BRIEFING Week #16 : ObservationHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Indicators
Bitcoin Bearish Reversal Setup: Rising Wedge Breakdown Targeting1. Entry Point:
Marked around $86,853, this is where a potential short (sell) trade might have been initiated.
2. Stop Loss:
Placed above $88,783, protecting the trade in case the market goes against the position.
3. Target Point (Take Profit):
Aiming down toward $74,443.76, suggesting a large bearish move is anticipated.
4. EMA Indicators:
30 EMA (Red Line) at ~$84,271: Indicates short-term trend.
200 EMA (Blue Line) at ~$83,496: Indicates long-term trend.
Price is currently trading above the 200 EMA but slightly below the 30 EMA, showing mixed short-term momentum.
Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Setup: Bullish Breakout Toward $3,637 TargeCurrent Price: $3,309.18
EMA 30 (Red Line): $3,265.00
EMA 200 (Blue Line): $3,163.35
Trend Direction: Strong uptrend (price above both EMAs)
Timeframe: 1-hour (short-term analysis)
📍 Key Levels
Entry Point: Around $3,266.63 (just above EMA 30)
Stop Loss: Around $3,265.00
Target (EA Target Point): $3,637.23
Potential Profit: +$365.01 or +11.16%
🔍 Technical Patterns & Zones
Rising Channel: Price is moving within a rising wedge or channel, indicating bullish momentum but with narrowing range — a potential reversal signal if broken.
Support Zone: Highlighted purple box around the entry point; likely a demand zone.
Resistance Zone: $3,637.23 area marked as the EA Target Point — previous resistance or Fibonacci extension level.
✅ Bullish Signals
Price is consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
EMAs are aligned in a bullish formation (short EMA above long EMA).
Clear breakout above consolidation range recently.
Trade setup shows favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
⚠️ Risks / Caution
Rising wedge can sometimes break down — watch for volume drop or divergence.
Potential pullback to the entry zone is expected (indicated by the arrow).
News Events: Symbols below the chart indicate upcoming USD economic data, which could bring volatility.
📈 Strategy Summary
Buy on pullback to $3,266.63 with tight stop at $3,265.00.
Target: $3,637.23 — potential 11% gain.
Risk: Minimal if stop is respected, tight stop-loss.
"Gold Demand Zone Bounce – High R:R Long Setup!"📈 This is a bullish setup using a demand zone bounce strategy on the 15-minute timeframe.
Key Zones & Levels
🔵 Demand Zone:
The blue box is where price previously bounced strongly.
Buyers are likely to step in again here.
✳️ Entry Point:
3,292.38
Just above the demand zone – a safe place to catch the next bounce.
⛔ Stop Loss:
3,280.93
Below the demand zone to protect against a breakdown.
🎯 Target Point:
3,345.09
Near a previous resistance area.
Potential gain: +51.94 pts / 1.58%
Indicators
🟡 EMA (7):
Current value: 3,303.63
Price hovering around EMA = consolidation or setup for a bounce.
Risk-Reward Calculation
⚠️ Risk: 11.45 points
✅ Reward: 52.71 points
⭐ Risk-Reward Ratio: ~4.6:1
Very favorable!
Price Action Summary
📊 Strong uptrend into demand zone
🔁 Minor pullback = potential setup
✅ Ideal entry after bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish candle pattern)
Conclusion
This setup looks solid:
✅ Clear demand zone support
✅ High R:R ratio
✅ Clean target above
Just wait for a bullish signal inside the zone and ride it up!
BTC/USD Short Setup – Triple Top Reversal with EMA Confirmation Entry Point (Sell): Around $85,699.52
Stop Loss: $86,741.44 (above resistance zone)
Target (Take Profit): $82,982.09
This provides a Risk-Reward Ratio of approximately 1:2, a commonly acceptable ratio in trading.
📈 Indicators:
EMA 30 (Red) is currently above the EMA 200 (Blue), indicating bullish momentum—but this setup anticipates a trend reversal.
If price breaks below the EMAs, that would confirm bearish strength.
🧠 Conclusion:
This setup is based on:
A strong resistance zone,
Bearish reversal pattern (triple top),
Risk management via stop loss and take profit levels.
If you're trading this:
Wait for confirmation with a bearish candlestick below the EMAs or a break of recent support.
Manage position size based on stop distance and your account risk tolerance.
