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Innercircletrader

10.24.2023 NQ AM Session Looking ahead to the NY AM session, a bullish weekly profile so far. Monday's session established an Opening Range High for the week, a common occurrence for the first trading day. Anticipate a decisive move away from Monday's high, targeting opposing liquidity as a potential manipulation. Pay close attention to the 10/23 9:30 LOD (Low of Day), a crucial reference point. Below this level lies a historically relevant 1D FVG (fair value gap), providing a strategic entry point. From there, anticipate an upward expansion into levels outlined in the weekly outlook. It's worth noting that while these projections are made prior to the London session, market dynamics may evolve. Nevertheless, these are the developments I'll be monitoring closely. Happy trading! News for tomorrow: 9:45 AM Flash Manufacturing PMI 9:45 AM Flash Services PMI 10:00 AM Richmond Manufacturing Index 4:35 PM Jerome Powell speaks
CME_MINI:NQZ2023Short
by TheMadPupil
10.27.2023 NQ OutlookIf the DXY (US Dollar Index) makes its descent lower, we observe a corresponding upward trend in indices. Presently, we find ourselves situated within a retracement and reversal zone marked by a bearish breaker on the Daily (1D) timeframe. Having successfully tapped into substantial sell-side liquidity over the past week, it is reasonable to anticipate an uptick in buying activity in the week ahead. This mirrors a similar notion I had regarding the DXY—it doesn't imply a complete correction, but rather lays the groundwork for lower prices in the weeks to come. This dynamic sets the stage for a potentially intriguing market scenario.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by TheMadPupil
EUR/USD: Unraveling Today's Wild Ride! 📉📈 🔥 Brace yourselves, traders and enthusiasts! In today's video, we're dissecting the wild rollercoaster that the EUR/USD pair took us on. From sharp drops to unexpected surges, the currency market was on fire, and we're here to break down every twist and turn. Join our team of seasoned traders and financial experts as we analyze the factors behind this crazy EUR/USD move. We'll explore the economic indicators, global events, and market sentiment that contributed to the volatility. Whether you're a novice trader looking to learn or a seasoned pro seeking insights, this video has something for everyone. 📊 Get ready for detailed chart analyses, expert predictions, and trading strategies tailored for this unique market situation. We'll also explore how geopolitical events and economic data impacted the exchange rate, providing you with a comprehensive overview of the forces at play. Stay ahead of the curve and make informed decisions in your trading journey. Hit that subscribe button, ring the notification bell, and join us as we unravel the mysteries behind today's crazy EUR/USD move. Don't miss out on the expert insights that could shape your financial future! #ForexTrading #EURUSD #MarketAnalysis 🌐💹
by MillixFx
Scalping Gold using the intraday BIASScalping gold using intraday bias refers to a trading strategy where investors take advantage of short-term price movements in the gold market based on the prevailing intraday bias. Intraday bias refers to the direction in which the price of an asset, in this case, gold, is expected to move within a single trading day. Traders who employ this strategy typically open and close multiple positions throughout the day, aiming to profit from small price fluctuations. Here's a step-by-step description of how this strategy might work: ### 1. **Understanding Intraday Bias:** - **Technical Analysis:** Traders use technical analysis tools such as moving averages, support and resistance levels, and various chart patterns to identify short-term trends and potential entry/exit points. - **Fundamental Analysis:** Consideration of economic indicators, geopolitical events, and market news that could influence gold prices within the day. ### 2. **Setting Up Indicators:** - **Moving Averages:** Traders often use short-term moving averages (e.g., 5-period and 10-period) to identify quick changes in trend direction. - **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** Helps identify overbought or oversold conditions, indicating potential reversal points. ### 3. **Identifying the Bias:** - **Bullish Bias:** If the intraday analysis suggests a bullish bias (gold prices are expected to rise), traders look for buying opportunities. - **Bearish Bias:** If the bias is bearish (gold prices are expected to fall), traders look for selling opportunities. ### 4. **Setting Entry and Exit Points:** - **Entry Points:** Traders enter positions when they believe the bias is strong and the price is about to move significantly in the expected direction. - **Exit Points:** Profit targets are set at small increments, and traders exit positions