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BTCUSD Rejection Setup – Order Block Hit, Weak Lows in Sight!📉 BTCUSD is setting up a textbook bearish reversal — Smart Money style. This 1H chart shows Bitcoin tapping into a high-timeframe Order Block at ~$104,190–104,560, with a clear rejection from the premium zone and confluence with the upper trendline. 📊 Technical Breakdown: ✅ Order Block tapped at $104,190–104,560 ✅ Strong rejection candle near the trendline resistance ✅ Price failed to break above the Strong High — a sign of Smart Money distribution ✅ Targeting Sell-Side Liquidity at $101,420 ✅ Final target? Weak Low and liquidity pool around $99,189 🔍 Smart Money Confluence: Price has moved into a premium selling zone, aligning with the upper bounds of market structure Order Block rejection suggests institutional selling interest Weak lows below $100K are prime targets for liquidity grabs Retail longs are likely trapped — ideal conditions for a downward sweep 🧠 Institutional Logic: Smart Money doesn’t chase price — it delivers it. This move likely represents a "Mitigation and Distribution" phase before a deeper selloff: 📌 Mitigation of previous long positions inside the OB 📌 Distribution at the highs before targeting the next liquidity pool 📉 Trade Idea: Short Entry Zone: $104,200–104,500 Targets: TP1: $101,420 (Sell-side Liquidity) TP2: $100,000 (Psych level / Weak Low) TP3: $99,189 (Liquidity Magnet) Invalidation: Clean break and close above $104,800 (above the OB and Strong High) 🧠 Tip for Traders: Wait for a confirmation bearish structure shift or lower high on the LTF (15m/5m) before entering full size. Smart Money leaves clues — not impulses. 💬 Comment "BTC Setup" if you’re trading this drop 🔁 Save this analysis — this is how Smart Money dominates crypto markets.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
2
XAUUSD Hits FVG in Premium Zone — Bearish Setup in Play!📉 XAUUSD (Gold) has just tapped into a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) after a clean, impulsive rally — now we’re watching for Smart Money distribution and a potential reversal from this high-risk premium area. 📊 Chart Insights: ✅ Price retraced into the FVG zone between $3,225 – $3,240 ✅ This zone aligns with the 79% Fibonacci retracement, making it a premium zone for shorts ✅ Market structure shows previous bearish impulse → this could be a retracement before continuation ✅ Current PA is reacting to the imbalance left on the drop ✅ Massive downside potential to rebalance price near $3,120 🧠 Smart Money Confluence: FVGs are often rebalanced after price trades away impulsively The retrace into this inefficient pricing zone is classic Smart Money mitigation Price now sits in an area where institutions may look to offload long positions 📍 Potential Play: Short Entry Zone: $3,225 – $3,240 Targets: TP1: $3,200 TP2: $3,170 (mid-level liquidity) TP3: $3,120 (full FVG fill and higher TF draw) Invalidation: Clean break and hold above $3,240 💡 Pro Tip: Watch for a lower timeframe structure shift (15m/5m) or confirmation candle to stack entries. The market loves to sweep highs before the real move begins — patience pays. 🧠💰 📈 This setup offers 3:1+ RR and aligns with Smart Money’s tendency to sell into imbalance and hunt liquidity below. 💬 Comment “Gold Setup” if you’re trading this one! 🔁 Share or save if you're watching for the drop.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
USDJPY Setup: Weak Highs, Smart Money Buys Liquidity!!📊 USDJPY is showing signs of a Smart Money reversal from the discount zone. This 30-minute chart reveals institutional intentions hiding in plain sight — with clear signs of engineered liquidity grabs and the potential for a strong bullish continuation. 🧠 What’s Happening on the Chart: ✅ Price has swept sell-side liquidity below the recent lows ✅ Retraced cleanly to the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 146.26, a classic Smart Money entry zone ✅ The current price is hovering around the 50% retracement, forming a potential higher low structure 📈 Bullish Confluence: Price is rebounding from a discount zone (golden ratio: 61.8% Fib) There’s a clearly defined "weak high" marked around 147.00 — Smart Money typically targets these areas Above that, there are two stacked buy-side liquidity levels: 147.670 148.282 Final target? The liquidity pool near 148.654 — a clean magnet for price 🎯 Trade Idea: Long Bias from 146.26–146.43 zone (Smart Money re-entry) Targets: TP1: 147.00 (Weak High) TP2: 147.670 (Buy Side Liquidity) TP3: 148.282 – 148.654 (Full Liquidity Sweep) Invalidation: Clean break below 146.20 with strong bearish volume 📌 Why This Setup Works: This setup uses Smart Money Concepts (SMC): Weak Highs often signal institutional targets Fair Value Gap (FVG) + Fib confluence adds strong bullish probability Retail shorts get trapped, thinking the rally was a pullback — while institutions accumulate at discount 🧠 Pro Tip: Watch for confirmation with a bullish engulfing candle or break of short-term structure before full entry. Front-running the Smart Money leads to losses. Let them move first. 💬 Comment "USDJPY MOVE" if you're planning to trade this setup 💾 Save this chart for later — this is how the big players trade FX.