Do You Know the Difference Between an Indicator and a Strategy?A lot of traders jump into Pine Script or apply a script on TradingView without understanding one key difference:
Indicators and Strategies are not the same — especially when it comes to real-time performance and backtesting.
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What’s the Key Difference?
Indicators
Indicators are visual tools designed to help you analyze price action in real time . They do not track trade performance or simulate trades automatically.
You can use them to:
- Generate signals
- Stack confluences
- Set custom alerts
- Overlay custom visuals on charts
Best for: Chart analysis, signal confirmation, and manual or semi-automated alerts.
---
Strategies
Strategies are built for backtesting . They simulate how your trade logic would have performed historically, using `strategy.entry`, `strategy.exit`, and related functions.
They automatically calculate:
- Hypothetical P&L
- Win/loss ratio
- Drawdowns
Best for: Validating trade logic, optimizing entries and exits, performance tracking.
---
But Here’s the Catch
Many traders assume that once a strategy backtest looks good, it will behave exactly the same in live trading. This assumption can lead to poor decision-making.
❌ Why Forward Testing Isn't Perfect
When you set alerts based on a strategy, you're asking a backtest engine to behave like a live trading engine — and that’s not what it was designed for.
TradingView strategies:
- Only execute on candle close
- Do not simulate intrabar price action
- Do not account for slippage
- Do not reflect real-time market volatility
So:
- Your strategy alert may fire late compared to actual price movement
- Your SL/TP may be hit within a candle, but the strategy won’t know until close
- You may see better backtest results than what happens live
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Takeaway
If you're using strategies with alerts, it’s critical to understand these constraints:
TradingView’s strategy engine is optimized for historical testing, not for real-time execution. It provides insight into the validity of your logic — but it’s not a replacement for a live execution engine.
Best Practice Recommendations:
- Always forward-test on a demo or paper account first
- Monitor how alerts perform in real-time
- Be ready to adjust parameters based on your asset and timeframe
If you need better responsiveness or real-time adaptability, consider using indicators to generate your alerts. Indicators react to price in real time and are often more suitable for live market conditions.
---
Final Note
Some strategies are built with these limitations in mind. They can still be useful in real-time trading as long as you're aware of how they work.
Transparency is key. Backtesting is a guide, not a guarantee.
Trade smart, stay informed.
Feel free to reach out if you have questions or insights to share!
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Continuation Setup – Key Support Levels 📊 Chart Context & Setup
Chart Type: Candlestick
Indicators Used:
50 EMA (red): Currently at 3,199.009
200 EMA (blue): Currently at 3,123.168
Support Zone: Around 3,157.786 – 3,123.168
Current Price: Approximately 3,211.90
Focus Point (Target Zone): 3,283.810
🧠 Technical Analysis
🔹 Trend Analysis
Overall Trend: Bullish
Price is trading above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
The EMAs are sloping upward, indicating strong momentum.
Golden Cross previously occurred (50 EMA crossing above 200 EMA).
🔹 Key Support & Resistance
Immediate Resistance Zone: Around 3,240
This area is acting as a potential rejection zone, with minor consolidation.
Support Zone (Highlighted): 3,157 – 3,123
This zone was previously a breakout level and now serves as a retest support.
It coincides with the 200 EMA, adding to its strength.
🔁 Scenarios Presented
Scenario A – Bullish Rejection from Immediate Support (3,199)
Price could hold above or near the 50 EMA.
Break and retest of minor resistance could lead to a push toward 3,283.81 (target).
This is a higher-risk entry as the support is not deeply tested yet.
Scenario B – Deeper Pullback to Major Support (3,157 – 3,123)
A drop below current price into the main demand zone.
Bullish engulfing or strong reaction in this zone would offer a high-probability long setup.
Ideal entry point for swing traders, especially if confirmed by volume or bullish candlestick reversal.
🎯 Trade Strategy Suggestion
✅ Long Setup
Entry Option 1: On bullish rejection above 3,199 with confirmation.
Entry Option 2 (Preferred): At strong support zone 3,157 – 3,123 with bullish reversal signal.
Target: 3,283.81
Stop Loss:
For Entry 1: Below 3,157
For Entry 2: Below 3,100 or 200 EMA, depending on aggressiveness
📌 Conclusion
This chart illustrates a classic bullish continuation setup with two potential entry scenarios:
A minor pullback and bounce from the 50 EMA.
A deeper retracement into a strong support zone aligned with the 200 EMA.
