DXY bearish = GU + EU + AU BullishGap filled, corrected bearish rally with this bullish push with last FOMC and price mitigated a daily OB. next target should be to correct the imbalanced formed with last FOMC and raid all the liquidity below 89.0, price can potentially break thru 89 and target 79 which would be the next big liquidity pool
Institutionaltrading
EUR/USD Institutional Trading StrategyHello, guys! It's been a while since last I posted here on TradingView. I'm today releasing into the wild my trading strategy, key levels, order arrangement and overall method for trading specifically the EUR/USD, as I've specialised on trading this particular market 24/5 now. This is basically my level fading strategy and method to trade the Euro-Dollar, based off major daily round figures (even numbers), only using limit orders as entries, and stops above or below intermediary daily round figures (odd numbers). This is a time-tested strategy, it takes a great deal of discipline and patience, it carries a substantial amount of drawdown and with impending high-impact economic releases (Fed/ECB interest rate decisions, NFP and so on), which often result in impulsive trending phases, this is deadly and it is not recommended. This works well for swing/position traders just like myself, and for the EUR/USD overall.
Leave your comments on what you guys think about this strategy, its flaws and weaknesses, your experiences with similar range fading strategies, or any other kinds of feedback or questions that you might think of, I'll read every single one of them, that I guarantee.
See you all around and good trading :)
Wyckoff Accumulation + Bullish BatFX:GBPCHF Has for the past couple months been forming a clear Wyckoff accumulation schematic. Its been manipulating the lows and we got the last low which was the spring, or shakeout. There is also a bullish bat which matches perfectly with the institutional candle that formed on the chart which is where your entry would be if you decide to take this long position. Your target would be the previous resistance at the high. Follow for more free trade setups! Good luck traders!
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
$SPX - Going Long after FOMC Speaker - Two Options It depends on where the price is when I wake up tomorrow. If it's not been below 4345.8, that's at target as if you were to put a fib on top of the current breaker, that price point is just below the 63% retracement level (discount) And I would wait for the FOMC speaker to start and if it's still not below this level after opening then this is where I would look for it to bounce and go long
The second option is that if I wake up and price hs made it way lower than that price point, I would expect it to be hovering around/above the breaker point 4331.2. If you place the fib at the bottom where it hits the previous bullish order block on the 1-hour chart
(
I would expect it to dive past the breaker and hit the Bullish order block on the 4 hr chart at 4321.7 before moving bullish again. The patterns repeat in Smart money, it's just where Institutional order flow wants the price to go is the difference.
The around 2:00 p.m. the 10 yr bond auction happens and I would expect the price to start slipping from there so I would aim for any High that I could and take profits before 1:00 p.m., to be honest.
Even if Either scenario isn't perfect, as long as it stays above 4290, it'll still be bullish.
$SOL $SOLPERP - On iT'S Way Toward Break of Structure #SMTNot Many Shorts to take advantage of, but at least this will map out when they happen if they are to happen. Ahead we have Bearish order Block, 32.3450-32.5250, which should send it down to the Breaker Block is. This is where I would be looking to go long, near 31.0225 to 30.2100 (It's circled in the paths) In this area there is a Fair Value Gap just below a liquidity point (because that's where everyone else would expect it to go long, Smart Money might push it further down) The reason the stop loss is in that place is because that covers the full Fair Value Gap and Bullish Order Block, any lower than that and it's taking out that sell-side liquidity and most likely moving lower (that part is at the end). The next pass would get us to where price want to go right now anyway, the liquidity point where all the sell limits are placed and buy stops are placed. Here we could see price jump back and forth taking out each side of the market, such as shorting just before the line to get people thinking it will once again short before making a turn to the north. The short people start chasing it, it passes the line triggering the buy stops, until it hit's the tiny but silll bearish order block would then send the path back down taking out the buy stops if the have short stop losses (These people think that same line will act as support so they use thin stop losses) and then finally settling on moving up. The next point it will be seeking will be the $36 mark where there are two equal highs, again another liquidity point where limits are set and retail are expecting it to short. I'm expecting a long right through it but if not that would be a final target. At least I'll be taking off most of my position here, my stop loss should be well into profit by then and we'll just wee what happens next. In the heart of all of this Solana has been the hardest to break down.
