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High-Probability SWI20 Longs with 57.78% Achieving TPI am adopting a probabilistic approach to my trading strategy based on historical and statistical data. This method allows me to identify patterns and trends that have proven effective in the past, enabling me to make informed decisions about entering long positions. By applying mathematical rules derived from historical performance, I can assess the likelihood of price movements and manage risk effectively. This systematic approach helps to minimize emotional decision-making and enhances the potential for successful trades. Key Fundamentals Supporting a Bullish Bias: - Swiss Economic Resilience: Despite global economic challenges, Swiss equities are showing signs of recovery, with the Swiss SMI index rising 2% this year, indicating a potential bullish trend ahead. - Central Bank Policies: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has indicated a favorable inflation outlook, which could lead to supportive monetary policies that benefit the stock market. - Currency Dynamics: The recent correction in the Swiss franc may ease pressure on exporters, potentially leading to improved earnings for companies within the index. - Investment Inflows: Swiss-domiciled funds have recorded their highest net inflows since 2022, reflecting growing investor confidence in the Swiss market. These factors collectively support a bullish outlook for the Switzerland 20 Index, aligning with my trading strategy. 2W: HOURLY ENTRY:
EIGHTCAP:SWI20Long
by Jasminex1x2
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the S&P 500 index exhibited considerable weakness by completing the Inner Index Dip at 5733, in conjunction with the Mean Support level of 5798, while leaving the gap by not reaching the secondary Mean Support level of 5700. This development of fulfilling the gap will likely stimulate a significant rebound toward the Mean Resistance level of 5775, with the possibility of further extension. The 5700 support level is critical for facilitating a primary recovery and advancing into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend. However, it is imperative to acknowledge that achieving and penetrating the 5700 level could instigate a downward spiral in price action to Mean Sup 5620.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
S&P500: 1D MA50 hit after 50 days. Is it a buy?S&P500 just turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.346, MACD = 12.360, ADX = 37.705) as it hit yesterday the 1D MA50 for the first time since September 11th. The Channel Up since August is intact and each of its two previous Lows took place on the 1D MA100 and 1D MA200 respectively, so each time an MA period higher. The 1D RSI is also reversing on a similar pattern as those two Lows. Our Target is the top of the pattern (TP = 6,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
1
NAS100USD / TRADING UNDER EARNING Q3 / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Initial Achievement , Prices have reached a target with a profit of +350 pips, indicating successful movement in the predicted direction. Current Trading Range , Prices are currently within a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 20,549 and 20,410. An FVG is an area where liquidity may exist, so prices might experience some consolidation here. If prices break below 20,146 (the demand line) and hold there, this would likely confirm a downtrend , A demand line often indicates support, where buyers might step in to prevent further drops. Stabilizing within the FVG (above 20,410) suggests potential to reach 20,820 and further to 20,968 , If prices stabilize above the demand line, this would indicate strength and could push prices towards the target. Overall Sentiment , The analysis concludes with an upward pressure bias, suggesting the analyst anticipates more bullish movement despite potential consolidation zones.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
9
DOW JONES: Bottom of the Channel Up.Dow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.00, MACD = 51.000, ADX = 21.000) as it almost hit the bottom of the Channel Up pattern. It is about to form a Death Cross on the 4H timeframe, which will be the first since August 8th that was technically the bottom of July's correction and start of the current Channel Up. We expect the bottom to be priced either today or tomorrow and the RR is good enough to buy. We aim for the 1.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 44,000), which priced the previous two HH. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
1
ASX 200 flirts with bearish reversal breakoutElection jitters are in the air, and it is weighing on Wall Street sentiment - and dragging the ASX 200 with it, which also faces pressure from a spate of weak China figures in recent weeks. A potential head and shoulders top has formed on the daily chart, and prices are close to testing a support zone which could double up as a neckline. For now, the ASX appears hesitant to break the 8130/50 support zone which brings could prompt a minor bounce over the near term. A break beneath 8130 confirms the bearish reversal, which projects an approximate downside target near 7900 and the 200-day EMA. Also note the 8100 and 8000 levels which could provide support along the way MS
ASX24:AP1!Short
by CityIndex
Bullish bounce off pullback support?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 41,894.89 1st Support: 41,497.27 1st Resistance: 42,478.07 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by ICmarkets
NASDAQ: Channel Up topped. Opportunity for short term selling.Nasdaq turned bearish on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 38.742, MACD = -3.920, ADX = 40.192) as it crossed under the 1H MA50. This comes after almost an exact touch at the top of the September Channel Up and while the 1D timeframe has gone from bullish to almost neutral. The last two rejections at the top targeted at least the 1.236 Fibonacci level on the pullback. That is what we aim for on the short term (TP = 20,250). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by InvestingScope
3