once these targets are met. Similarly, stop-loss orders are placed to limit potential losses in case the trade goes against the bias. ### 5. **Risk Management:** - **Position Size:** Traders often risk a small percentage of their trading capital on each trade to manage potential losses. - **Volatility Consideration:** Gold can be volatile; traders must adjust their position sizes and stop-loss levels accordingly. ### 6. **Continuous Monitoring:** - **Real-Time Analysis:** Traders need to constantly monitor price movements, news, and any other factors that might affect the intraday bias. - **Adaptability:** The strategy might need to be adjusted based on real-time market conditions. ### 7. **Closing Positions:** - **End of the Day:** All positions are closed at the end of the trading day to avoid overnight risks associated with holding positions in a volatile market like gold. ### 8. **Constant Learning and Adaptation:** - **Review and Analysis:** Traders review their trades, analyzing what worked and what didn’t. This analysis informs future trading decisions. - **Adapt to Market Changes:** Market conditions can change rapidly. Successful scalpers adapt their strategies to evolving market trends and behaviors. It's important to note that scalping can be highly demanding and requires a significant amount of time, attention, and discipline. Additionally, transaction costs (like spreads and commissions) can erode profits, making it crucial for traders to have a well-thought-out and tested strategy before engaging in scalping activities.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by MillixFx
2
DXY - 4h Timeframe Analysis (ICT)My bias is still higher prices for the DXY. CPI on 12th Oct 2023 further confirmed this bias with large displacement to the upside. I have 2 areas where I will be anticipating a bullish continuation to the upside for the DXY. 1. A 4-hour iFVG Sibi nested with a Breaker Block and a large Liquidity Void. This is my first choice and is where I believe we will not see a 4-hour candle body close below. 2. A lower 4-hour Bisi nested with a Breaker Block wick and a large Liquidity Void. If price gets here, I expect a sharp rejection at a key time such as 3am-4am or 7am-8am and/or during a high impact news driver. Price MAY just leave the station from the 1-hour Sibi iFVG before breaking new highs first. I will be monitoring the day of week and time of day on the lower timeframes to come to further conclusions. - R2F
TVC:DXYLong
by Road_2_Funded
US30 - Daily Timeframe Analysis (ICT)(Refer to my Weekly analysis for US30 and DXY) On lower timeframes I have 3 areas I want to anticipate a long to go to the short POI. Ideally, we don't see a daily close out of that thin yellow box (Daily Bisi). There are 3 lines of defense for price to reach to and find support. 1st line of defense is a Breaker with CE of a wick and a gap, which looks very nice. This is my first choice. 2nd line of defense is the 4h bisi (dark blue is a bottom prediction if it gets there) 3rd and last line of defense is the 4h Orderblock MT. The more price declines, I believe the faster the move up would be back above the yellow zone. Relative equal highs reside above, so that gives me some confidence that we are likely moving higher. The short POI is a 4h Sibi inside the weekly Sibi has my eye. A high RR trade could be possible.
OANDA:US30USD
by Road_2_Funded
DXY - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)The Dollar Index has hastily reached my objective on the Weekly/Monthly timeframe. The question now is will we still move higher. I think we will. Of course, we can make predictions and assumptions, but we wait for price action to tip its hand to us. I have 3 levels where I am looking for a continuation to the upside next week onwards. 1. There is a New Month Opening Gap coupled with the support of the previous week's high and an old swing high. I am most keen to see how price reacts within this area. 2. Below, there is a Weekly Bisi, albeit a narrow gap. If price gets there, it may be a quick rejection. 3. Even lower, there is the Weekly Wick CE of a previous month. This would be the last area I would look for a long that would break the previous high.
TVC:DXYLong
by Road_2_Funded
AUDUSD - Long Trade Idea (ICT)My macro bias is still bullish for DXY, therefore bearish for AUDUSD and other XXXUSD pairs. However, I am anticipating further retracement to the upside on the sub-daily timeframe. Preferably I would like to see the Buyside Liquidity just above the current price to stay untouched or pierced slightly, then to retrace back into the Bisi 2h, 4h (R2F) zone, ideally this move starts to happen after 1am. Then my target would be above the current Buyside Liquidity and into the Sibi 4h above. Confirmation of my trade will be a shift in market structure via a displacement on a lower timeframe and at the specific timing I mentioned.
