Weekly Perspective (Kiwi)Hey Guys,
The kiwi reverses its gains, Having posted a session high near 0.6890 region, the NZD/USD pair ran through some fresh offers and drifted into negative territory for the fifth consecutive session.The pair extended its bearish slide through the course of current trading week and is now headed back to nearly 10-month lows touched in the previous session, despite of the frequent negative sentiment surrounding the greenback.In fact, the key US Dollar Index has now dropped back closer to 5-month lows touched earlier this week and hence, the latest leg of the pair's downfall in the past hour or so could be solely attributed to rising treasury bond yields, which tends to drive flows away from higher-yielding currencies - like the Kiwi.
Technical levels to watch : A follow through weakness below yearly lows support near 0.6850 level is likely to get extended towards testing the 0.6800 handle ahead of 0.6775 horizontal support.On the flip side, any recovery attempts beyond the 0.6900 handle, leading to a subsequent move above 0.6920 level, is likely to trigger a short-covering rally even beyond near mid-0.6900s back towards the key 0.70 psychological mark.
Note: Everything works with Best money management.
Note: Please leave comments for any query.
Disclaimer: Trade at your own risk.
Good Luck...!!
Regards,
Growing Forex Team
India
Weekly Perspective (Guppy)Hey Guys,
GBP/JPY continues sharp breakout flow on Thursday to hit its highest level since early-February, extending the sharp breakout move that has been in place for more than a week. This breakout was initiated last week on April 18th, after UK Prime Minister Theresa May called for a snap election to be held in June.This political move was undertaken so that May could secure a solid mandate to deal with difficult negotiations with the European Union as she sees fit, amid the ongoing formal process of UK/EU separation. The pound rose sharply on that announcement due in large part to the fact that May’s Conservative Party remains far ahead of the Labour Party in polling. This would then promote greater stability for both the UK and its currency.As the pound has continued to rise in a relief rally, the safe-haven Japanese yen has fallen sharply for more than a week as a strong, risk-on environment has taken hold of the markets. This has especially been the case after this past weekend’s first round of the French presidential election, which showed the market-friendlier Emmanuel Macron gain increasing support over his far-right rival, Marine Le Pen.During Declining Brexit concern that has alleviated pressure on the pound, as well as decreased risk aversion in the markets that has reduced demand for the yen, GBP/JPY has correspondingly been boosted sharply to break out well above a key downtrend line extending back to December’s 148.00-area high. This surge has been sustained up to Thursday and could continue to drive GBP/JPY higher, barring any UK political surprises or major market-disrupting events on a global basis. The next key upside resistance level is around the 145.00 area. With any further breakout above 145.00, GBP/JPY could once again begin to target the critical 148.00 resistance objective.
Note: Everything works with Best money management.
Note: Please leave comments for any query.
Disclaimer: Trade at your own risk.
Good Luck...!!
Regards,
Growing Forex Team
HKDINR @ daily @ currently less than 1% udner all-time highsThis is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
In percents away from all-time high & low by last close (1482 Cross-Rates)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron
IDEA Correction Potentially Over.. Buying Opportunity!!IDEA has been correcting since a long time and it looks like the correction is Potentially Over.. I am taking an Early Action on it with a small stoploss around 63 levels and Targets around 120. There is Bullish MACD Divergence on the chart and the last candle is bullish one to give some support for the prediction.
Happy Trading!!
NIFTY 50: Powerful uptrend, buy dips, buy breakoutsThe NIFTY 50 index has showed nothing but sheer uncorrelated strength this year. The trend remains strong, and the market has acknowledged the weekly uptrend mode support here.
If during the next 2 weeks, price doesn't drop further, we can long it safely. If we break above 8831.55 before that time runs out, bears will be in trouble too.
Keep an eye on the uptrend slope, indicated by the speed line under the current prices. This line has to hold if we see a retracement. You can use an ATR based stop loss to trade this trend. 3 times the 11 period ATR value is a good start. Right now, we can buy on a break above Friday's high and stop at Friday's low.
There's plenty of time to get further bullish confirmation, don't risk over 1% on any given trade.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
Long on NiftyIn continuation with the previous posts on Nifty, there seems to be a good long opportunity to new highs now with a great reward to risk ratio. I'm holding all previous longs too with an SL of 8670.
If it breaks the lower trendline (and SL gets hit) then will be looking for going long later or shorting as per the trend then.
Nifty updated count [Pls read description before foll. arrows]The Nifty uptrend continues. The 1st target of 8770 is achieved.
It's just that the structure formed is slightly different than the one shown earlier (previous ideas links attached). The updated one is shown in the chart. However, SLs and targets remain the same. Now, the SL is 8540 (from 8515). Any pullback can be bought at the fib retracement levels of the current up move.
IF there is a retest of the 0-b trendline of the corrective structure (as shown by the dashed arrows), then it'll be another great opportunity for adding longs (like it happened on 8 July 2016 shown by the bold arrows). Else , the up move will continue. Do not short anywhere. Targets are 8860, then 9150. Basically, just be alert once Nifty reaches the UTL.
Any move below the LTL (which may or may not happen) could result in the start of the correction of this entire up move, but till then trend is up.
Adani Enterprises can move further downNSE:ADANIENT CLSA has downgraded its rating on Adani Enterprises BSE -1.43 % to 'sell' from 'underperform' due to continued margin pressures in its mainstay coal trading business and potential write-down at its Carmichael coal venture.
"Coal trading Ebitda for 1Q was less than US$1/t (Rs60/t) - down 76% YoY, with segment profit at three-year lows. ADE (Adani Enterprises) expects that the coal import volumes will not collapse as feared, due to cost benefits for customers near coastal areas ..
One can expect a Accelerated downward movement towards 68 levels before any support comes in and any weakness further from 68 can results in swift movement towards 60 levels
Bullish on MRF (Long term) - Another opportunity to enterMRF has broken out of a high degree downtrend and is consolidating above the UTL (of the entire move down). Any move above the UTL (of the current consolidation) could be a good entry point for holding it till a target to new highs. This is in continuation of the previous post on MRF, in case that was missed (link attached).
The fib levels would act as support. So the up move could start from one of them or from the long term downward sloping trendlines of the downtrend.
Bank Nifty (and Nifty) bullish this expiryBank nifty has reversed from 1.618FE of wave 1. IF it takes support at the 38% or 50% fib levels (and the trendline), then it could result in a sharp up move to new highs. This should pull Nifty too; just that the wave structure is clearer here.
(Support at the 23% fib level for the up move after that is possible too but then an initial entry would be difficult to perceive.)
TATA Power adds more power to their Kitty!NSE:TATAPOWER Tata Power's 50:50 joint venture with Exxaro Resources in South Africa, Cennergi (Pty) announced commencement of commercial operations for its 95 MW Tsitsikamma Community wind farm project on Thursday.
Technically on weekly chart, price is moving up from a significant base formation and consolidation. I expect price to hit 90 levels over next few months. Keep 70 levels as stop-loss and trade cautiously. Volume spike over last two spikes indicate that smart money is investing in the script.
NMDC ...breakout after consolidationNSE:NMDC .NMDC India's largest Iron ore producer is going to benefit from firming of Global prices. With the revision of Chinese GDP growth rate by Moody's, I expect commodity prices to hold its reins over next few months.
NMDC has formed firm base around 90-100 levels and It has consolidated over six months. It is on the verge of breakout from cloud and Momentum is visible both on weekly and daily charts. One can expect 130 levels over next few month. Keep your stop loss around 90 and trade cautiously.