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GBP/USD 4H Indicating BearishnessHi traders, it's yet another week and this means fresh opportunities in the majors. Today I bring to your attention the short position I am currently holding on GBP/USD . This pair is currently in a longterm downtrend, therefore the highest probability trades will be found shorting the pair, this frames my bias. On May 4th the market ran just above the high of April 29th on FOMC volatility , the market then returned below this high, breaking market structure in the process, traders using institutional concepts refer to this as the stop hunt. With this framework, once price returned to the breaker which initiated the stop hunt, I entered my short positions. The stop loss of the trade is placed above the 4H breaker block (the block is represented by the red rectangle ) and my final take profit level is placed at the high of the 4H fair value gap. The level represented by the blue line indicates where I will take my first partial if price moves in my favour. I have selected this level since it is an area of mitigation and so price can bounce from there. More details of the overall framework of this trade is explained in further detail in my first publication, which can be seen below this publication in the "related ideas" section. I really appreciate you for reading this post and remember, buy/sell at levels that make sense and let the market do the rest. May the markets be with you.
Short
by CorpusFX
2
$BTC - Fill 4 HR FVG - Bullish Scalp to Bearish OB - *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges, trendlines, channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry, but you won't convince me that Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? It does and will remember price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equal Lows, phantom Trendlines etc.) and Balance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids.) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. According to SMT price wants to fill imbalances, there is a current 4 hour imbalance in the chart and it stops near 36,000 (Just below) So I gave it some wiggle room for entry after it fills the imbalance it should start a bullish move until the price level hits something the algorithm will remember, such as a bearish order block. A bearish order block is your last bullish candle before the bearish candles close below the bullish candle. The beginning of that bullish cand will be the bearish order block. That is what I think will happen to this chart. It will drop and fill the imbalance and pull up to the bearish order block. All you need to make a money in this game is to see that possibility and put a decent lot size on a futures trade and trade with about 10-15x leverage. You can easily pull off $either $5 or $2,000 depending on how much you have in your account and how much you want to risk. But these types of setups should be easy to spot and easy to capitalize on. It will act as if it wants to continue bearish after filling the imbalance but that is to get retail traders in the trade selling short so smart money can they take it north, ripping the money out of the short sellers pockets and into theirs. Think like them. This is how I would play it if I were an institution. This is not trade advice. This is simply an observation of my experience and my training in Smart Money. COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSD GEMINI:BTCUSD CME:BTC1! INDEX:BTCUSD CME:BTC2!
FTX:BTCUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
3
$BTC - To Long after breaking short of sell side Liquidity *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry but you won't convince me that Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? It does and will remembers price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equasl Lows, phantom Trendlines etc.) and Balance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids.) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. Bitcoin created a short term low within a 4 hour fair value gap yesterday. Was suspicious that it would break lower, fill the GAP and turn bullish, whi it has somewhat done already but there is time to stuill jump in as it is at a low point, but we didn't make a lower low overall. Exit Strategy would be a short-term fair value gap discount. NOTE: as a smart money technical analysis, My chay, lsart is full of boxes and rays, I apologize if I do not have any of them properly marked but the boxes usually represent an imbalance on a larger time frame (4 hour , Daily) that price is attracted toward filling. It has currently filled the 4 hour fair value gap which is another reason I believe it will long from here. Plus it's Sunday, last day of the week the weekly candle will be finishing up it's formation which I believe the price has cam close enough to the bullish order block on the weekly that we should see bullishness, However there is a possibility that it drops into the price range of the body of that last red weekly candle below current price (38,400 - 37,700)
