Indicators
XAUUSD 100% CONFIRM ANALYSIS In the coming days, it's likely that the price of gold will reach a new high. We base this expectation on the fact that gold is currently touching a demand level on 1935-1930$ the D1 chart, a level often associated with price increases. Additionally, we've noticed an order block coinciding with a Fibonacci level, which adds weight to our prediction. Keep an eye on these factors as you consider your trading decisions.
Gold Next Mouvement 2100 ?Gold OANDA:XAUUSD just breaks SMA and EMA lines on high timeframes , that means a big mouvement is coming . Scalpers be careful ! As It shown on weekly and monthly timeframes that the yellow metals breaks his highest resistance ever and retested those previous weeks . And for now he will be looking for a new high .
DOUBLE TOP AND DOUBLE BOTTOM / TRADE FROMATION 📈📉Hello Traders!
I want to show you how to recognize on the chart the double top and double bottom formation.
Recognizing double tops and double bottoms is a key aspect of technical analysis in trading. These patterns often signal potential trend reversals and can help traders make informed decisions. Here's a brief description of how to recognize each:
Double Top:
Formation: A double top pattern typically forms after an uptrend and resembles the letter "M." It consists of two peaks that reach a similar price level, separated by a trough (valley) in between.
Symmetry: The two peaks should be roughly symmetrical, indicating that the buying pressure that led to the initial uptrend is waning.
Double Bottom:
Formation: A double bottom pattern usually forms after a downtrend and resembles the letter "W." It consists of two troughs at a similar price level, separated by a peak in between.
Symmetry: The two troughs should be approximately at the same level, suggesting a potential exhaustion of selling pressure.
Additional Considerations for Both Patterns:
Timeframe: Analyzing the timeframe is crucial. Patterns on longer timeframes generally carry more significance than those on shorter timeframes.
Confirmation: It's advisable to wait for confirmation before making trading decisions. This involves waiting for the price to break the neckline and observing sustained movement in the confirmed direction.
Target and Stop-Loss: Calculate potential price targets and set stop-loss levels based on the height of the pattern. This helps traders manage risk and optimize reward potential.
YGGUSDT: Blooming from Support, Riding the Bullish Wave! 🚀🌺Introduction: 🌐 Get ready for a vibrant ride in the crypto garden with YGGUSDT! Traders are diving into a long position from $0.386, as the asset bounces off a support zone. Let's explore the blossoming details of this bullish trade.
Trade Details: 💰 The long position (#YGGUSDT) blooms from $0.386, with a stop-loss set at $0.344. The rationale behind this move lies in the asset's rebound from a support zone, with expectations of a buyer's reaction.
Technical Analysis: 📊 On the 1-hour timeframe, YGGUSDT has gracefully bounced from a support zone, creating a scenario where the trader eagerly awaits a buyer's reaction. With increasing volumes in the order book, the anticipation is high for a breakout and subsequent movement towards a test or crossover, leading to a journey into the liquidity zone.
Expectations and Strategy: 🎯 The plan unfolds with entering the position at the current price or at $0.386. With the potential for one averaging down at the trader's discretion, it's a bullish cross into promising territory.
Trade Target: 🚀 The trader anticipates a breakout and subsequent movement towards testing or crossing over, riding the bullish wave with the aim of reaching liquidity zones.
Conclusion: 🌺 YGGUSDT offers a blossoming opportunity to ride the bullish wave. Traders, gear up for a colorful journey into potential profits as you navigate the vibrant crypto garden! 🚀🌈
WLDUSDT: Soaring to New Heights! 🚀💹Introduction: 🌐 Brace yourselves for the next big thing in the crypto arena - WLDUSDT! Traders and investors eagerly anticipate a takeoff from the $3.79 level. Let's dive into the vibrant details of this promising trade.
Trade Details: 💰 A long position (#WLDUSDT) has been initiated at $3.79, with a stop-loss set at $3.78. Analytics highlight clear cascading levels and price compression towards robust resistance.
Technical Analysis: 📊 Zooming into the 5-minute timeframe unveils precise cascading levels and price compression towards formidable resistance. Anticipation is high for a breakthrough after multiple touches, potentially igniting dynamic growth.
Expectations and Strategy: 🎯 Traders gear up for a long position entry amid heightened tape activity. The plan includes patiently awaiting several resistance touches before executing the trade.
Trade Target: 🚀 The primary goal is to reach the $3.95 level, serving as a crucial indicator of a successful breakthrough and potential profit.