And as noted if all goes wrong in the beginning and we just go below the early liquidity point and through the fir value goes (Watch those because either one could cause a reversal) but I would think it would be headed toward the lowest bullish order block that is ner before getting another chance at going long.
Anyways just my thought. In no way shape or form are my thoughts considered financial advice. Good Luck and Good Trading.
- Bodies X Wix
$EURUSD 4:1 R:R On A Short Starting in London If I left my Technical analysis on the bord you all would not even be able to see the chart. Even though I'm Bullish on the Dollar overall, I'm going to be bullish on it with 'existing home sales' on the calendar tomorrow. And with Black Rock buying up homes 20-50% above market price, I think we my see the bulls come the dollars way. Plus there's daily Imbalance in the Dollr that I think it's trying to reach. Then we have EUR consumer confidence tomorrow as well. SoI drew my price very specifically by what is already on the board and having 3 target price. after that we have Powell Testifying and who knows what kind of volatility that will bring if any at all so I wnt to be out of the market by 1:00 p.m. and I personally think this is what the chart will do. I'll Post tomorrow to see if My Smart Money Analysis was dead wrong or close to being correct.I think we're headed for target 3 though which will simultaneous hit the DXY Daily Void at 1.8406 - ish, after that I think we're bullish for thee week on EurUsd,, Just not tomorrow. if and only if the DXY is showing a willingness to go after that daily void.
See Chart (The Timing isn't correct since it's on the Daily but I needed to include the Daily void for reference but you get the picture. I'm setting my sell limits now and going to bed, hopefully to some good news.
Let's see what happens.
Good Luck And Good Trading :)
OANDA:EURUSD
Price Action Study - Liquidity PoolsAs retail traders, we have the luxury of entering and exiting any position with ease - the size of our trades are not large enough to affect the market whatsoever.
Now put yourself in the shoes of a bank, a multi-billion dollar fund - any type of institutional trader. You want to go long $2 billion dollars on a stock, a forex pair, a cryptocurrency - in doing so you face some issues.
You're trading massive size. These types of orders are nearly impossible to hide - people reading the tape, watching level 2 or the DOM (Depth of market, footprint, etc) will see your order from a mile away and front-run you so they can get in on the coming volatility.
Remember - for every buyer (you) there needs to be a seller. How can you ensure you can receive $2bil in shares at the price you're looking for? Who's providing that liquidity?
Following up on point 1 - you can't just buy, buy, buy 100 lots at a time until you get the quantity you desire - price will have moved substantially by the time you're done.
So what are you to do? Take advantage of liquidity pools!
Here's the premise:
Short selling provides long liquidity - they sell the stock anticipating price will go down.
Longs provide short liquidity - they buy the stock anticipating price will go up.
As an institutional trader, what do you need in order to go long?
Many peoples selling short.
What do you need in order to go short?
Trapped buyers.
So this brings us to the next question - How do institutions create sellers if they want to go long, how do they create buyers if they want to go short?
Liquidity Pools
Liquidity pools are areas where we can assume clusters of limit orders and/or stops reside.
Pending limit orders are, by definition - liquidity! They are triggered as price trades through a particular area.
From an institutional perspective - if price trades through X:
Buy orders hit the market = potential short liquidity.
Sell orders hit the market = potential long liquidity.
This brings us to the next question: How do institutions identify liquidity pools?
The answer: Where does the average retail trader place their stop?
Below a swing low or a range low (think flags, channels, trends)
Above a swing high or a range high (think flags, channels, trends)
Above highs, retail traders wait to buy the breakout. They create short liquidity by buying from institutions who are selling short, with the intention of taking the price lower.
Retail traders who short tops tend to place stops right above them - their buy stops create short liquidity as well if price is to wick through a high before going lower.
Trading breakouts, breakdowns and ranges from this perspective gives much more context to "fake breakouts" as they were - the key takeaway is to avoid placing your stops in obvious areas - as these regions tend to get hunted for liquidity.
