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Innercircletrader

GBP/USD Reversal Anticipation - Long BiasOutlook for GU for a long reversal. I still believe we will be expecting new highs soon, to the Monthly FVG and quite possibly to the NWOG above it. I have some potential iFVGs that will be reused as support later on. For lower prices, I am anticipating retracement into the Daily Breaker Block, or back into the NWOG. There is a 2 Week FVG and Daily Order Block further down which I don't think we will get to but it is not out of the realm of possibility. My anticipation for higher prices is based on the liquidity residing above and the strong correlation in the COT reports. Always look for confirmation.
Long
by Road_2_Funded
4
WILL $INJ REACH $6 AGAIN BEFORE BULL RUN OR CONTINUE TO RALLY?CRYPTOCAP:INJ has made an explosive run upwards since the buy setup executed by $5.40 in the previous analysis on $INJ. Begs the question, will CRYPTOCAP:INJ reach $6 again? I think price will reach $6 again. Below are the confluences for my Bearish stance - Price is currently in a Weekly Rejection Block - Sell Side Liquidity has been taken on the Weekly and Daily timeframes that was at $9.58 - Retail Market Sentiment is bullish as we can see major news articles are writing about the bull market coming which is always great for an institutional trader as there is retail liquidity to raid. - Price is also in a Daily Bearish Order Block that has not been violated as yet. - There is a Fair Value Gap by $8.50 as well as another Fair Value Gap by $6.50 which the algorithm will most likely be targeting to close before another big rally. - There is Buy side Liquidity (retail buy stoploss) by $7.75 which is very attractive. We are currently in Q3 and I project that prices within the Crypto market will make their lows within this quarter in August-September before a Bullish rally begins again. N.B: If you enjoy and learn from detailed analysis like this one, do well to follow, like and share this analysis to your fellow traders. Happy Trading Pals
Short
by Evaliste
A Trader’s Checklist: 12 Essential Trading Questions to answerWhatever you trade… A successful trader minimises these risks by asking and answering a series of vital questions. This will help you ensure a clear strategy, an understanding of the market, and a control of emotions. Let’s dive into these questions. Q 1. Has a Trade Lined Up? Identifying a potential trade is the first step. Look for trends, chart patterns, or any other signals that indicate a potential opportunity. Yuu can also use Smart Money Concepts or price action techniques to pinpoint a trading setup. Q 2. Do I Have a Strategy in Place? Every successful trader operates with a strategy. This could be based on technical analysis, fundamental analysis, or a combination of both. This will give you the roadmap to tell you when to enter and exit trades. Q 3. Do I Know Where to Place My Trading Levels? Determine your entry, exit, and stop-loss points. These are crucial levels for you to know with your trading strategy. This will remove the emotions or gut feelings or like I like to say ‘gat’ feelings. Q 4. Do I Know How Much I Need to Put into My Trade? Money management is key. Decide beforehand how much of your capital you’re willing per trade. This is obviously based on what your CURRENT portfolio is rather than what it was. A common rule of thumb is not to risk more than 1-2% of your trading capital. Q 5. Am I Ready to Buy or Sell Now? Before you pull the trigger. You need to be sure you’re ready. Have all the signals from your strategy aligned? Do you see the sign to get in? Then JUST TAKE THE TRADE. Q6. Do I Understand the Underlying Asset? Whether it’s a company’s stock, a commodity, or a cryptocurrency. You need to understand what you’re trading. You need to understand the factors that influence price movements, which can also give you that extra edge. Q 7. Have I Conducted Thorough Technical Analysis? Charts, indicators, patterns, volume or Smart Money Concepts. Technical analysis is a trader’s bread and butter. Make sure you’ve analysed the market technically and your analysis supports the trade. Q 8. Am I Letting Emotions Influence My Decisions? Fear, greed and ego are a trader’s worst enemies. Are you trading based on your mechanical and analytical strategy? Or are emotions driving your decisions? Q 9. Have I Set Realistic Profit Targets? It’s important to have profit targets in place. And they need to be realistic, based on the market conditions and your trading strategy. Remember, each market has their own trading personality so work with it. Q 10. Is This Trade Consistent With My Trading Plan? You need to make sure, your trading setup aligns perfectly with your track record and system data. Each trade should align with your overall trading plan. If it doesn’t, it may be best to pass. Q 11. Am I Overexposed in One Sector or Asset? If the quantity you choose to trade matches your risk management, you’re good to go. If you have a smallish portfolio, you might not be able to trade EVERY market. Some commodities and indices are extremely expensive and too risk when it comes to volume. If you’re overexposed in one area, you could face higher losses. Q 12. Am I Prepared for the Trade to Go Against Me? Even with all the analysis in the world, trades can go wrong. Are you prepared for this, both financially and emotionally? By asking these questions, you will at least be prepared for what is to come. Do you have any more questions you ask before taking a trade?