Conclusion: 📈 WLDUSDT promises exhilarating trading opportunities. Investors, get ready for a dynamic price action, keep an eye on tape activity, and prepare for possible triumphs in the market! 💹🌟
BRIEFING Week #51 : Happy Holidays to you All !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
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Phil
Altseason Indicator. Capitalization excluding BTC ETH USDT USDCLogarithm. Time Frame 1 week. Understanding the capitalization and growth potential of altcoins without BTC ETH and top steiblcoins USDT, USDC and DAI gives a brighter and more accurate picture of the timing of the start and development of that long-awaited altcoin season of more pronounced scale than now on 16 10 2023 - at the time of publication 8 12 2023.
1) The capitalization of these assets has long been in a squeeze - consolidation, this is a direct correlation with the accumulation zones. We are conventionally in the final phase of accumulation (almost).
2) Please note that there has been no real capitulation (perhaps there will not be, and if there is, it will be V figuratively, but that is not the point). Very much emphasize your attention to the timing of the length of this phase and past late 2018 and 2020.
3) Also note to your eye that at that time 2018-2020 there was not such a big capitalization outperformance from the rest of the BTC and ETH market. Compare that to the situation now, how much other altcoins are "undervalued" speculatively. You also need to realize that there is a correlation with stablecoins and their huge portion of the overall market compared to the time before.
How to enter these parameters on tradingview? .
In order to capitalize alts from TOTAL3 (initially without capitalization of BTC and ETH) and exclude all large-capitalization stablecoins from it, you need to do the following:
In the ticker entry line in tradingview write:
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3-CRYPTOCAP:USDT-CRYPTOCAP:USDC-CRYPTOCAP:DAI .
Accordingly, a chart is created that subtracts the capitalization of the designated stablecoins (USDT, USDC, DAI) from TOTAL 3.
Eur/Usd (Long Term)Hello traders!
If the price breaks the 1.10200 level, then we have a buy move at the 1.11000 level. If the price drops below 1.0970, then we will have a sell movement at the level of 1.07500. Be patient and wait for the breakout to enter the trade. Be careful!
Don`t forget to look at the economic calendar!
MAKE MONEY AND ENJOY LIFE 💰
THANK YOU!
GOOD LUCK!
🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻
USDX: Thoughts and Analysis Pre-US CPIToday's focus: USDX
Pattern – LH Resistance push
Support – 102.45
Resistance – 104.12 - 104.35
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at USDX on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if USDX will continue to remain below resistance and possibly break lower if today's CPI data comes in lower than expected. We are mainly focused on the resistance areas and the current LH that has formed around the supply and resistance areas discussed in our video update.
We have also noted some bullish price action; if CPI rises to the upside, this could set up a new continuation higher. But for now, as noted in today's video, we will continue to look at the resistance holds and the current trend of CPI declines on the y/y.
US CPI data is due on Wednesday at 8:30 am EST or 12:30 pm AEDT.
Good trading.
BRIEFING Week #50 : The BIG Catalysts are Coming !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Amazon TA -Swing Idea - Going up?hey guys its amir whats up?
so NASDAQ:AMZN first of all its not a secret that amazon its an absolute monster company, one of the strongest of them all. So lets analyze:
- Amazon just touched a support trendline since 2018 acts as support and got bounced (also daily time frame closed hammer candlestick, ill see later how I upload to this idea more updates in different time frames)
- price touched fib 0.328 which perfectly sits on the trendline and bounced from there.
- 50 MA getting a bullish shape (not strong yet but still attempting to go bullish) and 200 ma shows a fight between bulls and bears but still the bulls are dominating.
- we see that we are getting buying pressure (bottom indicator marked by arrows and circles)
- I see that the volume in the about 6 months is actually very controlled and stable which is pretty good I mean you dont want huge spikes and flip flops keep it stable all the way the better. Since April 22 you can see in the volume that the bears were in control, watch at all the red bars and watch the drop of the stock in that area. and for the last few months they just fade away in a stable way.
// so to summerize, I do think that AMZN have great stracture, and they have more room to push forward in the coming weeks/months.
maybe to get inside the trade right now its a bit early because needed some more confirmations, but I probably will enter now because I can set my stop loss very close and if its will reach than not a big deal just cut it, and if I'll have more confirmations soon i will add more to the position.
The main TP points are : 147.73, 163.50, 177.76
for me great risk reward trade.
let me know what you think guys <3
Altseason Indicator Total 3 - capitalization without BTC and ETHLogarithm. Time frame 1 month. The chart shows two major and one minor cycle of pumping alts and the market as a whole. This chart emphasizes the time of alts pumping without taking into account the heavyweights BTC and ETH , which occupy a huge share of the crypto market.
That is, directly makes it clear when the long-awaited alt season begins. All major previous and future alt season on the chart. Note that these are the maximum prices for most altcoins in a certain phase of the market. Be sure to clean out your pockets alts during these times.
The capitalization of these assets has long been in a squeeze - consolidation, there is a direct correlation with the accumulation zones. We are in the final accumulation phase.
