INTC
Intel DCF Model - Intrinsic ValueIntel DCF Assumptions:
Tax Rate = 12.0%
Discount Rate = 7.4%
Perpetual Growth Rate = 2.0%
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 9.0x
Transaction Date = 28/02/2022
Fiscal Year-End = 25/12/2022
Current Price = $47.71
Shares Outstanding (m) = 4,072
Debt (m) = $38,101
Cash (m) = $28,413
Capex (m) = $20,329
Base Case Scenario
In addition to the above assumptions, the below DCF model is based on our base case scenario, which assumes a revenue growth over the next five years of -4%, 4%, 5%, 8%, 10%. These assumptions are slightly lower than analysts’ forecasts.
DCF (5Y) EBITDA EXIT MODEL:
Terminal Value
Final Forecast EBITDA (m) = $44,337
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 9.0x
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $339,031
Intrinsic Value
Final Forecast EBITDA (m) =$44,337
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 9.0x
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $339,031
DCF (5Y) PERPETUAL GROWTH RATE MODEL
Terminal Value
Enterprise Value (m) = $324,750
Plus: Cash (m) = $28,413
Less: Debt (m) = $38,101
Equity Value (m) = $315,062
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $77.37
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value (m) = $262,768
Plus: Cash (m) = $28,413
Less: Debt (m) = $38,101
Equity Value (m) = $253,080
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $62.15
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DISCLOSURE:
I/we have open long positions in Intel. We may increase this position depending on market movements over the coming weeks.
INTC Intel will be free cash flow negative this yearIntel, which plans large investments in chip technologies in the next four years, warns that it will be free cash flow negative this year.
INTC predicts 10% to 12% annual revenue growth by 2026.
As a speculative buy, you can take into consideration the 44-45 usd area of support for a bounce.
INTEL CORP (INTC) RSI+MACD+STOCH FIB RETRACEMENT TA TRADING 💡📉I developed a personal trading strategy on NASDAQ:INTC to setup a trading buy scenario.
What are the different indicators Showing?
MACD:
EMA's crossed, no sign early retracement bounce
!!! market uptrend could have turned into a downtrend, but we need more confirmation
RSI:
Market is globally in an uptrend but RSI looks like its crossing the 50 line towards a downtrend, so there may be no retracement bounce
INTC is accordingly to the RSI not overbought nor underbought, confirmation to come
STOCH:
STOCH looks like it's going towards its underbought level, I would wait till both lines cross the underbought level
What is FIB/Graph saying
Previous retracements reversed at around 50% to 61.8% fib level
I expect this retracement (if last retracement wasn't a trend reversal) to reverse around the same levels.
Intel Corp. as long term: 📈📈
Intel will definitely hit a 100$ in the future, with a lot of new big upcoming projects
For example: a crypto mining dedicated CPU
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INTEL - Silicon Gold Mine Next 20 YearsINTEL is releasing some new chips specifically designed for crypto mining, continues to release revolutionary chips with government contracted backing.
A sure buy for the next 20 years.
NASDAQ:INTC
MOEX:INTC-RM
BCBA:INTC
MIL:INTC
XETR:INL
BMV:INTC
BMFBOVESPA:ITLC34
SWB:INL
HKEX:4335
BCBA:INTCD
FWB:INL
GLOBALPRIME:INTC.NAS
SIX:INTC
SIX:INTC.USD
NASDAQ:NDX
INTC, 2 2 Hours NASDAQ:INTC , 2 Hrs
INTC, Intel 2 Hours
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I am not a financial /investment advisor. All information I am sharing here is for entertainment purposes only and should not be considered personal investment advice. While the information provided is accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. Please, do your diligence when it comes to investing or trading in the market. You are responsible on your choice. Thank you
Semiconductors at long-term supportWhen looking at a weekly chart, it is easier to see if an asset is in a bullish or bearish trend.
Taking a look a the SOXX, we see we are at a potential place for a bounce.
I chose the 52 exponential-moving average because there are 52 weeks in a year, and it has worked very well in the past.
A close on a weekly basis below this level is the signal to get out. If we can hold though, it would be a strong bull case for a bottom.
Intel Analysis 16.01.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
$INTC Intel Corp to Drop In PriceWith the recent blow to the companies reputation I would assume we see a good dip!
BUT lets take a look at the technical analysis.
We have been rejected at the current price 4 times now on the hour chart.
The daily chart appears to be seeing a bearish divergence as well.
money flow is not looking good.
I would assume this would play out as a sharp dip to 48.00 range or a slow decline through late Feb.
Let me know what you think!
INTEL - Little more wait for entry before starts reversal. Wait for some more time before entry. Start entry from ~$48 - $42 range. Probably should bottom out by end of Jan. Will be interesting to see if this bottom out before earnings or after.
After that ride until 70+. That's ~60% or ~$25 potential upside.
Enjoy....
