Engineers India - Can it engineer some magic 🔮Spent hours on an Engineers India con-call, sharing analysis to the point in
disc: Invested, do your own research
📊 Company Update on Engineers India Limited (EIL) #EIL #Q2FY24 #FinanceReport
Financial Performance: EIL's turnover for Q2 ending Sep 2023 was INR 777 cr, a slight dip from INR 808 cr in Q1 FY23-24. Half-year turnover stood at INR 1586 cr. Notable increases in profit before tax (68%) and after tax (59%) compared to last year.
Important Q&A
Margins & Revenue Adjustments: Post-liquidity damage settlement, margins for the turnkey segment at approx. 1.3%. #Margins
Order Pipeline: EIL continues focusing on oil & gas, petrochemicals, refinery, mining, and infrastructure sectors.
International Initiatives: Expanding into global markets, EIL has made strides in Guyana, Algeria, and continues efforts in Nigeria, South America, and other African countries.
Non-Oil and Gas Initiatives: EIL is actively engaged in green hydrogen projects and has signed an MOA with NTBC for green initiatives and energy transition projects.
Growth Prospects: EIL anticipates a 10% increase in turnover and net profit, signalling growth after a period of stability.
Investment Plans: Significant investments include the Ramagundam fertilizer project and Numaligarh refinery. No new major projects are planned.
Opportunity Size: EIL is bidding for projects in the range of INR 30k to 40k cr across various sectors.
Margins in New Sectors: While exploring green hydrogen and other sectors, margins will depend on market competition, but profits are expected to be favourable.
🚩Risk Management in EIL Strategy #Risks #InvestmentRisks
Turnkey Segment Margin Variability: Quarterly fluctuating margins in the turnkey segment, generally between 2-3%, with ongoing efforts to improve.
Investment in Specific Projects: EIL's focus on a few large projects could be risky if delays or issues arise.
Dependency on Large Projects: With significant engagements like the Nigeria fertilizer complex and Guyana power plant project, EIL's performance is heavily dependent on securing large projects
Critical Takeaways for EIL Investors #Investors #StockMarket #EIL
⚙️ Chart pattern looking very good on the weekly and daily chart
🔚That's a wrap on the latest EIL update! Follow me for more insightful updates on EIL, finance, and the stock market. #EIL #Finance #StockMarket
$NSE:ENGINERS
Indianstocks
MIDCPNIFTY 440+ Points Gain April and May 2024 have been amazing in terms of returns from MIDCPNIFTY monthly options contract.
Had some awesome trades in April and 2 trades in May (first SHORT and now LONG), both giving massive returns.
I was trapped in the intraday or scalp trading, by following Telegram channels blindly, without knowing a thing. Today I dont depend on anybody to take trades.
440+ points in MIDCPNIFTY is massive!!! The only thing is, it needs patience.
This strategy I use works for Monthly contracts. (Min 15 days for expiry is required).
I really feel ike closing this trade right away, seeing the unrealized profit screen really haunts you day after day, if you do not take it and convert it into realized profit.
But, I am gonna wait for a few more days.
God bless you and happy trading.
JK Lakshmi Cements: It could break either way. Be prepared.Key Zones
Supply Zone (Resistance) represented by the Red Box.
The price has shown a clear rejection in this zone multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure.
Demand Zone (Support) represented by the Green Box.
Historically, this zone has acted as a strong support, suggesting buying interest in this area.
Patterns and Trendlines
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Current RSI is around 40.73, suggesting the stock is approaching the oversold territory, but not quite there yet.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 875 - 900 INR (Supply Zone)
Support: 675 - 725 INR (Demand Zone)
Intermediate Support: 723.10 INR
Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above the descending triangle's upper trendline, it could challenge the supply zone around 875-900 INR.
Confirmation would require a strong breakout with high volume.
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below the descending triangle’s lower trendline and the support at 775 INR could lead to a drop towards the demand zone around 675-725 INR.
The gap fill mentioned in the chart could be a target area in the event of a breakdown.
Conclusion
The chart shows JK Lakshmi Cement at a crucial juncture within a descending triangle pattern.
