NIFTY - Bearish Market ViewThe idea is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. The current upward momentum is very low and the price is moving in a corrective structure. A downward move is likely from the current resistance zone (or a possible likely scenario with 61.8 fib correction).
A move over 18480 invalidates this idea.
India
GOLD price action SQUEEZE. Long from strong SUPPORT.The price perfectly fulfills my last ideas. The market is heading toward resistance zone from the strong support level . The price is squeezed by descending triangle pattern and the price might bounced off it and go up to test the resistance zone . I think gold might go up if price action breaks out of the triangle pattern . My goal is the resistance at 1865.
Nifty short term target - 17148, 16800, 16650 Nifty chart has recently broken upward parallel channel (white) and taken support at 200 day EMA.. It has also formed a bear flag. Chart patterns suggest we're looking for a downward momentum short term.
My short term targets are 17148 (Fib measured move), 16800 to 16650 (multi month support zone).
If the 16500 levels get broke NIFTY will test 16049 (gap fill) and 15431 (previous month lows).
Let me know your thoughts in comments.
ICICIGI - ACCUMULATION OR DISTRIBUTION?NSE:ICICIGI
ICICIGI formed a good trading range.
its been consolidating for 25 days now with a total volume of 10.5 Million shares.
Big players are getting it ready for a big move as they are slowly building positions in the stock.
I will watch for a breakout to the one side with above-average volume.
#Breakout levels are marked on chart
Use position sizing according to your stop loss level.
Like this idea if you find it helpful and please share it with your friends.
Keep learning,
Happy trading.
Thank you.
NIFTY Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023 NIFTY Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 2.08%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 53th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 1.83% movement
Bearish: 1.55% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 24.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 18325
BOT: 17584
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
31.43% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high
66.58% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates -26.67% BEARISH trend from the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates 66.67% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates 80% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
Garden Reach Shipyward - Longterm Bullish TrendGRSE had a good cup and handle breakout. Then consolidated side ways for more than 17 months and gave a breakout again recently. Generally longer consolidations results in explosive movements upwards or downwards depending on the upward or downward breakout. Mid term target 310 and long term 500 in 12- 18 months.