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$JPIRYY -Japan's Inflation Rate (CPI)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY 4% (January/2025) source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications - The annual inflation rate in Japan climbed to 4.0% in January 2025 from 3.6% in the prior month, marking the highest reading since January 2023. Food prices rose at the steepest pace in 15 months (7.8% vs 6.4% in December), with fresh vegetables and fresh food contributing the most to the upturn. Further, electricity prices (18.0% vs 18.7%) and gas cost (6.8% vs 7.8%) remained elevated with the absence of energy subsidies since May 2024. Additional upward pressure also came from housing (0.8% vs 0.8%), clothing (2.8% vs 2.9%), transport (2.0% vs 1.1%), furniture and household items (3.4% vs 3.0%), healthcare (1.8% vs 1.7%), recreation (2.6% vs 4.0%), and miscellaneous items (1.4% vs 1.1%). In contrast, prices continued to fall for communication (-0.3% vs -2.1%) and education (-1.1% vs -1.0%). The core inflation rate rose to a 19-month high of 3.2%, up from 3.0% in December and topping consensus of 3.1%. Monthly, the CPI increased by 0.5%, after December's 14-month top of 0.6% rise.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
US500 - Follow the Optimism!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 As per my latest US500 analysis (attached to the chart), it rejected the blue circle zone and surged by over 5%. What's next? 🏹 As long as US500 remains within the short-term rising channel marked in red, any bearish movement toward the lower red trendline should be considered a correction and a potential opportunity to look for trend-following long positions. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TheSignalyst
4
Evaluating the Future of Midcaps: How Much Pain Is Left....?Midcap Correction: How Much More Pain is Left..? The midcap sector has experienced a significant correction, currently down approximately 18% amid the broader market downturn. This raises an important question: how much more pain is left for midcaps? Historical Context and Market Correction : If we look at past trends, this 18% to 20% correction is not unprecedented. A similar downturn occurred in 2022, when the midcap index was corrected by around 23.3%. Therefore, it’s important to remember that such market fluctuations are a normal part of the cycle and not something entirely new. Primary Causes of the Correction : Two key factors have contributed to the current market correction. Firstly, the high valuations of midcap stocks coupled with slower-than-expected earnings growth over the past two quarters have created pressure on prices. While there are other contributing factors, these two stand out as the primary drivers behind the recent downturn. However, this correction may not persist for long. Looking ahead, earnings are expected to pick up in the coming quarters, fueled by an anticipated boost in consumption due to the new income tax bill presented in the latest budget. As a result, a combination of market correction and improving earnings growth could lay the foundation for a potential recovery and a return of the bull run. Technical Support Levels and Future Outlook : From a technical analysis standpoint, the midcap index is currently hovering around the 49,650 mark, which is a significant support level. Additionally, this price point coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, reinforcing its importance as a key technical support area. The broader Fibonacci golden zone, which spans from 50,180 to 46,800, also suggests that this range will provide strong support for the midcap index in the near term. Given these technical factors, it’s reasonable to anticipate that the downside could be limited to around 5% more from the current level of 49,650. Beyond this range, the market may stabilize, and with expected earnings growth, we could witness a market rebound in the upcoming quarters. Risks to Consider : While the outlook for midcaps appears optimistic, investors should remain cautious. One major risk is the ongoing trade war, which continues to create significant uncertainty in global markets. Any escalation in trade tensions could weigh on the broader market, including midcaps, and introduce additional volatility. Conclusion : In summary, while the midcap index has experienced an 18% correction, this level of decline is not unprecedented, and there is potential for recovery. With strong earnings growth expected in the coming quarters and key technical support levels in place, the midcap sector could see a return to positive momentum. However, caution is advised, especially considering the uncertainties surrounding the trade war. Investors should keep an eye on these developments to navigate the market with caution and opportunity in mind.
