Good RR short opportunity in niftyThis is the first pullback after recent trend reversal in higher timeframe and a perfect order block setup.
Indianstocks
Long ideas (Investment)If nifty holds the level of 17300 and tries to creat an inverted hammer type of pattern in the upcoming days.
(I am personally overbullish, so not expecting to break 17700 levels too)
Here is the least of stock you might want to consider buying:
USHAMARTIN
GOKEX
EPL
JBCHEPHARMA
ASIANPAINTS
HDFCAMC
GUFICBIO
DRREDDY
NIIT
TCS
INGERRAND
FCL
MANAPPURAM
MAXHEALTH
VRLLOG
BLUEDART
insurance sector group
WHIRLPOOL
VOLTAS
TECHM
I am not sebi registered, and I may also build personal positions in mentioned stocks.
Enjoy the end of year sale!
PS: Apart from these keep eye on Nasdaq and Hanseng etf's
Indus Towers: Getting Squeezed by Mota BhaiZero Pricing Power and consolidation by large players.
Target 158 !!
NIFTY50 Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022NIFTY50 Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 1.87%, equal to 1.87% last week according to DVOL data
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 23rd percentile,
while according to INDIA VIX, we are on 8th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 1.8% movement
Bearish: 1.55% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 24.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 18740
BOT: 18060
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
30% probability we are going to touch previous high 18740
66% probability we are going to touch previous low 18407 (already hit)
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Weekly timeframe indicates 80% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
Daily timeframe indicates 40% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
4H timeframe indicates 13% BEARISH trend from the moving averages index
Sunpharma Breakout of Contracting Triangle and Double BottomThe idea here is about Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd:
Sun Pharmaceutical Inds. Ltd is an international specialty pharma company.The company also makes active pharmaceutical ingredients. In branded markets, their products are prescribed in chronic therapy areas like cardiology, psychiatry, neurology, gastroenterology, diabetology and respiratory.The company is engaged in manufacturing of product in the following therapy areas:CNS disorders,Cardiology,Diabetes and Metabolic disorders,Gastroenterology,Ophthalmology ,Oncology,Pain,Allergy, Asthma and Inflammation and Gynecological.
My view is bullish for the below observed technical factors.
Points as per TA on a Weekly Chart:
1.Contracting or Symmetrical Triangle breakout on a weekly chart as per below:
2. Double Bottom Breakout on a weekly chart with huge volume as per below:
3. Bearish Deep Crab harmonic pattern CD leg in progress at the time of publishing as per below:
4. Trading way above 20 & 200 EMA on a weekly chart as per below:
5. Trading above 20 & 200 EMA on daily chart.
6. Ichimoku Cloud analysis: Kumo Breakout & Kumo Twist on a daily, weekly & monthly chart is Strong for an upward momentum at the time of publishing. Hence the trend is very strong.
7. RSI is at 62.43 on a weekly Chart and 70.09 on daily chart at the time of publishing.
8. MACD above signal line on weekly & daily chart.
9. Hull Moving average and other moving averages on a daily,weekly & monthly chart is a strong buy.
10. ADX (Average directional index ) trend strength is at 15.17 on a weekly and 23.25 on a daily chart which indicates a absent or weak trend (ADX between 0-25 is a Absent or weak trend) However, the trend seems to be picking up on upward momentum.
Projected Target: provided in the chart as per double bottom & Bearish Deep Crab harmonic pattern.
Stop Loss: Provided in the chart.
Disclaimer: “The above is an Educational idea only and not any kind of financial or investment advice. So please do your own DD (Due Diligence) before any kind of investment”.
Do you like my TA & ideas!!
Want to keep yourself updated with current market action? Then don’t forget boost & to subscribe for more analysis.
Do leave your valuable feedback & comments for any improvisations.
Cheers.
