S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index demonstrated significant resiliency during this week's trading session, surpassing the Inner Interim Index Rally 5443 target. Following a springy rebound, the current market price action is positioned below the newly established significant Mean Res 5564. Anticipated interim downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 5445 is probable before the index resumes its upward trajectory. The prevailing price action indicates a sustained uptrend towards the Inner Interim Index Rally at 5666, with the achieved targets expected to exert considerable downward pressure.
Indices
US30 ( TRADING BELOW RESISTANCE TRENDLINE ) ( 4H )US30
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below resistance trendline .
Turning Level: The price is currently trading below this level around 40,671 . As long as it remains stable and stays below this level, a drop toward the support level is likely . However, if the price breaks above this level and a 4-hour candle closes above it, an upward move toward the resistance level can be expected.
Resistance Level (1): around 41,016 , The price is currently below turning level . To reach this level, the price needs to break and close a four-hour candle above the turning level at 40,671. If the price reaches 41,016 , and stabilizes above it, it will likely attempt to reach resistance level (2) .
Resistance Level (2): When the price breaks through Resistance Level (1) and closes a 4-hour candle above it, this suggests it could reach around 41,348 . To confirm an uptrend, the price needs to reach this level before moving on to Resistance Level (3) at 41,718 .
Support Level (1): As long as the price remains below the turning level of 40,671, it suggests a drop towards 40,208 . If the price reaches this level and stabilizing below it, it will likely attempt to reach Support Level (2).
Support Level (2): When the price breaks through support level(1)and closes a 4-hour candle below it, this suggests it could reach around 39,932 . To confirm a downtrend , the price needs to reach this level before decline on to support Level (3 )at 39,606 .
Channel Trend: the trading rate within the ascending channel.
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 41,016 ,41,348 , 41,718.
SUPPORT LEVEL : 40,208 , 39,932 , 39,606 .
Time Frame : 4H
NAS100USD ( UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
The price is currently under upward pressure as long as trading continues above the support level of 18,696. For today, staying below 18,085 indicates a decline towards 18,696, but breaking this level supports a rise towards 19,522.
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , until trading above turning level around 19,085 .
Upward Zone : for an upward movement to occur , the price needs to break through the turning level at 19,085 , leading to rise that could reach the resistance level (1) at 19,522 , if the price breaks and stabilizing above this level it may attempt to reach resistance zone between 20,082 and 20,475 .
Downward Zone: as long as the price remain below the turning level at 19,085 , it may drop towards the support level (1) at 18,696 , if the price breaks this level with a 4h candle closing below it , it suggest further decline towards the support zone between 17,772 and 17,270 .
CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a support level (1) at18,696 before rising .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 19,522 ,20,082 , 20,475 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 18,696 , 17,772 , 17,270 .
Turning level : 19,085 , Time frame 4H
S&P500 Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 5460 zone, US500 was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 5460 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
US30 H4 | Overlap resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci retracementUS30 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 40,516.27 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 41,280.00 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 39,974.82 which is a pullback support.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
US small cap bounce unconvincing despite risk revival The recovery in US small caps has been unconvincing over the past fortnight, struggling for upside unlike mega-cap rivals. Russell 2000 futures have been capped below the 50-day moving average for much of this period, running into sellers constantly above this level. Wednesday’s rejection above 2132.6 warns of building reversal risk, putting a potential break of uptrend support on the cards should US slowdown fears return.
If the price were to break the uptrend, traders could enter shorts with a tight stop either above the level or the 50-day moving average for protection, depending on your target. On that subject, the 200-day moving average or 1920 are levels to consider. If the price were to hold the uptrend, a close above the 50-day moving average would negate the bearish setup.
MACD and RSI continue to generate bearish signals on momentum, making selling rallies the preferred strategy near-term. Good luck!
DS
ASX 200 futures test their luck below resistanceI see a common connection when looking across Wall Street futures, ASX 200 and the Nikkei. They're all retracing higher after a large drop and grinding their way towards resistance levels. And that could appeal to bearish swing traders.
ASX 200 futures (SPI) are within their 8th day higher. And as they have only recouped around 2/3rds of the drop rom the fall the record high (and over a longer timeframe than the drop) I suspect a swing high is due. Note Tuesday's doji, and subsequent price action has traded in the upper wick of that doj.
A resistance cluster hovers around 7873 - 7900, and we favour fading into any moves towards it with a stop above 7700. Bears could target just above 7700 for a downside target.
US30 ( UNDER CPI PRESSURE ) ( 4H )US30
HELLO TRADERS
Yesterday, the Dow Jones experienced a significant rise. Today, due to the release of the U.S. inflation report, the market is expected to show high volatility. From a technical perspective, if the price stabilizes below 39,951, we might see the first and second support levels. However, if it breaks above this level with a close of a 4-hour or 1-hour candle, the price is likely to rise towards the first resistance level.