The uptrend remains intact as long as the price holds above the 200 EMA and the major demand zone. A break below 3,100 would invalidate the bullish outlook short-term
EUR/USD Bearish Setup Unfolding Below Key Resistance📊 Technical Analysis of EUR/USD (4H Chart)
🧭 Chart Overview:
Current Price: ~1.1350
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red): ~1.1311 — acting as dynamic support.
EMA 200 (Blue): ~1.1114 — aligns closely with major support zone.
📌 Key Levels:
🔼 Main Resistance Zone: 1.1375 – 1.1400
Price has tested this zone multiple times, forming a potential double top pattern.
Strong bearish pressure observed each time price enters this area.
🔁 Minor Resistance (Retest Zone): ~1.1325 – 1.1345
Currently acting as a decision zone.
If price fails to hold above this level, it could turn into resistance on the next bearish leg.
🔽 Support Zone: 1.1100 – 1.1130
Converges with EMA 200 — making it a high-probability demand zone.
Potential target for the anticipated drop.
🧠 Price Action & Structure:
Market showed a strong bullish rally previously, breaking through resistance levels.
Now showing signs of exhaustion at the top.
Bearish scenario projected with a lower high forming below the main resistance, followed by a sell-off toward the support zone.
⚙️ Possible Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price rejects the minor resistance → breaks below EMA 50 → continues lower to support.
Target: 1.1110 area.
Bullish Scenario (Low Probability):
Price reclaims and closes above 1.1375 with strong momentum.
Potential breakout and continuation toward 1.1450+.
🧩 Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias:
Lower high formation potential.
EMA 50 starting to flatten.
Failure to maintain momentum above main resistance.
Clean drop path toward 1.1110 if support breaks.
📉 Conclusion:
This setup favors short-term bearish movement, particularly if the price rejects around the 1.1345 level again. A breakdown below the minor resistance zone would likely trigger a sell-off toward the 1.1110 support, in line with the 200 EMA.
EUR/JPY Short Setup – Bearish Reversal Targeting 161.134 with TiEMA 30 (red): Currently at 162.470
EMA 200 (blue): Currently at 162.071
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Around 162.978
Stop Loss: Slightly above 163.016 (highlighted in purple zone)
Target (Take Profit): 161.134 (labeled as “EA TARGET POINT”)
Analysis:
Trend: The pair has been trending upwards recently, as shown by the price staying above the 200 EMA.
Current Price: 162.604, just below the proposed entry.
Risk/Reward:
Risk: ~3.8 pips (entry to stop loss)
Reward: ~184.4 pips (entry to target)
This implies a favora
US30 Approaching Key Resistance–Potential Reversal Setup in Play🧠 Chart Overview
Asset: US30 (likely the Dow Jones Industrial Average)
Timeframe: Appears to be 1H or 2H
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red): 40,119.5
EMA 200 (Blue): 39,897.3
Price at time of chart: Around 40,503
🔍 Key Technical Levels
🔴 Resistance Zone
Range: ~40,750 to 40,850
Price has tested this level multiple times and is currently hovering near it.
The resistance is holding, and no strong breakout has occurred.
🟦 Support / Focus Zone
Range: ~39,200 to 39,600
Marked as the “FOCUS POINT” – likely the expected target on a breakdown.
EMAs Insight:
Price is above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA, suggesting short-term bullishness.
However, since it’s stalling at resistance, it could flip bearish on rejection.
🧭 Price Action Narrative
The chart suggests a potential fakeout above resistance, followed by a sharp rejection.
The path drawn shows a short-term dip, targeting the FOCUS POINT (support zone).
Rejection at resistance aligns with typical distribution behavior.
📌 Trade Idea (Bearish Bias)
Entry Idea: Short near or just above the resistance level (~40,800)
Target: 39,400 zone
Stop-Loss: Above the resistance level (~40,900+)
Risk/Reward: Favorable if price fails to break above resistance convincingly
📉 Bias: Bearish Reversal
Unless price breaks and closes above resistance with strong momentum, the chart favors a pullback scenario.
WTI Crude Oil Bearish Reversal Setup – Short from Resistance ZonEntry Point: 62.66 USD
Stop Loss: 65.26 USD
Target Point (Take Profit): 55.09 USD
Indicators:
EMA 200 (blue): 60.92 USD — long-term trend indicator
EMA 30 (red): 60.75 USD — short-term trend indicator
Analysis:
1. Bearish Setup:
The price is approaching a key resistance zone marked by the purple shaded area near 62.66.