Note that there has been no real capitulation (perhaps there won't be, and if there is, it will be V figuratively , but that's not the point).
That is, as soon as the reversal levels (marked in yellow) are broken through - the prices of these groups of assets begin to rise. The "participation" phase is launched on the market. That is the price movement to the distribution zones.
As a rule, by this phase of the market ( distribution ) capitalization grows 10 times , prices accordingly. This is the time - "the hamster is not scared", i.e. the time when one should get rid of (lock in super profits) from "promising crypto garbage".
Below provided is a basic variation of asset group grading on tradingview that makes sense to monitor and use as true market indicators. This gives insight into potential asset group pumps/dumps or market phase changes. These types of "ideas" are done once and for many years. Because relevance is never lost if you understand the point
1) Market capitalization of different assets:
Crypto total cap - total market capitalization of the market in $
Crypto total cap 2 - market capitalization excluding BTC in $
Crypto total cap 3 - market capitalization excluding BTC and ETH in $
2) DeFI projects:
Crypto total cap DeFI - DeFI cryptocurrency capitalization in $
Crypto total cap DeFI.D - capitalization in % terms of DeFi dominance to the market
3) Major Stablecoins:
Market cap USDT - USDT capitalization in $
Market cap USDT % - capitalization in % terms of dominance to the whole market
Market cap USDC - USDC capitalization in $
Market cap USDC % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market.
4) Bit cocaine
Market cap BTC $ - capitalization of BTC in $
Market cap BTC dominannce % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market.
5) Ethereum
Market cap ETH $ - capitalization of ETH in $
Market cap ETH dominannce % - capitalization in % expression of dominance to the whole market.
6) USD index (DXY)
The US Dollar cyrrency index is the most important indicator of the pamp/dump markets as a whole (more globally, not just crypto).
Market cycles are humans behavior, what is displayed on the price chart and which lends itself to cyclical thinking/actions, which shapes the market direction. .
Below I will publish similar ideas — indicators that I have published previously for several years and that for obvious reasons remain relevant. I will also make analysis of new groups of assets by capitalization from the list, which have not been analyzed before. But, I will do all the analysis of instruments only when I have free time.
Crypto total cap DeFI.D - % of dominance of DeFiLogarithm. Time frame 1 week. Chart. This is the crypto total cap DeFI.D
This is the percentage of dominance of DeFi projects in relation to the entire market. This is a very important indicator for understanding the pump or dump of this asset class. That is, to understand when there will be an alt-season on this group of assets, which will "overtake the market" at a moment in time.
Below is a basic type of asset group grading on tradingview that makes sense to monitor and use as true market indicators. This gives insight into potential asset group pump/dump or market phase shifts. These types of idea are done once and for many years. Because relevance is never lost if you understand the meaning
1) Market capitalization of different assets:
Crypto total cap - total market capitalization of the market in $
Crypto total cap 2 - market capitalization excluding BTC in $
Crypto total cap 3 - market capitalization excluding BTC and ETH in $
2) DeFI projects:
Crypto total cap DeFI - DeFI cryptocurrency capitalization in $
Crypto total cap DeFI.D - capitalization in % terms of DeFi dominance to the market
3) Major Stablecoins:
Market cap USDT - capitalization of USDT in $
Market cap USDT % - capitalization in % expression of dominance to the whole market
Market cap USDC - capitalization of USDC in $
Market cap USDC % - capitalization in % dominance terms to the whole market.
4) Bitcoin
Market cap BTC $ - capitalization of BTC in $
Market cap BTC dominannce % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market.
5) Ethereum
Market cap ETH $ - capitalization of ETH in $
Market cap ETH dominannce % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market.
6) USD index (DXY)
US Dollar cyrrency index - this is the most important indicator of the pump/dump markets as a whole (more globally, not just crypto).
Market cycles are humans behavior, what is displayed on the price chart and which lends itself to cyclical thinking/actions, which shapes the market direction. .
Below I will publish similar ideas - indicators that I have published previously for several years and that for obvious reasons remain relevant. I will also make analysis of new groups of assets by capitalization from the list, which have not been analyzed before. But, I will do all the analysis of instruments only when I have free time.
$BTCUSD History Repeats itself - LONGIn continuation of our recent analysis , we meticulously conducted a comprehensive examination of BITSTAMP:BTCUSD price action. Employing a multifaceted approach, we synthesized various data inputs and discerned nuanced market conditions.
Our analysis delved into the historical 4-hour timeframe, specifically referencing November 4th, 2015. It is essential to note that the historical data, when viewed through the lens of 'relativity,' provides invaluable insights. As time elapses and market volume evolves, price action exhibits variations. This relativity facilitates a meaningful comparison between the present asset conditions and historical benchmarks.