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level around 39,951
Upward Zone : for an upward movement to occur , the price needs to break through the turning level at 39,951 , leading to rise that could reach the resistance level (1) at 40,668 , if the price breaks and stabilizing above this level it may attempt to reach resistance zone between 41,049 and 41,410 .
Downward Zone: as long as the price remain below the turning level at 39,951 , it may drop towards the support level (1) at 39,448 , if the price breaks this level with a 4h candle closing below it , it suggest further decline towards the support zone between 39,022 and 38,370 .
CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a turning level at 39,951 before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 40,668 , 41,049 , 41,410 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 39,448 , 39,022 , 38,370 .
Could GER40 reverse from hereDAX40 is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 17,957.60
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 18,221.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 17,659.05
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
S&P500 Is Approaching A Significant Support AreaHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 5270 zone, S&P500 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 5270 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
UK100 H1 | Falling to pullback supportUK100 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 8,187.81 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 8,118.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 8,301.72 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
overlap resistance ahead?UK100 is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 8,257.05
1st Support: 8,122.00
1st Resistance: 8,367.16
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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Bearish reversal?NAS100 is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 18,747.67
Why we like it:
A pullback resistance level aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 19,237.14
Why we kike it:
A pullback resistance level lines up with the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 17,953.85
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish rise?DAX40 has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 17,627.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 17,347.26
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 17,964.37
Why we like it:
A pullback resistance level aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
US30 ( INSIDE SENSITIVE AREA BETWEEN TWO TURNING LEVEL ) ( 1D )US30
HELLO TRADERS
U.S. stocks were higher after the close on Friday, as gains in the Technology, Consumer Services and Telecoms sectors led shares higher.
At the close in NYSE, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.13% .
currently price inside two turning level in way , breaking each side determine our direction , thus breaking turning level (1) it is mean active up trading ,if the price breaking turning level (2) by close 1d candle or 4h candle below it , indicates to reach support level .
Tendency, the price inside sensitive are between two turning level around 40,031 and 38,509
Upward Zone : in order see increase , if the price corrective turning level (2) and stabilizing above this level should be trying to reach turning level (1) at 40,031 , to confirm up trading , the price will be breaking turning level (1) to reach resistance zone around 40,990 and 42,268 .
Downward Zone: by breaking turning level (2) at 38,509 , the price should be trying to reach support level (1) 37,550 , after stabilizing below this level could further support to reach of as next level at 36,235 .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 40,990 , 42,268 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 37,550 , 36,235 .
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 9, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index displayed severe downward movement during the current week's trading session as we blasted through Key Sup 5238 and completed our long-time flagged target, Inner Index Dip 5131. The resilient rebound occurs, and the current market price action rests at Mean Res 5345. The likelihood of interim downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 5280 exists before the index resumes its upward trajectory. However, the prevailing price action suggests a sustained uptrend toward the Inner Interim Index Rally 5443, possibly extending to Mean Res 5525. However, these attained targets are likely to exert downward pressure.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?US100 is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 18,747.67
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 19,237.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 17,758.38
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Nasdaq finds support from 200 MA - for nowFinancial markets are significantly more stable today. Major indices have rebounded, with all posting gains, especially the Japanese Nikkei, thanks to reassuring remarks from the Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan yesterday. This optimism has spread across global equity markets, Bitcoin, and metal prices. Furthermore, better-than-anticipated US jobless claims data has eased concerns about a potential economic slowdown in the US. This comes on the heels of a strong ISM services PMI report on Monday, which has offset some of the weaker economic signals from last week.
The Nasdaq 100 has for now stabilised around its 200-day average. But we need to see some more bullish price action to provide a stronger bullish signal. For example, a move above the 18,460 - 18,700 area could further reduce the bears' control. However, if instead the 200 MA breaks on a closing basis, then that could pave the way for fresh selling activity. So we are not out of the woods yet, but today's price action has certainly been constructive if it can be sustained into the close.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
US30 ( BREAKOUT ASCENDING CHANNEL ) (1D)US30
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure, until trade below 40,025 .
Upward zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 40,025 , to reach resistance levels (1) at 41,219 , then as it stabilizes on the turning level we may see new resistance zones around 42.549 and 43,658 .
Downward zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 39,071, then breaking this level with a 1d or 4h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 38,099 .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 41,219 , 42,549 , 43,658 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 39,071 , 38,099 .
NAS100 H1 | Falling to pullback supportNAS100 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 17,441.70 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 17,100.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 18,427.26 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
ASX 200 hints at Turnaround TuesdayStock markets took quite the beating on Monday on fears of a US recession, and speculation that the Fed may be forced to cut rates as soon as next week. A stronger-than-expected ISM services report slowed the bleeding before Wall Street indices recouped some of their pre-session losses. Nikkei futures have since risen 10% from Monday's low, which could bode well for the ASX 200.
SPI 200 futures saw a false break of the April low and held above the Feb low. A bullish divergence has formed on the 1-hour chart and prices are trying to hold above the weekly S3 pivot. Dips towards 7500 could appeal to countertrend trend for a move up towards 7700.