Watch for a breakout above the triangle for a bullish move towards the supply zone.
Alternatively, a breakdown below the current support could lead to further downside, targeting the demand zone and potential gap fill area.
Monitoring volume and RSI will be key in confirming any breakout or breakdown.
Overall, traders should keep an eye on these critical levels and patterns to make informed decisions.
DISCLAIMER: EDUCATION PURPOSES ONLY. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Macro Monday 47 – Major Trading Opportunities In IndiaMacro Monday 47 – Major Trading Opportunities In India
10 Reasons why you need to pay special attention to India’s economy
Before I start there will be major market opportunities in India that will present over the coming 12 - 36 months in India. As an investor or trader, you cannot ignore this market.
1. India is on track to become the world's 3rd largest economy by 2027, surpassing Japan and Germany (currently India is 5th). This provides a major 3 - 5 year potential investment opportunity in Indian index funds and specific stocks in India.
2. India overtook China as the most populous nation in world in April 2024 (1.435b vs 1.425b).
3. Approximately 65% of India’s population is below the age of 35, and half are below the age of 25. In years to come this will represent a larger innovative workforce with the potential for higher productivity and increased consumer demand from this younger demographic.
4. India has the fastest GDP growth in the world. A minimum of 6% in GDP growth is expected over the next five years, separating it from both the broader emerging market cohort and from slower-growing developed markets. We noted on last weeks Macro Monday that Brazil’s GDP growth was expected to range between 2 – 2.9%, India’s GDP is expected grow at twice this rate.
5. In the shorter term India has a major domestic election concluding in June 2024. Between 1999 – 2019 India's Nifty 50 Stock Index historically tended to exhibit a positive trend six months preceding and following federal elections. A 20.5%+ increase prior to Election conclusion, 3%+ one month after election and 14.4% in the 6 months post-election. Election Season is great for the Indian Stock Market and we are right in the middle of it.
6. India has emerged as a global economic player striking deals with the US, Russian and China, having exceptional relations with all three. India actively participates in international forums and in shaping economic policies. Its presidency of the G20 in 2023 showcased its economic prowess and diplomatic finesse. This all translates into India showcasing that it is in growth mode, but more importantly, that it is economically stable, diverse and reliable.
7. According to Blackrock their emerging market ETF inflows into Indian indexes exceeded $4.4b in 2023 whilst total flows into all other EM countries ETF's combined to only $1.1b, clearly demonstrating a major influx of capital into India ahead of other EM's.
8. Indian equities earnings estimates are predicting a market with potentially prolonged and stable earnings growth. Analysts are expecting general Indian equities to post 13.8% earnings growth in the next 12 months and 14.4% in the next 18 months. Longer-term estimates call for 14.5% year-over-year earnings growth by year-end 2026. There is an incredible opportunity for TA chartist’s and investors to move into individual stock selection with the wind at their backs as the Indian Economy moves into what maybe its golden economic era.
9. Over the past two decades, India’s main stock benchmark, the Nifty 50, has offered 15.0% annualized returns in USD terms, more than double the 6.8% offered by the majority of other global Indexes and this is expected to continue.
10. India has made remarkable progress in reducing extreme poverty. Between 2011 and 2019, the share of the population living in extreme poverty was halved. This trend emulates what China achieved between 1990 and 2011 when they halved the amount of people living in extreme poverty in China. In the decade that followed China became the world’s second-largest economy, surpassing Japan. As mentioned in No.1 above, India is expected to become the 3rd largest economy in the word, overtaking Japan by 2027.
Now that we have a good understanding of this major positive macro-economic trend in India, let’s have a look at some general indices where some great opportunities are present.
Please note that India is firmly on my Radar now and more specific equities charts will be posted as I discover them.
Ishares MSCI India ETF - AMEX:INDA
The iShares India ETF is an exchange-traded fund that aims to track the performance of the MSCI India Index. This index includes large and mid-sized companies in India's equity market.
Here are the top 5 holdings of the iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA) along with percentage allocations and brief descriptions:
1. Reliance Industries Ltd (8%): Reliance Industries is a conglomerate with interests in various sectors including petrochemicals, refining, oil and gas exploration, telecommunications, and retail. It is one of India's largest companies by market capitalization.