-Will, OptionsSwing Analyst
Will the institution bear GBPNZD ?The Institutions have entered the trade at 1.91790 , 1.94230 and 1.95470. After a successful bullish swing trade they will start planning to exit the trade at a good price around 1.97650.
Now the institutions will re-enter as a bearish trade . Bearish movement confirmed at 1.96730 after it broke the bullish trendline.
I have entered the trade at 1.96881 as a swing trade and will exit around 1.91790 and I will add more short positions along the way after a bullish correction.
Fundamentals :
NZD :
- bullish data ( retail sales ex autos rose to 6.8 % from 4.8 % / retail sales rose to 2.5 % from - 2.7 % ).
- Important release date will be held this Wednesday '' RBNZ Interest Rate Decision '' , If the RBNZ is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the
interest rates it is positive / bullish, for the NZD.
GBP :
- No data this week.
Technical :
- Start of bearish movement at 76.8 % Fibo at 1.96955 .
- Fibo 61.8 % exit trade at 1.92108.
- Important support levels 1.96165 , 1.95290 and 1.94220
GBPAUD H1 - LONGGBPAUD H1 - LONG
Prices got rejected from a resistance zone, looking to test a BUY zone @1.79000 area. Aggressive and short term traders may look at this as a potential buy trading opportunity.
If we do see a breakdown off the support area, liquidating orders lying beneath the trendline, we can catch a pullback SELL opportunity towards the major structure support level below.
USDJPY SETUPUSDJPY 15M
Interesting setup on both sides, whichever that pends out first.
Prices tapped onto a H4 demand zone, propelling a buy-side move into a H4 supply zone, which made a sell-side move as well. We will be looking to trade the immediate moves on the lower timeframe if the setup is still valid for us to monitor later on.
Understanding how prices break structures, leaving behind unmitigated areas for us to catch an entry towards a specific target is important in intermediary movements like this. If you're unsure, skip this trade.
NZDUSD H1 - SHORTNZDUSD H1 - SHORT
Prices got rejected from a higher timeframe structure, breaking out of the ascending trendline showing signs of reversal.
With sell-side momentum, we are able to look for a pullback onto an unrefined zone @0.71800 resistance area.
With that, we will place a SELL LIMIT ORDER @0.71800
GBPAUD H4GBPAUD H4
Prices looking towards a buy-side move, potentially testing previous resistance area @1.80500. Countertrend traders can look for a SELL entry if the opportunity arises, making sure that there is an AC/D around the area of interest before taking the trade with take profit area @1.79400 support area, before looking to take a LONG position for a continuation move upside.
$SPX - DILEMMA (DEPENDS ON WHERE IT PRICE REACHES FIRST)If it moves up intpo the fap around 3886, I'm likely to be temped to go short as that has been the bias of SPX within the last 24 hours. And I would short it to the mitigations/breakers that formed around March 9 and 10.
I don't see it changing bullish although there are the soft highs around 3908. Howver, I see Friday to be the possible turnaround and attach those highs. So I think it will reach up into 3886 then push down to 3864 and then turning around bullish.
But if it reach 3864 first I wan to wait to see if it gets to the botoom of those breakers near 3854. If I start seeing that the momentum is changing I will go long and aim for the soft highs around 3908. Let's see what happens
Good luck and good trading
$BTC Re-Entry at 50602After some analyization I still see it bullish, I just got knocked out of my last trade for entering late and putting my stop loss above my entery after hitting my TP 1. Same Take Profit Objectives. 48775 Stop loss. Scalping along the way through this CFD whuile protecting profits. I fully expect it to possibly reach 50,275 as a low. POSSIBLY 50,100. Anything Lower and I may bail on the trade. COINBASE:BTCUSD
$SPX - Wait for it - Entry at 3847 or 3837I can't tell exactly which one if these two will be the entry just yet, but it will be one of them. I see that SPX Should be trending down for most of the after noon. If that is the case it should make it's turn around between 11 am - 1p.m. Eastern time, and that's when it should enter the price of 3847-3837 possibly getting to 3825 before turning bullish. There are somewhat equal highs above between 3900 and 3915 that ot wants to aim for and take out the liquidity resting above that. So just beware if this price continue to fall.