Gujrat Alkalies Bullish ScenarioThe idea here is about Gujarat Alkalies:
Gujarat Alkalies & Chemicals Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and sale of chemical products. Its products include caustic soda group, special chlorine derivatives group, sodium chlorate, caustic potash group, chloromethane group, phosphoric acid, water treatment group, and hydrogen peroxide. The firm's products are used in various industries, such as textile, pulp and paper, soap and detergent, alumina, water treatment, petroleum, plastic, fertilizer, pharmaceutical, agrochemical, plant protection, dyes and intermediate, refrigeration gas, and epoxy.
Important Note: The Caustic Soda Market witnessed a significant growth as its demand stood at 68.76 million tonnes in 2021 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.95% during the forecast period to reach 141.78 million tonnes by 2035 (courtesy of : www.chemanalyst.com)
I am bullish on Gujarat Alkalies due to below observed technical factors.
1. Anti Gartley Pattern Completed on a daily chart as per below:
2. Ascending Triangle on a weekly chart at the time of publishing as per below:
3. Guessing for a possible Sea Pony Pattern on weekly chart & CD price is colliding with Anti Gartley E Swing Price which is also one of the reasons for bullish momentum as per below:
4. Trading above 200 EMA & Support established on 20 EMA on a weekly chart as per below:
5. Ichimoku Cloud analysis: Senkou Span A possible support and bounce off on a daily chart as per below:
6. Ichimoku Cloud analysis: Kumo Break out and kumo twist strong buy for upward momentum on daily chart & Weekly chart.
7. RSI is at 39.40 on a Daily Chart & 52.81 on a weekly chart at the time of publishing.
8. MACD Way above signal line on weekly chart & way below on daily chart.
9. Hull Moving average on daily chart is sell & buy on Weekly chart & other moving average is a strong Weekly & monthly chart. This is a very strong signal for upward momentum.
10. Wait for entry point. However, keep in mind about the current market condition. Since the equity is listed on CNXMIDCAP 200 and BSE 500 one can compare it with the movement of the index mentioned for price momentum.
Projected targets as per Anti Gartley & Possible Sea Pony Harmonic patterns provided in the chart.
Stop Loss: provided in chart.
Disclaimer: “The above is an Educational idea only and not any kind of financial or investment advice. So please do your own DD (Due Diligence) before any kind of investment”.
Do you like my TA & ideas!!
Want to keep yourself updated with current market action? Then don’t forget boost & to subscribe for more analysis. Do leave your valuable feedback & comments for any improvisations.
Cheers.
Divis Laboratories potential Breakout ?The idea here is about Divis Laboratories:
Divis Laboratories Ltd is engaged in the manufacture of Active Pharma Ingredients (APIs) and intermediates. The company in a matter of short time expanded their breadth of operations to provide complete turnkey solutions to the domestic Indian pharmaceutical industry.They are actively involved in developing alternate, patent non-infringing processes for APIs, for the inventors to manage late life cycle and leading generic drug manufacturers.
My view is neutral at the moment for the below observed technical factors.
Points as per TA on a Weekly Chart:
1. Current market condition isn’t been good due to high volatility back in action any trade entries should be done very carefully and cautiously.
2. BSE 100 ( Divis lab included in) has lost 272.58 points on 11th Oct 2022. However, daily candle indicates it can still bounce back as Anti butterfly harmonic pattern observed as per below:
3. Currently under downtrend channel on a weekly chart as per below:
4. Contracting triangle formation inside downtrend channel as per below:
5. Bearish Bat harmonic pattern CD leg in progress at the time of publishing as per below:
6. Trading way above 200 EMA & below 20 EMA on a weekly chart.
7. Ichimoku Cloud analysis: Kumo Breakout strong downtrend & Kumo Twist weak trend on weekly,monthly chart is Strong for an upward momentum for Kumo breakout & kumo twist on daily both are strong downtrend at the time of publishing .
8. RSI is at 37.55 on a weekly Chart and 35.05 on daily chart at the time of publishing.
9. MACD above signal line on weekly & below on daily chart.
10. Hull Moving average and other moving averages on a daily,weekly chart is strong sell & monthly chart is a sell.
11. ADX (Average directional index ) trend strength is at 28.42 on a weekly(ADX between 25-50 is a strong trend) and 14.13 on a daily chart which indicates a absent or weak trend (ADX between 0-25 is a Absent or weak trend).