The strategy is to short from this level, anticipating a drop to the 55.09 target area.
2. Risk/Reward:
Risk (SL - Entry): 65.26 - 62.66 = 2.60 USD
Reward (Entry - TP): 62.66 - 55.09 = 7.57 USD
Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:2.9, which is favorable.
3. Support/Resistance Confirmation:
Multiple touches at the resistance zone (or
GBP/USD Short Setup – Rejection from Resistance Zone with High REMA 30 (red line)
EMA 200 (blue line)
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Key Levels:
Entry Point: 1.31324
Stop Loss: 1.32303
Target (TP): 1.28102
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Analysis:
1. Trend Context:
The market shows a recent bullish move approaching a key resistance zone (highlighted in purple).
The price is now reacting to that resistance zone and potentially forming a reversal.
2. EMA Insight:
Price is currently trading slightly above the EMA 200 and EMA 30, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
However, the suggested trade setup appears to be short (sell), anticipating a reversal from resista
USD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup – Entry, Stop Loss & Target AnalyPair: USD/JPY
Timeframe: 15 minutes
Indicators Used:
EMA (30-period) – Red line
EMA (200-period) – Blue line
Chart Features:
Downward channel (declining trendline)
Identified entry point, stop loss, and target
Key support/resistance zones shaded in purple
🟢 Trade Idea Summary:
🔹Entry Point: 143.126
🔹Stop Loss: 142.702
🔹Target (Take Profit): 148.249
🔹Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (Excellent R/R)
🔍 Technical Analysis:
✅ Bullish Breakout Signal
Price has broken above the descending channel and has retested the breakout area (highlighted purple zone) – a classic bullish breakout structure.
The breakout retest near 143.126 is acting as support, with potential to launch a new bullish move.
📈 Moving Average Analysis
EMA 30 is starting to flatten and curve up – indicating potential shift in momentum.
EMA 200 is still above price, but a breakout above it could strengthen the bullish case.
🔁 Support and Resistance
Strong support zone around 143.000 – 143.200 area (highlighted zone).
Major resistance and target zone is between 148.000 – 148.250.
🔔 Trade Plan Suggestion:
Go Long at or near 143.126
Place Stop Loss below support at 142.702
Target 148.249 for profit
Reasoning:
This setup offers a trend reversal potential from a downtrend to uptrend, with a clean breakout-retest-confirmation pattern. The wide take profit range gives room for extended upside as momentum builds.
⚠️ Watch For:
Reaction to the 144.325 (EMA 200) level
Increased buying volume to confirm breakout
Any re-entry into the channel (would invalidate setup)
ETH/USD Bearish Reversal Setup – Targeting $1,470 After ResistanPair: Ethereum / U.S. Dollar (ETH/USD)
Exchange: Coinbase
Timeframe: 15 minutes
Indicators:
EMA 30 (red line): ~1635.82
EMA 200 (blue line): ~1585.79
🟣 Key Levels & Zones
Resistance Zone (Purple Rectangle Top): Around $1,647 – previously tested and rejected.
Support Zone (Purple Rectangle Bottom): Around $1,470 – marked as the "EATARGET POINT".
Current Price: ~$1,645
📉 Bearish Breakdown Setup
Chart Pattern: There’s a potential double top or distribution zone forming near the resistance.
Projection: The price is expected to break below the smaller support zone and drop to the target zone around $1,470.67, representing an 11.13% drop.
Measured Move Tool: Indicates a bearish price target if the price breaks down from the current consolidation.
✅ Confluence
Price is currently hovering under resistance.
EMAs show short-term bullish momentum but could flatten if breakdown confirms.
Support near $1,635 is being tested – a break below could trigger the expected drop.
⚠️ Trading Implications
Short Setup: A trader might look to enter short around $1,647 if breakdown confirmation occurs.
Stop Loss: Just above the resistance zone (~$1,650+).
Take Profit: Near $1,470 zone.