2. ICICI Bank Ltd (5.36%): ICICI Bank is one of the largest private sector banks in India offering a comprehensive range of banking products and financial services to individuals as well as corporate clients.
3. Infosys Ltd (4.41%): Infosys is a global IT consulting and services company that provides software development, maintenance, systems integration, outsourcing, and other technology-related services to clients across industries worldwide.
4. Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd (3.76%): HDFC is a leading provider of housing finance in India. The company offers various loan products and services to individual homebuyers as well as corporate clients engaged in real estate development.
5. Tata Consultancy Services Ltd (3.23%): TCS is another major IT consulting and services company from India that offers a wide range of digital transformation solutions to global businesses across industries such as banking & financial services, manufacturing, healthcare, retail, and more.
Please note that these holdings are subject to change over time based on market conditions or fund manager decisions, however this is on the 2024 prospectus. These could be good starting stocks for investors seeking to pick individual stocks in India as they have the backing of analysts in one of the largest funds in the world.
The Ishares India ETF Chart
SUBJECT CHART ABOVE
▫️ Price has broken to new highs and now bounced off the 21 week SMA.
▫️ A potential parallel channel break out with a target at c. $68.00.
▫️ Good risk reward on a potential trade at 4:1. Entry here at $52.97.
▫️ You could raise the stop to of approx. $50 and make it an RR 7:1.
▫️ The DSS Bressert appears to be crossing and about to move upwards but this is not a guarantee yet. This outcome would be ideal.
▫️ Price could revisit the breakout point at c. $50 - $51 which would be a more ideal entry but given the positivity in the Indian market, election season, the fact we are making new highs and are above the 21 SMA, coupled with a DSS Bressert cross looking likely, this is a very reasonable long term set up.A potential parallel channel break out with a target at c. $68.00.
▫️ Good risk reward on a potential trade at 4:1. Entry here at $52.97.
▫️ You could raise the stop to of approx. $50 and make it an RR 7:1.
▫️ The DSS Bressert appears to be crossing and about to move upwards but this is not a guarantee yet. This outcome would be ideal.
Price could revisit the breakout point at c. $50 - $51 which would be a more ideal entry but given the positivity in the Indian market, election season, the fact we are making new highs and are above the 21 SMA, coupled with a DSS Bressert cross looking likely, this is a very reasonable long term set up.
India NIFTY Mid Cap Select Index - $NIFTY_MI
The India NIFTY Midcap Select Index is a stock market index that represents the performance of 25 mid-sized companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) in India. Stocks are selected from the Nifty Midcap 150 index based on availability for trading in the Futures & Options segment, market cap and average daily turnover. Stock weights are based on free-float market capitalization.
Here are the top 5 holdings of the NIFTY Midcap Select Index along with percentage allocations and brief descriptions:
1. Indian Hotels Co. Ltd (7.1%): IHCL and its subsidiaries bring together a group of brands that offer a fusion of warm Indian hospitality and world-class service. These include Taj – the iconic brand for discerning travelers, SeleQtions, Vivanta, Ginger, and amã Stays & Trails.
2. Persistent Systems Ltd (5.69%): Persistent Systems is a global company specializing in digital engineering and enterprise modernization services. They offer solutions in banking, financial services, healthcare, life sciences, and technology sectors.
3. Cummins India Ltd (5.65%): Cummins designs, manufactures, sells, and services diesel and alternative fuel engines, generators, and related components. They are known for their innovation in power solutions and corporate responsibility.
4. Lupin Ltd (5.40%): Lupin is an Indian multinational pharmaceutical company and one of the largest generic pharmaceutical companies by revenue globally. Their key focus areas include pediatrics, cardiovascular, anti-infectives, diabetology, asthma, and anti-tuberculosis.
5. Housing Development Finance Corporation Asset Management Company Ltd (5.21%): HDFC AMC operates as an investment management firm, offering portfolio management and advisory services to individuals, institutions, trusts, private funds, charitable organizations, and investment companies in India.