DreamAnalysis | NASDAQ's Next Move Key Levels & Strategic Setups✨ Today’s Focus: NASDAQ (US100) – A Major Market Influencer We’re diving into the latest NASDAQ price action to pinpoint crucial levels, assess potential trends, and uncover strategic trading opportunities. 📊 Market Overview: Currently, NASDAQ is positioned in a deep premium. The price has broken through significant buy-side liquidity levels, including the Previous Month High (PMH) and Previous Week High (PWH), setting the stage for a potential move toward the all-time high. A bearish Smart Money Technique (SMT) signal also aligns with the SPX500 (ES), hinting at possible headwinds. 🔴 Short- and Long-Term Outlook: We’ll explore both bullish and bearish setups, equipping day traders with insights to approach both short-term and long-term trends effectively. 🗣 Short-Term Outlook: In the short term, two scenarios could play out: either a push into the Buy Side Liquidity targeting the all-time high or a rejection at the 4-Hour Imbalance, leading to a lower move. Lower timeframes will be crucial for monitoring these moves—drop down to spot key market movements in real-time. 🗣 Long-Term Outlook: Looking long term, there’s potential for a pullback into a Discount level. For entries, tracking lower timeframes is essential, especially as we’re near the all-time high. The bearish SMT divergence with SPX500 (ES) reinforces the possibility of a downward expansion. 🕓 Key Levels to Watch: These levels will likely shape price movement: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - Weekly FVG: Weekly Fair Value Gap (Imbalance Zone) Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) serve as pivotal retracement zones, potentially guiding the next price movement. 📈 Bullish Scenario: In a bullish setup, watch for Low-Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity sweeps on lower timeframes (LTF). Look for entry signals targeting higher levels, including a potential move toward the all-time high (ATH). 📉 Bearish Scenario: For bearish trades, focus on lower timeframes such as the 15-minute chart. Short entries within the 4-Hour Imbalance or a breakdown of Low-Resistance Buy-Side Liquidity provide further confirmation. 📝 Final Thoughts: Stay adaptable as market dynamics shift. By monitoring these key levels and setups, you’ll refine your strategy and increase the potential for high-probability trades. 🔮 On the Radar: We’re also tracking NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets for evolving insights and timely updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by DreamAnalysis
DAX H4 | Potential bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportDAX (GER30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 19,412.53 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 19,300.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 19,624.78 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:GER30Long
by FXCM
3
AUS200 H4 | Potential bullish bounceAUS200 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 8,194.52 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 8,165.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 8,274.87 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:AUS200Long
by FXCM
NAS100USD / TRADING SUPPLY ZONE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Situation , Prices are in a supply zone, stabilizing between 20,418 and 20,522. This suggests a consolidation phase, where prices may move sideways as buyers and sellers are in balance. Potential Decline , A possible decline could reach the demand line at 20,146. This level could act as a support, as buyers may step in if prices drop here. The analysis indicates an overall bullish pressure, as long as prices remain above the demand line. A bounce here could signal buyers gaining strength, potentially pushing prices up toward the supply line at 20,820. If the demand line at 20,146 breaks, further declines are anticipated, possibly bringing prices to a lower demand zone between 19,963 and 19,735. This scenario would suggest that bearish momentum is taking over.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
S&P500: Next bullish wave is underway.S&P500 just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.557, MACD = 35.840, ADX = 41.016) as the price made a rebound last Wednesday on the 4H MA100, right at the bottom of 6 week Channel Up. The 4H MA100 is the level where the last HL was also priced (October 2nd). Morever the 4H RSI hit and rebounded on the S1 Zone. Regarding the bullish waves, both previous ones have recorded at least a +3.50% rise. This is our expectation once more and we are aiming for slightly under it (TP = 5,950). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
DreamAnalysis | Dow Jones Analysis Key Levels to Watch!✨ Today’s Focus: Dow Jones (US30) – A Key Market Mover Today, we’re diving into the latest Dow Jones price action, pinpointing critical levels to identify potential trends and strategic trade opportunities. 📊 Market Snapshot: The price is currently oscillating within the previous week’s range. After capturing some crucial buy-side liquidity, such as the Previous Month’s High (PMH), there’s been a strong shift to the sell side. 🔴 Short- vs. Long-Term Outlook: We’ll break down scenarios for both bullish and bearish setups, providing insights for day traders on how to approach short-term and long-term trends. 🗣 Short-Term Outlook: In the short term, a potential retracement higher could take out some Buy-Side Liquidity or hit the midpoint (50%) of the range. Following this, the price may continue downward toward sell-side targets, with the Weekly Imbalance as a significant level to watch. 🗣 Long-Term Outlook: Our long-term perspective remains bearish until the price reaches the Weekly Imbalance at the 50% range mark. From there, we’ll need to observe how the market reacts to assess if further declines are likely. 🕓 Key Levels to Watch: These levels are likely to shape price movement: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - Weekly FVG: Fair Value Gap (Imbalance Zone) Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are crucial zones for potential retracement, setting up the next directional move. 📈 Bullish Scenario: For a bullish setup, monitor lower timeframes (LTF) for a sweep of Low-Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity. Look for entry models targeting higher levels, including a move toward the All-Time High (ATH). 📉 Bearish Scenario: For bearish opportunities, use lower timeframes like the 15-minute chart. Seek short entry signals within the 4-Hour Imbalance, or wait for a breakdown of Low-Resistance Buy-Side Liquidity for added confirmation. 📝 Final Thoughts: Stay flexible as market dynamics shift. Monitor these key levels and setups to fine-tune your strategy and capitalize on high-probability trades. 🔮 Coming Up: We’re also tracking NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets, with timely insights as trends evolve. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US30
by DreamAnalysis
SPX500 H4 | Falling to 38.2% Fibonacci supportSPX500 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 5,807.01 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 5,760.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. Take profit is at 5,881.22 which is a swing-high resistance close to the all-time high. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:SPX500Long
by FXCM
Could US30 drop from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 42,413.14 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 42,768.22 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 41,939.71 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:DJ30Short
by VantageMarkets