Long
by ChartNinjas88
XAUUSD Bearish Setup: Retracement Trap Before the Next Sell-Off?🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a classic Smart Money retracement trap! If you're trading gold this week, this is the kind of setup that separates the retail guessers from the Smart Money followers. 📉 The Setup Breakdown (30m Chart): After a violent sell-off, XAUUSD found temporary support near $3,168, marking a key liquidity zone. Current price is rebounding, but not randomly — it's heading straight toward the 50% - 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone, which aligns perfectly with previous imbalance. 📍 Supply Zone (Red Box): The red area marks a likely Smart Money sell zone — between $3,207 and $3,219. This zone aligns with the 50% - 61.8% retracement and broken structure area — a classic point for redistribution. 🧠 What Smart Money Might Be Doing: They're not buying this bounce — they’re setting the trap. Price is retracing into a premium zone, tempting late buyers, while institutions prepare to re-enter shorts. 📉 Bearish Confluence: The down-sloping channel supports the current bearish momentum. Any rejection from the red zone could be the start of another impulsive leg down toward $3,170, then $3,168 and possibly lower. 🎯 Key Target Zones: TP1: $3,170 — minor liquidity shelf TP2: $3,168 — Fibonacci 0% level and key support TP3 (extension): Below $3,160 if structure breaks aggressively ⚠️ Risk Management Strategy: Entry near $3,207–$3,219 SL just above $3,219 for safety RR on this play is highly favorable, but only if price respects the supply zone ⚡ Execution Plan: Wait for bearish signs inside the red zone (engulfing candles, momentum shift) Avoid early entries — Smart Money often pushes a few pips beyond equilibrium before reversing Manage trade in segments, partial out at TP1 and trail stop into deeper targets 🧠 Pro Trader Tip: This is not a breakout play — it’s a liquidity engineering setup. Smart Money thrives on fake reversals, and this current bounce could be one of them. Watch the supply zone reaction closely. ✅ Comment "GOLD SETUP" if you’re watching this play unfold ✅ Save this analysis to sharpen your Smart Money trading edge
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
XAUMO Strategy: Institutional-Grade XAU/USD Trading FrameworkThe XAUMO Strategy is a comprehensive institutional-level trading framework designed for precision, adaptability, and profitability when trading XAU/USD. This strategy incorporates Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP), VWAP bands, POC, Value Areas, and Market Maker Logic to anticipate price movements with surgical precision. Core Elements of the XAUMO Strategy Key Levels (Dynamic Zones): 1. POC (Point of Control): • Primary POC: $2,685. • Secondary POC: $2,700. • Acts as a magnet, offering breakout and retest opportunities. 2. Value Area Levels (VAH & VAL): • VAH (Value Area High): $2,695 – Resistance Zone. • VAL (Value Area Low): $2,675 – Support Zone. 3. VWAP Bands (Monthly Anchored): • Lower Band: $2,670 – Buy Zone. • Upper Band: $2,705 – Sell Zone. 4. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): • Untested FVG: $2,675–$2,680. • These gaps provide reversal or breakout opportunities. XAUMO Trade Setups Trade 1: Long from $2,680 (VAL & Lower VWAP Band) Trigger: • Price interacted with VAL, lower VWAP band, and untested FVG ($2,675–$2,680). • RSI divergence confirmed a bullish reversal. Execution: • Entry: Buy at $2,680. • Stop Loss: $2,670 (below VAL). • Take Profit Levels: • TP1: $2,690 (POC). • TP2: $2,695 (VAH). • TP3: $2,705 (Upper VWAP Band). Trade Management: • Scale out at each target: • TP1: Close 40%. • TP2: Close 30%. • TP3: Hold 30% with a trailing stop. Trade 2: Short from $2,705 (VAH & Upper VWAP Band) Trigger: • Price rejection observed at $2,705 (Upper VWAP band). • Bearish divergence on RSI and liquidity sweep confirmed a reversal setup. Execution: • Entry: Sell at $2,705. • Stop Loss: $2,710 (above resistance). • Take Profit Levels: • TP1: $2,695 (VAH). • TP2: $2,690 (POC). Trade Management: • TP1: Close 50%. • TP2: Close remaining 50%. • Adjust SL to breakeven after TP1 is hit. Scenarios for XAUMO 1. If Price Breaks Above $2,705: • Enter a breakout long trade. • TP1: $2,710 (short-term extension). • TP2: $2,715 (macro extension). 2. If Price Breaks Below $2,675: • Enter a breakout short trade. • TP1: $2,670. • TP2: $2,660 (macro target). 3. If Price Stalls at POC ($2,690): • Tighten stop loss or scale out to lock in profits. Confluence and Key Observations 1. POC and Volume Levels: • Both $2,685 and $2,700 POCs have shown strong respect from price action in prior trades. 2. VWAP Bands: • The lower band ($2,670) aligned with support (VAL) and FVG, confirming strong buy opportunities. • The upper band ($2,705) coincided with resistance and liquidity traps. 