CAC40 approaching resistance, potential drop!CAC40 is approaching our first resistance at 4931 (horizontal overlap resistance, 38.2% & 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension ) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 4556 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal pullback support)
Stochastic (34,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Indices Europe
SHORT: Monthly 50-EMA hit, among other thingsThere are a lots of alignments. I believe it is time to go short deeply for aggressive traders by going against the bullish "wave analysts" advocates. There is clearly an hierarchy here. People are starting to be bullish post "low vol" breakout. Don't go long the climax. Study what happened in previous decades before stock market crashes.
SHORT: Pullback to the weekly 200-EMA among other thingsThe CAC40 pulled back to the breakout level, completed different patterns and reached their targets. I know that some people studying waves believe we could still go up, but I think there should be quite a good sell-off during the next week. I could indeed be wrong, so we shall see. I've noticed that a few rarer or uncommon patterns appeared. Need to study hard on those. Elliott Waves are also more important than one may think.
Either a triple top or an inverted H&S: Crucial week1) Most indices retraced 50%, and we are at a very important turning point: if indices breakout cleanly there resistance (for instance SP500 at 2610.8, among other ones) then I would reassess my short bias as we would go back to potentially bullish territory (however, this would mean that the world and its economy become rosier --- no more issues!). The DAX could then retrace everything back up and reintegrate previous broken support levels.
2) In case it doesn't work out, then a triple top could be validated if a clean breakout occurs as well. We could retest all the leg down (80-100%). As volume is decreasing, I believe we had fake rallies and simply witnessed a great technical bounce (see monthly charts) while retracing a down run on US indices.
We shall see, everything has to be decided tonight and in the following days in my humble opinion.
The French Stock Index CAC40 Trend Still UpThe CAC40 looks like a nice setup with the bias still supportive to the upside.
However, the price will need to get above yesterday's session high which is just above the Monthly Pivot high.
Go long if the price breaks above 4852 and place a stop loss at 4673. The profit target is at 5108 for a good risk reward trade.
champions league of .... crash ^^it was difficult to foresee a possible forex reaction on world cup result, unless the winner were the sole user of its currency (case of brazilian real), but regarding the stock market, the french CAC40 having no positive reaction at all to this means only one thing: big players exactly know where it is going to go and have already loaded their bazookas. in one word, big collapse very soon (matter of days only) for the CAC40 and everything else ...
Going against the current trend: Long 4580 and 4628 European markets are in another cycle compared to the US. A true pullback is getting more and more possible in a few European markets in spite of what's currentky going on in my opinion. It is possible that January becomes bullish before the bigger picture (potential bearish 2019 trend) takes over. Of course, I could be wrong and the markets could well collapse right away. The breakaway gaps also speak volume.