NSE:CNXMIDCAPLong
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
S&P500: Breaking out towards 6,210.S&P500 is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.592, MACD = 11.130, ADX = 24.014) as it is ranging between the 1H MA50 and 1H MA200. This consolidation is taking place near the top of the Channel Down, a pattern almost identical with January's. When that pattern broke to the upside, it almost hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Our short term target is just under this level (TP = 6,210). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
DAX traders are not bothered about steel and aluminum tariffs It seems that MARKETSCOM:DE30 traders today don't care much about the announcement of US tariffs on steel and aluminum. In fact, the German index continues to show resilience and keeps forming new highs. But how can this last for? XETR:DAX 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:DE30
by Marketscom
9
"Gold (XAU/USD) Breaks Key Support – short term targetsThe 1-hour chart for XAU/USD shows a potential bearish setup with a recent breakout below a key support level. The price is currently hovering around 2,857, with a strong downward move anticipated if the breakdown sustains. The marked "Breakout Below" indicates a possible continuation toward the first target around 2,850, and if further selling pressure persists, the second target near 2,835 may be reached. The previous bullish structure saw multiple breakouts and changes in character (ChoCh), but the current price action suggests a shift in momentum. If price fails to reclaim previous levels, a deeper correction could be in play.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
2
DXY Rejection at Key Resistance – Potential Drop AheadThis chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 4-hour timeframe shows a strong rejection from the highlighted resistance zone around 109.800–110.000. Key Observations: - Rejection at Resistance: Price attempted to break above but faced strong selling pressure, leading to a rejection. - Possible Downtrend Formation:** The price could now move lower, targeting the 1st target zone (~109.100–109.136) and potentially the **2nd target zone (~107.500–107.480)** if the bearish momentum continues. - Break of Structure (BoS) & Change of Character (ChoCh): The previous market structure shifts indicate potential reversals, supporting the idea of a bearish move. Conclusion: A pullback from resistance suggests a possible downside move. If price fails to reclaim the resistance zone, a sell-off towards the marked targets seems likely. Watch for confirmation near the 1st target to assess continuation or reversal.
TVC:DXYShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
DXY Bullish Breakout – USD Strengthening Towards 120+?📊 DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Monthly Chart Analysis 🚀 📈 Breakout in Progress: The chart shows a breakout from a horizontal resistance zone (previous highs). This signals bullish momentum. 📊 Trend & Structure: Higher Lows & Higher Highs indicate an uptrend. Price has been moving within an ascending channel for years. 📉 EMA 200 Support: The 200-month EMA (95.63) is well below the current price, acting as a strong long-term support level. 🔮 Future Projection: A potential pullback to confirm support, followed by a strong bullish move toward 120-125 levels. Chart Projection Suggests: 🚀 Upside continuation if support holds. 🔥 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Support: 104-108 (Breakout retest zone) 🎯 Target: 116-124 (Upper trendline) 💡 Conclusion: Bullish bias remains strong. If DXY holds above 108, the dollar could gain more strength in 2025. 🚀📊
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight
S&P500 1 month rally ahead. Target 6300.The S&P500 / US500 is trading inside a Channel Up since mid July 2024. Today's downside gap opening tested the 1day MA100 for the 2nd time in 2 weeks and buying pressure immediately kicked in. The 1day MACD pattern is identical to the September 06 2024 1day MA100 rebound. This ended up with a rally to the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. Buy and for the next 30 days at least target 6300 (1.786 Fib). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TheCryptagon
Gold (XAU/USD) Near Key Resistance – Watching for Bearish ReversThis chart shows XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a potential sell opportunity around the weak high zone near $2,810-$2,820. Key Observations: 1. Bearish Confirmation Needed : - The price is approaching a resistance zone within an ascending channel. - A rejection or bearish confirmation (e.g., candle reversal, strong wick, or BOS downward) is needed before entering a short position. 2. Structure & Key Levels: - Break of Structure (BOS) signals previous bullish momentum. - Change of Character (ChOCH)** suggests a possible shift in trend. - The weak high at the upper channel trendline indicates a potential reversal. 3. Potential Downside Targets: - $2,797 – First key level of support. - $2,770-$2,750 – Stronger demand zones. - $2,741-$2,720 – Final deeper support area. Trading Plan: - Wait for bearish confirmation** before entering a sell. - A breakdown of intraday support near **$2,797** would strengthen the bearish case. - If price breaks above $2,820-$2,828, the bearish bias is invalidated.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
GBP/USD Symmetrical Triangle Setup: Bullish Breakout?Here's an analysis based on the chart: Key Observations : 1. **Bullish Triangle Pattern:** - A symmetrical triangle or wedge is forming, suggesting potential consolidation before a breakout. - The upward trendline indicates possible bullish momentum as price approaches a breakout point. 2. **Price Levels:** - Resistance: 1.24860 (shown as the 1.13 Fibonacci extension level). - Support: Around 1.24100, where price is currently hovering near the trendline. 3. **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** - The RSI is above 50, which leans toward bullish momentum. - Divergence may be forming as price action creates higher lows while RSI doesn't show the same strength. 4. **Candlestick Patterns:** - Multiple rejections around support suggest buying pressure near the trendline. Trading Implications: 1. **Bullish Breakout Setup:** - If price breaks above 1.24860, it could signify a continuation to higher levels, potentially targeting a Fibonacci extension level beyond 1.25. 2. **Reversal or Bearish Setup:** - If price fails to hold the ascending trendline, expect a move downward, potentially testing 1.23900 or lower.
Long
by BeaucoupPips