India
NIFTY 50 WAVE ANALYSIS UPDATE 22 JUN 2016As per our last post market reversal from 8235 to 8035 level, Still market holding on reversal zone. We can enter short upto thursday.
On Thursday BREXIT also impact our market little bit to send the market sideways to Downside. But in medium term still market in upside 8420 and 8650 level are intact.
Enter Long
DATE : 23/06/2016 - Time 13:50 - 14:56 Price - 8035
NIFTY 50 Wave Analysis 20 JUN 2016As per my last post Nifty get Support from 8080 level and went upside but pattern not give view on further upside. I am going to review the wave count and come to the new support at 8035. If coming days Nifty fell to 8035 we can expect lot of buying on this level. The upside should be limited for this month as 8311 and trend will continue on next month also.
Wave Projections for next month - Nifty may surge upto 8420 and 8650 level as quick as possible.
NIFTY 50 WAVE ANALYSIS 11 JUN 2016As i mentioned in the last post of NIFTY analysis expecting correction, It happened but due to strength of the NIFTY we got IRREGULAR PATTERN. Still Nifty on corrective pattern for next half of the week.
EXACT time and date for NIFTY BUY entry - 15 JUN 2016 --- 09:24 - 10:30 . You can enter this date & time if price near to our support levels for next week 8087 - 8038.
The worst is over for the Oil IndustryOil Industry has seen many ups and downs, and each time the oil plunges or makes a new high, it forces many strong economies to rethink on their strategy.
This time it helped Indian and US economy but for most of the oil producing nations are forced to reduce oil dependent economic model.
Any weakness in #USDOLLAR will further fuel the #oilprice.
For oil and gas industry, last one year was really bad. Oil is back in the upward trend and hope that the worst is over.
Excel India Growth Fund TSX:EGI-UNIs it time to invest in India ?
Here's an example of Excel India fund (CAD denominated in Yellow) vs. the SENSEX (in Blue) vs INRCAD (in RED) and an average of SENSEX & CADINR (in Pink).
Despite Indian Index moving up, the (seemingly temporary) strength in Canadian dollar is driving the price of EGI-UN (Excel India) down.
On an average it has an upward bias which was only recently pulled down due to INR devaluation by RBI. Wait for (1) this retracement cycle to complete and (2) CAD to show some sign of weakness before entry. This should result in higher lows on the Pink line, that will be an Entry point.
Banknifty 3 YR Long Term Consolidation Breakdown ShortHello
This is an update from my BANKNIFTY Long call from 13700
and my BANKNIFTY short call which is at a breakeven point. The first scenario I had foreseen was a reversal at this lvl. The second was retrace to 17k and then back down. Now I notice a 3y long pattern of consolidation that has been in development ever since BANKNIFTY rallied from 8k to a 200%+ high of 20k. The banking index is looking weak as India continues to cut rates inorder to increase budget by decreasing payments on debt.
In the short term I think that the second possibility of 17k and back down is possible as the price action has been extremely bullish from 13k ranges and shows indications of wanting to test the top of the consolidation triangle at around 16.7k.
Best of luck
BANKNIFTY SHORTThis is a revision of my prv BANKNIFTY chart "https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BANKNIFTY/Qr1NFlnT-Bank-Nifty-Oversold/". I explicitly stated "Oversold" as I viewed the retrace that I had called till 16k as just a retrace and not any strong sign of resurgence in the banking sector. The channel has proved to be strong. 1st Tp 13.2k 2nd Tp 12.3k.
NCC Long Potential 20% TradeAfter heavy consolidation for 2 months I can foresee a potential breakout from the 1 yr+ triangle to supply zone @ apprx 85. SL is at 62. RR Ratio = 1.65. Always the possibility of denial at resistance trendline however this extended period of consolidation gives me the confidence of an overwhelming bullish sentiment
Best of luck!
Bank Nifty Oversold BankNifty has taken a near 20% hit since the beginning of this year due to bearish economic outlook as well as a massive burden of 7 lakh crore + NPA. The budget has been published and the government has pledged to recapitalize PSUs by a measly 25k crore for now. I believe that the banking sector is yet to see its real lows however for the time being a stabilization in sentiment and a retrace from the fear induced overselling should push banknifty closer to the 15.5k range before it makes its next leg down. There is also a possibility that it can break out of this downwards channel and test supply zone at 17k depending on sentiment in the coming months. Within 2 years I expect banknifty to reach lows well below 10k.
First TP 14.8. Second TP 15.5. Third TP 17k. SL @ 12.6
Nifty approaching the supply zone
As we are approaching the upper line of down trend channel of nifty we need to be ready for big move from those levels,
1) Price can take resistance and reverse
2) Price can trade along the line and move side ways
3) price can move out of channel with force
If we want to trade 1st and third possibility then wait for followup on next day.
Never try to judge top or bottom just be ready to trade if price allows to do so :-)
Trend is our friend
Bank Of Baroda LongAs RBI is facing tremendous pressure to bail out PS/Corporate banks I believe that we will slowly begin to see a short term correction in the bank sector. I expected BOB to either break out and test supply zone at 190 before potentially making another leg up. The second scenario is that the bearish sentiment forces BOB to test demand zone at 100-120 before it continues to test the supply zone. This is big short term reversal point for BANKNIFTY. RR at this level is high.
Brent Near-Term OutlookBrent crude has been able to rally on little volume during the U.S. banking holiday and rumors surrounding a potential unified OPEC production cut, issued by the UAE energy minister just as WTI was carving out a 12 year low (and in the middle of the night, local time, no less.)
Four days later, there has been no new reports of said production cut proposal, but something interesting has been reported by Charles Kennedy at Oilprice.com - " UAE Offers India Free Oil To Ease Storage Woes ."
There is still no reason why OPEC would cut production now given the distress its tactics are already causing in the U.S. shale space. To cave in now, OPEC's squeeze on U.S. shale would be a failure and U.S. shale would be a beneficiary.
The same UAE that sparked the latest crude short-squeeze has so much oil, it's bribing India with free oil in order to access a underground Indian storage facility to park abundant reserves. Go figure.
Despite OPEC's true unwillingness to cut production, the technical outlook for Brent could prove positive unless risk sentiment is turned off.
Currently testing price resistance at $33.81, Brent crude has found support at two key weekly support levels: $27.83 and $31.59. The ADX is showing a lack of momentum in the current move, but +/- DMI could, potentially, have a bullish convergence.
The growing tensions between Saudi, Turkey and Syria could reignite risk premium, but many analysts have suggest that any substantial premium is unlikely due to the current supply glut. Even so, resistance at the 50-day EMA coincides with a minor downtrend.
However, a break north could test $38.46 to $40.34. If price breaks down, Brent could easily retest $27.83, while more talk of not cutting production would send the international benchmark to $22.98.
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An Analysis : Awaiting Breakout in HDFCBANKHDFCBANK is forming a perfect descending triangle pattern over last 3-4 months and desperately need a breakout from the pattern.
Descending triangles can breakout any side so lets wait till the breakout happens and it became more valid with 3 touches on flatline.
Keep HDFCBANK in your list to look out for shorterm and if it gives ample opportunity to enter after Breakout, Hop on and ride whichever side it breaksout.
Check your risks also and plan well before taking positions.
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