Long
by Road_2_Funded
GU - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)Considering my bullish bias on the DXY, and the currently bearish price action on GBPUSD, I am anticipating price continuing lower with a short-term objective of a Weekly Wick's Consequent Encroachment. Price bottomed off a Weekly Bisi to the tee, and closed above a NWOG at big figure 1.2200, leaving a Weekly Sibi in it's wake. There are 2 areas I am currently looking at for a retracement for a potential continuation to the downside. With price being at an opposing HTF PD Array, I am keen to see how much time it spends consolidating, if at all. 1. The closest Weekly Sibi nested with a Wick of Monthly Bearish Breaker Block (Wick). 2. A Weekly Sibi further up nested with the body of a Monthly Bullish Breaker Block. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
DXY Analysis - Weekly Timeframe (ICT)How convenient it was to stop right at the descending trendline for the week. In my eyes, this is giving time for traders to formulate their "predictions" on where DXY is going to go. I expect some funny business to happen to shake out any support & resistance, as well as breakout traders, culminating with an explosive movement to the upside. I really like the Weekly Bearish Breaker Block residing above as a point of interest for trades, which may take a while to get there. I will also be observing how price moves towards that area, if it even does. Next week, keep your guard up. Don't take the bait. Wait for the sheep to get slaughtered, and once you see that already come to past on the charts, that is the time to strike.
TVC:DXYLong
by Road_2_Funded
GU - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)Based on my DXY analysis, I will be expecting lower prices on GBPUSD. I see a potential short opportunity presenting itself when/if prices retraces back into the 2-Week iFVG/Bisi, using the Monthly Reclaimed Orderblock and Breaker Block as resistance. Only thing I will be wary of is price tapping above the previous week's high before displacing lower, targeting the 2-Week Bisi and NWOG below. With the high-impact news drivers this week, it is my assumption that it will happen with speed.
Short
by Road_2_Funded
2
EU - Weekly Timeframe Analysis Contrary to GBPUSD, EURUSD ended last week with a very bearish candle, couple with relative equal lows. A point of interest for me at the moment is the Weekly iFVG residing above to be used as resistance, especially if price does not break the nearest Weekly Lows to the left with any conviction. Based on my bullishness on DXY, I see EURUSD digging deeper towards Sellside. Also compared to GBPUSD's Commitment of Traders report, EURUSD had a significant decrease in large spec long positions. EURGBP should be quite explosive soon.
Short
by Road_2_Funded
DXY - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)We have more clues on the Weekly timeframe. Most recently, price broke out of a descending trendline and immediately rebalanced into a small Weekly Bisi (annotated by red arrow), which is usually indicative of rapid continuations to follow. As a prediction, I see price digging into the Monthly Sibi and the nested Weekly Breaker Block and possibly Weekly Orderblock before a potential HTF reversal. The highlighted Weekly iFVG/Bisi would likely be used as support once price gets into that range. Based on the current price action, bias, and high-impact news drivers coming out this week such as CPI, PPI, Consumer Price Index, Retail Sales and Unemployment Claims), we could see a potential low of the week on Monday/Tuesday/Wednesday.
TVC:DXYLong
by Road_2_Funded
EU - Monthly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)EURUSD is clearly heading lower on the Monthly chart. There was a sharp rejection at the large NWOG above, after taking out a Monthly High, and the Monthly candle failed to close above the previous Month's highs. Now we have displaced towards the low of the recent intermediate Monthly Low. I don't see us heading to new highs from here, and at the very most a manipulative expansion to the upside to shake out short sellers. We are likely heading towards the Monthly Bisi at the very least in my opinion at face value. See my DXY analysis for more correlation and context.
Short
by Road_2_Funded
GU - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)There is nothing too significant based on last week's candle. My only observation is that it created equal lows and ended with a green candle. Based on my analysis on the DXY, I could see that weekly candle being a catalyst to induce the bulls into the market. The only concerning thing is the Commitment of Trader report with large specs still being heavily long. My experience is limited observing the report week by week, but one thing I've learned is that regardless of the report, bias can change on a dime.
by Road_2_Funded