Plan Your Trade 6/24/24 - Prepare For Rolling Price ActionThis continued video series focused on my SPY Cycle Patterns teaches you how to plan for future price swings and bigger trending days.
Today, I expect the SPY to stay relatively muted in trend—possibly moving downward overall. The Up-Down-Up (countertrend) pattern suggests that the price will want to move downward today, perhaps setting up support near $541.50 to $542.50.
I don't expect anything big to happen today as today's pattern is followed by three days of an upward price trend. That upward trend is your opportunity for profits.
Tuesday, Wednesday, & Thursday look like a bigger opportunity for long trades than Monday or Friday.
Friday's CRUSH pattern suggests a fairly strong downward price trend. I would be cautious of taking long positions on Friday until possibly the last 60-120 min of the day (if we see a short squeeze setup).
Please use this information efficiently. I'm trying to show you how to use my SPY Cycle Patterns to plan your trading and find the best opportunities.
I will have more info tomorrow as I continue this video series.
Indexes
Dollar Index (DXY): The Market May Go Higher!
Friday's fundamentals were very bullish for Dollar Index.
The market formed a strong bullish candle on a daily and reached a key horizontal resistance.
Next week, wait for a bullish breakout of 105.56 resistance and a daily candle close above that.
It will be an important sign of strength of the buyers.
The market will most likely keep growing then to 106.0 level.
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Potential Scenarios Ahead of FOMC
NASDAQ Index is currently consolidating within a horizontal range.
Most likely, the market participants are waiting for the FOMC tomorrow.
Depending on the reaction of the market to the boundaries of the range,
I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
If the market breaks and closes above 19115 the resistance of the range,
with a high probability, a bullish rally will continue.
Bearish Scenario
If the Index breaks and closes below 18880 the support of the range,
it may initiate a correctional movement.
I think that US100 may keep being weak before the news release.
Let's see what direction the market will choose tomorrow.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Classic Gap Trade
I see a nice gap up on Dollar Index.
As always, chances are high that it will be filled soon.
Approaching a key daily horizontal resistance,
the Index started leaving bearish clues.
I spotted a confirmed breakout of a support line of a symmetrical
triangle formation on an hourly time frame.
The Index may drop soon and reach 104.95 level.
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100): To The Next Highs
One more instrument that we discussed on the today's live stream
is US100 Index.
This week, the market updated the all-time high, violating a key horizontal resistance.
With a very bullish fundamental data, the Index has a nice growth potential.
Next resistance - 19300
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Nifty DivergencesNifty Divergences
On a weekly timeframe, Nifty 50 Index is making obvious divergences
Price is making a new high while MACD histogram is in a downward slope
Price is making a new high while the Force Index is dropping even below the 0 line today.
One positive aspect for the bulls, though, is that it found support exactly where it was needed the most. On the centre line
Are you a bull or a bear here?
S&P500: First green dayHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range ✅ day 2 cycle
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day ✅
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: primary, potential buy low after the news, going to stop short traders from previous week, completing the weekly dump and pump.
Short: secondary, the breakout of Friday left space with no retest, means that traders long never got their positions "shake". I wouldn't exclude a third hour reversal for a scalp back into the previous HOD.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
Dollar Index (DXY): Time For Pullback?!
Dollar Index looks quite oversold after a yesterday's bearish movement.
The price reached a key horizontal support and formed a double bottom pattern on that.
I think that we may see a pullback today at least to 103.9
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Dollar Index (DXY): Pullback From Key Level
Dollar Index nicely respected a key daily horizontal resistance.
I see a double top formation on an hourly time frame
and a confirmed violation of its neckline.
I think that the market may drop at least to 104.43 before the news.
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S&P500 INDEX: More Growth is Coming
S&P500 index recently updated the all-time high.
After a violation, the previous ATH turned into support.
The market retested that and positively reacted.
I believe that a bullish trend will continue.
The market may keep growing to 5380.
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S&P500 INDEX: Growth Will Continue!
S&P formed a cute cup & handle formation after quite a strong
bearish movement on this week.
A bullish breakout of the neckline of the pattern
is an important sign of strength of the buyers.
I think that the Index will keep growing next week.