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
How to Adapt to the Ever-Evolving Financial Markets – 4 WaysThe only constant with the financial markets is… Change The market is constantly changing in a way that it’s brining: New demand New supply New volume and fresh changes in the complex algorithms. If you want to thrive you need to learn to learn to adapt, evolve and grow with the markets. I want to cover four elements to today’s topic. The Inevitability of Market Change Change is not only constant but inevitable in financial markets. There will always be new elements streaming into the markets from: ~ Global and political events ~ Micro and macro aspects ~ Economic indicators ~ Regulatory shifts, and ~ Investor sentiment These elements are perpetually at work, shaping and reshaping the market. These catalysts can shift the trajectory of entire sectors, leading to volatile market movements. Influx of New Volume on Market Dynamics Every day, the market sees a deluge of new volume. There are new traders and investors constantly joining the financial markets world. And we are seeing an inflow of capital from retail traders, institutional investors, and high-frequency trading firms. The big institutions like Smart Money (banks, hedge funds, brokers etc…) are causing the big volatile moves in the market. The smaller guys – dumb money and retail traders – are also helping with liquidity in the markets. Every transaction is causing a shift in the market. No matter how small it’s the “Butterfly Effect of the financial market”. The Role of Algorithms in Market Evolution In the era of digital transformation, algorithms have become a pivotal part of the financial markets. Algorithmic trading or ‘algo-trading’ employs complex mathematical models to execute trades at lightning speed and frequency. I’m talking about Copy Trader, Robinhood, AI trading bots, EA Expert Advisors and pre-determined automatic mechanical trading methods. This practice is now an integral part of the trading landscape. And they will continue to have an influence in price action, and market patterns. Haven’t you noticed? In the 50s through to the early 2000’s. The markets trended on a more consistent basis. Any monkey could choose a list of good stocks and hold them until they were up 200% – 1000%. But nowadays with derivatives, algorithms, shorts and automatic execution – markets have never been more volatile and more difficult to ride the trends. Always Adapt to Thrive in Changing Markets It’s our job to learn to be more flexible and to adapt to these market conditions. As markets evolve, so must we evolve with them. We need to always: ~ Apply new markets to our watchlists ~ Look for better trading instruments ~ Change the trading strategy to make it more conducive with the environments ~ Always look for the next best broker, trading and charting platform ~ Look for ways to reduce costs and maximise profits. I’ll end off with this. The market is constantly changing, adapting and evolving. We need to embrace the change and not see it as a threat. Have this mentality and you’ll always have the opportunities to improve, anticipate and grow as a trader.
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
EU - 11JulBe sure to see my previous post If you see it, you will understand that I see the trend as bullish But I said that every day is not going to be bullish to reach the buyside So, if we look at the daily chart, after the price has reached the high of the previous week and two weeks ago, it can have a short fall (to correct the price). Of course, there are still 6 hours left until the end of today's candle to make this FVG for us But I'm posting this to say don't be surprised if the price is bearish tomorrow
Short
by mohammadsamiei
DXY Weekly Forecast | 29th May 2023Fundamental Backdrop The CB Consumer Confidence, JOLTS Job Openings, Non-Farm Employment Change are expected to drop. The Unemployment Rate is also expected to increase. These news events will cause the DXY to weaken. Technical Confluences Near-term resistance level at 104.800 Near-term support level at 103.800 Next support at 103.200 Idea On the Daily chart, could see price retest the 103.800 support level. A break below that support could see price continue heading towards the next support level at 103.200. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
TVC:DXYShort
by OlympusLab
AUDUSD Sell Forecast | 18th May 2023Fundamental Backdrop Employment Change dropped from 61.1K to -4.3k, far worst than the forecast of 24.8K. This shows that consumer spending has decreased leading to overall economic activity dropping. Unemployment Rate increased from 3.5% to 3.7%, which shows overall economic health has weakened significantly Technical Confluences Near-term support at 0.66350 Next support at 0.65850 Idea We could see the AUD drop towards the 0.65850 major support level by the end of the week. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Short
by OlympusLab
GBPUSD Sell Forecast | BOC Gov Macklem Speaks| 18th May 2023Fundamental Backdrop BOC Gov Macklem Spoke yesterday Higher-than-expected inflation erodes purchasing power Uncertainty in the outlook for inflation creates instability and affect the currency's value. External factors such as Russia's war on Ukraine and disruptions in food prices put pressure on the GBP. Technical Confluences Support at 1.24500 Next support at 1.23500 Idea With the fundamentals weaking the GBP, I'm expecting price to break the support at 1.24500, before heading towards the next support at 1.23500 NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Short
by OlympusLab
AUDUSD Sell Forecast | 17th May 2023Fundamental Backdrop Wage Price Index q/q maintained at 0.8% which shows that consumer inflation maintaining could lead the Central Bank to pause interest rates. Tomorrow's employment Change is expected to drop by half and the Unemployment Rate is expected to remain the same, indicating a weakening economy. Technical Confluences Near-term support at 0.66350 Next support at 0.65850 Idea We could see the AUD drop towards the 0.65850 major support level by the end of the week. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Short
