SPX500 H4 | Potential Bullish ReversalSPX500 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 5,623.61 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 5,570.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 5,675.99 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Indices
GBPUSD H4 - Short SignalGBPUSD H4
We are trading very close to out 1.30 handle, this is our key area of resistance. Similarly we have DXY back down on our 104.00 support price. Our final element of support before a potential break and trend change.
On the basis of the above, I would like to see a rejection of 1.30 as indicated and annotated. With targets of around 1.28500 initially.
WallStreet Steady as Markets Await Retail Sales Data and EarningTechnical Analysis: Sustained Bullish Momentum Amid Earnings Season
Next Outlook:
The Nasdaq has reached its first resistance level at 20545 and has since reversed to its support line at 20385. It is expected to consolidate between 20385 and 20545 until a breakout occurs.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price remains above 20385, the targets are set at 20540 and 20725.
Bearish Scenario:
For a bearish trend to be confirmed, the price needs to stabilize below 20385 and close a 1-hour or 4-hour candle under this level, targeting 20085. A break below 20085 would open the path to a bearish zone, with further targets at 19845 and 19625.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 20385
- Resistance Levels: 20540, 20725, 20900
- Support Levels: 20085, 19845, 19625
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 20085 and the resistance at 20725.
Previous idea:
Wall Street Futures Steady Amid Awaited Retail Sales Data and Corporate Earnings
Wall Street futures remained steady on Tuesday following a strong rally in the main U.S. indexes during the previous session. The market's focus now shifts to retail sales numbers and a series of corporate earnings reports.
Attention is particularly directed towards retail sales data to gauge consumer response to persistent inflation in the United States. Economists polled by Reuters expect June retail sales to decline by 0.3% on a monthly basis. However, core retail prices are anticipated to remain unchanged.
This data will provide crucial insights into consumer behavior and economic resilience amid inflationary pressures, potentially influencing market movements and investor sentiment in the near term.
Watch out for the US retail sales todayThe US retail sales are coming out today, so be careful with the US instruments.
EASYMARKETS:SPIUSD SP:SPX
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
S&P 500: Approaching All-Time High or Facing Reversal?S&P 500 Analysis: All-Time High or Reversal?
The S&P 500 is exhibiting strong bullish momentum at the start of the second quarter earnings season. This bullish sentiment is expected to drive a general upward trend with potential rotations.
Bullish Scenario:
To sustain the bullish momentum, the price needs to stabilize above the pivot line at 5620, potentially reaching 5672 and 5688.
Bearish Scenario:
Conversely, if the price drops and stabilizes below 5620, it would indicate a bearish trend, potentially leading to declines towards 5585 and 5550.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 5640
- Resistance Levels: 5670, 5688, 5715
- Support Levels: 5620, 5585, 5550
Today's Expected Trading Range:
Today's trading range is anticipated to be between the resistance at 5688 and the support at 5550.
previous idea:
US30 / Navigating All-Time Highs and Potential ConsolidationTechnical Analysis: US30
The US30 has reached its all-time high and continues to gain, potentially targeting 40420. The momentum from earnings reports is expected to push the US30 to stabilize above 40420, aiming for 40940.
Current Outlook:
The price is likely to consolidate between 40420 and 40060 until a breakout occurs, with the initial target being 40420.
Bullish Scenario:
If the price touches 40420, it should stabilize above this level and close a 4-hour candle above it to maintain the bullish trend, targeting 40940.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to stabilize above 40420, it may trade between 40420 and 40060. A drop from 40420 to 40060 is possible.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 40220
- Resistance Levels: 40420, 40620, 40940
- Support Levels: 40080, 39880, 39600
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 40060 and the resistance at 40420.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 12, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Spooz has again demonstrated resilience in this week's trading session, advancing to the next Outer Index Rally 6515 and completing the newly created Inner Index Rally 5642. The current price action suggests a primary squeeze to Mean Sup 5577 and a secondary squeeze to Mean Sup 5535. The additional supplemental squeeze target 5449 cannot be discounted.
DAX H4 | Approaching multi-swing-high resistanceDAX (GER30) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 18,636.87 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 18,800.00 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 18,440.29 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DAX40 H4 - Short SignalDAX H4
We ended up trading higher than the previous zone we indicated yesterday on DAX40. Breaking resistance and moving now closer to this next area of resistance, priced 18650.