Long Entry : if the price breaks above contracting triangle & breaks downtrend.
Short Entry : If price breaks below the contracting triangle and support zone.
Projected Target: provided in the chart as per bearish bat Crab harmonic pattern.
Stop Loss: Enter only if it breaks downtrend & contracting triangle.
Disclaimer: “The above is an Educational idea only and not any kind of financial or investment advice. So please do your own DD (Due Diligence) before any kind of investment”.
Do you like my TA & ideas!!
Want to keep yourself updated with current market action? Then don’t forget boost & to subscribe for more analysis.
Do leave your valuable feedback & comments for any improvisations.
Cheers.
JSW Steel Ltd Double Bottom BreakoutThe idea here is about JSW Steel Ltd:
JSW Steel Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the production, distribution, and trade of iron and steel products. It offers hot rolled and cold rolled coils and sheets; galvanized coils and corrugated sheets; galvalume products; steel doors; and light steel building solutions.
My view is short term Bullish for the below observed technical factors.
Points as per TA observed on a daily Chart:
1. Broken out of Double Bottom pattern as per below:
2. Broken Out of Contracting Triangle on a daily chart on 27th Oct 2022 as per below:
3. Bearish Navarro 200 Harmonic Pattern observed on a daily chart & Price may retest 678.05 ( Swing B of Bearish Navarro 200) as per below:
4. Trading above 20 & 200 EMA on a weekly & daily chart.
5. Ichimoku Cloud analysis: Kumo Breakout & Kumo Twist on a daily is a strong upward momentum & weekly is Neutral at the time of publishing.
6. RSI is at 61.77 on a Daily Chart and 56.03 on weekly chart at the time of publishing.
7. MACD above signal line on weekly & daily chart.
8. Hull Moving average on daily is a sell and Strong buy on Weekly & monthly. Other averages are strong buy on daily, weekly & Monthly.
9. ADX ( Average directional index ) trend strength is at 18.30 on a daily & 7.45 on a weekly which indicates a absent or weak trend ( ADX between 0-25 is a Absent or weak trend.
10. No divergence observed.
Projected Target with %: Double bottom & contracting triangle provided in the chart. However, would recommend for retest to be completed.
Stop Loss: provided in chart.
Wait for retest confirmation on daily chart for double bottom.
Disclaimer: “The above is an Educational idea only and not any kind of financial or investment advice. So
Please do your own DD (Due Diligence) before any kind of investment”.
Do you like my TA & ideas!!
Want to keep yourself updated with current market action? Then don’t forget boost & to subscribe for more analysis.
Do leave your valuable feedback & comments for any improvisations.
Cheers.
GNFC Potential BreakoutThe idea here is about GNFC (Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd):
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd.is engaged in the manufacturing and marketing of chemicals, fertilizers and information technology.The products and services offered by the company include Fertilizers- GNFC is one the leaders in the domestic fertilisers industry. The company manufactures and markets fertiliser such as urea, ammonium nitrophosphate and calcium ammonium nitrate under the brand NARMADA. It is also engaged in importing urea, diammonium phosphate (DAP) and muriate of potash (MOP).Chemicals- The company has also set up core chemical and petrochemical plants that manufactures products such as methanol, formic acid, nitric acid, acetic acid and many more
My view is Bullish for the below observed technical factors.
