SPX Week in Review (log)Hello community,
A quick look at the SPX trend weekly.
We are still in an uptrend, as shown by the indicator.
It remains to be seen whether the US elections will shake up the market.
The chart shows the volume accumulation zones.
The orange line represents the 200-period simple moving average.
For my part, I am not worried.
Make your own opinion before placing an order.
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Indicesp500
US500Is US500 exhausting at resistance zone?
As the price is been on high bull run but now it seems like price is lacking bullish momentum after printing double top pattern at resistance level and bearish divergence( on lower time frame) suggesting the sell pressure is about to start.
If the bears took control , the 1st target could be 4840.
What you guys think of it?
S&P500 - 5000 Points In 2024Hello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of S&P500.
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Explanation of my chart analysis:
The S&P500 has been rallying for the entire year of 2023. Many people do expect a correction but the charts are still looking pretty bullish. If we see a breakout above the previous all time high at $4.700, I do expect a rally back to the upper resistance of the rising channel above $5.000.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
SPX Bull Run May Be OverHi Traders!
SPX looks to have fallen short of the record high, and there could potentially be a big pullback that is about to occur.
Here are the details:
There is an evening star candle pattern currently on the 1W chart, and this is the first week the market's weekly open price has opened substantially lower than the previous week's closing price in about 8 weeks.
We are looking for a pullback to test the previous resistance break at 4637.30, which is now the support, and if the market breaks below that, then the next level will be trendline support at 4331.90, which lines up with the 38.2 Fibonacci retracement level at 4311.69.
Preferred Direction: Sell
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
Resistance: 4818.62
Support: 4637.30
Trendline Support: 4331.90
38.2 Fibonacci Support: 4311.69
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
SPX500 Swing Short Idea!Price has been consolidating at a major Resistance level where price has dropped dramatically in the past. Short positions between 4600-4630 zone. Targets @ 4395 & 4330
Confluences: Consolidation under Resistance, Hanging Man candle on the weekly timeframe hinting at signs that buyers are losing steam, evidence of Divergence, 50MA and 200MA are at the .50 and .382 of Fib. for take profit targets.
Trade safe and good luck!
BluetonaFX - SPX Near 10 Week HighHi Traders!
There is bullish momentum on the SPX as the market has been at its highest level in ten weeks.
Price Action 📊
After the previous resistance break above 4393.57, the market gapped to the upside to start the trading week, and the bullish momentum has continued. We are looking for further bullish momentum to target September's high at 4541.25.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
US Indices have been rallying lately due to the weaker than expected figures coming out of the US lately. Traders are increasingly worried about the USD, so stocks and indices are on the rise.
Support 📉
4393.57: PREVIOUS RESISTANCE
Resistance 📈
4541.25: 10 WEEK HIGH
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
BluetonaFX - SPX Potential Double Top SHORT OpportunityHi Traders!
There is a potential double top pattern formed on the 1D S&P500 chart, and there is potential for further moves to the downside depending on whether we get another price rejection at the important 4393.57 level, which is the 4-week high.
Price Action 📊
The market has had a big price rejection around the 4393.57 level and has now reached that level again. There is potential for a short entry with a small stop loss above 4393.57 for good risk-reward opportunities.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
There were weak US major figures recently posted, with weaker than expected PMI figures and Non-Farm jobs data. The Fed also failed to commit to further interest rate hikes, which has left traders nervous about the US dollar.
Support 📉
4355.41: PREVIOUS DAY'S LOW
4284.79: 20 EMA
4103.78: 2 WEEK LOW
Resistance 📈
4386.26: PREVIOUS DAY'S HIGH
4393.57: 4 WEEK HIGH
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
The S&P500 is preparing for an insane rallyHello Traders and Investors,
My name is Philip and I am a German swing-trader with over 4 years of trading experience.
I only trade the higher timeframes, preferably the monthly chart, because this allows me to capitalize on the major market swings.
I view trading as a long term game over the next 20 years which will help me to build massive wealth - it is not a get rich quick scheme.
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Today I want to share with you my outlook on the S&P500:
Over the past almost 15 years the S&P500 has been respecting a super simple bullish trendline. Always when the S&P500 tested this level, we saw a major rally towards the upside. And now the S&P500 is about to retest this trendline again and I do expect another push higher.
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Most of the people always follow the quick money. But the quick money is never the big money.
They think that making 5% a month consistently is reasonable, which is one of the reasons why so many traders fail.
The only think which you can control is your risk, everything else is unknown.
Keep your long term vision!
S&P500 (SPX) -> Buy The DipMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on S&P500.
After perfectly retesting the 50% fibonacci retracement level in confluence with previous structure this recent rally of more than 25% was quite expected.
After this agressive rally I do expect some short term weakness and the S&P500 to retest its long term uptrendline before I think that we could see another push higher.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
US100 H1 - Sell from 14650, buy from 14250US100 H1 🇺🇸
We have our preferred sell zone at 14650 and our preferred buy zone at 14490 ish. In-between, we have a bit of a resistance price at this current price of 14600. Interested to see whether we breach this 600 price or not.