3. RSI Divergences: • Bullish divergence near $2,675 and bearish divergence near $2,705 validated turning points. How to Use This on TradingView 1. Add Indicators: • Use Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) from the swing low ($2,670) to swing high ($2,700). • Anchor VWAP bands to the monthly chart for dynamic support/resistance levels. • Overlay RSI and MACD for momentum confirmation. 2. Chart Setup: • Draw the ascending parallel channel on the 30M chart: • Support: $2,680. • Resistance: $2,695–$2,705. 3. Entry Markers: • Highlight buy zones at $2,680 (VAL) and sell zones at $2,705 (VAH). 4. Targets and Stops: • Use dynamic TP/SL levels from VWAP, POC, and FRVP zones. Visualize the Idea • Bullish Setup: Enter long at $2,680 with targets at POC and VWAP upper band. • Bearish Setup: Enter short at $2,705 with targets at VAH and POC. This strategy ensures that you are trading like an institutional player, targeting high-probability zones while managing risk dynamically. Let me know your thoughts or drop a like if you’re ready to master XAU/USD trading with the XAUMO Strategy! 🦈
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
NAS100USD: Are We Seeing a False Bullish Break?Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis, NAS100USD continues to follow bearish institutional order flow, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the current market narrative. While the overall trend remains bearish, recent price action has displayed a bullish break of structure. However, I interpret this as a false break of structure, supported by the following evidence: Key Observations: 1. Engineered Retail Resistance: Institutions have created a retail resistance zone with relatively equal highs. This formation entices retail traders to sell at the resistance level, placing their stop losses above it. These stop losses are viewed as buy stops by institutions, representing willing buyers at premium prices. Institutions capitalize on this by order pairing—selling their positions against the retail buy stops. 2. Institutional Order Pairing Logic: Large funds require opposing liquidity to fill orders efficiently without slippage. To achieve this, institutions manipulate the market by engineering liquidity through patterns such as resistance zones or equal highs. After selling at premium levels, institutions aim to buy back positions at discount prices, targeting sell stops and liquidity pools below. Trading Outlook: Given this institutional behavior, my interpretation is to anticipate further bearish movement . With institutions likely targeting sell-side liquidity at discount levels, I am focusing on the sell-side liquidity pool as the primary target for this setup. If you have any insights, questions, or analysis, feel free to share them in the comments below. Let’s collaborate and refine our strategies together. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
Have you noticed Nvidia's Range? Waiting on a decision... The price continues to fluctuate, but not even the latest earnings report has been able to break out of this sideways channel (range) shown in the analysis. Nvidia is a powerhouse when it comes to its earnings reports, and while the price does fluctuate, it hasn’t done so with the same aggressiveness seen in previous months. At this point, we’re simply waiting for a decision—either wait for the price to break out of the channel, or, if you want to be more aggressive, look for the price to touch the demand zone to go long. You could do the opposite in the supply zone, but I don’t recommend it, as the overall structure remains bullish. Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by RocketMike111
Its OK as longest google stays above 170 ! lets go ! Last week, Google stayed above 170, which is excellent news. Within the analysis, we can see that it’s starting to show bullish convergence. I also drew an ascending channel based on its recent price movements. In my last analysis of Google, I mentioned that once the price touched the "stacked channel," we only needed to observe the immediate candlestick structure, and from there, it would take off—and that’s exactly what happened (check out the little thumbs-up hand). Now, it doesn’t matter if the price dips slightly here; the key is for it to stay above 170 and within the mini ascending channel I marked. The real challenge for Google is breaking through the inflection zone where it’s currently positioned. It was rejected once, so the price will likely attempt to break through this key zone again. Let’s see what happens in the coming days. Thanks for supporting my channel! Best regards.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by RocketMike111
1
