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Institutions are dumping NFLX within an apparent diamond patternI spotted this diamond a year ago after the earnings panic. Since then, I realised that institutions have been dumping Netflix at a prodigious rate. In fact, NFLX has gone from nearly 100% institutional ownership, down to 74% institutional ownership in around 15 months. This translates to institutions performing a dump of just over 1.5% of institutional holdings every month on average. I think this short has a lot of potential if I am correct about the diamond pattern and it's clear that the catalyst is going to be institutional deleveraging. What I'm looking for to confirm this trade is an ABC move up. That is to say, the dump back in October Q4 was an A wave down, we are now in a B wave (that subdivides into a smaller ABC move up) and confirmation of this trade will mean that we complete the ABC I have sketched out (zig zag pattern) up to roughly around the 400 range. An ABC up in this manner means we have a B wave with a C wave decline yet to materialise and it's the C wave we should aim to capture with a short. I consider this quite a long-term outline and I don't envision this C wave to materialise until next year. My suspicion, is that NFLX is being harmed by the streaming explosion that has resulted in a massive influx of very aggressive competitors. I think that the password-sharing crackdown will ultimately do more harm than good and do nothing to help their earnings. So, I'm not saying get in on this now, but the basic premise here is to wait to see if the ABC zig-zag upmove (representing a cyclical B wave) materialises. If it does, I consider NFLX could be an excellent short.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by RogueEconomics
2
Inflection PointBKI caught my attention for a few reasons. 1. Held by Scion Asset Mngt- if you haven't heard of them or Michael Burry, check it out. Crazy returns off the financial Crisis. 2. SP sitting at an inflection point at bottom of long term demand zone and near lowest long term demand zone. 3. BKI's shiller PE ratio range over the past 10 years is from 36.26-43.09 and currently sitting at 37.37 implying that it is near its lowest valuation in 10 years. 4. Mornings Star Fair Value market valuation sitting at $61.1. My own target of $77.5 is based on a Fibonacci retrace of 61.8% of 2020 highs.
BLong
by Jrussell86
How To Trade Like The InstitutionsI wanted to prove that you can genuenly use some good trading concepts to catch trades in the market. The market is chaotic, but it's not totally random. It's an efficient market that tries to price everything as well as possible! I used the Volume Profile from the session before the pump to find out value area (where there is most liquidity). Furthermore I found a Low Volume Node. This is a place where there is little liquidity, I know that price will shoot through this level to the next level of liquidity! I furthermore detected some bearish Order Blocks to aim for as I am looking for longs. The reason you would be looking for longs, is because that price was trading above the 4H value line (center of contraction). This is typically a higher low, followed by a lower high (or vice versa). Another important aspect is to go to a lower timeframe, where you can react faster to changes in momentum. Here I used the 15m timeframe to draw more value lines. Whenever price is below a value line for the smaller timeframe, but above the one for the higher timeframe, we wait for momentum to give us a long. The changes in momentum for longs are marked in the circles. By doing this, you can accumulate a lot of good setups. Your targets are typically the high levels of liquidity of the volume profile, the value area and the bearish orderblocks. Make sure to also look for imbalances, I have linked a previous setup where this was done.
by IkkeOmar
2
SPX Looks WEAK on Daily | SMC AnalysisHey All, These Chart Represents SMC Analysis, I hope this might give you some insights. _________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Black Dots Represent = High Timeframe Structure (Daily Chart) Pink Dots Represent = Mid TF Structure (Hourly Chart) Light Blue Dots Rep = Lower TF Structure (15 Min Chart) Trendline Represents the Liquidity (Simply meant as Pool of Orders) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 🪑 Huge Liquidity (Pool of Orders) Sitting at 4200 Level 🪑 🌊Price can take (Sweep) Buy Side Liquidity, And then might continue to the Downside 🌊 ⚫ Because on Daily TF (Represented by the Black Dots), We are Still on Downtrend ⚫ 🔻High Probability, That the Market could continue on to the downside🔻 🤷‍♀️ If Price wants to invalidate this, Then it has to break 4300 Level, Then the Downtrend will Shift to Uptrend 🤷‍♀️ Thanks, Happy Trading
SP:SPXShort
by Zayx0
$EURUSD Possible 5:1 Scalp *SMC**SMC = Smart Money Concept. See related Ideas* It's showing willingness to go to buy side on a Tuesday meaning this could make the high for the week. I put the entry as now, put the take profit near the current high could be below, and the stop loss at the xurrent low minus the average true range and you'll get 1.88. I believe this should result in a winning trade if not at least 30 pips. even though I think i have it much more than that. Good Luck! OANDA:GBPUSD MOEX:GU1! TVC:DXY
Long
by BodiesXWix
2
$GBPUSD - Fed Rate To Rally Dollar Until 2Q *SMC**SMC = Smart Money Concept - See related Ideas for Tutorials on these concepts. I pulled two smart Money Fibs on the latest waves. The largest of the two has a Liquidity point that could be broken by the end of the quarter as "Smart Money" or the intuitional powers that be, may push it that way. After it breaks the Liquidity Level (Below 1.20120) or near the top of the Order Block, which is also my first safe entry, then I believe The Pound will catch up and turn Bullish. So My SL is 1.18693 and Take profit is 1.25092 making it a 2:1 R:R I'm taking the Smart Money principles and risking the Most that you should at 3% of your account. Typically, you don't want to risk more than 2%. Just an FYI for any new trader that maybe reading this idea. Happy Trading - BXW
Long
by BodiesXWix