Points as per TA observed on a Weekly,Daily & Hourly Chart:
1. Contracting or symmetrical triangle observed on a weekly chart as per below:
2. Doji/Spinning top candle formation on weekly chart which indicates the continuation of trend (upward) as per below:
3. Apex point Breakout & Support established with huge breakout in volume & Bullish pin bar candle formation on a daily chart observed as per below:
4. Bullish Gartley, Bearish Anti Crab & Bullish Navarro 200 pattern formations completed within the range of contracting triangle with Gartley & Navarro 200 targets been still active on a weekly chart as per below :
5. Falling wedge observed on 1H chart with breakout & reconfirmation as per below:
6. Inverse Head & Shoulder formation in progress on 1H chart with completion of left Shoulder & Head completed with 20 & 200 EMA support established as per below :
Inverse H&S target once completed will lead to breakout of contracting triangle on weekly chart
7. Trading above 20 & 200 EMA on a weekly & 20 EMA support established on daily chart at the time of publishing.
8. Ichimoku Cloud analysis: Kumo Breakout & Kumo Twist on a weekly is a strong upward momentum & Daily is Neutral at the time of publishing.
9. RSI is at 52.64 on a Daily Chart and 53.03 on weekly chart at the time of publishing.
10. MACD almost touching the signal line on daily chart & below signal line on a weekly chart at the time of publishing. There is a high possibility of MACD crossover on weekly chart.
11. Hull Moving average & other averages are strong buy on daily & monthly. However Hull moving average is a sell on weekly and other averages is a Strong buy.
12. ADX ( Average directional index ) trend strength is at 14.02 on a weekly & 12.83 on daily chart, which indicates a absent or weak trend ( ADX between 0-25 is a Absent or weak trend).
13. No divergence observed.
Projected Target with %: provided in chart.
Stop Loss: provided in chart.
Entry point: Conservative trades can wait for breakout & retest of contracting triangle. Aggressive & risk trades can enter at CMP.
Note: The center has approved an additional Subsidy on fertilizers for winter planting season.
Disclaimer: “The above is an Educational idea only and not any kind of financial or investment advice. So
Please do your own DD (Due Diligence) before any kind of investment”.
Do you like my TA & ideas!!
Want to keep yourself updated with current market action? Then don’t forget boost & subscribe for more analysis. The more boost & comments further more motivation for publishing.
Do leave your valuable feedback & comments for any improvisations.
Cheers.
NIFTY can the Momentum keep up ?The idea is about NIFTY.
Mentioned below are the points considered
Points as per TA on a Daily & hourly Chart:
1. Anti Crab Harmonic Pattern Completed on 1H chart & Target 1 achieved at the time of publishing as per below :
2. Breakout above 18330 will result in change of character COC (Wyckoff theory) on 1H chart Highlighted in Black as per below :
3. Ichimoku Cloud on Weekly is bullish (Chikou Span is above the price) & currently consolidating as per below:
4. Ichimoku Cloud on daily is bullish (Chikou Span is above the price) as per below:
5. Ichimoku Cloud on 1H is Bearish (Chikou Span is below the price) as per below:
6. Weekly chart has broken out of falling expanding Wedge as per below:
7. Weekly chart has broken out of cup & handle pattern & retest completed as per below:
8. Multiple divergences observed on weekly chart 7th Nov as per below:
9. MACD & RSI divergence observed on daily chart till 16th Nov as per below:
10. Open Interest data shows 180 k Call options @ 18300 which will act as resistance & 101 k put options @ 18200 which will act as support at the time of publishing.
11. RSI weekly @ 62.22, daily @ 60.07 and 1H @ 53.45 at the time of publishing.
12. MACD on weekly & hourly is above signal line and on daily chart below signal line.
13. Hull Moving Average is a Buy Signal on Weekly, Sell on daily & Buy on Hourly chart .
14. Since tomorrow will be the last day for the weekly options expiry & monthly futures expiry huge movements can be expected on 2nd half of trading today & tomorrow.
Projected target, as per Anti crab Pattern on on 1H provided in the chart.
Stop Loss: provided in chart.
Disclaimer: “The above is an Educational idea only and not any kind of financial or investment advice. So please do your own DD (Due Diligence) before any kind of investment”.
Do you like my TA & ideas!!
Want to keep yourself updated with current market action? Then don’t forget boost & to subscribe for more analysis. Do leave your valuable feedback & comments for any improvisations.
Cheers.