Nvidia So close to earnings report ! here is my analysis... In this chart, I haven't moved anything at all since my previous analysis of Nvidia. The price is making its natural movement just as we’ve been predicting. As you can see, the last candle closed by bouncing off my order block and following the pattern of my forecast arrow.(yellow dotted arrow) Based on the price behavior, we can predict that as it gets closer to November 20 — the earnings report date — it will simply be accumulating. Nvidia's last earnings reports have been phenomenal, and I don’t doubt that this report will be a trigger for the price to make a decision. But for now, we’ll only see the price in a range until a few days before the report, when we’ll see those high-volume candles that will drive the price in a single direction. Which direction? The one the report indicates. Best regards!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by RocketMike111
Hey SPY lovers, look at all that green! Do you believe me now?We are undoubtedly in a scenario where the price is showing a lot of strength. As we can see, the price previously attempted to break all-time highs but encountered an institutional liquidity block, trying twice and creating a double top before making a pullback for days ! This second attempt to break the all-time high will be very important because, after the pullback, we were able to forecast the limit where the price would bounce back. Just one candle with a lot of volume and buying pressure was enough to realize that the price would reverse at $544. If you've been following this analysis for weeks or months, you'll notice that everything is playing out according to our price action and institutional analysis. Now, we just need to wait for that ATH, and I think this time will be different, especially considering that we're in election months, and the current president's political party wants the economy to look strong before the elections. So, we can expect a bull run from now until November. Thank you for supporting my analysis, and if you've benefited from it and made profits, congratulations, I'm happy for you. Best regards.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RocketMike111
Quarter Theory: Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements!Greetings Traders, and welcome back! In today's video, we’ll dive deep into Quarter Theory—a powerful concept that can take your trading to the next level. We’ll break it down step-by-step, explain how it works, and show you how to implement it into your strategy. Quarter Theory is all about studying the algorithmic price delivery within the markets. It’s grounded in Time and Price Theory, which suggests that significant market moves often occur at specific price levels and times. This foundational idea will help us predict price movements more effectively. If you haven’t already, be sure to check out the previous videos in the High Probability Trading Zones playlist for the key concepts you’ll need to fully grasp today’s content. For those watching on TradingView, links to previous videos will be included to help you catch up. Mastering Institutional Order Flow & Price Delivery: Premium & Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading: We’re kicking off a weekly series on Quarter Theory, with the goal of helping you build a robust trading model by the end. Stay tuned! Best Regards, The_Architect
Education
by The_Archi-tect
2
Understanding Dark Pools█ Diving Into Dark Pools In recent years, dark pools have become a significant part of the financial markets, offering an alternative trading venue for institutional traders. But what exactly are dark pools, and how do they impact market quality and price efficiency? This article delves into the comprehensive study titled "Diving Into Dark Pools" by Sabrina Buti, Barbara Rindi, and Ingrid Werner, which sheds light on the complexities of dark pool trading in the US stock market. █ What Are Dark Pools? Dark pools are private financial forums or exchanges for trading securities. Unlike public stock exchanges, dark pools do not display the order book to the public until after the trade is executed, providing anonymity to those placing trades. This lack of pre-trade transparency can help prevent large orders from impacting the market price, which is particularly beneficial for institutional investors looking to trade large volumes without revealing their intentions. █ How Do Dark Pools Work? In dark pools, the details of trades are not revealed to other market participants until the trade is completed. This lack of transparency helps prevent significant price movements that could occur if the order were known beforehand. Dark pools typically execute trades at the midpoint of the best bid and ask price in the public markets, ensuring fair pricing for both parties involved. █ Why Are Dark Pools Used? Dark pools are primarily used by institutional investors who need to execute large trades without revealing their trading intentions. Displaying such large orders on public exchanges could lead