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Innercircletrader

Crude Oil WTI - Analysis (ICT)Simple analysis on the Monthly timeframes. There is trendline liquidity residing above, which I believe is the next draw on price. With that in mind, I noticed price react nicely off of a 5-Month FVG and Orderblock. With that in mind, I'm anticipating price using the current Sibi that it is in to become an iFVG. I would like to see a Monthly candle close above it and then use it or a created Bisi as support to trade higher. Life is simple, don't complicate it. - R2F
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Road_2_Funded
DXY - Bearish Outlook? (ICT)This is my analysis on the Dollar Index. It seems to me that DXY is finally ready to move lower, at least in the short-term. The seasonality of the DXY peaks about now and weakens all the way until the start of May. Whilst this is not the core of the analysis, it helps add more confluence. Price-wise, I notice that last week's high took out the bodies of the previous 2 weeks before displacing to the downside, leaving a lovely Unicorn setup. In my eyes, this is already good to look for a short in that area. Further confluence is there is trendline sellside liquidity building up, so for a narrative we may be looking for price to touch/pierce or come close to it first before entering the Unicorn setup. If more sellside liquidity is created before entering the setup, even better. Let's see how it goes! - R2F
TVC:DXYShort
by Road_2_Funded
GBPUSD - Analysis (ICT)This is a possible scenario for GBPUSD, annotated on the 1h timeframe. Price just took out sellside liquidity and reversed back up rapidly during news on the 1st March 2024. There is much trendline liquidity residing above, but there is also a 3-week and monthly FVG below (off screen). The narrative I have in mind is for price to at least either make one more high near the C.E of the NDOG or slightly piercing the trendline, then heading to the downside. Or, for a bullish scenario, price breaks convincingly above the trendline, then finds support to move higher. Let's see what unfolds. - R2F
by Road_2_Funded
USDJPY - Short Trade Idea (ICT)This is a short trade idea for the Gopher. There are equal highs as a target above, but I believe we will possibly head to the downside first towards the sellside liquidity and a signature Weekly R2F Gap, coupled with a refined Daily and 6h gap. What I will be looking for is a convincing shift in market structure and displacement on a lower timeframe to validate this narrative, of course, at an appropriate day of week and time of day. Let's see how this plays out! - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
1
EURUSD - Trade Idea (ICT)Intraday trade idea on the EURUSD. I see a reaction off a signature 2-day R2F Gap to give me a bullish bias to take price possibly to the highs. For narrative, I see a signature 30m R2F Gap as a possible entry to take me up to the relative equal highs where my "low hanging fruit" objective lies. I have added confidence for the 2nd objective due to the trendline buyside liquidity on GBPUSD. However, this bias/narrative is still not ironclad as there have been a lot of N(D/W)OGs on the chart, at least for the FXCM data which I usually use. Trade with caution. - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded
1
Top-Down Analysis (The CORRECT Approach!)In this video I go through how to effectively do a top-down analysis, and avoid common mistakes. This can apply to any type of trading methodology, but here the focus will be on ICT’s liquidity and inefficiency concepts. This topic is important to traders who are keen on improving their win-rate and catching those higher RR trades. Whilst those things don’t define a successful trader, only consistent profitability and sound risk management do, I believe an effective top-down approach to framing trades is a worthwhile endeavor. Better trade setups give you less stress, more profits, and more freedom of time. What is a "top-down analysis"? It is basically doing your analysis on a higher timeframe to get in line with where you or your strategy is showing price is likely moving to, then on a lower timeframe to wait for your trade setup to form, and then either entering on that timeframe or going to an even lower timeframe for an entry signal. For example, if the weekly chart is bearish, and you see a bullish candle on the hourly chart, you may be fooled into trading in the wrong direction. For the highest probability, you need to be in sync with the higher timeframe. My approach is split into 3 parts: 1. I have my BIAS which is built on the monthly, weekly, and daily timeframe. This helps me determine the direction I want to trade in. If my analysis is bullish, I want to look for longs, and vice versa for shorts. 2. Then I have my NARRATIVE, aka my ‘story’ of how my setup may form on a lower timeframe, usually the 1-4h timeframe. For example, I may be looking for a specific pool of liquidity to be swept at a certain time of the day. 3. Thirdly, I have my CONFIRMATION, which is usually based on the 5-15m timeframe. I hope you found this video insightful and that it helps enhance your trading. If you need clarification about the content, or you are still struggling with finding your groove as a trader and need personal guidance or mentorship, feel free to reach out to me via TradingView’s private message or on X (formerly known as Twitter). Til next time, happy trading. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