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
$BTC Broke Structure-Weekly Bearish Order Block Rejection *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. Bitcoin has made a mad dash this week crawling on top of a Daily Fair Value Gap. But if you look at the weekly chart, it has just touched the Weekly Bearish Order Block which should reject it eventually. However, with the new u [rising this past week Bitcoin did break structure and I have marked that in the main chart. There is also a Breaker just below it. So this could take a few days to unravel but I think It will start to fall getting a lot of retail traders to chase it as a Short. When price stops just at the Bullish Breaker Area of 38767.57 on the coin base Chart. Here is the weekly where you can see the smart money Bearish order block weekly rejection. So Again, watch for that rejection and expect retail traders to bit short on it and the chart should turn around at the breaker area. That low point would probably happen by Tuesday/Wednesday this week as it starts to create a new weekly profile. Let me know what you think or if you think it will drop and not come back up? Happy Trading! = Bodies X Wix BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BITFINEX:BTCUSD FTX:BTCUSD GEMINI:BTCUSD OANDA:BTCUSD TRADESTATION:BTCUSD KUCOIN:BTCUSDT PHEMEX:BTCUSDT OKEX:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSDT POLONIEX:BTCUSDT FTX:BTCUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
$GBPUSD -Broke Market Structure- Bullish for 1.36375 from 1.3579As you can see GBPUSD had some highs near 1.3587. Those highs were broken durng the morning volatility. It has retraced a little each and who knows I may have missed the entranced when uit already got below 1.35795 and hit near 1.35583. That was the gold move to buy. Yes it's slowly retracting but that's to make retail traders believe that it's actuall going to sell now. a) It's broken market structure B) There's Confluence at the 161.8% mark that includes going through th top of a Fair Valu Gap (15 min) brefore hitting a bearish order block. I'm just wanting for GBPUSD TO enter that Zone between 1.3795 probably mnost likely to the buliish order block of 1.35815 before adding another position, I had 3 decent scalps on GBPUSD this morning and I'm looking to capitalize one more time. Now, I do look at the economic calendar to give m clues as to when the volatility will happpen in the morning. However, Just because a bank is expected to raise interest rates diesn't necessarily mean that it wil be a bad thi9ng for the comapny. If infact, most smart Money (Deep pocket whales) Will use tat against in you, and drive it in your favor for a few minutes and and """#$% SLAM #$% Irt goes the opposite way. I have been hurt tooo many times going by what the eceonomic calendar says will be good for the currency rather than just look at the surroundings, find the liqquidity and Underastand it's probably going there. And with that we have somewhat equal highs above with fair value gaps just prior. I have a feeling we should se somerthig similar to that I drw. I could be completely wrong, but we'lll see. Goofg Luck and Good Trading Tedzily a.k.a. Bodies X Wix OANDA:GBPUSD FX:GBPUSD FOREXCOM:GBPUSD FX_IDC:GBPUSD CAPITALCOM:GBPUSD SAXO:GBPUSD gbpusd PEPPERSTONE:GBPUSD CURRENCYCOM:GBPUSD BIST:GBPUSD2! EASYMARKETS:GBPUSD CURRENCYCOM:GBPUSD FXOPEN:GBPUSD WHSELFINVEST:GBPUSD KRAKEN:GBPUSD BLACKBULL:GBPUSD SKILLING:GBPUSD FTX:GBPUSD BIST:GBPUSD1! BITSTAMP:GBPUSD
Long
by BodiesXWix
$MATIC - To Send Under Sell Side Liquidity Before Bullish Return*SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. There was too much thought that went into this chart to even try to explain. But I think I make the entry points clear, that if it does get to those entry points, to add a position to the trade. When getting to the take profits, take a % off as a profit from the trade. But this chart should be foolproof unless something catastrophic happens. TP3: 2.62499282 TP2: 2.51605485 TP1: 2.44690000 E1: 2.27610000 E2: 2.25454172 E3: 2.16770000 E4: 2.11720000 SL: 1.97495881 Good Luck and Happy Trading.
