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18 June 2023 $ONGC: The oil money longNSE:ONGC Reports came out yesterday stating that Russian oil is making up 30% of India's imports as stated India's largest publicly owned oil & natural gas firm. This comes at a crucial period for Russia after being hammered by economic sanctions, as we can tell with the war, it is firmly narrowing down into a war of attrition, and this war can only be funded if Russia feels economic security, this reason so puts greater trust into BRIC stocks and will definitely see some sort of financial injections in the coming year(s). India hosting the largest population in the world is focused on 2 main objectives especially following the recent tragic train crash. 1. How can they lift the largest workforce in a similar manner to China up? 2. How can they compete neck to neck with Shanghai/LA/NYC/London/HK. Possessing a significantly advantageous location on the world map, India's future will soon be determined by policies made NOW. For India to achieve these objectives, at the very baseline, it requires public infrastructure and, none of that can run without the veins of oil. Thus, this bet is betting on India's persistence and future in general on its most necessary growth factor commodity. The balance sheets show a well maintained company with efficient enough statistics. Currently, it's Price-to-sales are about 0.29 with industry average at about 0.66. Meaning at the moment, ONGC is well undervalued. On top of that, its EBITDA is at 11.02 with Industry average at 8 exemplifying the company's healthy financial status and good cash flow. Beta value sits at 0.73 showing low volatility in comparison to the market and lastly, quarterly price to book is at 0.7 showing it is a great stock to buy at it's current value. I have long term entries at this with buys at 150, 152, 146 and 139 respectively. I will be DCAing this over time but I don't expect a drop to these levels any time soon.
NSE:ONGCLong
by bradleyzander
USDINR next moveas of my TA, it is most likely to break trend support, then the rest is on major support, if it gets supported then I need to post another idea if not then it will get support in the lower red Major support, and it will be most chances it will stay there until or unless, there is any major change in international economics if the change happened at the international level, there will more major supports, and don't forget Major green trend support it is not easy to break but if brock and hard close in 1month TF, then we can see a great down move
Short
by vishutanwar
USOIL Medium Term UpdateI promised in the previous post that I would discuss medium-term charts. I've been calling for an abrupt rise in ABC flat for a while now. However, price movements develop much more slowly than the human brain expects. I believe I read about this bias in books by R. Prechter on the fundamentals of Elliott Wave analysis. This time, there is another layer of uncertainty because Brent did not follow WTI in the flash crash on May 4, which marked the local bottom (wave B low) for WTI but not for Brent. While my expectation of the impending impulse wave C matches the WTI chart perfectly, it is not the same for Brent, where I anticipate an ending diagonal to complete the correction. This weekend is the much-awaited OPEC+ meeting. However, as I mentioned in my previous post, I suspect limited progress in production-cut talks or a tepid market reaction to any agreed cuts. OPEC core members are grumbling about the cuts as Russia's seaborne exports hit all-time highs to markets that OPEC countries consider their fiefdom, forcing them to redirect volumes to the EU, missing out on shipping. Therefore I doubt OPEC+ can come up with a decision that will drive oil prices sharply higher in June-July and keep them elevated by the end of the summer. OPEC+ decisions usually lag the market developments and tend to cause short-lived fluctuations at best (though painful when unexpected). Instead, war drums and EU discussions about the 11th sanctions package could be the catalysts. The EU is considering prohibiting EU entities from purchasing refined products made of Russian oil. Read - India can no longer buy cheap Russian crude to produce diesel and ship to the EU. I have some ideas about what it could mean for energy markets in the long run, which I will elaborate on in a website article.
TVC:USOIL
by Fomenka
RELIANCE IND - ON A VERY IMPORTANT KEY LEVELFor more updates, please follow my TradingView page, and if you find the content useful, kindly hit the "thumbs up" button to show your support. If you have any queries regarding trading, please feel free to send me a direct message on TradingView. Additionally, please share this content with your friends who may find it beneficial. Please note that any trading updates provided here are for educational purposes only, and it is always advisable to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. It is important to ensure that all conditions are met before following any trade plan suggested in this update.
NSE:RELIANCEShort
by Profitlio_Trading
NIFTY may touch 15000 before reaching 22500!Yes! You read that right. So there's a technical reason why NSE:NIFTY is choppy and sideways this past year and a half. In the monthly timeframe, it seems like we're in a Wave 4 Correction that started in Oct'21 when NSE:NIFTY first touched 18000 and is still ongoing. Now if we zoom in on the weekly timeframe, we see something else: An Expanded Flat triangle pattern that's a common occurrence within a major corrective wave as per Wave theory. The fake breakout of the Oct'21 monthly candle in Nov'22 only confirms this phenomenon and is termed an 'Overthrow' in Wave lingo. Now for the expanded flat pattern to be complete in the weekly timeframe, and along with it, the completion of Wave 4 monthly, we need an 'Underthrow'. Meaning, the price should break down the previous major swing monthly (June'22) which is at 15182, and reverse from there for a major Wave 5 impulse! We also notice lately that 18100 is turning out to be strong resistance. This is the Golden Level (0.618) in Weekly. Despite touching 18255 this last expiry (4th May '23), NIFTY reversed strongly and closed below 18100 in weekly. Finally, there's seems to a head and shoulder-like pattern starting to form in Weekly. Even though its too early to confirm with the final leg of the right shoulder yet to form, I reckon with the Wave theory supporting, this should form and if that happens, the technical target as per H&S rules comes out to be around 14850. Maybe this happens, maybe it doesn't! Who really knows? The market can enter into a complex corrective phase and hover more around the 17500-18200 box before breaking out without trending down. This is also a possibility. But ask yourself this question, the Indian story is really promising. The global economy looks up to India as a shining star. Our economy, banking system is doing really well. Fundamentals look strong. Then why is the market still hovering between 17500-18100 since Oct'21? What's really stopping bulls from charging further and breaking 18900? The price action in the next few days from hereon is extremely crucial. If any one candle closes above 18200 in a monthly or even weekly timeframe, then we might see this bullish trend continue further. But if the market stays below 18100 these next few days or weeks, then we might see a minor correction, first, till 17380 . And if this level is breached in weekly, then a major correction till 14800-15000 is imminent as per Wave and technical analysis .
NSE:NIFTYShort
by hsk_94
22