IntelI like historical pattern of this company. This an opinion based on an article I've just read but it seems as if the semiconductor issue is simmering down a bit relative to how unsure this issue was late last year. We also see a bunch of car companies having increased deliveries as well. Although Intel isn't the end all, be all within this sector, I can see at least a retracement of about 45% of the previous high seeing how price has reached this point up to 5 times since 2018's May. Let's see what happens! They also have enough cashflow to compensate for a hike in interest rates.
Intel Corporation intelligently going down. INTCFlat form, C wave pre confirms. Dropping momentum and a real risk of a divergence on a daily. Woop dee doo! Another short opportunity. Lakheim!
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
INTC Mobileye Intel's self-driving-car unit IPOThe chipmaker said it would be taking public its Mobileye self-driving-car unit.
The initial public offering of Mobileye in the U.S. is planned for the middle of next year.
The move could value Mobileye at more than $50 billion, Intel being the biggest shareholder.
My short term price target is the 59usd resistance.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
IntelIntel beats the expectation by 53% yet opened 11% lower after the earnings and revenue..!
This is why I usually do not like to hold stocks before earnings!
This is happening when
P/E:11
EPS:4.53
DIV YLD: 2.48%
and fundamental analysis fair price for INTC is 63-68.
INTC is a Blind Buy at 43-45 zone and Blind Sell at 67-69 zone. This trad set up generates 50% easy money in 6 months!
Put your Buy limits in the system and wait..!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
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Intel | Fundamental Analysis | MUST READ....Intel had a dynamic start to 2021, with shares rising rapidly in Q1 due to news that the company may be beating rival Advanced Micro Devices. However, Intel failed to maintain its remarkable momentum, and the stock gave up all of the ground it had gained at the beginning of the year.
Intel stock is now trading near the bottom of its 52-week range. Wall Street is also not overly optimistic about the company's prospects, with an average share price target of $54, indicating little upside from current levels.
Considering the problems Intel faces, investors will apparently think twice before buying it, while existing investors might consider cutting their losses by selling the stock. Let's look at both sides and figure out whether it makes more sense to buy or sell Intel stock.
The biggest reason investors may want to sell Intel stock is because of the company's absence of competitive advantage, which has led to sluggish revenue growth and declining margins over the past three years.
Intel has been forced to cut prices on its chips to compete with AMD, while buyers flock to the competitor. This is reflected in Intel's latest quarterly numbers, with its non-GAAP third-quarter revenue up just 5 percent from a year ago to $18.1 billion.
AMD, on the other hand, is in great shape, with its third-quarter revenue up 54% from a year ago to $4.3 billion, boosted by growth in all segments of its business. What's more, AMD also raised its full-year forecast and expects 2021 to end with 65% revenue growth. Intel's non-GAAP revenue estimate of $73.5 billion means an average one-digit drop from the previous year when revenue was $77.9 billion.
Even worse, analysts don't see the possibility of Intel improving next year. The company's revenue is expected to remain flat and earnings fall to $3.70 per share, down from $5.28 per share this year. The long-term outlook doesn't look bright either, as Intel's compound annual earnings growth rate is expected to be just 3% over the next five years.
All of this means that Intel stock may continue to lag in growth. That's why investors may find it reasonable to put their money into other fast-growing stocks that can provide more growth.
There are three reasons why Intel stock is worth buying, notwithstanding the discouraging forecasts of analysts.
First, the company pays a good dividend. Intel's dividend is 2.8 percent and its payout ratio is less than 27 percent. In the third quarter, Intel paid $1.4 billion in dividends, easily covered by $9.9 billion in operating cash flow. For the first nine months of 2021, the company paid $4.2 billion in dividends, compared with $12.6 billion in free cash flow for the same period. Since Intel's dividend seems safe, the company could prove to be a good retirement asset.
The second judgment to buy Intel is its cheap valuation. The price-to-earnings ratio is only 9.5 and the price-to-earnings ratio is 13.5. The low multiples are not surprising, as the prospects for the chip giant's top and bottom lines appear weak over the next year or so. Nevertheless, cheap multiples may attract investors willing to buy a potential turnaround candidate, particularly since Intel will reward patient investors with good dividends.
This brings us to the third reason investors might consider betting on Intel stock right now -- the possibility of a return. Intel has determined to increase its capital spending in the coming years to become more competitive. The company projects capital spending of $25 billion to $28 billion in 2022, which defines the weaker performance in 2022. The planned spending would be a huge jump from this year's spending of $18 billion to $19 billion.
It's also worth noting that Intel's latest Alder Lake processors are inferior to AMD's processors in performance, according to third-party tests. The Alder Lake chips are manufactured using Intel's 10-nanometer process, which matches AMD's 7-nm manufacturing node - which explains why Intel was able to set an aggressive price for its latest processors and offer impressive performance.
Given that Intel has laid out an intensive product development plan for the next couple of years, it won't be unexpected to see the company regain its competitive edge. Thus, Intel's potential turnaround, cheap valuation, and good dividend could attract investors, as the company could turn into a growth company if only its product development steps pay off and it regains its spirit.