by OlympusLab
DXY Long Forecast | 16th May 2023Fundamental Backdrop The Core Retail Sales m/m increased from -0.5% to 0.4% It shows that consumer spending has increased, leading to higher overall economic activity Technical Confluences Near term resistance at 102.800 Next resistance at 103.500 Idea With the DXY expected the strengthen in the short term, we could see price head towards the 103.500 level. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
TVC:DXYLong
by OlympusLab
USDCAD Buy Forecast | 16th May 2023Fundamental Backdrop The Trimmed CPI y/y dropped from 4.4% to 4.2%, which shows that inflation is dropping. This could lead the central bank to lower interest rates Technical Confluences Resistance at 1.35200 Support at 1.34100 Idea With the CAD expecting to weaken, I'm looking for price to possibly head back up to retest the resistance at 1.35200 NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Long
by OlympusLab
GBPUSD Sell Forecast | 16th May 2023Fundamental Backdrop The Claimant Count Change increased from 26.5K to 46.7K This shows that the number of unemployed people has increased, indicating the weakening economic health Technical Confluences Support at 1.24500 Idea With the fundamentals weaking the GBP, I'm expecting price to head towards the support at 1.24500 NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Short
by OlympusLab
AUDUSD Weekly Forecast | 15th May 2023Fundamental Backdrop Inflation Expectations for NZD dropped from 3.30% to 2.79% q/q, causing AUD to drop from 0.68 to 0.668 last week. Wage Price Index q/q is expected to increase from 0.8% to 0.9% this week, which could lead to a stronger AUD. Employment Change is expected to drop by half and the Unemployment Rate is expected to remain the same, indicating a weakening economy. Technical Confluences Near-term support at 0.66350 Next support at 0.65850 Idea We could see the AUD drop towards the 0.65850 major support level by the end of the week. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Short
by OlympusLab
1
AUDUSD Potential Long Forecast | 8th May 2023Fundamental Backdrop 1. Last week the AUD increased its Cash Rate from 3.60% to 3.85%. 2. It signals to the market that the economy is performing well and that inflation is likely to rise. 3. This can increase demand for Australian assets, such as bonds and equities, which in turn can lead to an increase in demand for the Australian dollar. Technical Confluences 1. Near-term resistance at 0.67850 2. Next resistance at 0.68500 Idea With the demand for AUD in place and the DXY set to further weaken, we could see price head towards the resistance at 0.67850. A break above 0.68100, could see price head towards the next resistance at 0.68500. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Long
by OlympusLab
NZDUSD Potential Long Forecast | 3rd March 2023Fundamental Backdrop 1. Employment Change q/q which is a leading indicator of consumer spending increased from 0.5% to 0.8%. This shows that overall economic activity has increased. 2. Unemployment Rate maintained at 3.4% instead of the forecast of 3.5%. This shows that the overall economic health is stabilizing. Technical Confluences 1. Next resistance at 0.62750 2. Support at 0.61800 Idea Looking for price to continue bullish and head towards the next resistance at 0.62750 NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Long
by OlympusLab
EXPLAINED: A Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) - Smart Money ConceptsA Bearish Fair Value Gap is a 3 candle structure with a DOWN impulse candle (2nd) that indicates and creates an imbalance or an inefficiency in the market. WHAT DO THE IMBALANCES TELL US? These imbalances tell us that the buying and selling is not equal. Now the market needs to rebalance (move at least to 50% of the fair value gap to fill) to make up for the imbalance and rebalance. For this to happen we need to see orders filled in the prices of the candle with the FVG. HOW A BEARISH FAIR VALUE GAP IS CONSTRUCTED: 1st Candle Draw a horizontal line from the bottom of the wick. 3rd Candle Draw a horizontal line from the top of the wick 2nd Candle Draw a BOX between the bottom and the top and pull it over to see the FVG range. BETWEEN CANDLE 1 and CANDLE 3: Do NOT show common prices. They do NOT touch where the lower & the upper wicks do NOT overlap. With a Bearish FVG we can expect the market price to move UP. HOW MUCH? I believe a Bearish FVG needs to close at least 50%. So you can drag a Gann Box or a Fib retracement (take out all the other levels except 50%). Wait for the price to close and fill the prices and boom - Your Bearish Fair Value Gap has been filled. SO WHAT? When you see a Bearish Fair Value Gap, you can expect the price to move up. So you can place your stop loss below the downtrend. You can place your entry where it shows upside is imminent to close the gap. You can place your take profit above the 50% of the formation, as you expect the price to close. But also, we use other confirmation signals with the Bearish Fair Value Gap. Let me know if you have any other SMC (Smart Money Concepts) Questions.
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
GBPUSD CPI Long Forecast | 19th April 2023Fundamental Backdrop 1. The CPI y/y was better than forecasted 10.1% VS 9.8% 2. A lower inflation rate, both on an annual and monthly basis, is generally perceived as positive for the currency because it indicates a stable economy with controlled prices, making it attractive for foreign investment. Technical Confluences 1. Near-term resistance at 1.25000 2. Next resistance at 1.26350 Idea With a strong bullish outlook for GBP, we are looking for price to head towards the near-term resistance at 1.25000. A break above 1.25400, could bring price towards the next resistance at 1.26350 NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Long
by OlympusLab