India
NIFTY50 Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022NIFTY50 Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 1.87%, equal to 1.87% last week according to DVOL data
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 23rd percentile,
while according to INDIA VIX, we are on 8th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 1.8% movement
Bearish: 1.55% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 24.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 18740
BOT: 18060
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
30% probability we are going to touch previous high 18740
66% probability we are going to touch previous low 18407 (already hit)
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Weekly timeframe indicates 80% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
Daily timeframe indicates 40% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
4H timeframe indicates 13% BEARISH trend from the moving averages index
The big silver move into 2023Lots of interest in silver again with just a few weeks left of 2022.
some interesting news about India's demand and COMEX, go check it out.
pull back to support S1 or S2 (extreme), then upwards to break yearly highs and possibly more!
watch the news, that's when u will look to sell x
merry xmas and happy new year
NIFTY Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 NIFTY Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 1.87%, down from 1.9% last week according to INDIA VIX data
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 3rd percentile, while according to INDIA VIX, we are on 8th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 1.85% movement
Bearish: 1.5% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 24.3% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 19070
BOT: 18370
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
78% probability we are going to touch previous high of 18914
26% probability we are going to touch previous low of 18370
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Weekly timeframe indicates 80% bullish trend
Daily timeframe indicates 80% bullish trend
4H timeframe indicates 53.3% bullish trend
UPL Trendline BrokenUPL is falling for last one month now it has showed some strength.
Trendline has broken
In option chain for 24th nov there is volume in call side.
There is one block deal purchase on 8th aug in this stock whose sell deal is not there in block deals so we can assume that postion is still open
NIFTY Volatility Analysis 21-25 Nov 2022 NIFTY Volatility Analysis 21-25 Nov 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 2%, according to INDIA VIX data
(INDIA Volatility Index )
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 11th percentile, while according to INDIA VIX, we are on 2th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 1.89% movement
Bearish: 1.5% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 21.1% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 18610
BOT: 17882
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
66% probability we are going to touch previous low of 18220(already hit)
31% probability we are going to touch previous high of 18460
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently 80% of the weekly moving averages are in a bullish trend, and
a combination of moving averages and oscillators are in 31% bullish stance
Ultratech cement Breakout of reverse head and shoulder a stock is ready for the breakout of reverse head and shoulder pattern on the charts of ultratech cement. And there is a huge buildup near the neckline area. Buy Between 6900-7000 and keep a stoploss of 6650 for the targets of 8000-8200.This stock is above all the important exponential moving averages.
Breakout in LT Infotech Breakout in LT Infotech on weekly charts of the w-pattern stock is above 200 days above moving average now it is ready for 5500.
Buy in the zones of 5000-5100 with stop loss of 4940 .
USDINR STRONG IMPORTANT LEVELHello friends,
First, I love India and the Indian people. I made an analysis for the Indian rupee and I think it is on a very important level now. You see the huge rising channel, in which a small falling one is formed. I have indicated the important levels on monthly and weekly charts, which were just hit. We saw a strong rejection from these levels, which means that the price is struggling to fall down further. If the daily candle closes today with a bullish candlestick pattern, I drew the path upside. However, my opinion is that we would only make a price correction in order to break those levels and fall further. Downside levels are really strong and if those are broken we might see a massive crash of the price. I advise you to follow the fundamental analysis of the Indian economy because it is an integral part of this trade. I will also upload pictures under this trade in order to see closer daily candle and fibonacci levels. I will update this trade and follow it closely!
This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.
Namaste! I wish you all the best and bags of profits during the new year.
NIPPON LIFE INDIA ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED - CHART ANALYSIS📊 Script: NAM_INDIA (NIPPON LIFE INDIA ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED)
📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO
📊 Sectoral Index: N/A
📊 Sector: Financial Services
📊 Industry: Asset Management Company
📈 There is crossover at MACD.
📈 Doble Moving Average Crossover.
📈 Trading at upper band of BB.
📈 Right now RSI is around 60.
✅ BUY ABOVE - 300
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 336
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 279
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
MH Indicator: Intra-day case study- Nifty 50 Vs. HULDuring the month of October 2022 (30 September 2022 to 25 October 2022), the pair strategy of Nifty 50 Vs Hindustan Unilever (HUL) was executed in the Future segment for which a total investment of INR 3,00,000 was required. MH Indicator was used for identifying the opportunities of Buying one asset (under valued) and simultaneous Selling of another asset (over valued) and vice-versa. The details of execution of strategy have also been duly marked in the chart given above.
Results: The pair strategy gave a return of 8.09% (Profit 24,275).
However, the return on Nifty was only 3.17% and on HUL it was -6.29%
NIFTY short term bearish target 16000 Nifty is bouncing off on a critical support 200 SMA and lower end of the channel. If it breaks below the 200 SMA and lower end of channel, expect it to test the gap fill levels 17016, 16641, 16340, 16049 eventually 16000. Timing the 16000 target is difficult but I expect it to hit before 2022 end or earlier. On flip side if earnings are good and dollar prices fall down, we can expect 19000 soon.