COINBASE:MATICUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
$AVAX - Buy Now or Maybe 115-117 *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. AVAX has short term break of structure that is bullish where these candles have closed above the previous candles close. We missed the initial great buy, the pullback into the 61.8% level of this chart. However. The current high is a about 1 cent off from another daily high, Creating a false " resistance. I say false because the next time it runs up to that point it will break resistance. It may break it by very little which will cause the liquidity to flood the market (this area of $127.3-$127.4 is where buy stops and sell limits rest) Smart money will punch through that area to flood the market with liquidity chasing the chart down for a short period, and then reverse it back up hitting following stop losses or shortly placed stop losses. Taking the retail traders out. Happens every time. The real question is, where to buy? There are close equal lows on a 15/5 min time frame that could produce a little bit of liquidity underneath. about where it is now near the 119.5 area. The chart could push below that and spark more liquidity but I have a feeling if it did that it would drop down to the consequential encroachment of $118.226 or fill the fair value gap down to $117.16. The furthest I think it could go down would be $115 where there is a Bullish order block resting. and at that point price would reject it and send flying back up. Additionally the only indicator I use, The Williams %R, which is more of a volatility indicator, is at the over sold condition. That doesn't guarantee a biuy right away, but we're more likely to see it possibly be more oversold to the areas I suggested and then turnm around. As I'm typing this, it got under the Bullish breaker creating a bearish breaker. So I'd be betting on $117-$115 Good Luck and Good Trading! :) COINBASE:AVAXUSD BINANCE:AVAXUSDT HUOBI:AVAXUSDT OKEX:AVAXUSDT COINEX:AVAXUSDT FTX:AVAXUSDT POLONIEX:AVAXUSDT BITFINEX:AVAXUSD KRAKEN:AVAXUSD
Long
by BodiesXWix
EURUSD Trade Idea Dec 13-17 2021The Logic: Overall EU is bearish from the weekly and Monthly TFs. Also on the weekly TF price has broken key structure, moving towards the downside, hence I'm anticipating a pull back to the OB which caused the break of structure, then a continuation downwards. On the daily TF, price has created a shift in market structure upwards, possibly signaling the pull back has begun. With this SMS I'm anticipating that price will return below the shift as liquidity has been engineered in the area of the shift and as such I'll be looking for buys inside my 1H POI until price returns to the 1W POI that initially created the BMS downwards.
Long
by ThePhoenicx
$BTC - Pullback to Discount Level, Then Bullish *Smart Money**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. Bitcoin is pulling up to possibly reach above the current small liquidity high resting near $50,850. I can see it pushing up a little harder to take out people thinking this is a "Resistance" level but then going to the median bearish order block of $51,3385 before getting pushed back down into the 1-hour fair value gap which is an imbalance that needs to be filled. Or it could simply touch the bottom of the 1 hour fari value gao from the "great fall" last week, and turn bearish and into the newly created 1 hour fair value gap, which is an imbalance it would most likely pursue and fill. At the bottom of this imbalance is the 61.8% (Discount level) of the fib if you place it at the recent current low to the current recent high. This area is also near the 4-hour Fair Value Gap bottom. So all of these confluences make sense as to where it would go before moving bullish. So I have the entry price as $49,160. Now the target is above the current high and it's the next tiny 1-hour order block at around $52,645.So to be safe I put my target at $52,640. See Chart I'm giving it until the end of the week to make this happen so we have a nice green weekly candle. If there are any Smart Money / ICT students out there that have any critiques or suggestions, please let me know what you think. Agina, this is not the retail way of thinking, if you tell me a Trend line and a triangle is going to somehow magically make the price do something, I would point you toward what the chart usually does and that is attack liquidity and balance. And I believe this idea has both. Cheers and happy trading. P.S. I'm still holding my trade from "The great fall" from last week. I knew it would come up but I'm just hoping it comes up quicker because my time decay is killing me on my futures call. COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD KUCOIN:BTCUSDT PHEMEX:BTCUSDT BYBIT:BTCUSDT OKEX:BTCUSDT FTX:BTCUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
2