HDFCAMC - Booked ProfitClosed my position in HDFCAMC for a profit of about 8.10%. Expecting a reversal move from here on. Will consider re-entry if it touches the bottom of the ascending channel in the coming days.
www.youtube.com
NIFTY Playing The BreakoutIn this update we review the recent price action in the Nifty futures contract and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target
Long setup in southbankDMI supports the price action, indicating the momentum is still intact.
Buy - 14.65
Stop Loss - 13.8
Target - 16.6
NIFTY Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 NIFTY Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 1.87%, down from 1.9% last week according to INDIA VIX data
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 3rd percentile, while according to INDIA VIX, we are on 8th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 1.85% movement
Bearish: 1.5% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 24.3% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 19070
BOT: 18370
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
78% probability we are going to touch previous high of 18914
26% probability we are going to touch previous low of 18370
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Weekly timeframe indicates 80% bullish trend
Daily timeframe indicates 80% bullish trend
4H timeframe indicates 53.3% bullish trend
Westcoast paper limited, At support can bounce backWest coast paper limited has given returns in few previous days and given breakout, but after retest failed to bounce back,
Right now it is taking support on trendline, if bounce back with volume, we can see good returns
Breakout in india cements Breakout in india cement at the levels of 248 buy at current levels for the targets of 270 stock is above of all the important exponential moving averages keep stoploss strict.
NIFTY - Indian Markets Looking Good Indian Markets are looking really juicy !
If the market repeats the previous pump then my Tp 1 - would be 23.4k - 24k and TP 2 would be 25 - 25.7K !
Cheers !
$NIFTY Possible Bull Target & Reversal Zones #NiftyTraders and Investors, there is a lot of joy, speculation, excitement and nervousness in the Indian stock market as it makes another all-time high today. This however can be very deceiving or a good opportunity. Depends on how to see and interpret it. 🙂 If you think this is way too high and it should take a correction or dump then it may just give you that sort of opportunity when it reaches one of those FCP zones or extension levels ahead. If you are bullish and expect market to continue rise higher then also we have these zones and extension levels as possible bullish targets.
Remember a few things about this market:
1. It has been consolidating for a while after hitting a major reversal level as you will see in the attached idea posted on Oct 13, 2021. This can still form a double top and fall down.
2. The Nifty 50 index has been taking divergence from US Indices this year. Whilst US indices fell Nity held its position strongly. But that does not mean it can no start to follow them again. The correlations come and go in time cycles.
3. This market cab target 20K level as well because that is psychological and is getting close. In terms of points, it is still too far but in the overall price action structure it is not.
Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂
Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions.
Take care and trade well
-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
Nifty duble tope make in day TFDear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major chart pattern. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills. #nifty
NIFTY 50 Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022 NIFTY 50 Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022
We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 1.85% , same as last week.
According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 51th percentile, while with INDIA VIX we are on 12th percentile.
Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :
In case of bullish - 1.82%
In case of bearish - 1.55%
With the current IV calculation, we have currently 24.3% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above
or below the next channel:
TOP: 18771
BOT: 18090
At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week:
26% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 18125
78% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 18535(already hit)
Lastly from a technical analysis point of view, currently 80% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a BULLISH trend.
NIFTY Volatility Analysis 21-25 Nov 2022 NIFTY Volatility Analysis 21-25 Nov 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 2%, according to INDIA VIX data
(INDIA Volatility Index )
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 11th percentile, while according to INDIA VIX, we are on 2th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 1.89% movement
Bearish: 1.5% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 21.1% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 18610
BOT: 17882
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
66% probability we are going to touch previous low of 18220(already hit)
31% probability we are going to touch previous high of 18460
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently 80% of the weekly moving averages are in a bullish trend, and
a combination of moving averages and oscillators are in 31% bullish stance
Phoenix085-Analysis RILThe crucial SnR's are marked on the chart...
As per my analysis and the way price has reacted recently...
I feel there's a certain uneasiness in RIL stock which if supported by the Nifty, would definitely come crashing down to the 2450 or even 2400 levels...
These are just my analysis and not recommendations... Cos if i am not getting a penny from your profits would not be right to hold me accountable for your losses...