Currently , a robust Fibonacci retracement analysis reveals a noteworthy gap of +33.381% spanning from the support zone to a key resistance level at 47,214. Upon confirmation, an anticipated swift retracement is projected, targeting approximately -41.38% at ±28.316. This critical juncture is anticipated to mark the commencement of Phase 2 within the Bull Cycle, propelling BTC price action to unprecedented heights.
BRIEFING Week #49 : ETHBTC keeps playing the mystery game !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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LIC housing finance trade setup 29th November, 2023We are expecting a quieter move in Lic Housing Finance which is trading at 458. We have shown lic housing at 5 15 75 and 125 minute.
We are expecting that above 460 level closing with with confirmation closing We can see high levels We are expecting to see 465 470 481 491 and 505 plus levels in coming days So one can set stop loss at 448 Level.
disclaimer: these levels are just for informational and educational purpose only, Please do your own research before taking any position.
Inverted Head & Shoulders - UCHFHere we have USD/CHF on the 30 Min Chart! It looks to be outlining a potential Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern upcoming!!
The First Low or "Shoulder" @ .86792 followed by the Lower Low or "Head @ .86662 with price moving back up to the Confirmation of Pattern or "Neckline" @ .86973 makes me believe we will get a BREAK of Confirmation @ the 3rd touch of the Neckline with price continuing HIGHER!
The RSI indicator is also throwing out a Slight Divergence, strengthening Bullish Bias on this possibly imminent Reversal Pattern!
Fundamentally this week:
USD - JOLTS (Tues) Non-Farm Payroll (Wed) Unemployment Claims (Thur) Non-Farm and Unemployment (Fri)
CHF - CPI (Mon) Currency Reserve (Thur)
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!
-Pattern Prediction-
*If Price Breaks and Closes below .86792, Pattern INVALIDATED!
*If Price Breaks and Closes above .86973, Price Action will initiate my Trade Action Plan!
Understanding Lagging and Leading Indicators in CryptocurrencyIn this article, we'll explore the concepts of leading and lagging indicators, common examples, and delve into the specific indicators within crypto transactional data.
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What Are Leading and Lagging Indicators?
Before we dive into the crypto-specific details, let's establish the basics. In the realm of technical analysis, indicators for traditional financial assets are often categorized as Leading, Lagging, or Macro.
Leading Indicator: Points towards the potential future direction of the price.
Lagging Indicator: Confirms patterns in prices after they have formed.
Both types of indicators play a crucial role in understanding market dynamics and making informed trading decisions.
Common Examples of Leading & Lagging Indicators
To illustrate, let's examine two common examples:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): A leading indicator, RSI hints at whether the market is becoming overbought or oversold.
Moving Averages: A lagging indicator that relies on historical data, providing a retrospective view of average price behavior.
Crypto-Specific Leading Indicators
1. Mining Data
Mining, the backbone of the Bitcoin network, involves running the hashing algorithm to secure transaction integrity. Key indicators include:
Hash Rate: Indicates the network's strength; a higher hash rate implies a more robust Bitcoin network.
Mining Distribution: Assess whether mining concentration is increasing, potentially impacting network decentralization.
Transaction Fees: Offers insights into user types and potential adoption trends.
2. Network Activity
A proxy for customer data, network activity includes:
Number of Addresses: Reflects user engagement.
Transactions per Second: Indicates transactional activity levels.
Average Transaction Value: Provides insights into transaction sizes.
3. Scarcity
Bitcoin's scarcity is a fundamental characteristic, and the Stock-to-Flow model gauges this relationship:
Stock-to-Flow (SF): Measures scarcity by assessing the ratio of existing stocks to new stocks.
4. Broader Ecosystem Data
Metrics from various sources like Blockchain.com, Glass Node, and Woo Bull Charts offer insights:
Market Value vs Realised Value (MVRV): Measures the market value of Bitcoin relative to its last price movement, indicating user hoarding behavior.
Wallet and Exchange Data: Tracks metrics like wallet downloads and exchange customer growth.
Macro Indicators in Crypto
1. The Dollar Index (DXY)
The DXY measures the US Dollar against other currencies, showing a correlation with Bitcoin:
A falling DXY suggests dollar weakness, potentially driving investors towards Bitcoin as a store of value.
2. Stock Markets
Bitcoin's relationship with stock markets is complex:
Currently correlated due to similar investment behaviors in search of yield.
A changing relationship could indicate shifts in broader market dynamics.
3. Bond Yields
Bond yields act as a macro indicator:
Increasing bond yields are a leading indicator of inflation, potentially affecting Bitcoin positively due to its store of value characteristics.
While these indicators operate in the short term, the Fundamental Analysis, exploring broader measures of adoption and influence on prices. Understanding both technical and fundamental aspects is essential for navigating the dynamic landscape of cryptocurrency trading.