Please note that these holdings are subject to change over time based on market conditions or fund manager decisions, however this is on the 2024 prospectus.
The Chart
▫️ The India NIFTY Mid Cap Select Index chart is more promising than the Ishares MSCI India ETF.
▫️ There is a defined upward channel under which the 21 week SMA is providing support.
▫️We have broken recent highs, local resistance and a have a DSS Bressert Cross turning up. All three are bullish signals.
▫️A great risk reward set up is available here at 11:1. You can alter this to suit your risk tolerance or how long you want to remain in the trade. I would be inclined to lower the stop because the RR is weighted heavily to the upside.
▫️It is possible that we get a retest of the breakout area also, but given the DSS Bressert Cross and upwards momentum, I lean more directly bullish.
Indian Rupee (INR) Currency Risk
There is a currency risk with the second trade in the NIFTY Mid Cap Select Index as it is denominated in the Indian Rupee (INR) which has been on a long term decline against the USD since Aug 2011. If we were to move to the bottom of the current long term pennant we could lose c.5% in currency devaluation in this trade. This could happen over a couple of months, so its something to keep an eye on.
Here is the INR/USD Chart for reference:
Summary:
There is a unique opportunity to make significant returns from one of the largest and fastest growing countries in the world.
I listed 10 reasons why India's economy has major promise:
1. Projected to 3rd largest Economy by 2027
2. Largest Population in the world (since Apr 2024)
3. 50% of population are <25 years of age, 65%<35
4. Fastest GDP growth in the world at 6%
5. Election Season = 14 - 17% return historically
(within 8 months of current juncture in May 2024)
6. India's presidency of the G20 in 2023 showcased its economic prowess and diplomatic finesse.
7. Three times more capital flowing into India ETF's vs other emerging market ETF's
8. Analysts predict 14.5% YoY growth in Indian Equities.
9. Over the past two decades India's Nifty 50 has offered 15.0% annualized returns in USD terms
10. In India the share of the population living in extreme poverty was halved between 2011-2019
We then looked at two India Indexes that are looking very positive and have a great risk:reward trade set ups in the $NIFTY_MI and the $INDA. We also covered off some of the indexes individual holdings as these might be worth looking at.
Finally we created awareness of the currency risk that exists on the $NIFTY_MI chart. If we want to take advantage of this blooming economy in more specific and targeted ways, we will likely need to trade in the Indian Rupee XETR:INR at some stage. So we need to be familiar with the chart and the currency. We projected that it could decline by 5% against the dollar over a 6 - 12 month period so this should be factored in. This is not a prediction. It could show strenght against the dollar and break out of its downward pennant. Time will tell.
All these charts are available on my Tradingview Page and you can go to them at any stage over the next few years press play and you'll get the chart updated with the easy visual guide to see how the South America market has performed. I hope its helpful.
PUKA
MUTHOOTFIN ON WEEKLY RESISTANCEMUTHOOTFIN has reached a crucial resistance level on the chart. The price has respected this highlighted zone, and we should watch closely for a valid reversal or breakout confirmation. Given that the previous run encountered significant selling pressure at this point, careful attention to price action on lower timeframes is necessary for confirmation. A breakout above the resistance will invalidate the bearish outlook.
possible Head & shoulder patternthere is a possibility that nifty smallcap 250 can for a head and shoulder pattern here, which can bring it down by total of 11%, and 7.7% after the formation gets completed. It is very likely that the market will not complete this pattern, but just for awareness and availability of different perspective I wanted to post about it.
also, please do not take any decisions too quickly based on this as patterns are for very short term but in the long term I'm still very bullish on the midcap and smallcap index.
SWING IDEA - SYRMA SGSA potential swing trade opportunity in Syrma SGS , a notable player in the electronics manufacturing industry.
Reasons are listed below :
The stock exhibited resilience as it rebounded strongly from the 450-500 support zone, suggesting a false breakdown and indicating underlying strength.
A hammer candlestick formation on the weekly timeframe signals a potential reversal, hinting at a shift from bearish sentiment to bullish momentum.
Finding support at the 0.5 Fibonacci level further bolsters the bullish outlook, providing a solid foundation for potential upward movement.
