India
Time to move up?NIFTY moved down in the fourth wave and bounced up from the red line as expected (see below). It appears to have now completed the fourth wave. NIFTY could move up in the fifth wave (magenta) in October, which could take NIFTY up to 12200-12300. However, if NIFTY crossed the red line and confirmed it as resistance then this wave count will be invalid and further downside would be expected.
PS: This analysis is just for educational purposes and is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Please do your own research and trade at your own risk.
Previous analysis indicating a downward trend in NIFTY:
Long term - India vs Pakistan !!! LONG India, SHORT Pakistan* RSI
* Ichimoku
* Fibonacci
* Bollinger bands
Co-in-siding with USDPKR being long, the short signal is verified. Having said that - the long signal has been active since 3-Mar-2016 and has had a very decent rally - maybe the overturn is coming soon, but no short signal in sight so far. WATCH THIS SPACE...
I am Pakistani, so i hope i am wrong here :)...
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1- GOLD UP SUPPORT 1336 LAST YEAR LOW
2- LAST DOWN SUPPORT 1186/82 (100%)
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NIFTY: Wave C started - updated target of 10400Wave C appears to have started after the completion of wave B at 10894 - very close to the predicted level of 10850 (see below). Wave C could go down to 10400 if Wave C achieves equality with Wave A or to 10070 if Wave C is 1.62 times Wave A. I will update the targets after the completion of wave 2 of C.
Note: This is just for my own future reference and is not a trading advice.
Prediction of 10850 level on May 27 and June 7:
Nifty going down to 10200?Nifty appears to be correcting in an ABC pattern (bigger pink wave). It has completed the A wave and is currently going up in the B wave. B wave is expected to first first take Nifty down to around 10500 and then up to around 10730 (or at the most 10850) where wave C is expected start. Wave C could take Nifty down to 10220 though this level would also depend on the level of correction in wave B. Stay tuned!
Note: It is just for my own reference and is not a trading advice.
SENSEX Index Another Topping Formation DevelopingSENSEX INDEX India
This is another index that looks like it's topping out for the summer.
The great bull campaign from the 2009 low at 8075 to a high at
36370 over 9 years is in its final stages. Echoes of the Dax here.
A break below 34291 will trigger a short opportunity here back to
32516 where it should attempt to bounce - but it won't get far
when it does. And once it breaks below here it should start to
fall away in stages to 31096 then 29169 where it should
bounce harder.
If at any point over the summer 29169 gives way to bears it
should fall harder still 25772 and when that breaks to 22577.
A series of potential short opportunities here all summer long. Be lucky.
NIFTY50 - When Will The Pullback Start?!Good evening Traders,
Since my last update on NIFTY it managed to break the resistance level which I mentioned here.
But now after breaking the important level, I am expecting more upside. But first NIFTY needs a correction lower.
My view is that if NIFTY can break the rising trendline lower, it can retest the resistance area now acting as new support at around 10612.57 areas. This will my preferred view.
However, there is another possibility. It extends now higher making a marginal new high and starts then a bigger correction lower. Let's see which one plays out.
Disclaimer: Trading is about going with the highest probability, nobody is 100% right and we need to protect ourself in case we are wrong. That is why we need to always use a stop-loss when trading. Trade with care. This my current view, and any view present is not a trading recommendation just personal view.
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BTC zoom in view, buy or sell?Btc in a tricky area till it doesnt break the downward resistance line which has proved as a strong resistance
Chances of it holding are 50-50.
if it holds and pulls back the only support which comes in next is the red support line,once that gets taken out we will be back at 8000 levels.
Better to wait for a confirmed trade than get in early with a chance to lose money
BTC BUY???BTC looks like it has bottomed with a big cup and handle with targets of 17,700 but at the same time the handle wont be completed till it has broken 11620 resistance level which is the major level below which BTC looks negative ,it will need a powerful thrust in volume to break the horizontal resistance as well as the downward resistance trendline which is coming down from 20k ,making its mark on 17500 and 11700 along the way.
will be posting a zoom in view of the current situation , next few days extremely important to decide its fate