GBPUSD - Trade Idea (ICT Concepts)I'm anticipating lower prices on GBPUSD. The CPI move yesterday confirmed this bias. I am now looking for continuation lower. I don't believe price will move too much higher to fill the inefficiency. There is a signature Gap on the 4h timeframe that I will be framing this short on. Possibly adding confluence with a Judas Swing coupled with the Classic Tuesday High of the Week. The stoploss is for illustration only. I would wait for a lower timeframe shift in market structure along with BISIs being disrespected and SIBIs being created. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
Understanding LIQUIDITYIn this video I try to explain liquidity as it pertains to training in a simple manner. Liquidity are basically orders in the marketplace. Since trading is a zero-sum game, without liquidity, there is no trading. Simply put, If you wanted to BUY, then you would need someone to SELL to you, and vice versa. Smart Money has deep pockets and needs a large amount of liquidity to facilitate their positions. They want to be able to get in and our of their trades, as well as to be able to trade with capital that would be worth the reward. The largest pools of liquidity usually reside above swing highs and lows, and equal highs and lows (double/triple tops and bottoms). Support and Resistance ideologies dominate the market, and besides that, psychologically it makes sense to put stoplosses at such areas rather than at some random area within a range. There are also breakout traders who see price breaking out of an area as a sign of strength (or weakness if bearish) and they set their entries above/below these levels. This is how liquidity is "engineered" in the market and sentiment manipulated. These pools of liquidity can be seen as a magnet, drawing price to these levels, either to grab liquidity before reversing or continuing in its current direction. - R2F
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Road_2_Funded
14
USD - FULL ANALYSIS [ICT Concepts]In the video I go through the timeframes in a top-down analysis, starting all the way from the yearly timeframe, down to the hourly timeframes. I share my thoughts on what I am looking for in order to build a bias for taking new trades. The key indicator for me is the creation of new Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and the disrespect of previous Fair Value Gaps. Occasionally, I add the confluence of Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks. Hope this is insightful. - R2F
TVC:DXY
by Road_2_Funded
Short term trade Idea USD/JPY (LONG)Using ICT concepts, I believe we are about to see an expansion on Dollar pairs. I am getting in sync with this short term USD/JPY, aiming for my weekly short term liquidity objective. I believe we are making a Tuesday low of the week and after reacting off that daily level, I think we are due to for some expansion. Entry was on the high of the 15m BPR. Stops will be moved to break even above Asia's High, 148.556 Partials will be taken @ 148.807. Any questions, drop me a message!
Long
by ProsperousTechnician
DXY Analysis - Monthly & Weekly Timeframe (ICT Concepts)Reacted BEARISH off of PREMIUM with hard displacement. Now looking BEARISH at DISCOUNT zones. 3W candle closed below a Bisi 3W, but reacted off of lower Bisi 3W. Based on this timeframe, I want to see if price wants to move towards the higher disrespected Bisi 3W and then react bearish. That disrespected Bisi 3W is almost a 1M Bisi. It would make the most sense that if price were bearish is for it to come to a PREMIUM zone for that swing range into the Bisi 1M (BPR) before heading lower. The bias is not concreate at the moment, so be wary of any change in narrative during high-impact news drivers and the general structure on lower timeframes. Lower timeframe may present long opportunities to this shorting POI, but price may create a Sibi first. - R2F
TVC:DXY
by Road_2_Funded
DXY - Intraday Analysis (ICT)My DXY interest for today. Assuming the last dump was to trap shorts, with the confluence of trading into a Monthly Bisi and Monthly Breaker (Body) and New Month Opening Gap. I am interested to see if this can now move higher. It also traded off a Daily Bisi then broke higher, again playing around a 4h Sibi, and now seems to be moving lower. There is a 1h Balanced Price Range inside a Breaker on this timeframe at OTE of that range. I would like to see it react off of there, go higher, use the 4h gap as support, then move higher to target an actual liquidity void above.
TVC:DXYLong
by Road_2_Funded
AUDUSD - Daily Timeframe Analysis (ICT)I'm anticipating price to head towards the Internal Buyside Liquidity in the form of Equal Highs above as a first objective. This bias comes from External Liquidity being raided, with a manipulative move that took it out a second time. A large Daily Sibi was left in its wake, but what was interesting is that price came into, and closed within the Sibi on Thursday, and on Friday's NFP it shot down to take out the previous day's low before coming back into the Sibi with a bullish close. In my eyes this is indicative of price wanting to head towards Buyside Liquidity before a HTF continuation to the downside. As for narrative, I would anticipate price breaking through the Sibi, finding resistance possibly somewhere within the long-tailed Daily Wick and Trendline Buyside Liquidity above. Consequently, returning back into the Daily Sibi and using it as support before moving higher to the objective. This analysis is based on Smart Money accumulating more shorts at relevant zones of Buyside Liquidity and Inefficiencies. A POI for a reversal back to the downside will be based on how price moves at either one of the annotations above my first objective. - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded
1