The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the weekly chart acts as additional support, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Notable increase in trading volumes reflects heightened market interest and potential accumulation by investors, adding weight to the bullish case.
Syrma SGS has demonstrated a pattern of higher highs, indicating a trend of increasing bullish momentum and reinforcing the potential for upward movement.
Target - 570 // 670
Stoploss - weekly close below 448
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - INDIABULLS HOUSINGRenowned as a premier housing finance company in India, India Bulls Housing is esteemed for its innovative financial solutions tailored to the housing sector. Delving into technical indicators and price action, we uncover compelling factors signaling a potential buying opportunity within India Bulls Housing's stock.
Reasons are listed below :
Multiple tests on the 170-180 zone, followed by a successful breakout and subsequent retest, indicating a strong foundation for upward momentum.
The presence of a robust bullish candle on the weekly timeframe signifies sustained buying pressure and a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Additionally, a bullish Marubozu candle on the daily timeframe further bolsters the bullish sentiment, emphasizing strong buying interest.
The formation of a cup and handle pattern breakout pattern adds another layer of confirmation to the bullish bias, suggesting a potential uptrend continuation.
Notably, the stock is currently trading above its 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and is poised to break the 200-day EMA, indicating strengthening bullish momentum.
The price's bounce from the 0.618 Fibonacci level reinforces the significance of this level as a key support area, potentially attracting more buyers.
Furthermore, increased volume activity accompanies the price movements, indicating heightened investor interest and participation in the stock.
Target - 248 // 280
StopLoss - weekly close below 182
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
NIFTY50 INDEX BREAKOUT CONFIRMED, WHAT'S NEXT?The NIFTY50 has indeed followed the projection I made last week, confirming the breakout on the channel we identified. Now, I anticipate a continuation of the bearish trend towards the lower support level. This retracement should provide a significant pullback from the current bullish momentum observed on the hourly timeframe.
ICICIBANK POTENTIAL REVERSAL AHEAD WITH THIS PATTERNICICIBANK has experienced a bullish breakout followed by a pullback within the confines of a bull flag pattern. The recent reversal, respecting the upper boundary, suggests a potential retracement within the current bullish trend. Should the breakout occur as anticipated on the chart, a price decline towards the highlighted key level is conceivable.
TATAMOTORS BACK ON DAILY RESISTANCE, WILL IT GO ABOVE 1150 NEXT?TATAMOTORS might establish a fresh peak provided there's ample volume to breach the highlighted resistance zone. Therefore, it's prudent to monitor this level closely for either a breakout or confirmation of a reversal, which will determine the stock's future trajectory. A decisive breach of the resistance could propel it to a new high, potentially surpassing 1155. Conversely, a bearish reversal and breakout below the floor price of 945 would negate the bullish outlook.
SBIN MAY LOOK FOR A CORRECTION AHEADSBIN has been on a robust bullish streak, indicating a possible retracement or correction phase in the near future following its recent rally. There's potential for the price to consolidate within a formed channel before potentially breaking out bearishly, supporting a bearish outlook.
NIFTY50 POTENTIAL BREAKOUT ON THE STRUCTURENIFTY50 is currently within a robust bullish channel, displaying consistent growth since the emergence of bullish sentiment. Price has adhered to the previous high established on the daily timeframe. We anticipate potential price action to remain within the upper and lower boundaries for a period. Upon future confirmation of a breakout at the lower boundary, a bearish trend with significant momentum could be witnessed.
SWING IDEA - CYIENTA potential swing trade opportunity in Cyient , a leading global engineering solutions provider, renowned for its innovative approaches and commitment to sustainability.
Reasons are listed below :
The stock is currently retesting the significant resistance level of 1800, which historically served as a strong barrier. This retest could indicate a potential breakout.
A dragonfly doji candlestick pattern has formed on the weekly timeframe, suggesting a potential reversal from bearish to bullish sentiment.
Cyient found support at the 0.382 Fibonacci level, providing additional confirmation of a potential reversal.
The stock has been consistently forming higher highs, indicating an upward trend in price action.
Target - 2366 // 2860
Stoploss - weekly close below 1800
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights