AMD Earnings Play, Bull triangleAMD Bullish triangle forming, should run up for earnings and as consequence of INTC earnings today if disappointing. Ideally buy friday at close for the next week. Should also retest the lower structure before trying to breakout. Dont rush, needs to cool off red momentum, wait for a clear signal of reversal.
PT1: 88$ (feasible)
PT2: 94$ (extended).
Market is in a very precarious position, so be careful and watch for INTEL earnings results.
STOP if market crashes.
INTC
Descent in the DJI (October 26th-Nov 9th 2020)Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) (October 26th through November 9th 2020)
Low: 27,843.7 points
High: 28,374.2 points
May have been way too ambitious with my last DJI projection, have now since adjusted for short term just to see where we are for my own learning purposes.
Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, I am not responsible for any losses incurred while attempting to use my data, I hope this can prove to be some sort of learning tool for some and give insight as to how I personally come up with my own numbers. Take into full consideration this could be a completely bad forecast. Cheers
Intel Stock AnalysisBased on Technical analysis, just hold for now before going log as per tentative bullish trendline or channel theory.
Intel — Shares of the chipmaker lost more than 11% after Intel reported weaker-than-expected revenue for its data center unit during the third quarter. The company also reaffirmed the delay of its next generation chips. Intel’s overall earnings and revenue results were roughly in line with projections.
NASDAQ:INTC
INTC Elliott Wave & Fib Retracement | Week #43For INTC this week MACD turned positive and stock is above Fib 38.2% as of 10/15/20. High chances that it will close the week by staying above that level. This combines with AMD stock which has almost run out of steam (Check its MACD). There is high likelihood that INTC reaches its 50 Day MA next week (10/19/20 - 10/23/20) and also touch Feb 50% which might conclude the 3rd leg of Elliott Wave which started in week of Aug 3rd. Core Retail Sales & Retails Sales number are due tomorrow (10/16/20). If these numbers are better than expected it will support the positive move in the stock. Intel currently dominates laptop market with wide variety of laptops to choose from. This means there is 3% ~ 5% upside from closing price of 10/15/20. (This is a weekly chart)
(This analysis is just my point of view. Trading involves risk. Do your own research before trading)
drive.google.com
BUY INTEL (INTC) on any dip towards the $48 support areaBy looking at the daily chart, we can see the strong bullish rally that took the price from the March 23rd lows of around $44 to the June highs at $64, for an outstanding 45% increase in just couple of months. However, the stock didn’t stay there for long as a combination of a high profit taking interest and some further selling pressure took the price down again at the end of July to the $47-48 strong horizontal support zone. Since then, we have seen a volatile and choppy sideways price action between $48-52 levels.
The stock is currently sitting at the $54 mark after an attempt to make an upward break out of the above-mentioned range. However, we see multiple different and also strong resistances that are currently threatening the current bullish move. We can find the 100 DMA lying at the $54 mark and the strong horizontal resistance at $56. Today’s price action on the daily chart shows a bearish rejection candlestick, which in turn confirms the strength of the above-mentioned resistances and indicates that there might be further selling pressure ahead. This up move was anticipated as the stock built a meaningful support base around the $48 mark throughout the last couple months. However, we believe that the stock market in the US currently holds a lot of intrinsic risks - COVID-19, the upcoming presidential elections, the economic recovery etc. - which would probably mean that we could be in for a continued sideways and choppy price action in the coming months. At any rate, we our analysis shows that the uneven capital allocation across the different market sectors will continue to support the tech sector as well as the stocks in it. The large institutional investors will start looking for places to reinvest the tremendous profits that they have generated from the likes of ZOOM, TESLA, NETFLIX, Shopify etc. throughout the last 3-6 months, which will lead them to stocks like INTC!
We are bullish on the INTC’s stock and believe that any profit-taking corrections would give us a great opportunity to buy the stock at a good discount. This, in turn would give us a chance to maximize our profits to the upside, once the stock resumes its uptrend movement. Furthermore, some of the technical indicators that we are monitoring closely (50 DMA, 100 DMA, Bollinger Bands, RSI etc.) are currently showing exhaustion of the recent up move and are signaling that a potential return-move to the $48-52 range might occur very soon. This will be the right time to jump on the bullish Intel train, that will take you up to the $60 mark in the coming weeks and months.
Our long-term target levels are $61 and $66 respectively.
Sincerely,
DowExperts
Intel breaking out Technical Analysis
INTC breaking out of a consolidation channel after its drop due to disappointing earnings.
RSI confirming breakout; at 62.
Intraday volume is above its 10sma average.
200sma lining-up with previous tested support. Breaking this resistance , would take us into next parallel channel.
Attractive risk-reward-ratio at 2.5, placing a stop-loss just below channel top, and profit-exit around the 200sma.
Intel headed towards $60 per share.Intel and AMD are basically only two good CPU manufacturers and they have no real competition, although I favor AMD, I am bullish on both these companies.
I look to buy the break of $53 per share and take profit below $60 per share, overall almost 12% profit.
Good luck with this trade!
Tibor
Intel 4 hour chart bullishIchimoku kijun above cloud, chiku line turns up and away from price. bullish sign. cloud very thin meaning resistance and support both weak. lets see if there will be a breakout here.
Disclaimer, this is only for entertainment and education purposes and doesn't serve by any means as a buy or sell recommendation.
Personally I hold both long term long positions and occasionally short term short position, for disclosure purpose.
INTC 1D Ascending Triangle with supply/demand zonesSince the massive selloff from their last ER, NASDAQ:INTC has formed a strong zone of supply (seller dominance) in the 52.2-52.75 range. while maintaining the seller wall, the buyer demand has been steadily increasing, creating an ascending triangle pattern on the daily time frame. Looking for INTC to breakout +52.75 for bullish confirmation. watching a break below the support trend and first level of demand for bearish confirmation. 3rd touch off Rising support looks good for a bullish scalp.
Options Idea: Buy The Jan. 21, 2022 INTC 40.0 Call @ $13.90Intel just gapped down after its last earnings release as margins tightened from almost 60% last year to 53.3%. Trouble lies ahead as well since Intel’s 7-nanometer manufacturing is delayed which will give AMD a 6 month head start to eat away at Intel’s market share. Intel has responded by initiating a huge $10 billion stock repurchase program. This is in addition to the Oct 2019 repurchase program already in place, bring total repurchases to around $20 billion.
Even though Intel is in trouble, we think there’s an opportunity for a longer-term play. Observe the historic Price/Sales ratio for Intel in the weekly view. We are buying today at 2.75. We’ve marked entries over the last few years at the 2.75 PS level. Every entry would have been successful over a 1 year holding period. The 50 week average on the PS ratio for Intel is 3.32.
Nevertheless, we like to reduce risk with options, so we are not going long in Intel. We are buying a deep in the money LEAP call on Intel today at $13.90, which gives us unlimited profit potential above $53.90 and limits our losses below $40.
Since this is such a long term LEAP call, we have 16 months (or 72 weeks) to sell monthly or weekly calls against this position. So while our current breakeven point is $53.90, we intend to lower our cost basis through the sale of out of the money shorter term calls.
This is strategy is called the poor man’s covered call. The important point is that with a $53.90 breakeven, the lowest priced call we can sell is $54. If we sell a lower priced call and INTC were to rise too quickly, the trade could lose money.
Selling next month or next week 15 delta out of the money calls should produce more than enough income to compensate us for the loss of dividends on this position and reduce our breakeven to $51, which is where Intel was trading today when we opened our long position.
Our objectives for short call income generation against this position are as follows:
Initial Objective: $2.90 (Extrinsic Option Premium), reduces breakeven point to $51
Secondary Objective: $4.55 (5 Quarters Dividends on 100 shares)
Stretch Objective: $13.90 (100% of capital recovered)
If we complete our initial objective we’ll have recovered our extrinsic option premium, giving us the benefit of going long in INTC at no additional cost. If we complete the secondary objective we’ll have not only recovered the option premium, but also generated 5 quarters of INTC’s $0.33 dividend, making our position equal to a long position in INTC, but at 20% of the capital outlay. And our final stretch objective is to recover $13.90 over the life of this call, recovering our capital early.
Standard Exit : We exit the trade for a profit when the PS ratio on INTC approaches 4.
Early Exit : We exit the trade for a profit as soon as INTC has recovered the 50-week moving average.
20-INTC-03
Opening Date: Sep 1, 2020
Expiration Date: January 21, 2022
DTE: 507
IV: 35.81%
IV Percentile: 69%
Odds of Winning: 32.60% (before selling short calls)
Odds of Losing: 67.40% (before selling short calls)
Win: > 53.90 @ Expiration (before selling short calls)
Loss: < 53.90 @ Expiration (before selling short calls)
Reg-T Margin: $0 (long position, uses $1390 cash)
Chart Legend
Green Area: 100% Win Zone. If we finish above or in the green area, we’ve made a profit on our call. This is a long call, so our potential gain is unlimited.
Red Area: If we finish in this area we have a loss. The size of the red area is the size of our maximum loss. Since we’ve bought a call instead of gone long, we have no additional losses below $40.
1 standard deviation, 2 standard deviation, 3 standard deviation projections from Opening Date to Expiration Date are included.
Follow us here on TradingView to get updates as we adjust this trade with the short calls we will be selling against this position.
INTC: Possible Long scenario for October
This is a quick analysis for INTC for the coming period (October) - and a possible scenario that may pan out in favorable conditions
The reason i'm looking at INTC is because i entered long right before the last earnings. The market had a very negative reaction to INTC's earnings announcement regarding product delay - and the stock lost almost 17% next day - so we're now left with a losing position
how to repair
if you trust the stock for the long term (i do for INTC), then an easy strategy to repair the position is to average down the cost then sell Out of the Money Covered Call against the shares -and basically try to break even or even capture some small profit. so i did add to the position and you can see my final avg cost price on the chart - before i sell the CC (was looking at the $56 strike for Nov), i thought to make another round of analysis of possible price projection for next few weeks.
the chart looks bullish - after the earnings drop, INTC went thru 2 phases
1 - against a bearish sentiment, INTC held a price range and the sell-off started to reverse (interesting!)
2 - starting around Aug 11, a "buy pressure" started to build up with a positive reaction from the stock (price moving up to the "next range") - also both momentum and sentiment reversed to positive
this view shows a possibility of an incoming breakout - which would be confirmed if INTC can break the $53 level, then re-test then moves up - my next projection would be to the $57 level
The weekly chart seems to support this scenario - and if that's the case, selling the covered call would be a mistake, at least not now with a move up expected - and we should just hold the long for now and re-evaluate in couple of weeks, given how volatile the market is these days.
this is just a quick view of one possible scenario - your view may differ from mine and that's totally fine, and the actual scenario that pans out may be totally different too - so let's kep an eye on this :)
good luck!
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How do i read this chart setup
we look at the price action (top chart) and recent key S/R price levels, plus the insights from 3 key elements: momentum, sentiment and buy/sell pressure
- the calculated short-term price momentum is shown by the UTO blue/amber line
- the long term sentiment is represented by the UTO Green/Red area graph - the demand/supply pressure is expressed by the v.viewer green/red area graph - let's call these "the context"
How do i trade this chart setup
- the Basic rule: nothing can predict what happens tomorrow - but if no external catalysts interfere, it's *highly probable* that a price move with strong momentum that's in alignment with the broader context (sentiment and buy/sell pressure) would continue in the same direction (e.g., a breakout).
INTC in a world of overvalued tech stocks how could this happen?With tech stock P/E valuations going in to triple digits (Looking at you TSLA). How can company like Intel be so hated and overlooked here? It's undervalued both fundamentally and technically. Sure the company is going trough a bit of a rough patch, but c'mon P/E at 10 for a triple A tech company. I mean It's as simple as it gets, buy LOW sell HIGH. And this is as LOW as it goes.
INTC 200 weekly EMA bounceWeekly technicals on INTC looking bullish. Potentially a safe haven with good debt to FCF and a 2.6% safe dividend. I see this as a pre-anticipatory buildup for earnings bouncing off the weekly 200 EMA with a rising wedge into resistance. MACD histogram turning bullish, rising bullish volume and rising Stoch. Disclaimer: I am a long term holder of intel.
INTC Intel could break out to 200sma any momentIntel has been doing slightly higher lows and was making a higher high just to pullback deep again and consolidate there while finding support on the 4/1 gannfan line ($48.94) -Very soon intel should retest the near 200 sma line levels at around $54.53 levels which would be the middle line of the trend channel of gannfan but it could also consolidate around 2/1 and 3/1 gannfan lines for a while until it does this. The pullback overall found support at 0.236 levels so the next move will unlikely go above $54.53 levels which is 1.272fib level right away. For intel to turn into an uptrend it has to pullback after going to those fib levels first and then break 200sma retest it and continue its uptrend from there and that will take a while