 1H Golden Cross is about to take place, so we think that is a strong buy entry to target a +3.00 rise (TP = 20,300). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
S&P500: Identical so far with 2018/20. October rally possible.S&P500 just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.810, MACD = 53.820, ADX = 46.107) and that should give a new boost to the already bullish 1W timeframe (RSI = 63.805, MACD = 167.870, ADX = 40.687), which showcases the long term trend. And that long term price action can't be shown more effectively than on the 1W timeframe. We have spotted that the index is repeating the 2018-2020 trend. Starting with a Channel Down under the 1D MA50, the index recovered massively and when it slowed down on a Channel Up, the 1W RSI turned ranged. We are now where the past fractal started rising aggressively again on the October 21st 2019 1W MACD Bullish Cross, as last week it completed a new such Cross. With the support of the 1W MA50, it is more likely now to see a strong rally to the 2.5 Fibonacci extension, where the 2020 fractal abruptly stopped with the COVID market meltdown, which is an event that can't be put into chart analysis. This pattern shows that we have a clear target for early 2025 on the 2.5 Fib (TP = 6,500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:SPXLong
by InvestingScope
USDollar Is In Higher Degree Recovery ModeDollar Index with ticker DXY has turned bearish after the corrective rally stopped at 105.70-106, an important resistance area at the end of June. Since then, the price even accelerated lower through summer so it appears that a bearish impulse, but with current sharp bounce out of an ending diagonal on 4h TF, we believe that correction is now in play. Notice thats a very sharp leg up, so its wave a, still first leg of a minimum three-wave a-b-c recovery that can take index back to 61.8% Fib, near 104 which can be very strong resistance for the next sell-off, especially if we consider that this can be wave 2 rally.
TVC:DXY
by ew-forecast
DOW JONES: Small pullback will offer a buy opportunity.Dow Jones is about to turn neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.040, MACD = 399.580, ADX = 38.469) as it crossed below its 4H MA50, withi the 4H RSI already on a bearish divergence, pointing to a short term correction. We expect that to be on or a little under the 4H MA200 and then rebound (over the 0.5 Fibonacci level) like the September 11th low. Like then, we are targeting the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (TP = 43,200). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30
by InvestingScope
GIFT Nifty 50 Index Futures – Retracement in ProgressThe GIFT Nifty 50 Index Futures chart shows a clear uptrend, with recent price action facing a corrective pullback after a strong rally. The price is currently approaching key Fibonacci retracement levels, offering a potential buying opportunity within the ascending channel. Technical Insights: Ascending Channel: The index has been moving in a well-defined upward channel since June 2024. The current retracement is testing the middle of this channel, which could provide support near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 25,039. Fibonacci Retracement: The price has retraced from its recent high of 25,828 and is testing the 38.2% retracement level at 25,039. If this level holds, we can expect the price to bounce back towards the upper channel resistance around 26,500. A deeper retracement could test the 50% level at 24,314 or the 61.8% level at 23,590, which align with the lower boundary of the channel. Support and Resistance: Support Levels : The immediate support lies at 25,039 (38.2% Fibonacci), followed by 24,314 (50% Fibonacci) and 23,590 (61.8% Fibonacci). Resistance Levels : Immediate resistance stands at 25,828 (recent high), followed by the upper channel boundary around 26,500 . Volume Analysis: Volume has spiked during this retracement, indicating that selling pressure is being absorbed. However, sustained buying interest is crucial to confirm any bounce from current levels. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI has pulled back from overbought levels and is currently near the 50 mark, suggesting neutral momentum. A drop below 40 could indicate further downside, while a move above 60 would confirm a renewed uptrend. Outlook: Bullish Scenario : If the index finds support near 25,039 , we could see a rebound back towards the upper channel, with potential targets at 26,000 and 26,500 . Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold the 38.2% Fibonacci level could lead to further downside, with the next support levels at 24,314 (50% retracement) and 23,590 (61.8% retracement). The overall uptrend remains intact, but caution is advised as the index tests key support levels. Traders can look for confirmation of a bounce before entering long positions.
NSEIX:NIFTY1!
by AngshumanSaikia
Natgas - Pending RSI Failure SwingThis is an idea of what to look out for if natgas continues to rally into overbought RSI territory and tops out as it did in May and June of 2024 (current year). Look out for overbought RSI divergence followed by a failure swing as shown and outlined in further detail in the idea linked below, probably confirmed by MACD divergence as well. Look out for an approximately 40-day duration of top formation once RSI enters overbought territory, plus or minus 20 days. Be prepared for a max draw down of 2.14% if you short the close of the day the failure swing is confirmed. The previous gain was 29.16%. Due to the high draw down %, it may make sense to short a QG micro which is 1/4 of an NG contract, possibly adding more on the way down at your discretion. The trade entry may happen later this year, approximately mid November. Also something to watch out for is a much sharper rise with a much shorter RSI failure swing pattern as was formed at the start of the year 2024 (current year), also shown on the chart. The drawdown was much smaller and the target much greater (50% gain) but the short duration made the failure swing more suspect. It’s better if more than just 5 days form the top and a deeper valley is formed. This is all very hypothetical, but these are the types of swing trades I watch for and it’s good for me, if no one else, to note these potential trades as they approach. Please feel free to ask questions. Previous failure swing idea with additional explanation:
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASShort
by Skipper86
NASDAQ: New buy level approaching.Nasdaq has almost turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.199, MACD = 255.840, ADX = 43.908), which is gradually starting to wave a buy signal again as the price almost hit the 4H MA200. Technically if the 4H RSI approaches the oversold level of 30.000, it is the first buy entry inside the Channel Up. We already have a 4H Golden Cross in our hands. Expect at least a +15.55% rise (TP = 21,150) to complete this bullish wave. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope