Heading into pullback resistance?DAX40 (DE40) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 19,198.60
1st Support: 18,949.40
1st Resistance: 19,439.34
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Indices
Bearish drop off 161.8% Fibonacci extension?NAS100 has reacted off the resistance level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 21,161.95
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 21,371.18
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 20,692.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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DAX looks unwell at these highsIt's been a tough few weeks for the DAX. But if the bearish reversal pattern on the daily chart comes to fruition, things could get a worse. I also factor in price action clues on the monthly candlestick chart, which again suggests things could deteriorate further before they get better.
MS.
NAS100 Market Update: Key Levels and ProjectionsThe Nasdaq 100 (NAS100) is continuing its bullish run but is approaching critical resistance areas where a correction may occur. Here's a quick overview of key levels:
Strong Sell Zone: 22,233 - 21,052
Expect potential pullback as the index nears this resistance. This zone is likely to trigger a price correction, offering short-term selling opportunities.
Strong Buy Zone: Below 18,297
This major support level offers a favorable buying opportunity if the market pulls back. Buyers are expected to step in aggressively here, supporting the next bullish move.
Current Price: 20,338.7
NAS100 is approaching resistance after breaking above 19,600 support. Continued upward momentum is likely, but a correction could follow once resistance is tested.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: 22,233 - 21,052 (Strong Sell Zone), 20,800 - 20,600 (minor).
Support: 19,600 - 19,400, 18,800 - 18,600, 18,297 (Strong Buy Zone).
Outlook
A pullback is expected near 22,233, with support at 18,297 as a key level for the next bullish phase.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to boost this post if you agree with my analysis.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Russell 2000 H4 | Potential bullish bounceRussell 2000 (US2000) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,383.20 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 2,340.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 2,447.38 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DAX H4 | Falling to swing-low supportDAX (GER30) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 19,200.33 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 18,990.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level.
Take profit is at 19,537.25 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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Dow Jones H1 | Falling to pullback supportDow Jones (US30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 43,909.20 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 43,600.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 44,527.74 which is a swing-high resistance at the all-time high.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DAX: The 1D MA50 is holding. Expect rally.DAX is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.908, MACD = 41.600, ADX = 23.126) as the price has been basically ranging since November 6th. The dominant pattern is still a Channel Up and it has held the 1D MA50 as support on multiple attempts since October 31st, which is a clear technical signal of an upcoming rebound. The last two HH tops were priced on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension and that is our target for this month (TP = 20,150)
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DOW JONES: Short term target 44,850.Dow Jones is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.283, MACD = 438.030, ADX = 26.531) and on top of that, the 4H RSI has been inside overbought territory since November 5th. The price action remains inside the Channel Up that started in August but every time the 4H RSI trades sideways like this on overbought ranges, the price enters a smaller Channel Up and leads to the peak HH. That's what we are aiming for now (TP = 44,850).
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Can S&P 500 stay above 6K?The SPX hit a new all-time high at the open, adding to its big gains from last week when Trump won the US election quite comfortably in the end. But the index it has since drifted lower, moving back below last week's high of 6013, potentially suggesting that the bullish momentum is fading after being up for several days. At the time of writing, it was approaching the 6,000 level from above, after it crossed it for the first time ever last week. Should it fail to hold above this level, and given the fact the RSI is at overbought levels on the daily time frame, we could see investors take profit on their long trades accumulated last week. A bearish-looking price candle such as an inverted hammer is the sort of price action the bears would look for now. If seen, we should then expect the S&P to ease back towards the breakout area of 5857 to 5882 in the coming days.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
US30 / TRADING INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL / 4HUS30 / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Trends:
Following Trump’s win, the US30 index rose by 4.90% , The index is now testing historical peak levels around 44,045, with a potential to reach 44,532 if the upward trend holds.
Technical Levels and Price Action:
The analysis suggests that if prices stay below a certain “ascending channel line,” it could indicate weakness, possibly leading to a decline , The first potential downside target is a “Fair Value Gap” (FVG) between 43,381 and 42,984 , If prices break this zone, further declines could target another FVG range between 42,716 and 42,335.
Trend Confirmation:
If the price remains below the second FVG zone, it might confirm a downtrend , Conversely, if it stays above these levels, it suggests potential for a continued increase.
DAX H1 | Rising into swing-high resistanceDAX (GER30) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 19,447.05 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 19,593.00 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 19,174.20 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Nasdaq Quantum Computing SimulationsMany things can happen in the future. But do some potential scenarios have a higher probability of happening than others? I don't know. But if the Destination in this setup is to be reached, I would like to see a REBOUND from the GREEN curve and see if I can take it from there.
Next in the setup to be observed are the 333 projections. 2 orange arrows. One green circle. If the price hits any of these 3, the project is considered a success in the attempt to answer the initial question. With or without the DESTINATION.