Whilst US stocks are climbing higher, S&P breaking resistance price of 4150, the NASDAQ has been climbing since December 2022, it would be great to see a monster swing correction to maybe 13750. But that's quite an ask.
THE 4 POWERS OF DIVERGENCE AND 4 NASDAQ TRADESNew home sales in June fell to the lowest level since April 2020, reflecting declining builder sentiment as construction bottlenecks continue to slow new home building and raise housing costs.
Sales of newly built, single-family homes in June fell 8.1% to a 590,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate from a sharply downwardly revised reading in May, according to newly released data by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau. New home sales are down 13.4% in 2022 on a year-to-date basis.
Builders saw sales decline significantly as buyers were priced out of the market on higher interest rates and ongoing home building and development costs, including building materials, This is just the second time that new home sales have fallen below a 600,000 annual pace since Oct. 2018, and this latest report also mirrors a sharp decline in builder confidence as noted in our latest survey.
Buyers are balking due to deteriorating affordability conditions and growing sticker shock,
A new home sale occurs when a sales contract is signed or a deposit is accepted. The home can be in any stage of construction: not yet started, under construction or completed. In addition to adjusting for seasonal effects, the June reading of 590,000 units is the number of homes that would sell if this pace continued for the next 12 months.
New single-family home inventory remained elevated at a 9.3 months’ supply, up 60.3% over last year, with 457,000 available for sale. However, only 39,000 of the new home inventory is completed and ready to occupy. The remaining have not started construction or are currently under construction.
The median sales price dipped to $402,400 in June, down 9.5% compared to May, but is up 7.4% compared to a year ago.
Regionally, on a year-to-date basis, new home sales fell in all four regions, down 12.1% in the Northeast, 24.8% in the Midwest, 12.6% in the South and 9.6% in the West.
Commentary of my 4 Nadaq Trades:
2 Shorts s Longs, all winners, Trade No. 3 wa the biggest winner.
Setup:
RSI50-580-290-5-13 Median 5 Risk Exposure 5% Profit Target 35
Buy,if Cross over
Sell if cross below
Trend Continuation Short
RSI falls below 20 degree
Trend Continuation long:
Rsi above 35 Degree.
Good Luck Traders
US500 SELL TRADE IDEALooking to sell us500. Sellside liquidity. Also, it has a SMT divergence with NASDAQ. The entry is gonna be on 5 min chart.
US500: Why Will Lower CPI Data Help The Stocks Recover?US500: Why Will Lower CPI Data Help The Stocks Recover?
The US500 and all other indices reacted very well after the U.S
reported CPI data, lower than expected.
During the last FOMC, Powell said that the Fed will continue to raise interest rates
until the Inflation Rate is brought under control.
He also emphasized that they will increase the interest rate projections for 2023.
With that sentence, he showed a hawkish stance from the Fed on the current economic situation.
After the CPI data came in lower than expected, the USD fell sharply and indices and stocks rallied.
Why did this happen?
Bearing in mind that the main purpose of increasing interest rates is to fight the inflation rate.
The low CPI data implies that the Fed will no longer raise interest rates in larger steps and may prefer to slow down
now and monitor the economy over the coming months.
So we may see a dovish FED position.
With this, it is assumed that businesses will not be greatly affected by the new interest rates and maybe they have some hope again.
So they will lend with a smaller interest rate than actually expected.
A higher interest rate means that loans are too expensive for businesses and they will try not to expand further.
So the lower CPI data shows that there is some light for businesses at the end of the tunnel.
Thanks and good luck!
US500 : Another Bearish Movement Is PossibleUS500 : Another Bearish Movement Is Possible
Price is moving in a potential WXYXZ correction.
Now the price is developing the X wave again.
Now it is very close to the potential reversal zone and the bearish
movement looks closer now.
We should remember that USD is still very strong.
Thank you and Good Luck!
US500 | A Small Correction Before The Next CrashUS500 | A Small Correction Before The Next Crash
All the market is going a bit crazy these days.
On indices, it has been a bit more stable when it comes to technical
perspective.
the price has moved lower but it has respected the technical perspective
related to the price movement.
Today we can see that the price is already correcting and this is
showing that we can have another selling opportunity very soon again.
Targets on the chart.
Thank you and Good Luck!
US500 | The Bearish Volume Is High! Further Decline Is ExpectedUS500 | The Bearish Volume Is High! Further Decline Is Expected
After the price tested the resistance trend line in August 16, 2022, we saw that the sellers
gained the price control again.
Yesterday's price broke down the daily support area of 3890
The price looks headed down now and immediate support will be found near 3784, 3723 and 3655
The market is pricing in the next FOMC decision which will be on September 21st.
Thank you and Good Luck!
S&P 500 index LONGAs we can see the indices markets has shown us a very strong bullish Market for the past weeks , my sentiments on this pair are bullish from the previous h4 Low that we are are currently rallying down down to retest at price levels 4000-3960 we should watching for a strong reversal to carry on the initial uptrend
Upside target for ES is the 3880 levelLooking for higher prices on ES, the 3880 level is where I think price will draw up into. I will only be looking for longs going into today NY session. If we don't get it today then that will still be my target for next week unless we break below the swing low that was formed on Wednesday 3700 level.
US30 Top-down AnalysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.