to unfavorable price movements due to market speculation and front-running by other traders. █ Benefits of Dark Pools Reduced Market Impact: Large orders can be executed without affecting the stock's market price. Anonymity: Traders can buy or sell significant amounts without revealing their identity or strategy. Lower Transaction Costs: By avoiding the public markets, traders can often reduce the costs associated with large trades. Improved Execution: Dark pools can offer better execution prices due to the lack of market impact and reduced volatility. █ Why Do Large Actors Hide Their Orders Using Dark Pools? Large institutional investors use dark pools to hide their orders to: Avoid Market Manipulation: Prevent others from driving the price up or down based on the knowledge of a large pending trade. Maintain Strategic Advantage: Keep trading strategies and intentions confidential to avoid imitation or counter-strategies by competitors. Achieve Better Prices: Execute trades at more favorable prices by not alerting the market to their actions. █ Actionable Insights for Traders Understand Market Dynamics: Knowing how and why dark pools are used can provide insights into market liquidity and price movements. Monitor Market Quality: Be aware that increased dark pool activity can improve overall market quality by reducing volatility and spreads. Assess Price Efficiency: Recognize that while dark pools can enhance market quality, they might also lead to short-term inefficiencies like price overreaction. █ Key Findings from the Study The study analyzed unique data on dark pool activity across a large cross-section of US stocks in 2009. Here are some of the critical insights: Concentration in Liquid Stocks: Dark pool activity is predominantly concentrated in liquid stocks. Specifically, Nasdaq stocks show higher dark pool activity compared to NYSE stocks when controlling for liquidity factors. Market Quality Improvement: Increased dark pool activity correlates with improvements in various market quality measures, including narrower spreads, greater depth, and reduced short-term volatility. This suggests that dark pools can enhance market stability and efficiency for certain stocks. Complex Relationship with Price Efficiency: The relationship between dark pool activity and price efficiency is multifaceted. While increased activity generally leads to lower short-term volatility, it can also be associated with more short-term overreactions in price for specific stock groups, particularly small and medium-cap stocks. Impact on Market Dynamics: On days with high share volume, high depth, low intraday volatility, and low order imbalances, dark pool activity tends to be higher. This indicates that traders are more likely to use dark pools when market conditions are favorable for large trades. █ Conclusion Dark pools play a crucial role in modern financial markets by allowing large trades to be executed without revealing the trader’s intentions, thus minimizing market impact and reducing costs. For retail traders, understanding the mechanics and implications of dark pools can lead to better-informed trading decisions and a deeper comprehension of market behavior. The study concludes that while dark pools generally contribute to improved market quality by reducing volatility and enhancing liquidity, their effect on price efficiency is nuanced. For small and medium stocks, dark pools can lead to short-term price overreactions, while large stocks remain largely unaffected. The findings underscore the importance of understanding the different impacts on various stock categories to make informed trading decisions. For institutional traders and market participants, understanding the role and impact of dark pools is crucial for navigating the modern financial landscape. By offering an alternative venue for executing large trades discreetly, dark pools play a pivotal role in today's trading ecosystem. █ Reference Buti, S., Rindi, B., & Werner, I. (2011). Diving into Dark Pools. Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics, Fisher College of Business Working Paper Series, 2010-10. ----------------- Disclaimer This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only. The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
OANDA:BTCUSDEducation
by Zeiierman
8
Will EURUSD Drop Again ?I see EURUSD in the 1.08172-1.07836 area, there is a base area (DBD), as a supply area for UERUSD, and there is an EMA 200, with the trend formed by EURUSD being a downtrend, based on the above it is very realistic to determine a SELL plan in the Supply area with SL above the supply zone and TP 2R is very possible to achieve. Hopefully I'm right and luck comes my way. Note: this idea is not a recommendation for making your trading decisions. All losses and profits are not our responsibility. Happy Trading keep safe.
Short
by AHAFX10