There is no quantum computing here. Unless it is hiding in my brain making jokes. Unless all of this is just a joke.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 8, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading session, the S&P 500 index has exhibited significant strength by successfully filling the projected gap, as detailed in the S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis dated November 1. This upward movement has facilitated a substantial rebound, as the index has retested both the Outer Index Rally level of 5861 and the Key Resistance level of 5865. Furthermore, the index has completed the Outer Index Rally threshold 6000, suggesting a promising potential for additional increases toward Outer Index Rallies at 6123, 6233, and 6418. Nevertheless, it is essential to recognize that achieving the Outer Index Rally 6000 level may prompt a downward price movement towards the Mean Support level of 5929 before progressing into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend
RUSSELL Rally doesn't seem to seek correction any time soon.Russell 2000 is overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 73.532, MACD = 34.900, ADX = 27.532) as the monthly candle is already as high as any in the last 12 months, despite being only on the 1st week. This bullish trend can keep going as this is the bullish wave of the long term Channel Up that started in March 2009 (housing bubble). We are already past a 1M MACD Bullish Cross and all 4 major bullish waves before had such a Cross to show. The minimum rise they gave was +81.48% and this is our target (TP = 3,000) until the end of 2025.
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NAS100USD / UNDER FOMC PRESSURE / 4H NAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Recent Price Movement ,The price has reached a new historical level, breaking past the last all-time high (ATH) of 20,788.
Current Target , Prices are trying to approach 21,125. As long as there’s upward pressure, there’s potential for growth.
Potential Retest of Support , Before continuing to increase, prices might retest an old supply zone between 20,788 and 20,662. This area serves as a potential support level, and if the price remains above it, there’s a higher chance for further increases.
Upside Target , If prices stabilize above this support zone, there’s a chance of reaching a new ATH around 21,125. If it breaks this level, the next historical zone lies between 21,200 and 21,350.
Downside Risk, If prices fall below the old supply zone, it could indicate a decline, with a potential target of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 20,482 and 20,335. This level represents a potential lower support area if the price trend reverses.
ASX200 H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend furtherASX200 (AUS200) could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 8,282.88 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 8,230.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 8,374.57 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DAX H4 | Falling to pullback supportDAX (GER30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 19,351.22 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 19,260.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 19,624.78 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
S&P500: Make no mistake. The bull is far from over yet.The S&P500 index may be overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 70.424, MACD = 27.270, ADX = 58.374), even on the 1M timeframe (RSI = 73.014) but the monthly rally is far from over. This isn't only due to the post election euphoria but also for technical reasons. Those have to do with SPX's long term cycles and as this chart shows, every 3.3 years the index tops and starts to correct until it reaches the 1M MA50, where the long term buy signal is flashed again.
The 1M RSI also helps on long term buy entries as it has a clear Buy Zone, but the same goes for selling (Sell Zone). The sell validation usually comes after a LH trendline is formed. The Time Cycles tool indicates that we can start consider selling after May 2025, so regardless of how high the price is, we will time our selling accordingly.
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GER30 forecast This is GER30 forecast
I'm looking for sell opportunities, but the is possible buy opportunity.
I'm look for this current 1d candlestick to close under the 19410.00 level. Then tomorrow's 1d candlestick to show bearish power/close bearish under the 19305.00 level. Then I will be looking for retest on the 19305.00 level for continuation of sell.
If this doesn't happen, then I will be looking for buy opportunity above 19410.00 level.
but the trade will be based on technicals, sentiment and fundamentals.
Update will be given
S&P500: Rising Wedge targeting 6,000 short term.S&P500 is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.812, MACD = 16.490, ADX = 32.155) as it maintains the Rising Wedge pattern that started on August 5th. The critical formation though is on the 1H timeframe and it is the Golden Cross that was just completed. All three Golden Crosses inside the Rising Wedge saw significant gains after they were formed. In fact they posted rallies far greater than the push prior to the Golden Cross, which means that we can currently see a move the will break above the Rising Wedge. Until then though, we have to follow the strict levels that this pattern provides us and on the short term we are targeting the top of the pattern and 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 6,000).
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NAS100USD / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Market Movement Post-Election:
The analyst mentions that after Trump’s victory, NAS100USD rose by 610 pips (a pip here likely refers to a unit of price change in the index, even though “pips” are more common in forex markets). This initial increase reflects market optimism or a reactionary move post-election.
Current Supply Zone:
The NAS100USD is currently trading in a “supply zone” between 20,662 and 20,788. A supply zone in trading refers to a price range where there’s likely to be selling pressure. The price is near its all-time high (ATH) around 20,788, which could mean resistance.
Potential Scenarios Based on Price Action:
If a 4-hour candle opens and stays below the ATH level of 20,788, the analyst expects a decline in the price. This might reach a fair value gap (FVG) between 20,482 and 20,335. An FVG often suggests an area where the price could correct or balance out.
If prices move lower, they could reach a demand zone between 20,088 and 19,961. A demand zone is a price range where buying interest could push the price back up.
Scenario for an Upward Move:
Conversely, if a 4-hour candle closes above the ATH level, it suggests a potential continuation of the uptrend. The price might then aim for a new historical range between 20,972 and 21,125.