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DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Waiting for FOMC
Do not forget, traders, that tomorrow we are expecting FOMC.
Ahead of these fundamentals, US30 started to consolidate
within a narrow intraday range on a 4H time frame.
I will wait for its bullish breakout for a strong bullish confirmation.
4H candle close above that will confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected then.
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Dow Jones Index (US30) Get Ready For Breakout
Dow Jones closed this week, approaching a horizontal resistance
based on a current All Time High.
Because the trend is strongly bullish, probabilities will be high
that the price will break that.
Daily candle close above the underlined area will confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected then.
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S&P500: First Red Day, FRIDAY DAY 3Hi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
Let’s jump into the Technical Analysis:
WEEKLY TEMPLATE (1hr chart):
Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday the market bring traders up high, triggering long breakout for three days is a row, breaking higher and failing the weekly level on Thursday, day which closed as well as a first red day.
DAILY TEMPLATE (15min chart):
The market today slightly trigger other time frames in the market, consolidating both the session of Asia and London above CP and previous LOD.
THESIS :
Wait for equity NYO at 9:30, possibility to the big pump and dump to be completed by the next few days if the backside move will start.
Trader in profit also above HOW, I will not exclude scalp long if a setup is presented
SETUP :
Short: LL LOD, pump and dump into yesterday LOD
Long: dump into CP/LOD for a pump back to previous HOD
HERE BELOW, SIMILAR TEMPLATE FOR THE DAY"
NAS100
US2000
US30
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
US30: Day 3, coiling underneath yesterday HODHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
Let’s jump into the Technical Analysis:
WEEKLY TEMPLATE (1hr chart):
Monday day 1 broke higher the previous HOW, failing the breakout, dumping down and closing as a first red red day.
Tuesday day 2, the market consolidated almost all the day at the current LOW placed by the Monday high low, performing a nice pump at the end of the day.
Today Wednesday day 3, the market is in consolidation above the yesterday closing price and previous HOD, a particular situation that often lead to an explosive move. However, indexes open at 9:30 NYT and CPI red news on calendar at 8:30am.
DAILY TEMPLATE (15min chart):
Both Asia and London session consolidated between the CP and HOD, nothing really happened yet.
THESIS :
As always, I do not predict any market direction, because predicting/guessing is just a 50:50 method. However, for a long thesis I would target the previous HOW considering the 3 days dump and pump scenario, but I wouldn't exclude a bigger short scenario back at least to the LOW or breakout traders of Thursday.
SETUP :
Long: consolidation at CP till news release or NYO 9:30am
Short: lower low in place, pump into CP for a dump, eventually also pump into previous HOD for a short setup.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
Dow Jones Index (US30): Bullish Price Action Ahead of The News
In 1 hour, we are expecting US PPI report.
Ahead of the release of that data, I see a bullish price action on US30.
After a test of an intraday support, the Index started quite a long correction
within a narrow horizontal range.
Its resistance was broken with a strong bullish candle,
indicating the strength of the buyers.
The market may bounce.
Goal - 39600
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Dow Jones Index (US30): Bullish Rally Continues
Dow Jones keep breaking key levels.
This week we saw a breakout of a one more significant resistance.
Bulls clearly show their power.
I will expect a further bullish continuation.
Next resistance - 39850
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Rally Continues
As I predicted earlier, US100 keeps growing.
Analyzing the index today, I spotted a strong
intraday bullish confirmation.
After a strong bullish impulse, the market started to correct
within a symmetrical triangle formation.
A breakout of the resistance of the triangle signifies that the
correction is over, and that the market returns to a bullish trend.
I think that the Index may reach 12285 level soon.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Bearish Outlook After News 💵
Today's US fundamentals are very bearish for Dollar Index.
After a test of a key daily horizontal resistance,
the price formed a strong bearish imbalance
and violated a support line of a rising wedge pattern on a 4H time frame.
I think that the fall may continue.
Next support - 104.9
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Dollar Index (DXY): Important Key Levels 💵
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
key levels to watch on Dollar Index.
Support 1: 103.88 - 104.1 area
Support 2: 102.93 - 103.25 area
Resistance 1: 105.41 - 105.58 area
Resistance 2: 106.37 - 106.52 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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