"BTC/USD Short Setup: Supply Zone Rejection & 5% Drop Target!"BTC/USD 15-Min Chart Analysis
Trade Setup by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
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🔼 SUPPLY ZONE (Resistance)
🟣 Price Area: $83,427.80 – $84,313.06
This is where sellers might step in
Price is expected to reverse or slow down here
🔽 ENTRY POINT
🔵 Sell Entry: $83,427.80
Entering short trade just below the supply zone
Aiming to catch a reversal move down
⛔ STOP LOSS
🔴 Stop: $84,313.06
Placed above the supply zone
Limits risk in case of breakout upward
❗ Protects the trade from loss beyond this point
🎯 TARGET / TAKE PROFIT
🟣 Target: $79,071.05
Major support zone / demand area
Potential Drop: -$4,434.27 (-5.31%)
Big reward zone if price dumps from supply
📈 Trendline & Moving Averages
🔵 Blue = Likely 50 EMA
🔴 Red = Likely 200 EMA
Bullish momentum leading into the supply zone
Trendline supports the prior uptrend, now testing reversal
💡 Conclusion
✅ Trade Bias: Bearish (short)
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: ~1:5 (Great!)
If price reacts at supply, this setup could pay big
But if it breaks up, stop loss keeps you safe
BRIEFING Week #15 : Arbitrages on the lookoutHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
Bitcoin Trade Setup: Bullish Breakout Targeting $87K!🔹 Key Levels Identified:
📌 Target Point: 87,008.21 USD 🏁🔵
👉 Expected price move (+9.07%) 🚀
📌 Entry Point: 79,719.00 USD ✅
👉 Suggested buying level in demand zone 🏦
📌 Stop Loss: 78,213.25 USD ❌🔻
👉 Risk management level 📉
📊 Technical Analysis:
📈 Trendline Support:
🔵 The price bounced off the trendline 📊, confirming an uptrend 📈
🔵 Demand Zone:
🟦 Marked blue area = Buyer interest 📊
💰 Expected reversal zone if price retests
📊 Moving Average (DEMA 9):
🔸 82,343.85 USD (current level)
🔺 Price slightly below DEMA ➝ possible bullish reversal 🚀
⚡ Trade Setup:
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
🟢 Potential profit: +7,220.76 USD
🔴 Risk: -1,500 USD
📊 Favorable trade setup with high reward vs low risk ✅
✔️ Momentum Confirmation:
🟢 Above 79,719 USD = 🚀 Bullish breakout
🔴 Below 78,213.25 USD = ❌ Stop Loss triggered
🔮 Conclusion:
🔥 Bullish setup if price holds demand zone!
🚀 Target: 87,008 USD
⚠️ Manage risk with stop loss! 📉
USD/JPY Bearish Trade Setup – SBR + DBD Zone Rejection📉 Trend Analysis:
🔴 Downtrend confirmed by lower highs and lower lows.
📉 Descending trendline indicates continuous bearish pressure.
🔹 Key Levels & Zones:
🔵 Resistance Zone (SBR + DBD) – 144.123 📍 (Sell Entry Point)
🟠 Stop Loss – 145.209 🚫 (Above resistance to avoid fake breakouts)
🟢 Target Point – 139.694 🎯 (Strong support area)
🏹 Expected Price Action:
🔸 Scenario:
🔺 Price moves up toward the resistance zone (🔵 SBR + DBD Zone)
🔻 Bears take control (Rejection expected)
⚡ Drop towards target at 139.694
📊 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry – Wait for rejection at 144.123 (🔵)
✅ Stop Loss – Keep at 145.209 (🛑🔺)
✅ Take Profit – Aim for 139.694 (✅🎯)
💡 Risk-Reward Ratio: Good (More reward than risk)
Gold (XAU/USD)Trade Setup – Bullish RBR Zone & High Reward Poten🔹 Key Levels:
📍 Entry Point: 3211 🔵
📍 Stop Loss: 3185.109 🔴
📍 Target Point: 3300 🟢
🔹 Market Structure:
📈 The price has formed a Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) zone 📊, which is a bullish continuation pattern 🚀.
🔄 The market surged and is now consolidating within the RBR zone 📦 before potentially resuming its uptrend 📢.
🔹 Trading Plan:
✅ Buy Entry: If price retraces into the RBR zone (around 3211), consider a buy position. 🛒📊
🔻 Stop Loss: Set below the base at 3185.109 to limit risk. ⚠️🚫
🎯 Take Profit: Aiming for 3300, a major resistance level. 🎯📈
🔹 Indicators & Confluence:
📏 DEMA (9): 3223.297 (Currently acting as resistance 🛑)
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup (High Reward Potential ✅)
🔹 Potential Risks:
⚠️ If price drops below 3185, it could indicate a trend reversal 🔄⛔.
