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$EURUSD = Ending the week With a Judas Swing Short *SMT**SMT* = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges, trendlines, channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm sorry, but you won't convince me that Tesla or Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react to that? It does and will remember price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will do 2 things 1) move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equal Lows, phantom Trendlines, etc.) and 2) Move toward Imbalance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids. Open Gaps) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.* The asian range ican be a good determining factor as to where to look as to which direction the end of the week will move toward. First I look at the NY opening price at midnight. Price should cross that point at some time during the next trading day, whether it be during london or NY session, I honestly don't know. But it should get just above the recent swing high and breaking buy side liquidity and hitting a bearish blockj and then dropping towards the sell side liquidity breaking the lsell side iquidity created last friday by the daily low. The standard deviation of the asian range is exactly at that same low from last friday. So I have two entries,. 0.51% of account - 1.7:1 ratio Entry 1 -0.98135 Stop Loss - 0.98797 Take Profit - 0.97000 (Just above the standard deviation to be safe) 1.75% of account ~6.4:1 ratio Now my second entry is based on the space between two bearish order blocks . Entry 2 -0.98456 SDtop Loss - 0.98670 Take Profit 0.97000 Additionally, I ee the dollar dropping to a bullish order block and moving up to fill a liquidity void (that should happen about the same time as the take profit hits) Then My analysis has the dollar dropping below the liquidity as the dollar contiues to drop in its valuation. I'm hoping I hit both entries and I am able to calculate this correctly that I hit both entries and hit bothj take profits. However, due to the nature of the asian sedsion, I think It's only going to hit the first entry and take profit. If I expect that, I will probably add more to my position at some point, probnably when I can the direction is reversing, (if it does) I could be wrong and it continue upwards, breaking structure in the upper prices. Howevber, if you look at my ideas back til may, I have not lost a trade. I may have to pass on the knowledge that was given to me via private mentorship if I keep this up. EDIT: AFTER POSTING AND LOOKING AT PRICE ACTION THERE IS A 15 MIN fvg ALREADY LOWER THAN CURRENT PRICE, IT WILL WANT TO FILL THAT IMBALANCE. Lastly in case it doesn't get to my final take profiut, I do have 3 goals to aim for. I usually do 30% 1st target, 30% second target 35% last target, leave a 5 % trailer to see if it continues down and keep moving your stop loss each time you hit a take profit so you dont los your winnnings. Good luck and happy trading. OANDA:EURUSD TVC:DXY ICEUS:DX1! BMFBOVESPA:EUR1!
Short
by BodiesXWix
5
USDJPY Sell Limits UpdateUJ created a bearish flag where most retail traders sold the "breakout" of the flag, which actually turned out to be a fake out to liquidate retail buyers from buying the bottom of the "trend line channel" aka "support line" and to liquidate sellers from selling the "fake breakout" of the bearish flag. Our price entry targets is still in play, as well as profit target levels. Never make a permanent trading decision based on your emotions, patience is key. WE get paid to wait for the best setups to trade.
by TRADER_AP_FX
[SMC] BTC/USDT Demand & Supply Price ActionHello Gents, Let me briefly explain the analysis. 1) Macro View: Bitcoin is in a bearish order flow state. 2) Micro View: major CHOCH, we entered the corrective wave phase. A correction for the bearish order flow. hence we can notice the new bullish order flow. 3) The recent marked Demand level used to be a supply price. This indicates an S2D flip. 4) Next supply price is at almost 27k. 5) My opinion: price action will play out in a range between new supply and demand levels. Share your comments or questions. Cheers, FX Wabz
by FXwabz