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ridethepig | India Closing the ChapterIn this positional chart, the INR is entering back into the game, whilst USD is nearer the end and thus already well-developed. That is decisive. So the more distant EM currencies like INR actually will act as a trump card and assist in diverting flows from the king, but like all trumps we must use them sparingly: do not jump the gun is the rule. The diverting exchange of Covid flows was simply the prelude to the king (USD) marching home, which will follow in the coming weeks/months. Indian Equities were denied the advance as anticipated, the trip towards the lows was somewhat time-consuming and the travelling companion INR was too dilatory....As the currency devalued as did local stocks... In any case, the correct procedure is getting our companion (INR) and using it as a weapon to wield influence and thank holders for their loyalty. We should make good use of the cheap currency and the move that now follows by looking to sell the highs in USDINR for a move not too late after. The trip we are planning for should be carefully prepared before pulling the trigger, if possible make use of any overshoots in USD (remember we still have the 1.05/1.06 unlocked in EURUSD for reference on G10). All that before playing the diversionary swing! Softer oil will help Indian significantly as the deprecation pressure on INR was starting to crack through the economic defence. India will need an appetising fiscal policy and less reluctance from the CB to intervene. These are starting to enter into play and can be a major game changer for India in the coming months.
Short
by ridethepig
Exponential Global Currency ComparisonThis is a Exponential Global Currency Graph Comparison (with a focus on India and China) These are all the "major" world currencies going back to about the early 1980's for the larger "population" countries and also a few of the more interesting places like Brazil, Egypt, Turkey, Russia, Philippines, Australia, Japan, and Mexico and more typical larger population areas like the "Euro" and (India and China). Its interesting to point out that just about all the worlds currencies have had about a -400% decrees in value of the $USD over the past 40 years or since the early 1980's. If you look at the "log" or "exponential graph" you can see clearly that the exchange rates for the $1 USD to "any other major world currency". The "typical" exchange rate is about 7 to $1 up to about 100 to $1 with a more typical range for "developing or poor" countries being around 25 to $1 to 100 to $1. And most of the others being 7 to $1 or 5 to $1. This may all change soon? This suggest that you can typically get about 4x of any other major world currency for $1 USD over this 40 year period going back to the 1980's. This will likely change!
by idasuperman
4
BANKNIFTY ::: SHORT::: HIGH-RISK TRADE ::: INSTRUMENT: BANKNIFTY TIME FRAME: DAY INDICATORS PSAR: BEARISH STOCHASTICS: BEARISH TREND: BEARISH SELL BELOW: 19510 STOP LOSS: 19700 TARGET: 18400 RISK DISCLOSURE Technical analysis of FOREX and INDIAN MARKETS. We are not SEBI REGISTERED ANALYSTS The views expressed here are for our record purposes only. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing. We are in no way responsible for your profits/losses what so ever.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by ajithchand-bhandaari
The Indians could be in trouble - againThis is a 2H time frame set up. I show how this could be worth a shot south or a shot north (subject to your acceptable loss). The estimated probability south is 55% - which leaves 45% for the north. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile, and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
IShort
by Captain_Walker
Nifty Demand and supply zones according to me Nothing to add much, in such markets i love to fall back to basic rules. For me the most basic rule of the market is Demand and Supply. Market never turns its back towards this system, price will always respect these zones. Other two systems i will prefer after zones is channel and Fibonacci, have used all three in this chart. Mark these levels on your chart. This chart is having extremely important data in it, analyse this chart deeply. I know i am sharing idea after long time, was busy with some stuff hence forth will try to share ideas more frequently.
NSE:NIFTY
by dhananjay.d.joshi
3
Third Time Lucky?We talked about this in our last update, if the BSE:SENSEX could actually pierce through the resistance at 31,123 to move higher. That may not be the case. Well so far, let's wait till end of day to draw any conclusions. There have been a number of holidays in April, so this sort of erratic behavior can only be expected. We close for Good Friday, and open for one day on Monday before the next public holiday on Tuesday. It's a long week, so stay home, stay safe. May your longs go up, and your shorts go down!
BSE:SENSEX
by bayfolio
History of the Indian Rupee (from the 1980's to 2020)The History of the Indian Rupee from the 1980's to 2020. This graph is relative with the other major world currencies with "yellow" indicator lines for major (historical start date) problems in the History of the Indian Currency going back to the 1980's. The Indian Rupee is has a market-determined exchange rate. However, the RBI trades actively in the USD/INR currency market to impact effective exchange rates. Thus, the currency regime in place for the Indian rupee with respect to the US dollar is a de facto controlled exchange rate. This is sometimes called a "managed float". Other rates (such as the EUR/INR and INR/JPY) have the volatility typical of floating exchange rates, and often create persistent arbitrage opportunities against the RBI (if the USD is not stable) Note: China is the light blue graph in this study.
by idasuperman