🌎 Economic News & Geopolitical Factors may impact Gold prices significantly. 📰📉
🔹 Conclusion:
📊 Bullish Opportunity 🦅📈 – If the price respects the RBR zone, it may continue upwards towards 3300! 🚀💰
"Gold on Fire: Demand Zone Bounce with Bullish Target Ahead! "Key Zones & Levels:
Demand Zone 🔵
Area: 3099.36 – 3110
This is where buyers stepped in strongly before – price bounced up from here twice!
Strong support zone!
Resistance / Mini Consolidation ⚠️
Around 3125 – 3135
Price is hesitating here – needs to break this box for continuation.
Target Point 🎯
Level: 3168.17
Based on previous highs – this is the bullish target zone!
Stop Loss ❌
Level: 3099.36
Placed just below the demand zone to limit losses if price breaks down.
Trade Idea Summary:
Entry Zone: ✍️ 3110–3125
Stop Loss: ❌ 3099.36
Target: 🎯 3168.17
Risk-Reward Ratio: 5:1 ⭐️ (Great setup!)
What to Watch For:
✅ If price holds above demand and breaks the mini consolidation, expect bullish continuation.
❌ If price drops below the demand zone, setup is invalid – risk of further decline.
"WTI Crude Oil – Bullish Bounce from Demand Zone? "🔵 . Demand Zone:
⬇️ 60.53 – 59.71
This is the buy zone where bulls are likely to step in!
Price is currently testing this area. Watch closely!
🛑 . Stop Loss (Risk Zone):
📉 Below 59.66
If price falls below here, exit the trade – demand has failed.
🎯 . Target Point:
🚀 63.85
This is the take profit zone. A successful bounce could reach this level!
🟠 . EMA (9-period DEMA):
📉 Currently around 60.86
Price is slightly below EMA, showing short-term bearish pressure.
🟢 . Trade Idea Summary:
• Enter near the blue demand zone
• SL below 🔴 59.66
• TP at 🎯 63.85
• R:R ratio looks favorable (low risk, high reward)
Outlook:
As long as price holds above the demand zone, this setup remains bullish 📈
Let’s see if the bulls can push it to that 63.85 target! 🚀💰
"EUR/JPY Trendline Break & RBR Zone Setup"🔹 Trendline Breakout
* ✍️ A descending trendline was clearly broken
* 📉 This signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment
* 🚀 Potential for a strong move upward
🔵 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally)
* 📦 Marked as a demand zone
* 🧲 Price dipped into this zone and bounced — bullish sign!
* ✅ Ideal entry area for long trades
🎯 Target Point: 164.208
* 📈 This aligns with a previous swing high
* 🎯 Potential move: +309.8 pips / +1.92%
* 🥅 Clear bullish target if the momentum holds
🛑 Stop Loss: 160.455
* 🧱 Placed just below the demand zone
* 💡 Gives the trade breathing room
* 🔐 Risk-managed setup
📊 Indicators & Price Action
* 📍 Current Price: 161.443
* 📈 Above the DEMA (9) = Short-term bullish
* 🟢 Price action supports long entry
Summary
* 📌 Bias: Bullish
* 🎯 Target: 164.208
* 🛑 Stop: 160.455
* ⚖️ Risk-Reward: Excellent (R:R ≈ 1:3+)
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout Setup – Bullish Reversal from RBR Zone!🔹 Trade Idea: Long (Buy) Setup
📈 Targeting a price rally from a demand zone!
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🔵 .ENTRY ZONE (Buy Area)
🟦 Marked between 3,039.773 – 3,043.052
📍 Located in the RBS + RBR zone (Resistance becomes Support + Rally-Base-Rally)
💡 Price dipped here and bounced — showing bullish intent
🔻 .STOP LOSS
🚨 Placed at 3,014.537
🛡️ Protects you in case the price drops below the zone
✋ Risk is clearly defined here
🎯 .TARGET POINT (Take Profit)
🚀 Aiming for 3,115.910
💸 A high reward area if momentum continues
🔥 Great R:R ratio (~1:3) — solid risk/reward
📊 .Technical Confirmation
📌 Price has moved above the 9-period DEMA (3,043.052)
⚡ Signals bullish momentum
🕯️ Strong bullish candles forming after the bounce — confirming entry.
🔍 .Market Structure Notes
⬇️ Previous trend was down
🔄 Now forming a potential reversal
🧱 Support holding strong near 3,014–3,030
✅ Summary: 💥 Buy idea from demand zone
🔝 Targeting new highs
🛑 Stop loss tightly managed
⚖️ Clean setup with momentum on your side