Why I knew what I knew.A fall of 200 points and then gain back of 150 points is what we all expect at situational understanding of todays graph. But I had been researching over past 3 months the WAVES that rule over indices, I completely eradicated all of the Fundamental Reasons for example news crashes or something like Banking Crisis as the reasons for any downtrend and uptrend for once, even though they are the complete reasons. However there exists a Natural Pattern in Technical Analysis, it is the study of behaviours of Participants in a Financial Market, and Indices are the best representation of that behaviour. So coincidently the time period I studied might have elapsed over same conclusive results of wave analysis but I was dead sure in such a bullish momentum that was taking indices over the edges of Buy Signals and every one opinionated buy calls, yet my research was telling me to short NIFTY50 options. Dow Jones Industrial Average rules the exact parameters of Nifty50 the Indian Index as it gauges it to gap up if Dow futures are up or down if they are down. So the methodology to study waves that I implemented is a simple task of figuring out the weightage stocks that are moving the indices, calculate their Fibonacci sequence, sort their demand and supplies and being an analyst at beginners level I also studied the RRG graphs, the relative strengths, the PMOs, the Sectoral Rotation and concluded that April is for the first fifteen days fully bearish.
India
DRREDDY.... BULLISH. - Healthcare and Pharma SectorNSE:DRREDDY
This stock is fundamentally at ALL TIME HIGH but its PE at the lower band......
stock taking support of the major trendline (RED)
if it breaks 4615 level in WEEKLY TIMEFRAME with strong volume, then it can show a massive rally.
this is all for educational purpose, not a stock recommendation for trading.
invest at your own risk.
Bharti below 200 with a consolidating flagBharti breaks key support and ends below 200. Take an itm put as iv is multi month low. 760 put is just 3 bucks if extrinsic value
Keep a stop at 760 which is the 200. The put will lose 50 percent at the stop. Target of 710 which is the next logical support.
Bonus, bharti coming out of a multi day squeeze and flag, which is fairly unique
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WiproMost of the price action views for a stock are reliable and here on the chart of Wipro; formation of Triple Bottom Pattern clearly depicting a new signal and will provide a good opportunity after its reversal from price of 377. Whereas new orders will arise at 400 witha target of 60points and the booton of the pattern will be a stoploss for the trade.
Thank you.
Hope you like my view.
BankNifty: Expiry day tradeBankNifty has certainly started recovering well, but given that we have just broken out of an important zone, trading BankNifty can get pretty tricky tomorrow. Here's a simple long setup that I think offers pretty good probability of success with good risk to reward ratio.
Rationale:
- Price has just broken through an important zone, but it hasn't been properly retested yet(which may never happen, but as a trader we should plan for that). So I'm expecting some retraction from the current level, before we start getting some good long opportunities.
- We have seen some good volume in last couple of sessions, and expect some profit booking if market opens with a gap-up. Though that seems less likely, as buyers seemed exhausted in the second half today, and I won't be surprised to see the market open with a gap-down(which is better for this setup).
- Indicators like RSI & Stochastic suggesting overbought range on 1H & smaller TFs, the market is not really trending yet according to ADX.
- If the market opens with a huge gap-up, then this trade is off. Otherwise, we wait for the mentioned price levels to hit and take positions accordingly, we must give market at least 3 hours for this trade to work, so don't take position if we there's not enough time(say after 12 PM).
Final Note:
- This just my personal opinion, not to be considered as a financial advice.
- Expect high volatility, so size your positions based on your risk appetite.
TATA MOTORSThe idea is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. The long term bullish cycle has started from March 2020, and after a 5 wave (impulsive) rise, the price is now correcting (WXY correction). The level of 300 is crucial as it is a strong resistance and also coincides with the 50% fib. retracement.
EEM: Emerging Market MSCI (EM) : SELLEmerging markets equities had to clear many hurdles in 2022 but began to recover in the fourth quarter.
But technically, there are hurdles, The Red sloping line of 2021 is the prime example.
After the steep drop in equity markets overall in 2022, It is believed that emerging markets equities may be one of the most mispriced asset classes, with attractive valuations compared with historical levels.
A 15% drop cannot be ruled out...fundamentals are strong, but technicals will sadly rule.