$cmt and its struggle to breakout.CMT has been accumulating for long time now and should breakout in coming week.
open a position only after it breaksout.
Do share your opinion about my analysis and hit a like if you agree with my thoughts.
India
Trade and Mindset Failure Analysis.Everyone has bad days in trading - I usually never let my mind get affected. This was different, because like an amateur, I panicked out of a set of trades because one went bad.
I was in three trades simultaneously-
1. Short on a put option for 9000 strike = Would have worked out if I gave it time
2. Bought Tata motors - trade premise inconsistent and circled back to market conditions = Would have been a break even trade - why was I trading the stock anyway, it was neither my speciality nor an immediate need. Maybe I was uncomfortable with my exposure
3. Long on a call option = Would have worked out if my goal was different (instead of covering a loss from the above two trades, I should have treated it as an independent event)
The timeline of events is as above.
Learnings:
1. Stick to Futures, Options and Indices. I am not a stock trader - I trade derivatives which I'm good at. Lack of volatility made me skittish and I panicked.
2. I'm watching too many TV series and not working hard enough. That changes today. I am working out every day which is becoming the second good thing I do - I used to have more and I'm going to work harder to get back to that.
3. Too many things on my mind - its time to close everything outside of trading that's pending - immediately, make a to-do and strictly stick to it
4. No more gaming on weekdays, its messing with my hardwork mindset.
Other affecting factors:
1. Bitcoin is not moving. I'm hedged but its an opportunity cost that gets heavier as time goes by.
Okay - that's out of my system. Back to work.
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Time to move up?NIFTY moved down in the fourth wave and bounced up from the red line as expected (see below). It appears to have now completed the fourth wave. NIFTY could move up in the fifth wave (magenta) in October, which could take NIFTY up to 12200-12300. However, if NIFTY crossed the red line and confirmed it as resistance then this wave count will be invalid and further downside would be expected.
PS: This analysis is just for educational purposes and is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Please do your own research and trade at your own risk.
Previous analysis indicating a downward trend in NIFTY:
Long term - India vs Pakistan !!! LONG India, SHORT Pakistan* RSI
* Ichimoku
* Fibonacci
* Bollinger bands
Co-in-siding with USDPKR being long, the short signal is verified. Having said that - the long signal has been active since 3-Mar-2016 and has had a very decent rally - maybe the overturn is coming soon, but no short signal in sight so far. WATCH THIS SPACE...
I am Pakistani, so i hope i am wrong here :)...
GOLD SELL ON RISE TG 1186 (100%) SL 1336GOLD SELL ON RISE TG 1186 (100%) SL 1336
MINI SL - MINI LOSS
BIGG TG - BIGG PROFIT
Reasons : Fundamental Vs. Technical Analysis
1- GOLD UP SUPPORT 1336 LAST YEAR LOW
2- LAST DOWN SUPPORT 1186/82 (100%)
3- DXY ALREADY BREAKED 95.53
4- XAUAUD LAST DOWN SUPPORT 1602 (100%)
5- INDIAN MCX GOLD TRADING EXP 03/AUG/2018
6- Jul/Aug31-1 FED MEETING
7- PM ME FOR MORE INFO
Like & Comments if you follow this idea
MAKE MONEY IN TONS
THANKS
NIFTY: Wave C started - updated target of 10400Wave C appears to have started after the completion of wave B at 10894 - very close to the predicted level of 10850 (see below). Wave C could go down to 10400 if Wave C achieves equality with Wave A or to 10070 if Wave C is 1.62 times Wave A. I will update the targets after the completion of wave 2 of C.
Note: This is just for my own future reference and is not a trading advice.
Prediction of 10850 level on May 27 and June 7:
Nifty going down to 10200?Nifty appears to be correcting in an ABC pattern (bigger pink wave). It has completed the A wave and is currently going up in the B wave. B wave is expected to first first take Nifty down to around 10500 and then up to around 10730 (or at the most 10850) where wave C is expected start. Wave C could take Nifty down to 10220 though this level would also depend on the level of correction in wave B. Stay tuned!
Note: It is just for my own reference and is not a trading advice.
SENSEX Index Another Topping Formation DevelopingSENSEX INDEX India
This is another index that looks like it's topping out for the summer.
The great bull campaign from the 2009 low at 8075 to a high at
36370 over 9 years is in its final stages. Echoes of the Dax here.
A break below 34291 will trigger a short opportunity here back to
32516 where it should attempt to bounce - but it won't get far
when it does. And once it breaks below here it should start to
fall away in stages to 31096 then 29169 where it should
bounce harder.
If at any point over the summer 29169 gives way to bears it
should fall harder still 25772 and when that breaks to 22577.
A series of potential short opportunities here all summer long. Be lucky.