This 18650 price no doubt holds more significance from a selling standpoint. Huge H4 supply dated 12th June and multiple tests of resistance during recent trade. The entry we were looking for right at the beginning of the week in-fact.
Bullish bounce?DJ30 is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 39,067
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 38,806.19
Why we like it:
Thee is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 39,456.37
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
US2000 H4 | Sideways price actionUS2000 is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 2,056.20 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 2,075.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 2,019.85 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD D1 - Long SignalAUDUSD D1
We are on the big daily timeframe here for AUDUSD, breaking the previous resistance price level of 0.67. This was a considerable daily resistance price for us. We are now simply looking for a subsequent retest of this zone to see if we can find support on this price level.
If 0.67000 holds as support, we can likely look to position ourselves long with targets of the previous daily high price, nearing 0.68800 price. Circa 180 points.
DXY H8 - Bullish Signal DXY H8
Not a huge amount of movement during the trading sessions yesterday to start the week. We have seen some big, big moves across the likes of XAUUSD and US30, but not much in the FX space. Really hoping to see something pick up off this 105.000 support region.
We have drawn this horizontal black line to highlight this 105.000 handle, and what we would like to see to warrant bullish continuations.
The bearish play was instigated last week from the US cluster data, I think this week we shake it off and continue upside towards that 106.500 price.
US30 H4 | Rising into overlap resistanceUS30 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 39,570.20 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 39,800.00 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 39,098.66 which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
ASX looks set to retrace from resistanceThe ASX 200 cash market enjoyed its most bullish day in seven on Thursday. But like the SPI 200 futures contract, it met resistance before pausing.
The daily chart shows that a double top formed around the June 26 high and trend resistance. And as it's not unusual to see a market retrace against a strong move, and we have an NFP report looming which could suppress volatility, we're looking for prices to retrace lower against yesterday's rally.
Bears could target the 20-day EMA between the weekly and monthly pivot point, with a stop above yesterday's high.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Spooz has demonstrated resilience in the abbreviated trading week, achieving our long-anticipated Outer Index Rally 5560 target. The current price action suggests attaining the primary target of the Next Outer Index Rally at 5615. Nevertheless, the prospect of a rapid decline to the Mean Support level at 5515 cannot be discounted.
S&P 500 / Key Price Levels and Scenarios Amid NFP ImpactS&P 500 Analysis: Navigating Volatility with Key Price Levels and Scenarios Amid NFP Impact
The S&P 500 currently faces a significant supply zone between 5525 and 5550, having recently hit a new all-time high at 5550. Despite this, the broader outlook remains bullish, especially after stabilizing above the previous resistance level of 5525. However, the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report is poised to significantly impact the market.
Bullish Scenario:
To maintain the bullish momentum, the price needs to break through the supply zone and continue upward towards 5635. A 4-hour candle closing above 5550 would indicate a continued uptrend for the following week.
Bearish Scenario:
Conversely, if the price drops and stabilizes below 5525, it would signal a bearish trend, potentially leading to declines towards 5491 and 5460.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 5550 - 5525
Resistance Levels: 5590, 5620, 5645
Support Levels: 5491, 5460, 5440
Today's Expected Trading Range:
Today's trading range is anticipated to be between the resistance at 5635 and the support at 5460.
NFP Scenarios:
- Previous Result: 272K
- Expectation: 191K
If the NFP release is less than 191K, the indices are likely to follow a bullish scenario. Conversely, a result exceeding 191K, particularly around 250K, would likely lead to a bearish scenario.
In summary, the market's direction hinges on the NFP results and critical price levels. Monitoring these key levels and the NFP report will be crucial for navigating the S&P 500's volatility.
China A50 prints important swing lowThe China 50 row traced over 7% from a high to the June low. But a triple bottom formed at the 12,000 level, just above the 200 day average. A Bullish divergence also formed on the two-period RSI whilst the triple bottom formed.
On Tuesday we saw clear range expansion to the upside and a daily close above the 200 day exponential moving average. This suggests an important swing low has formed around 12,000.
On the hourly chart, a bullish divergent formed on the 14-period RSI. Resistance was met at the monthly pivot point and RSI became overbought on the daily and hourly chart, and prices now retracing lower. But with a significant low likely forming around 12,000, the prices to buy dips towards 12,100 and target 12,500 near the monthly R1 pivot point.
Bullish rise?DE40 has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could potentially rise to the 1sr resistance.
Pivot: 18,044.34
1st Support: 17,951.32
1st Resistance: 18,271.05
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.